Yield
HARVEST FINANCE TO $500 IN NEXT BULL MARKETI will explain what Harvest Finance (FARM) is, and why I believe this token could go to $500 or higher in price.
I have mentioned many times why tokens with utility will go well in the future. This token certainly has utility and a very strong community.
FARM is a Yield Aggregator, same as Yearn Finance. It also falls in the Defi and Yield Farming category, same as Yearn Finance.
What makes this project interesting is that is has auto compounding rewards. Meaning you don't have to waste fees every time to manually compound your rewards. If you have farmed on ETH blockchains before, you know those fees will cost you a lot. Well that is not an issue here as FARM not only supports ETH, but also supports BSC and MATIC, along with Arbitrum. Multichain support projects are the future, and FARM got this right.
As I mentioned in my Autofarm review, Yield Farming is huge and will continue to keep growing exponentially as there is more and more global adoption.
FARM only has a supply of 690,420 tokens! No more will ever be created. There doesn't seem to a burn mechanism here, but this is not needed when your supply is less than 1 million anyways. The current market cap is only 30m! Which is very early for such a project.
YFI, a very similar project went on to have a market cap of almost 3 trillion. That shows us that such projects do have huge demands as will continue growing larger as we start entering bull markets in the future.
FARM also has a github page, along with passing multiple audits, including from Certik and 3 other auditors. This is generally a sign of a strong project.
Another little fun fact before we get to the numbers, is that the token was listed on Coinbase last year. This was listed around a time when Coinbase was known for only listing the finest projects, whereas now they listed anything. So being listed during Coinbases's 'Golden Age' is certainly a plus. Listing on Binance and other major exchanges have made this very easy to acquire.
According to Gateio, its highest daily close was $459. The lowest price was $26, just a couple weeks back.
We have made calculations as to how high this token can go using the market cap.
Market cap of 100m, price per token = $150
Market cap of 1b, price per token = $1,500
Market cap of 10b, price per token = $15,000
I think 10b market cap is a bit of stretch here, not saying it can't happen but odds are slim unless they incorporate some insane features. I do believe a reasonable price in the next bull run is $500. Which would only require a market cap of 332m. A 332m market cap in for a strong defi yield aggregator project is a respectable target. The previous high as mentioned before was $459. We believe the next bull market will be the largest bull market in crypto history, and therefore FARM will easily make a new all-time high. $500 is target, but we would not be surprised if it touches $1000. Certainly, if they manage to incorporate AVAX, OP, FTM and some other blockchains, that would be a big plus.
Compared to MKR and YFI, the price on this is so low that anyone can afford a couple of tokens. Currently it is having a strong rally and looks bullish on most time frames. I do believe we will visit $26 again this year, and possibly create a new low around $20. If it doesn't, it's still a nice price to start dollar cost averaging in.
Ignore the sloppy drawing, it's just for illustration and no way indicates how price will move between now and next bull run. But target is $500 in the bull run after the 2024 halving, sometime between 2024 and 2025
BINANCE:FARMUSDT COINBASE:FARMUSD COINBASE:FARMUSDT KRAKEN:FARMUSD BINANCE:FARMBUSD COINEX:FARMUSDT GATEIO:FARMUSDT PHEMEX:FARMUSDT
U.S. Bonds – It’s Major Uptrend Has Broke BelowU.S Bonds market is larger than the largest American companies combined, therefore it is important to also track the health of the bonds market.
• U.S Bonds size - market value estimated $46 trillion
• Largest American companies size - market capitalization estimated $42 trillion
The bonds market moves in tandem with the stock markets, meaning when the general trend of the bonds is up, so will be the stock markets. Similarly, when the bond markets are bear, so will the stocks.
The decades of U.S. Bonds uptrend were broken in the month April 2022. This indicates a long-term downtrend for the bond markets.
Source and reference:
As of 08 Jul 2022 from companiesmarketcap in U.S. The total companies 6,332, total market cap: $81.241T. The largest American companies by market cap, 3,269 companies 3,269, total market cap: $41.66 T.
