TVC:US10Y -US02Y Looks like we are nearing the recession, it can take from 6 months to 12 months to occur, but for sure. Recession signals: 1. Unemployment starts to raise. 2. Yield curve is above 0. 3. FEDRATES starts to stay firm and fed starts to cut the rates.(May be consequences) Only few tech stocks are holding the market up, once they start correcting,...
Linear faked-out and got rejected forming an evening star with a shooting star on local top, a retracement down would make sense. ⚡️⚡️ #LINA/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (3.2X) Amount: 4.9% Current Price: 0.01703 Entry Zone: 0.01719 - 0.01835 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.01508 2) 0.01305 3)...
Rates and bond yield will go back to nothing. History repeats itself Banks will get good balance of so many holding long term lockdown in yield.
Looking @ a few different #yields (Not shown)Weekly 6month and 1Yr easier to notice BEAR FLAG & the pattern is close to being annulled. Daily 2Yr looking good, breaking out of channel. Hard to short dull market but seeing #bond yields climbing is worrisome for short term. TVC:TNX 10Yr looks like 2Yr.
Thoughts on the yield curve ? Shall we stabilize from here (uninvert?) Shy is the two year rising away from the other treasuries in the face of a slowing economy?
There's obviously lots of discussion about interest rates and where they are headed. Today, I'm going to look at long-term interest rates based on the well-known ETF: $TLT . Long-term interest rates are useful as a guide for most people who get a home-loan or longer-dated loans and is usually less prone to manipulation (by Central Banks) than short-term...
US10Y yield is in completion of C of wave (4), expect to see a strong run up to 6% zone in wave (5) of circle 3 by end of this year.
TrueFi just regained 50MA support and seems about to push higher and recover, short-term. ⚡️⚡️ #TRU/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (3.0X) Amount: 4.7% Current Price: 0.08935 Entry Zone: 0.08805 - 0.08295 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.09990 2) 0.11075 3) 0.12160 Stop Targets: 1) 0.07345 Published...
Monday 3/27/2023 - In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds...
While the #fed reserve has made it clear they're not stopping rate increases yet, #bonds yields put a top in days ago. $TNX actually did it some time ago! We noticed certain sectors, like insurance, began lowering premiums done time ago. Did they know something was start didn't? Small community banks are getting crushed and if rates crater it may alleviate the...
It's pretty much all about Fibonacci today - the market has recent peaked at around 4.24 and is in the process of eroding a key convergence of support at 3.25/3.32 (lows since January, the 55-week ma and the 2018 high). These are looking vulnerable and failure will imply a deeper corrective move lower towards 3.00 and potentially 2.80ish - the 38.2% retracement of...
In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities. You...
Last week we mentioned that #yields cratering like they did was not normal. Currently they are all at support with $TNX holding better than short term yields. The 10Yr has BOUNCED a bit off support. In a positive note it does lessens the inverted Yield curve :D We'll see how this scenario holds. What's happening today is more SPECULATION than anything else. The...
The Debt Market is significantly larger than the #stockmarket so it's VERY IMPORTANT what happens there. It's way too early to see data but, JUST A HUNCH, this is most likely the #FED stepping in & buying bonds trying to calm the markets. This is not normal to see #yields cratering so much. The 1Yr is off almost 3.26% The 2Yr is off 5.01 The 10Yr is off...
The chart I've created here shows yield on the US 10 Year Treasury Bond. The white line shows its percentage change over the last 12 months. The red line shows the S&P 500. It shows the S&P 500 over the last 12 months. What more needs to be said? The S&P 500 is red over the last year while the yield on bonds continues to rise. REMEMBER: with every increase in...
looking back at historical inflationary support levels...inflation remains sticky and you can see why.
An inverted yield curve occurs when the yield on a 10-year Treasury bond falls below that of a 2-year Treasury bond. Normally, longer-term bonds have higher yields than shorter-term bonds. This is because investors demand a higher return for tying up their money for a longer period of time. However, when short-term interest rates rise above long-term interest...
2 year, 5 year, 10 year and 30 year yield are all showing a similar characteristic: · Low established in 2020 · Major support trend started forming since then · Seem to have completed its retracement with a double-bottom · Resuming on its major support trend · Target to break above its recent all-time high set on Oct...