YM1!
YM and ES Harmonic ShortBearish Harmonic Shark pattern completing in the same area as a Bearish Harmonic AB=CD on the daily time frame. This is combined with an intraday Bearish Harmonic Crab completing in the same vicinity. Outside of harmonic patterns, I believe that this will mark the completion of minute b of minor 4 in Elliott Wave speak. Looking to short on the next rally to near the 21150 level.
/ES is in a daily Bearish Harmonic Butterfly pattern (tho technically speaking it is not valid because the B retracement is only .707, it could theoretically extend to a crab at 2450), daily Bearish AB=CD, and an intraday Bearish Harmonic Crab pattern itself. /NQ completed an intraday Bearish Bat this morning and looks to be attempting to hit resistance one more time with the rest of the major indices.
Futures are trading at a discount to spot, negative divergences on a daily and weekly timeframe in the major indices, and many other signs pointing to this being a short-term top in the market.
Going to enter the first leg once the YM target of 21150 is hit or the market is close and seems unable to eclipse it. Expecting a high volume late day reversal. Has not been one in months either up or down, and price, along with online sentiment, agree that this is a strong possibility today. Would theoretically add a second leg if this occurred and possibly scale down or exit the short position if the markets continue rallying.
YM1! @ 1h @ will bulls defend 19660 before trump start friday ?Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards :)
Aaron
YM1! & DXY @ Weekly @ "operating under cloud of uncertainty""it`s been a long time as we`re coming" & "theres no turning back now ..."
(www.youtube.com) as the blues - under the clintons (with their fake code red policy) takin over the US - after the cold war! By the way, paint it on the wall , if u don`t wanna buying it ;) After Bush junior and Obama, meanwhile Trump will be right red president, with the best result since years !!! More isn`t possible, hardly !!! The takin` over spoils my imagination (www.youtube.com) also :flushed: ...
How ever, enough (true red or even fake blue) raps - let me show you a few calculations :P
DXY raised just less than 3% & the YM1! just less 8% - last two years! Form this point of view (bigger picture - even takin over of the republicans while the midterm elections and last president elections) we can`t talk from a rally! It`s much more somthing like a come out from the blue water under Obama & this all Anti WalLStreet Movement (under Sanders). If the republicans (under Trump) the market not disappointed - lower taxes, better jobs & more fiscal stimulus - and the fed (under Yellen) don`raise the rates to fast 2017, the market is starting to anticipating and prisíng this (future) in. "No trace of euphoria - Rather, relief that we`re in power back again. And this more powerfull as we all were able to imagine!" But let`s leave that left behind, that topic we already had ;)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a big picture analysis - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
YM1! @ 30 min @ give him time until Christmas (until evening)basic upside trend is still intact - and runs around 19500 (today) and even around currently prices around 19838 (while 23rd december`16). How ever much more important is the 19810 price are, in my opinion! `Cause this price was the low before yesterdays fed rate hike. And from this point of view, technicly bulls need to defeat this price areafirstly, to get accumulate more bulls for higher prices.
The targets are clear:
19900 last alltime high (tuesday)
19911 alltime high (1st reaction - while fed rate hike releases)
19930 target of lows (before and while fed decission yesterday)
20140 high & low projection while yesterdays fomc press conference
But as i am trying to say: "give him time until Christmas"
- it`s not forbidden to buy lows tomorrow or even next week :)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a analysis (for swing traders) - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
YM1! @ 1h @ in front, while & after FOMC press conferencelet me first clarify: "i got cold feets traders - & closed my both long positions in AXP & GS"! I am thinking that we will can buying both shares a little bit cheaper, in the next few days :shades: ...
In the YM1! i am still long, not only `cause the sentiment is by far not so euphoric even like in the banks & financials. And by the way the chart is also looking much better! Not so fast and furios - and much more constructive! I`ve made the effort, that everybody understands what i mean - and why i am slightly optimistic - not sensitive - still restrained (kosher) bullish :)
As long the consolditaion Box holds between 19605 & 19431 Points i don`t see any reason the get in panic about the future - in the YM1! - in the US Major Equities - in the US Blue Chip shares.
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron