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ES (SPX500) Short-Term Bullish Expectation/AnalysisThis expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I don't just execute based on these levels, I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes: - Smart Money Concepts - Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure - Supply And Demand - Auction Theory - Volume Analysis - Footprint - Market Profile - Volume Profile - WYCKOFF - ETC
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by SmartMoneySource
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 24 WEEKYM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 24 WEEK Discretionary trade at the 34275 rejection yielded 350pts. With price failing to reach previous supply level 34605, could market be indicating that demand at higher levels have been exhausted? If so, we may be looking at further distribution (i.e. selling) Possible scenarios: 1) With weakness observed, wait to short at rejection at 34605 // 34275 2) Possibility of rotation between 33670 - 34275 = trade at boundary of range Volume Analysis: Daily: Possibility of buying climax. Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 34275 33670 32681 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead. CBOT_MINI:YM1!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
Five Waves Elliott Wave Structure in Dow Futures (YM)Cycle from 12.13.2022 high in Dow Futures (YM) shows a 5 swing sequence favoring follow up to the downside. Structure of the move lower from 12.13.2022 high is unfolding as a 5 waves diagonal Elliott Wave structure. Down from 12.13.2022 high, wave 1 ended at 32686 and rally in wave 2 ended at 34551. Dow Futures extends lower in wave 3 towards 32527 and wave 4 rally ended at 33590. Internal subdivision of wave 4 unfolded as an expanded flat. Up from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 33211 and wave ((b)) pullback ended at 32527. Index then resumes higher in wave ((c)) with internal subdivision as 5 waves. Up from wave ((b)), wave (i) ended at 32785 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 32580. Index then resumes higher in wave (iii) towards 33470, and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 33359. Final leg wave (v) ended at 33587 which completed wave ((c)) of 4 in higher degree. The Index has turned lower in wave 5 with internal subdivision as an impulse. Down from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 32626 and wave ((ii)) rally ended at 33002. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 32190 and wave ((iv)) rally ended at 32534. Near term, as far as pivot at 33587 stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
dowjones 4 hour say = above low,looking for buy when you see pinbar on 15-60-2240-1440min chart ,pick buy and put SL in pinbar low,uunderstand? hold your buys minimum to fibo 50% (dont close soon) if you have old buy ,dont fear ,dow will back to high ,but put hedge sellstop in low ok? (if it open,never close it in low ,even in 10.000$ profit(ca go downer and margincall you ),wait dow goes down and back ,up trend apear,then close sell,then on high close buys) alert= dow will go to 35800 ,be carefull from sell 100% put sl good luck
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by ramin_trader2006
The Three ICT Trades on YM on the 28th Feb 2023 [PART 1]CBOT_MINI:YM1! In this video I explain exactly how you would trade one of the three trades that you could have traded today on YM using ICT concepts taught in his Mentorship 2022 and Mentorship 2033. I am by no means an expert or even a long term profitable trader. I am quite a bit of a gambler but I am working and studying ICT full time. It works and it helped me pass challenges, etc, etc. I am not here to try to convince you, but to share my analysis and also improve my own understanding of it. THIS IS PART 1. THE LONDON LONG. THERE IS ALSO A NY OPEN SHORT and NY REVERSAL TRADES!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by UnknownUnicorn35666118
SPY Daily Modeling turns BEARISH (RISK-OFF). PAY ATTENTIONMy advanced modeling and TV scripts recently turned BEARISH on the Daily SPY. This means the markets have moved into a RISK-OFF mode - likely preparing for additional downside trending. While the Weekly modeling continues to stay BULLISH, I'm writing this update to warn my followers that both the Rotational Modeling and the TT-3MACD strategies have turned BEARISH on the SPY. My US real Estate Modeling shows an incredible bout of price weakness, seller desperation, and broad SHOCK taking place for US Real Estate. This combined Real Estate and US stock market shock could lead to an incredible downside price trend if a credit/banking collapse unfolds (much like 2008-09). You have been warned. Follow my research. Move a good chunk of your capital away from risks. This is now a much more violent market event that could unfold in the near future. The Fed MUST address the extended price collapse that is currently gripping the US/Global markets. Things could turn UGLY very quickly if finance/banking/credit seizes up. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
MENT SPY DayTrader Page Update (2-22-23)I've been working on the TT-3MACD PineScript update for about 4+ days. It seems every time I make a breakthrough, there is more to attempt to build into it. PineScipt seems pretty cool so far. Documentation is great - but it is a process of learning how the engine processes things. My goal is to build a TEACHABLE solution for my followers - allowing them to make their own decisions based on my research and other strategies. Ideally - it is about teaching others when and how to trust their own intuitions. This video update shows you the FOUR components of my strategy so far: - The TT-3MACD Strategy (including entries/targets/reversals) - Running on a Heiken-Ashi chart - The Standard Candlestick chart - running the Linear Regression tool - The 3D Wave indicator - The Donchian Ribbon Indicator. Using these in combination with Fibonacci price theory (Higher Highs/Lows in an UPTREND - Lower Highs/Lows in a DOWNTREND) - should be just about everything any SPY Daytrader could want to learn to get started. It really is THIS SIMPLE. The only other thing you need to learn is position sizing techniques. In other words, when to be more aggressive and when to be patient (trading smaller position sizes). Follow my research and let's see if we can get all of my followers into a better place to start profiting from SPY price swings. I will post another update/video when I publish the MENT TT-3MACD strategy for all to use.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
The opposite Side Of A Wave-5 Rally - Plan BI received a question from someone watching my videos/research. The question was, "what is the downside risk for the markets if my bullish resolution fails". So, I created this video. This explains why the downside risks appear to be less than 35% right now compared to a 65% to 75% upside price resolution. Still, using Elliot Wave, we can't be 100% confident in the true future of price structure or wave structure. All we can rely upon is Fibonacci Price Theory which tells us if price is currently Bullish or Bearish. Right now, on this weekly chart, Fibonacci Price Theory suggests a bullish price trend is in place and recent Unique Low levels are the final defense of support (near $348). Follow along to better understand how I see/use Fibonacci Price Theory in all of my research as a method of letting price tell me what to expect in the future. The one other thing I would like to add is all previous market collapse events have aligned with cataclysmic economic events (9/11, Global Banking Crisis, Foreign Economic Crisis, Isolated Credit Risks). Without some cataclysmic economic event happening, it is very unlikely that US markets would contract extensively without some impulse event. So keep that in mind as we move forward. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
SPY Cycle Patterns: Resolving volatility into March 2023This example video will help you understand how I use my predictive SPY Cycle Patterns in combination with traditional TA (Fibonacci and others) to prepare/plan for GAPS, trends, and opportunities for trading through the week. I'm a strong believer that you don't need to trade every minor trend. Taking 2~4 good trades a week across one or two symbols is all that is required to be able to generate 50% to 100% profit every week (using options). Just last week one of my friends used my SPY Cycle Patterns (and his own skills) to make over 700% ROI. It does happen. Watch this video. Next week will be very volatile in my opinion. Once we clear the upper resistance level, we should continue to trend up to $435 or higher. The burst of volatility will likely make for great trade setups - if you know what you are doing. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY Example Setup For DaytradersHere is an example dual-chart setup for SPY daytraders. I set this up to help my followers understand how to perceive price action as we attempt to transition through the $405 SPY Support level. If my analysis is correct, we'll see a fairly strong reversion (upside) price trend as long as the $404~405 level holds. This chart includes a number of TradingView PUBLIC SCRIPTS and a dual-chart layout. Both Heiken-Ashi and traditional Candlestick charts are used. Learn to better TIME/ENTER your trades and learn to use price structure/Fibonacci retracements to develop target levels. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
1
2/16 SPY Cycle Patterns, Fib, Flagging - Volatility into a RALLYAre you following my SPY Cycle Patterns yet? If not, here is a list of the SPY Cycle Patterns for this week and beyond... 2/6/2023 2/7/2023 Inside-Breakaway 2/8/2023 Harami-Inside 2/9/2023 CRUSH 2/10/2023 GAP Potential 2/11/2023 GAP Potential 2/12/2023 GAP-Reversal 2/13/2023 Rotation 2/14/2023 Top/Resistance21 2/15/2023 Consol-210 2/16/2023 Inside-Breakaway 2/17/2023 Break-Away 2/18/2023 Carryover 2/19/2023 CRUSH 2/20/2023 Flat-Down 2/21/2023 POP 2/22/2023 2/23/2023 BaseRally301 2/24/2023 Harami-Inside 2/25/2023 CRUSH 2/26/2023 Bottom-004 Why are these so important? Because these SPY Cycle patterns help you understand how to trade intraday price swings and what to expect every day - going out weeks and months in advance of today's trading activity. See the "BaseRally301" on 2/23 - that means the SPY should attempt to setup a base/bottom within the 48 hours spanning 2/23. See the 2/25 CRUSH leading to the 2/26 BOTTOM - that means the SPY may be extremely volatile while attempting to setup/confirm the 2/23 bottom Today and tomorrow are calling for an Inside-Breakaway & a Breakaway. My research suggests we may see a broader downside price trend establishing a Wave-D Flagging setup (near $405) in the SPY before we move into the Rally/Bottom phase near 2/23. Watch my video and learn how you can use my research to become a better intraday/swing trader.
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
1
Stay cautious of a PEAK/TOP in the markets today.My SPY Cycle Patterns suggest the markets will establish a PEAK/TOP today - then trend downward. I created this video to help my followers stay aware of the short-term nature of price in a reactionary price trend - like today. If you are chasing this rally, stay very cautious of risks related to my SPY cycle patterns. Overall, I expect the markets to peak, stall, then trend downward over the next 48 hours. Take quick trades with targeted profit targets. This is not a friendly market uptrend in my opinion. I believe the $408 level is a likely downside price target for the SPY by Thursday. Follow my research
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
4
Using Fibonacci Price Theory To PROTECT Your TradesProtecting Your Trades With Fibonacci Price Theory. Learn to understand the BELTLINE range (50%) and why it is so important for structuring your trades for profit. Not all trades will be successful - plan for FAILURE. Planning for FAILURE = Long-Term SUCCESS. Follow my research. The rabbit-hole of knowledge I've amassed over the past 25+ years is deep. I could go on and on about different strategies, theories, concepts, and indicators. What I've learned is... KISS - Keep It Simple Stupid! _ The IDIOT SYSTEM is often the best for new traders. _ Use Multi-timeframes to confirm price trend/direction. _ Use PRICE STRUCTURE as the core of all of your research. Hope these help everyone out. Pay Attention.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
Part 2 - Fibonacci Price Theory on SPY 60 Min (Deeper we go)After 25+ years of research, study, and application of some of the most incredible trading strategies - I'm sharing one of the MOST IMPORTANT structural price theories with all of you... The Fibonacci Price Theory. The primary rule of the Fibonacci Price Theory is: Price is ALWAYS seeking NEW HIGHS or NEW LOWS. Price is never NOT attempting to reach NEW HIGHS or NEW LOWS. Let that sink in for a minute. If you knew price was always attempting to establish a trend, or continue a trend.. how would that change your trading/investing tactics? What if I showed you how I use Fibonacci Price Theory? And how YOU can use it to further your own trading skills? Here you go, A 60 minute SPY chart where I'm applying the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory to the current market price rally. If you've ever wanted to learn the TRUE CONSTRUCT of price - this is it. All other technical analysis techniques (Elliot Wave, Indicators, & others) are constructed from PRICE. Price is the Ultimate Indicator. Pay attention and follow my research.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
Learning Fibonacci Price Theory - MUST WATCHEven though I got cut off after about 25 minutes, I'm sharing this with all of you to teach you how to use one fo the most important PRICE STRUCTURE features for any chart Fibonacci Price Theory. The consensus of all TA is that PRICE tells us everything. Fibonacci Price Theory is the REAL DEAL. Use it on a 1 minute, 5 minute, 60 minute, or Daily - ANY TIME-FRAME Use it in conjunction with other TA/Indicators. Use it with Elliot Wave analysis. USE IT. My experience is that all indicators/theories/strategies have strengths/weaknesses. If you are not aware of them (yet) - pay attention. Follow my research and I'll continue to try to share tidbits of advanced TA/Fibonacci with you. I created this to help my followers/friends learn one of the most critical price structure components of my own research. I see all price charts in the manner I've illustrated in this video. After more than 15 years of applied Fibonacci Price Theory/Structure - I can't help but NOT see price as "Fibonacci Fractals". Hope this helps.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY Measure Move (Pause) Video Update - Rally To $421 PendingHere is a video update for my followers. This video is in support of the recent SPY updates I've shared over the past few days. Follow my research. Learn how my analysis skills can help you prepare for the biggest price swings. These are not the same markets as 2008 & 2000. Learn to adapt to price trends and become a better trader. I'm trying to teach you to use the techniques I've learned over the past 25+ years to hone your own decision-making skills. Pay attention.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY Update (60 Min) - Rally Day Pause ExpectedEven though my SPY Cycle Patterns suggest today is a RALLY day, I see the SPY has extended to an upper resistance channel (near $414.80) and may pause/slide sideways/downward a bit today. I do expect support near $412.30 to act as a floor for any contraction. I would expect the SPY to hold above $412.30 and attempt to rally higher IF this price level is tagged today. Overall, if we see a rally above $415 today - the SPY will likely extend the rally phase. Possibly target $421 to $427. The Fed unleashed a wave of RALLY (Risk-On) for many investors. My advice - play this move safely right now. Although it looks very promising, I still believe 2023 will stay very congested until Q3:2023. Then, we may see a moderate MELT-UP extend to new all-time highs again. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny