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Elliott Wave View: Dow Jones Future YM_F Rally Should FailShort term Elliott Wave view on Dow Jones Future (YM_F) calls for the bounce to 25952 as wave (B). This move higher is a correction to the decline from April 24, 2019 peak.
In order to avoid a double correction in wave (B) and provide validity to this view, Dow Jones Future needs to break below wave ((i)) at 25215. However, technical analysis on US Sectors such as Financial (XLF), Technology (XLK), Consumer Discretionary (XLY) suggest they have broken lower. Thus, we think it’s likely that Dow Jones Futures also extends lower.
Therefore, we don’t like buying the Index and expect sellers to appear in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 25952 peak stays intact.
VWAP, Volume profile and pivots combined for day tradingAs annotated on the chart, weekly pivots combined with volume profile and VWAP bands can give high % entries.
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On responsive days, VWAP bands give accurate points of entry for a move back to the current VWAP or POC.
Be wise to the the of day that is developing, and use the appropriate strategy. For example on trend days do not play for responsive moves as you'll get run over. Neutral/balancing/normal days buy or sell out of value for a return to value using VWAP and pivots as a guide. Stops should be placed above or below pivots or the next VWAP band (2.5 or 3 SD).
For further accuracy use the bigger picture- market and volume profile of the last few days.
VWAP and volume profile combined with pivots for day tradingAs annotated on the chart, weekly pivots combined with volume profile and VWAP bands can give high % entries.
On responsive days, VWAP bands give accurate points of entry for a move back to the current VWAP or POC.
Be wise to the the of day that is developing, and use the appropriate strategy. For example on trend days do not play for responsive moves as you'll get run over. Neutral/balancing/normal days buy or sell out of value for a return to value using VWAP and pivots as a guide. Stops should be placed above or below pivots or the next VWAP band (2.5 or 3 SD).
For further accuracy use the bigger picture- market and volume profile of the last few days.
Dow Jones - Risk-Off Dissipates but Downtrend IntactThe Fed's dovish shift in 2019 that pushed prices higher has been overshadowed by ramped up tension on the global trade front. This should continue to be a drag on investor sentiment until other factors prevail.
Our bias remains down on the Dow, as highlighted by the 55 SMA Slope and the fact we have not yet broken key resistance areas.
It will be tricky today. Consider adding on continuation shorts intraday with caution.
Dow Jones - Downtrend Intact, Consider AddingDow Jones is the weakest US index.
Trend is down as highlighted by the key daily level break and the 55 SMA Slope.
Everyhing hinges on US/China trade talks so we would wait until the US Cash Open
before trading and would prefer a continuation break on bad news.
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No reason to be short YM/DJIWe are in the 8th green week in a row. Price up on all timeframes. This week was the first time we opened close to the weekly pivot and dropped below for a few hours. However it quickly recovered above and is now past WR1 again. We are above the yearly and monthly pivot. Until the markets open or drop below the WP and hold there, there is no reason to be short.
Volume profile has a positive skew and is building value higher. Currently sat near POC, look for it to continue quickly to the next node at 26000 if it isn't rejected here.
DOW JONES THE ULTIMATE BONESYM1! looks like it has plenty of fuel left in its TANK.
DOW JONES
Untested levels lie above and below
You can have pending orders in either direction
With this information, do what you will
But always remember execution is everything
Pretty charts don't equal profits, so always remember to take proper risk adjusted setups
:)