As of 2021, the size of the bond market (total debt outstanding) is estimated to be at $119 trillion worldwide and $46 trillion for the US market, according to Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA).
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Feel free to leave any comments below, I love to exchange ideas with you.
Also to check the video link below...
AUTOFARM to $30,000+ IN NEXT BULLMARKETI will explain what Autofarm is, and why I believe this token will go to $30,000 or higher in price.
Autofarm (AUTO) is one of the most under-rated tokens in crypto. I believe that tokens that serve a purpose will be around in the future, while garbage tokens that have no utility will die out in this bear market - just like previous bear markets.
AutoFarm is a yield farming aggregator running on both Binance Smart Chain (BSC) and many other smart chain protocols. It has a circulating supply of 34963 tokens, and a max supply of 80,683. This means there will never be more than 80,683 tokens in existence.
You know what other token was yield aggregator token with a similar circulation supply? YFI (Yearn Finance)! And that almost hit a price of $100,000 per token in the last bull market.
However, Autofarm is better and different that Yearn Finance! What makes Autofarm better is a couple of things:
- It is already the absolute best TOP Yield Aggregator on the following chains:
GNO, HECO, OASIS, OKEXCHAIN, BOBA, VELAS
- It supports other chains as well, including:
MATIC, CRONOS, BSC, AVAX, FTM, AURORA, MOVR, CELO, ONE.
- It is a deflationary token. Meaning the supply of Autofarm decreases over time! More and more tokens are burned often. With supply going lower, there will eventually be more demand. Currently, 2436 Auto tokens have been burned forever.
- The market cap of Autofarm is only $10,000,000! That's basically nothing
- YFI is not a deflationary token, doesn't support as many chains, and the dev also left the project.
Defi is the future, and we all know that such protocols are in demand and will continue to be in demand. This token has already been listed on major exchanges like Binance, CoinEx and Cryptocom - making it very easy for anyone to buy
Once the bull market is back, we expect the entire crypto market cap to get to atleast 6 trillion dollars in the next big bull run. Defi and Yield Aggregator's end up doing great in bull markets.
By the time we get to the next bull market (2025), more Autofarm tokens will be burned from the supply, vault fees are used to perform market buy-backs of AUTO and burnt forever.
In 18 months, 2436 tokens were burned. So using that figure, we estimate that in 30 months (Early 2025), about 5000 more tokens will be burned
We estimate that roughly about 30,000 of these tokens will be in circulation come 2025.
This means that the price of each token will increase in value.
We have made calculations as to how high this token can go using the market cap. Remember, the figures below only show a supply of 30,000 by 2025:
Market cap of 10m, price per token = $333
Market cap of 100m, price per token = $3,333
Market cap of 1b, price per token = $33,333
Market cap of 10b, price per token = $333,333
The all time high for Auto was almost $14,000 per token. And this was also back when there was more supply in circulation. In time, more and more of these tokens will continue being burned. This means that in 1 decade, we could see this reach a much higher price.
Autofarm has been audited by 3 different auditors, including Certik. And also has a github page. To me, having multiple audits + a github page is always a good thing when it comes to evaluating tokens
I mentioned earlier that my target for this is $30,000 in 2025. This would require a market cap just shy of 1 billion dollars at a supply of 30,000. Yearn Finance easily surpassed 1 billion market cap, and almost reached a 3 billion market cap.
I believe this is a strong project and it is a steal at the current price. I also believe we will see the price drop as we go deeper in the bear market, which should make this a nice coin to dollar cost average. I believe there is a good chance that AUTO gets below $100 in the upcoming months, and a very low chance it gets to $50. Should also likely get a couple bounces in small bull phases from now till halving, possibly to $600.
