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Yenpairs

JPY Basket (FXCM) - LONGWhile I am not a die-hard fan of FXCM's Yen Basket (much prefer NAFTA + Japan vs. "the World"), this index/basket is clearly working on an turn here. It is still relatively week but has likely put the worst behind it. Now, it is all about acceleration which, judging from past behavior, ought to gain significant momentum. Again, I'd suggest to use this "basket" as an indicator rather than trading it outright - which is also possible. (Work in progress on a properly weighted NAFTA + Japan Index.)
FX:JPYBASKETLong
by Nemo_Confidat
Japan Yen's Strengthen Secure a True Low Volatile HedgeAs the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy and inflation rates continue to drop, the Japan Yen has steadily strengthened. This trend presents a unique chance to diversify your trading positions and capitalize on Yen's increasing value. By incorporating the Yen into your portfolio, you can potentially shield yourself from market volatility and enhance your risk management strategies. Why choose the Japanese Yen, you may ask? Well, let me share a few compelling reasons: 1. A Safe Haven Currency: Historically, the Yen has been considered a haven currency during economic uncertainty. It's stability and low volatility make it an attractive option for traders seeking a reliable hedge against market fluctuations. 2. Economic solid Fundamentals: Japan boasts a robust and resilient economy supported by technological advancements, a skilled workforce, and a commitment to innovation. These factors contribute to the Yen's strength and make it an appealing choice for traders seeking stability. 3. Diverse Trading Opportunities: The Japan Yen offers many trading opportunities across various currency pairs. Whether you prefer significant pairs like USD/JPY or exotic pairs like EUR/JPY, the Yen's liquidity, and popularity ensure ample chances to profit. Now, it's time for action! Don't miss out on leveraging the Japan Yen's strengthening trend. Here's what you can do to seize this opportunity: 1. Evaluate Your Portfolio: Assess your current trading positions and identify areas where the inclusion of the Japan Yen could enhance your risk management and diversification strategies. 2. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on market indicators, economic news, and central bank policies that may impact the Yen's value. This knowledge will help you make informed trading decisions and maximize your potential profits. 3. Collaborate and Learn: Engage with fellow traders, attend webinars and seminars to gain insights and exchange ideas about trading the Japanese Yen. Sharing knowledge and experiences can be invaluable in refining your strategies. Remember, the forex market is ever-evolving, and adapting to new trends is crucial for success. Adding the Japan Yen to your trading arsenal can unlock a true low-volatile hedge and amplify your gains.
Short
by bryandowningqln
2
CADJPY I BOC Rate Statement Trading PlanWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** CADJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
12
Nikkei break out? - China's JapanificationThe recent Nikkei rally is bringing it ever closer to that "magical" 30,000 level which it hasn't touched since the late '80s collapse. IFF a breakout occurs, expect a collapse in all XYZ/JPY pairs - since, true to form, every equity/hedge fund in the world is expected to pile in. Internal Chinese (export/import) numbers are showing a fair pick up in exports - post Covid - BUT a very anemic internal demand, with import numbers steadily surprising to the down-side (by a lot!). Simultaneously Japanese heavy industry is racking up some solid numbers lately, especially in regard to steel, automobile and electronic components. All of this is fueled by an abating chip shortage, giving world wide car production a boost. E.g. Watch the Nikkei price action and fully expect a blinding YEN rally should that 30,000 level get blown away!
OSE:NK2251!Long
by Nemo_Confidat
Why is the Bank of Japan nervous? ...To properly represent (and trade!) the Yen related pairs, it is strongly recommended to create a Yen-based currency basket. (I did attempt to import data into TV from such a basket - weighted by the acceleration differential between the USD, EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, CHF and a basket of Central European currencies versus the Yen but for some reason I couldn't make that work. I.e., the main chart here represents the next best thing which is an unweighted USD|EUR|GBP|AUD|CAD / YEN basket, to convey the same idea.) The central problem the Bank of Japan is facing at this moment, continued acceleration of rate (and thus, price) differentials relative to the other G-20 currencies. (I.e., The Yen price levels, alone, would not cause the same concerns.) On the top of it, China's PBC decided to dump massive amounts of Yen (and Euro) reserves, still actively taking place as of last Friday. The now solid uptrend in Japanese economic indicators also continue to add to the upward pressures, leaving the BoJ with ever less wiggle-room. FX Yen options implied volatility - 8.34%-8.93% - is running under historical levels, (i.e. they are considered "cheap") despite the increased Call buying, as of late. Ultimately, what the BoJ will be forced to do here, and most importantly When(?) and to what extent, is still open to debate but two aspects of this issue became rather obvious; 1) At this point markets, in general, seem to maintain a complacent stance (see options pricing) regarding the significance and potential magnitude of a BoJ move; 2) This is a 30-year, $3+ Trillion Dollar short position which will have to be unwound (covered) in the event of a BoJ interest rate hike and as such, liquidity will be a major issue! To illustrate the last point - above -, this was the recent EURJPY action following a rumor that the BoJ "may do something";
