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YM1

DOW JONES Repeating the July bullish fractal. Still time to buy!It was just 10 days ago when we made a case for a medium-term buy on the Dow Jones index (DJI), against popular belief, as we had early signs that the index made a June 17 type bottom and was about to repeat the June-Aug rebound: Our view has been confirmed so far and following the 1D RSI break above the Lower Highs and the 1D MACD Bullish Cross, the price quickly has come a few clicks away from the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). Today's analysis is on the 4H time-frame, in order to get a more detailed look on the short-term. We see that Dow Jones has already broken above both the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which is supporting currently. Based on the 1D RSI it seems that we are still in the early stages of this uptrend to a Lower High (at least). The 4H Golden Cross (MA50 above MA200) hasn't formed yet and in order to get a better understanding of Dow's analogous position compared to July, I've plotted the June-July sequence on today's price action (black line). As you see, based on that, the 1D MA50 break should come by next week's end (the earliest), though of course this isn't absolute as even though similar, the current price action hasn't followed the exact pattern of June-July. Above the 1D MA50, the next volatility zone should be within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, making way for the rejection zone (and the medium-term target) within the 1D MA200 (grey trend-line) and the 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
U
by TradingShot
4
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17 Support at 28886 long was fruitful. Market is in rotation of 1800pts. Next target should be toward bottom of rotation range 28635. Possible scenarios: 1) Rotation play = trades to be taken at boundary of range. 2) Signs of breakout = look for higher lows / market loitering near -> breakout of zone, --> test and accept of breakout = long 3) Signs of breakdown = look for lower highs / market loitering near bottom of range --> breakdown of range --> Short on test and reject of breakdown Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 32789 31793 31385 30513 28732 29639 29315 27741 26876 26212 Weekly: High vol up bar close off high toward middle = undecisive Daily: Ave vol down bar close off at low = minor supply H4: Very high vol down bar close at low = demand present Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 10/17The indices had a rather wild week, the technicals are approaching being oversold. A bounce from here would not be unexpected as there is some consolidation occurring as price is currently hovering around the June low's area. I'd like to see the market cycle back to an area of being overbought and finding a low risk confirmed area to short from. At this time I'm looking for thing's to setup again for a desirable entry. I've adjusted support and resistance structures accordingly.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
DOW JONES RSI and MACD patterns hint to a June-Aug like rebound.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has been highly volatile today following a two day selling sequence on last week's closing. Following the NFP on Friday, the market is entering the anticipation mode over this week's CPI report, which is crucial on the Fed's rate policy. Amidst this high volatility we have spotted a recurring pattern, which has been previously bullish on the medium-term during this year's Bear Market. As you see, every time the MACD formed a Bullish Cross while the RSI (both on the 1D time-frame) bounced on its Oversold Zone and made a Lower High, Dow formed a temporary Low and started a 2-month rebound. During the June - August rebound, the index reached as High as the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before getting heavily rejected on the 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line). As a result, as long as last week's Support holds, we are expecting a medium-term rebound towards at least the upper Fib levels and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Short-term traders can target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Remember this doesn't constitute a long-term trend change, which remains bearish. In order to see the sentiment reverse to bullish, we should see at least a closing above the 1D MA300. A closing below last week's Support, should invalidate the medium-term pattern and instead extend the selling all the way to this Bear Market's Lower Lows trend-line at least. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
ULong
by TradingShot
3
/ym #Technical analysis/ym trading at the monthly support zone. support zone - 28700,27450,25247 resistance - 29700, 31800 Because of fed interest rate hike decision the market behaves choppy and neutral bear market. should be more cautious for daily trading, whereas buy the dip opportunity for long-term investment good returns over time. This week trend may reverse from here for retracement. Short the rip for Traders. Fomc minutes and cpi data this week lots of volatility. Happy Trading!!!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by sk-investopedia
YM1! US30USD DOW 2022 OCT 03 US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 03 Dow Scenario2 breakdown yielded 700pts for last week. congrats to those who shorted. Possible scenarios: 1) Short on rejection of trendline // 29639 // 28886 2) Prepare to long if round bottom is observed and market retraces during an upward move and finds support. 3) Market rotates, then find trades at edge of rotation zone. (Yellow box) Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 32789 31793 31385 31042 30636 30202 29639 29315 Weekly: Higher vol & narrower spread down bar, close off low = minor demand (ave vol on bar itself) = demand coming in Daily: Ave vol down bar close off low = No Supply H4: Vol showed buying on the downtrend. Coupled with possible SPRING setup Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
DOW JONES Oversold but that alone not enough for a buy------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)broke and closed last week below its 1W MA200 (red trend-line), for the first time since the week of May 11 2020, a very bearish sign on its own. Based on what the index did on May 09 2022 after breaking the previou Support (Double Bottom), the price now targets the -0.236 and -0.5 Fibonacci extensions on the medium-term. Being however oversold with the 1D RSI hitting 24.85 yesterday for the first time since the COVID crash (March 12 2020), there is an equal probability of a short-term rebound or even a medium-term one if this is a temporary bottom like June 17. With signals on the higher and lower time-frames being mixed, the oversold RSI state isn't enough on its own to take the buy. It would be best to do so after a confirmation pattern. The two strongest confirmation signals at the moment are: 1) When the 1D MACD makes a Bullish Cross, which since December 07 2021 always delivered a short-term rally. 2) A closing above the 0.618 Fibonacci level (now at 31357). If you take those buys, you will have some ground behind them. Otherwise the are within the 0.618 and yesterday's lows gives a mixed sentiment. Below yesterday's lows, most likely we will see further strong selling, initially targeting the -0.236, as mentioned, at 28230. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
U
by TradingShot
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 25 Week US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 25 Week Dow gave out presents last week with a good short opportunity. Broadening downward wedge = demand returning. Watch 29639 = CRITICAL SUPPORT. Possible scenarios: 1) Long if 29639 / lower trend line support holds 2) Short if price breaks down 29639 on high volume and returns to test on lower volume. 3) Short on rejection of upper trend line // 30636 4) Bullish break out of wedge: Long on test and accept of breakout Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 32789 31793 31385 31042 30636 30202 29639 29315 Weekly: Higher vol & narrower spread down bar, close off low = minor demand (ave vol on bar itself) = demand coming in Daily: Ave vol down bar close off low = No Supply H4: Vol showed buying on the downtrend. Coupled with possible SPRING setup Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
DOW JONES The dominant short-term Channel. What it shows next.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is currently pulling-back as yesterday's rebound has failed so far to break the Channel's median. That is the Channel Down, the dominant pattern, that the index has been trading in since the August 16 High. As you see that middle trend-line has been holding a key role within this pattern. The current price action resembles the accumulation mini phase of September 02 - 07, where the price was supported on a Lower Lows line that eventually pushed it above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Channel's middle, to rise to the top of the Channel, eventually getting rejected on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). With the 4H MACD on a Bullish Cross, we are expecting Dow to reach 31700 and make a new Lower High within the Channel Down within a 1 week horizon. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
3
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 19 Week US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 19 Week After trapping longs, market declined aggressively. Temporary demand on average volume has returned, which could be a way of absorbing any long positions still present in the market. Possible scenarios: 1) Long if 30406 / 30636 is supported 2) Short on rejection of 31385 / 31042 / trend channel rejection Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 32789 31793 31385 31042 30636 30406 Weekly: Higher vol & wider spread than previous bar, close off low (ave vol on bar itself) = demand coming in Daily: Ave vol down bar close toward high = Demand overcoming supply H3: Ultra high vol bar + ave vol up bars = Demand has returned Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677