BINANCE:AUTOUSDT BINANCE:AUTOUSD BINANCE:AUTOBUSD COINEX:AUTOUSDT GATEIO:AUTOUSDT
When this trendline breaks, Japan may hyperinflateJapan's central bank is buying unlimited amounts of Japanese debt in order to maintain yields around 0.25%. This ratio shows yields over the central bank's balance sheet. When this trendline breaks to the upside, it essentially means that Japanese debt is being sold faster than the central bank can buy. Japan may be going through some serious financial events very soon.
www.cnbc.com
The bank of Japan is selling US treasuries in order to buy more Japanese treasuries. This may cascade into US problem of rising interest rates and unsustainable debt levels being that Japan is the largest foreign holder.
www.bloomberg.com
US10Y Trend-Following Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US10 Yield is trading in an uptrend
And the price broke an important key level
Went up and is now retesting the broken level
Which became a support, and I am bullish biased
So I think this is a good opportunity
For a trend-following long trade
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Out The MoneynessThe 2yr yield is inverted to emphasize value rather than yield. The untethering of the DXY from the treasuries are something to watch.
There's a lot to see here. Im viewing it from the lenses of liquidity and solvency.
This is developing. The purpose of this post is to serve as a repository of notes along the way regarding this topic.
DXY shows relative strength of the dollar. But the bonds sell off seems to show it as contextually weak albeit stronger (and in this case the most liquid). I would view this more as a moment of underperforming by the least in a group of underperformers rather than outright comparative outperformance.
Notable Events since the 6/10 CPI print
Yield curve inversion along multiple points of the curve as the short end yields higher than the long end
75 bps being priced in, market wide, some stating as early as this Wednesday's announcement for June. Consensus give 95% probability for July. ~175bps being priced in with high probablility to september.
WSJ piece by Timiraos re the coming hikes.
Celsius (large cap crypto lender) becomes defacto insolvent during what looks like a bank run. Dollar withdrawals are suspended. www.washingtonpost.com
Binance briefly halts dollar withdrawals from the BTC network. One of its networks briefly down due to a "stuck transaction" twitter.com
ECB Fragmentation is popping up with increased frequency in the 10y sovereigns. Draghi's "whatever it takes" comments see the Italian 10yr sell off at a rate leading the euro area sell offs.
In the beginnings of the overnight session South Korea warns "The financial markets and economy are in critical condition." President Yoon: " The government intends to use all supply-side tools to keep inflation under control" - Yonhap
Meanwhile the BoJ amidst zero-bid scenarios on their 10y sovereigns and declares a backstop bid of 800bln yen at the next auction. The lack of liquidity in its bonds is causing havoc to the Yen. BoJ is expected to step in to defend the currency. This may have implications on its regional emerging market peers.
See Further Comments for updates.
$ALGO at key levelThe point of control level is $0.3005 very significant. Dating back to Algorand 's inception, this has been a key level of resistance/support. ALGO stopped nearly to the penny on the volume shelf at the bottom and bounced off it multiple times.
Previously it was resistance, now it seems to have become support. ALGO seems to be running out of sellers. Soon the bulls will take control. Targeting the $0.5380 level which would be a 50% return and the VWAP from the most recent high at $1.0172 would be a nearly 200% gain.
Algorand is green, efficient, and has extremely low gas fees (I believe it's $.001 please correct me if I'm mistaken).
$RAY/USDT 4h (#BinanceFutures) Descending triangle breakoutRaydium has been retracing down big time and finally looks ready for reversal, at least short-term.
Current Price= 0.922
Buy Entry = 0.919 - 0.849
Take Profit= 1.072 | 1.239 | 1.390
Stop Loss= 0.733
Risk/Reward= 1:1.25 | 1:2.35| 1:3.35
Expected Profit= +21.26% | +40.14% | +57.22%
Possible Loss= -17.08%
Fib. Retracement= 0.236 | 0.382 | 0.5
Margin Leverage= 1x
Estimated Gain-time= 2 weeks
Tags: #RAY #RAYUSDT #Yield #Farming #AMM #DEx #DeFi #BSC #Solana
Website: raydium.io
Contracts:
#ERC20 0x5245c0249e5eeb2a0838266800471fd32adb1089
#BEP20 0x13b6A55662f6591f8B8408Af1C73B017E32eEdB8
#SPL 4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R
Bonds Benefit from Risk-On OutflowsBonds have picked up, breaking through several of our upside levels. We set a target of 119'23, and that is exactly the level we've reached. We are seeing signs of resistance here from several red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has picked up however, but it is doubtful momentum will take us much further, given the market conditions. If we are able to break out again, then we should see resistance at 120'14 and 121'00, who relative highs. From below we will have support from 119'01 and 118'04.
HEX is the greatest CryptocurrencyHEX is an ERC20 token that was released December 2019 after over a year in development, with 2 Security Audits as well as 1 Economic Audit.
Since the 2019 release the smart contract has worked flawlessly with zero downtime or hacks. It’s immutable code that has no admin keys and multiple front ends built by the community to access its signature feature “Staking”. The major difference between HEX and Bitcoin or Ethereum is the fact the coin inflates at a maximum of 3.69% per year, but instead of paying miners to sell the coin to pay for electricity costs, HEX pays those who Stake their coins. Everything is done from your self custodial Ethereum wallet and you pick how long to stake, from 1day up to 5555days. The longer you stake the more yield you generate, just make sure you’re truthful to the smart contract because if you end your commitment before 50% of time served you will lose some of your principal as well as interest earned. All of those who honor their commitment and end their stake on time benefit from those who ended theirs early or late.
Most people have built what’s called a Staking Ladder staking different amount of HEX coins for various amounts of time (Like a traditional CD) so they always have a stake coming due. The yield isn’t paid in USD it’s paid in HEX so the price of the asset can go up substantially higher once your stake matures and then people just sell a portion of their yield and never kill their golden goose, restaking the rest!
Just in its first 2 years HEX did a 10,000x at its ATH in September 2021! If you stake longer then the average stake length (currently at 6.49yrs) you will be earning over 39%APY (in HEX). This is how so many people have created life changing wealth for themselves using the staking feature no matter what price they originally bought at!
Why would you buy and hodl a coin that doesn’t pay you to hold it? Why not just keep a small % liquid and stake the rest paying yourself every year for the next 15years? That way you’re earning high %APY on the longer stakes and your paying yourself yearly or whenever you want? If you keep some liquid you will always have the opportunity to capitalize on the volatile nature of cryptocurrency.
SNX big announcement and current price actionFull disclosure: I am long SNX with a current holding of 3,035 tokens held on the Celsius Network. I am currently grandfathered in and still earning 14.05% APY despite the recent SEC ruling inhibiting non-accredited US investors (like me) from earning interest. Damn big government bureaucracies. Here's a recap on SNX price action since yesterday's chart as well as SNX news release on recent upgrades and additions.
Price-Action: The last two days of price action have been tough on SNX, but it still remains above its 20-day MA (moving average), meaning we are still within the overall recent bullish trend. If SNX falls significantly further from here, then the 20-day MA becomes another level of resistance on the way back up. Let's hope that doesn't happen. Hopefully, with the recent changes/additions to the Synthetix Network, a rebound will occur sooner rather than later.
From the E-News Release:
As part of the "Nunki Release...eight new perpetual futures markets were launched onto Synthetix Futures. Not only were Crypto markets added, but commodities such as Gold and Silver were also added. Synthetix is excited to be the first on-chain futures platform to support these exotic markets. The new markets are as follows: SOL, AVAX, MATIC, AAVE, UNI, EUR, GOLD, SILVER."
"SOL, AVAX, MATIC, UNI, and AAVE markets will join a growing list of supported cryptocurrencies available for leverage trading through Synthetix Perpetual Futures. These assets have been available for spot trading for a few months now, and Synthetix is excited to allow traders access to leveraged perpetual futures in these markets."
"GOLD, SILVER, and EUR will be the first supported commodities and forex markets available for leverage trading through Synthetix Perpetual Futures. There is nowhere else in DeFi where you can trade Gold and Silver futures fully on-chain. Synthetix is the first on-chain protocol to support these exotic markets."
"An automated keeper was developed to automatically open and close GOLD, SILVER, and EUR markets when real-world markets open and close. Due to this development, there will be no manual intervention needed from engineers to open and close these markets."
To read further details visit their blog (sythetix dot blog dot io) or visit their Kwenta platform to check it out live.
Closing thoughts: To me, these are tremendous strides forward and takes SNX to another level. The token is scarce, the platform requires its utility, further enhancing value. And the project is beginning to blossom into full maturity. I know I am biased, but I will say it again... I predict new ATH (all-time highs) by 2023... beyond $30, perhaps $50 to $100 range. My free predictions are always worth every penny. --Garry
SNX What do I see?Full disclosure: I am long SNX with a current holding of 3,035 tokens held on the Celsius Network. I am currently grandfathered in and still earning 14.05% APY despite the recent SEC ruling inhibiting non-accredited US investors (like me) from earning interest. Damn those big government bureaucracies. On to what I am focusing on with today's SNX chart.
SNX is currently making new higher lows and higher highs. That makes for a favorable uptrend. It is also creating a narrowing wedge which could see a breakout...hopefully also to the upside. It now appears that we put in a clearly defined bottom as witnessed by the bowl shape. This has all the earmarks of a growing uptrend. And when we look at the Keltner Channels, today's pullback actually keeps us safely in the upper bullish channel or band of the KC without overstepping above it where a more serious correction becomes more likely. This all looks very healthy and bullish to me.
Outlook: Until I see SNX hit and break across the upper line somewhere in the $8-plus range, I won't be comfortable saying this is the bull we are looking for. Again, fingers crossed. Long-term price action prediction? A new ATH (All-time high) by 2023. Of course, predictions are free and worth every penny. -- Garry
SNX Looking quite bullishFull disclosure: I am long SNX with a current holding of 3,035 tokens held on the Celsius Network. I am grandfathered in and still earning 14.05% APY despite the recent SEC ruling inhibiting non-accredited investors (like me) from earning interest. Always screwing the little gals & guys in the name of "protecting us." Thank you, big government bureaucracies... for nothing. Anyway, on to today's look at SNX using the Keltner Channels...
SNX is mounting it's second day in the upper band of the KCs. This is a very good sign. If SNX can stay within this bullish channel and not overextend (outside of the Keltner Channels), we could ride this trend back toward its ATH (All Time Highs).
Outlook: Even though there should be little correlation between BTC, ETH, Technology Stocks, and Alt-Coins (including our SNX project/platform), it does currently exist. Even though these things will eventually become disjointed/disconnected in price-action as they should be, until then, if BTC takes a severe tumble, we can expect SNX to do so to the extreme. Conversely, if BTC continues to plod upward, we can expect extremely bullish price-action in SNX. Fingers crossed for the extremely bullish action. ;)
--Garry
SNX May be breaking to the bullish side of the Keltner ChannelFull disclosure: I am long SNX with a current holding of 3,035 tokens held on the Celsius Network. I am grandfathered in and still earning 14.05% APY despite the recent SEC ruling inhibiting non-accredited investors (like me) from earning interest. Always screwing the little gals & guys in the name of "protecting us." Thank you, big government bureaucracies... for nothing. Anyway...
It looks like SNX is trying to break into the "bullish" side of the Keltner Channel (See yellow circle). If SNX can maintain in the upper band, this will be a very strong signal of future bullish price-action. --Garry
2's 10's INVERSION - THE TRUTH😲 2's 10's INVERSIO N😲
A journalist's favourite recession indicator, the “2’s 10’s curve” inverted earlier this month… As the story goes, 𝙩𝙝𝙞𝙨 𝙡𝙚𝙖𝙙𝙨 𝙩𝙤 𝙖 𝙧𝙚𝙘𝙚𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙤𝙣 within 12-24months 😲
👉 But this time… it’s different 😅
Here’s the chart -> (FRED-FRED:T10Y2Y)
To clarify, I’m not saying there won’t be a recession, or NSDQ100 crash, in fact it’s a real possibility. But the 2’s 10’s chart is not a good indicator to rely on.
WHAT IS THE YEILD CURVE ⤴
The yield curve is just a curve plotted on a graph of the interest paid on debt.