by Nemo_Confidat
2
Why we may soon see some JPY strengthThe JPY is undervalued... Unlike other global economies, Japan is not facing an inflation crisis or below 50 PMI figures. The Yen has also been victim to some large bearish moves over the last few years, which are due a retrace move. In my opinion, it is starting to look like a good buy from both a fundamental and technical point of view. As a safe haven currency, it could also see some strength with the nearing Western recession, if the recession ever comes! All is not roses, though. GDP growth is low and unemployment is too low... There is also the issue with the BOJ's currently monetary policy. The challenge is, which pair do you short? The JPY against the EUR or GBP is a strong fundamental trade, but the swap rates will eat away at profits on any long-term trade. The CHFJPY has a move attractive swap, though still negative, but you then lose the safe haven bias of trading both the CHF and JPY. Speaking of CHFJPY, price has just broken a possible turnaround area on the 1 hour chart, which could be a signal of some coming JPY strength and ***JPY downside. For longer-term trades, perhaps a Yen ETF or currency index trade is best... AMEX:YCL AMEX:FXY OANDA:CHFJPY
Short
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
3-bar bullish reversal on USD/JPYAfter an extended pullback on the USD/JPY daily chart, we think it is time for the pair to revert higher. A bullish divergence formed with the RSI (2) and a bullish pinbar formed on after a failed attempt to break below 130. Being a round number, there's reasonable chance of demand down at that level, and yesterday's up day is part of a 3-day bullish reversal (Morning Star). - The bias remains bullish above Friday's low, although bulls could seek bullish setups on lower timeframes if prices pull back towards Friday's high - or wait for a break of yesterday's high to assume bullish continuation. - An initial target is around the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio / 133 handle - A Second target could be around the monthly pivot / 200-day EMA / 50% retracement level
Long
by CityIndex
USD/JPY BEAR SWING RETRACEMENTUSD/JPY bear swing was absolutely beautiful, but we are not done yet Usdjpy has a looooong way to drop still, the impending US recession is not going to be pretty and the moment the market gets a single whiff of hawkish-ness from the BoJ, this pair will sink to the bottom of the ocean like ATLANTIS In the mean time however it looks as though the bear swing has run out of some steam, and a healthy retracement is in store. Fundamentally DADDY JPOW just raised the US rates by 25 basis points, which in all likelihood will bring some short term support to the dumpy dollar. Either ride USDJPY to the Yellow or Green zones, depending on how strong momentum and price action is.
Long
by NakedTrading4U
2
AUDJPY - The corrective structure will continueAUDJPY overview AUDJPY has broken the low created in December last year, which confirms that the most probable path is continuing the bearish corrective cycle WXY until reaching at least 81.455. This fact opens us the opportunity to look for shorting opportunities until we reach that level. We will not blindly enter to sell AUDJPY in any case. Only if we see clearly a corrective structure we identify and it provides us with a good Inflection Zone, we are going to sell it with a very high probability of having a profitable trade. AUDJPY is an asset to monitor, and we will keep you updated if the selling opportunity appears The market is constantly repeating the same type of defined structures. Learning them and being able to spot them on the charts will completely change the way you trade.
Short
by TradingtheRightSide
1
Elliott Wave Favors More Downside in GBPJPYDecline from 2.28.2023 is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 2.28 high, wave 1 ended at 160.02 and rally in wave 2 ended at 164.14. Pair resumes lower in wave 3 towards 159.19, and wave 4 ended at 160.49. Last leg lower wave 5 ended at 158.51 which completed wave (1). Wave (2) corrective rally ended at 163.34 as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (1), wave W ended at 162.18, and pullback in wave X ended at 158.94. Wave Y higher ended at 163.34 which completed wave (2). Pair resumes lower in wave (3) with internal subdivision as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Down from wave (2), wave ((i)) ended at 160.67 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 161.86. Pair has resumed lower in wave ((iii)) and broken below wave ((i)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 159.91 and wave (ii) rally ended at 161.01. Expect pair to continue lower within wave (iii) of ((iii)). A break below wave (1) at 158.51 would confirm the bearish view and rule out a double correction. Near term, as far as the pivot at 163.34 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swings for further downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Bullish on Yens Long TermOn the monthly timeframe, began 2022 wicking off 38,2 and ever since have just consolidated Very similar looking to all prior long term corrections; back during all the hoopla we saw price flirt with 2,618 expansion level, never quite breaking above it If this March 2023 candle closes above the 20ma, it would lead me to believe the bulls are about to have their way as far as printing candlesticks goes The 3,618 expansion level does coincide with the -41,4% level, which in my experience has been a commonly hit target if fibonacci is incorporated into the overall analysis I do not typically use it but mainly on the Monthly/Weekly timeframes Let's see if we do get some bull momentum here in the next 2 months...
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by DJdSchu
GBPJPY I Potential short from resistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **GBPJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
17