The X-axis being the duration of the debt (e.g. a 2yr loan and 3yr loan etc.) and the Y-axis being the interest (e.g. 1%, 2%, 3% etc.).
2️⃣ - 2’s is shorthand for the 2 year US Treasury Note (a 2 year loan to the US gov.)
🔟 - 10’s is shorthand for the 10 year US Treasury Note.
🤔 HOW STRANGE
It’s an odd phenomenon that a shorter term loan could pay higher interest than a longer term loan - because why would someone want to lend money for a longer time at a lower interest rate 🤷
But this - otherwise accurate signal for a recession - is no longer credible as a market indicator.
Currently the yield curve is (heavily) distorted, with central banks around the world purchasing their own bonds (treasury notes). On top of that the FED has clearly stated they expect the funding rate to get to about 3% in 2023 - but expects a long term rate of 2.5%. So the FED is indicating intentional inversion.
It’s possible the yield curve could continue flattening or inverting, further fuelling these “recession imminent” articles. It's good to remember a small inversion is not a concern in this case.
There are clear signals of what will trigger a recession, I'll cover those in a future post. (remember to add me to a Watchlist to be notified)
HOW COULD YOU TRADE THIS
You could short the SHY and go long IEF or TLT to take advantage of the curve normalising over time.
In fact, from here, the IEF looks good even without the $SHY short position (saving fees and keeping capital free)
OIL Hello everybody.
In my previous analysis i
was talking about inflation.
Gold, Silver and oil are showing
some bullish action
i expect downward pressure for the dollar
Since the world did not stop printing and prices
for goods are rising fast.
-NO FA
-Do your own research
-Share like and suscribe
Bullish Gartley on the TLT Visible On Weekly TimeframeI'v been tacking this Gartley for a while now and eager to post it but opted to wait until it got closer to the PCZ before i posted and now we are pretty much here; This could signal the end of Rising Treasury Yields and the beginning of a Recovery Period within Equities and Securities. I will be taking profit on my Yearly TLT PUTs and buying some Yearly CALLs next week.
LUNA/USD Weekly TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Weekly neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 35% LUNA, 65%% cash. Price is currently testing $87.51 minor support (breaking down below at $85). Volume remains very low and will make it two consecutive weeks of selling if it closes in the red this week. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $51, this leaves a lot of room for Price to fall and still not flip the SAR bearish . RSI is currently testing the uptrend line from November 2019 at 56. Stochastic is currently in the process of crossing over bearish at 58, just below 66.26 resistance. MACD remains bullish and is trending down at 13 after forming a peak at 14.09 minor resistance; if it crosses below 12 it would be a bearish crossover. ADX is trending sideways at 41 as Price is falling, this is neutral. If Price is able to establish support at $87.51, the next likely target is a test of $98-$105 before reassessment. However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest $74.60. One condition to pay attention to is Price and its relationship with both the Daily and Weekly MACD , if Price were to break below $78 on the Daily, MACD would likely lose -0.12 support and test -2.43 minor support; if this were to happen it would likely plunge the weekly MACD from 13 to 12, causing a bearish crossover; this would potentially take Price down to between $57.15 and $74.60 in the short to medium term. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $100.
**Occasional fundamental analysis on my Twatter**
Yield is overbought AND at a resistance level?What will happen IF it gets rejected and falls back?
Investopedia (below)
"How Growth and the Stock Market Influence Bond Yields
During periods of economic expansion, bond prices and the stock market move in opposite directions because they are competing for capital. Selling in the stock market leads to higher bond prices and lower yields as money moves into the bond market.
Stock market rallies tend to raise yields as money moves from the relative safety of the bond market to riskier stocks. When optimism about the economy increases, investors transfer funds into the stock market because it benefits more from economic growth."
Source: www.investopedia.com
This makes me question about: Where is the cash going? bond lower, stocks lower, crypto lower...
Is it that the cash is just being moved? and what if it is being moved OUT of bonds (and so making the Yield higher) to .... where (and when)?
Oh, and do you see any higher highs in this chart? because we will see one if the yield is strong enough to BROKE the MA200.