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YM1

DOW JONES Neutral. Waiting for break out levels to trade.Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Down with the price currently contained within the MA50 and MA200 (1d). A similar pattern in late December 2022 broke to the upside but be prepared to trade either direction based on the break-out that will prevail. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the price closes over the MA50 (1d). 2. Sell if it closes under Support (1). Targets: 1. 34350 (under Resistance 1). 2. 31750 (Support 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) strengthens the view that the current price action is similar to December's. If it breaks over the MA trend line and rebounds on it (like January 5th 2023), it could be an additional buy confirmation signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US30
by TradingBrokersView
18
DOW JONES Emerging Bullish Cross may take it higher.Dow Jones (DJI) has broken above the former long-term Channel Down, hitting our previous upside target (see idea below) and is now forming a new pattern: The new pattern is a Channel Up, which has been on a correction leg (blue channel down) since the 34270 High, similar to the one from December 01 to January 05. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is supporting a loose Triangle pattern (dashed trend-lines), which above it targets Resistance 1. Our target is slightly lower at 34250. The critical factor is on the 1D MACD, which is close to forming a Bullish Cross. Every MACD Bullish Cross under 0 in 2023 has been a major Buy Signal, and interestingly enough both have been formed while the price was consolidating within a Triangle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
ULong
by TradingShot
1
DOW JONES Short term rise very likelyDow Jones is finding support on the 1day MA50, forming a Triangle pattern. The same pattern during the late December 2022 consolidation, broke upwards and reached the previous High. Up to this point, even the 1day RSI structures since the Falling Supports are very much alike. As long as Support A holds, buy and target 34200. If it crosses under the 1day MA200, sell and target 31700. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
U
by TheCryptagon
20
DOW JONES Big Buy signal if it holds the 1D MA50Dow Jones (DJIA) has gone a long way since the efficient buy signal we gave exactly 2 months ago: The index is right now testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has closed 3 straight 1D candles above it and 4 since May 04. Since it broke below the Channel Up, going to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 32800 is possible but not as long as it keeps closing above the 1D MA50, which has been established as the short-term Support. Instead, as long as it does, we are bullish and targeting 34250. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
U
by TradingShot
2
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 15 May WeekCBOT_MINI:YM1! Last week's test and reject 33670 short yielded 270pts. Market approaching intermediate axis 32994. Possible scenario: 1) 32994 is supported and market returns into 33850-32994 range 2) 32994 becomes resisted and market head toward 31657/30513 Price Reaction Levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 33632 34275-34605 33850 32994-33195 31657 Price Volume Analysis: Daily & Weekly: Possible No Supply down bar close off low = strength Like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week. *For education purpose only.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
DOW JONES: Harmonic pattern calling for a buy. TP = 34,350.Dow Jones is on a minor 3 day pullback after a strong rebound that closed over the 1D MA50. The 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 48.264, MACD = 86.760, ADX = 23.509) and being on a Harmonic rise since March 20th Low, the 1D MA50 rebound is most likely the bullish wave to test yet again the R1 Zone. Unless S1 breaks, we are targeting the bottom of R1 (TP = 34,350). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ULong
by InvestingScope
11
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 MAY 08 WEEKCBOT_MINI:YM1! Test and reject of 34275 for first week of May: Entry: 34105 | Risk 100pts (reduced size) | Exit 33674 | Profit 430pts Now that YM has exited rotation, and tested boundary, we may see the likelihood of a rejection trade from 33670. Set your alarm there. Possible scenarios: 1) Test and reject of 33670 = short Volume Analysis: Daily: High volume breakdown from rotation, followed by lower vol up bar close off high = confirmation of supply overcoming demand H4: Lower vol up bar close off high = weakness Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 34275 33670 32681 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
DOW JONES Small pull-back possible but bullish long-termOne and a half month ago we gave the most optimal buy entry for Dow Jones (DJI) exactly at the bottom of its 4-month Channel Down: Right now the index is trading inside a shorter term Channel Up that is technically aiming at the 34900 Resistance, which is the December 13 2022 High, as part of its Higher Highs process. If however the 4H MACD currently completes a Bearish Cross, it is more likely to see one last pull-back below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (33600) before the next rally. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
U
by TradingShot
4
DOW JONES Potential Head & Shoulders and invalidation level.Almost a month ago we gave the most optimal buy entry for Dow Jones (DJI) exactly at the bottom of its 4-month Channel Down: Right now, we see an emerging Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a technical pattern typically formed on market tops. The key now is the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). A closing below it, will most likely accelerate the pull-back towards Support 1, in which case we will target 33330. A 4H candle close above 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) will be a bullish break-out signal and should invalidate the H&S pattern, targeting first Resistance 1 and Resistance 2 in extension, in which case our Target will be 34500. Note the the 4H RSI has been inside a Channel Down since April 04, thus a big Bearish Divergence when compared to the price's Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
U
by TradingShot
1
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 24 WEEKYM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 24 WEEK Discretionary trade at the 34275 rejection yielded 350pts. With price failing to reach previous supply level 34605, could market be indicating that demand at higher levels have been exhausted? If so, we may be looking at further distribution (i.e. selling) Possible scenarios: 1) With weakness observed, wait to short at rejection at 34605 // 34275 2) Possibility of rotation between 33670 - 34275 = trade at boundary of range Volume Analysis: Daily: Possibility of buying climax. Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 34275 33670 32681 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead. CBOT_MINI:YM1!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
DOW JONES: Two Channel Up patterns in progress.Dow Jones is mostly neutral on the 4H timeframe due to the slow price action of the past 10 days but remains bullish long term on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 64.809, MACD = 269.290, ADX = 67.751) as the Channel Up is intact following the Golden Cross. In fact, if the 4H MA50 continues to support (has been doing so for almost 1 month since March 24th), we see the potential for a new Channel Up to emerge as shown by the dashed lines. This can take the price straight to R3 (TP = 35,800). If the 4H MA50 fails to hold, we will sell short term to the 1D MA50/4H MA200 range (TP = 33,200) and then buy for a less aggressive target on R1 and the top of the March Channel Up (TP = 34,600). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ULong
by InvestingScope
3
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 17 WEEKCBOT_MINI:YM1! YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 17 WEEK Previous long scenario2 at 32595 // 33590 worked well. Potential weakness observed. Market now is approx. 500pts away from 34605. Possible scenarios: 1) Trade to be guided by channel 2) With weakness observed, wait to short at channel's supply line or rejection at 35228 // or 34605 previous rejection area Volume Analysis: Weekly: higher volume up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily: Higher vol mark up to close lower, and a close below middle of bar = potential weakness Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 33590 32595 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
DOW JONES has started a rally that will amaze mostDow Jones is currently on the 3rd straight green 1W (weekly) candle above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), testing the top of the 4-month Channel Down. We have previously seen almost the same pattern during the 2015-2016 correction (E.U./ China/ Oil crisis). A fake-out below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) initiated a rebound above the correction's Lower Highs trend-line and formed a Channel Down. This Channel Down in 2016 was nothing but a Bull Flag pattern which after another fake-out, this time below the 1W MA50, it rebounded and almost reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension with a final pull-back on Fib 0.786 that kick-started a very aggressive rally. Even the 1W RSI patterns match. Do you think that's the blue-print for Dow? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
3
What to watch in Q21. Any more bank failure? Bank crisis stabilized after UBS takeover Credit Suisse and First Republic Bank had been injected deposit to restore confidence. We can’t rule out any bank failure in Q2, especially the collapse of Lehman Brother was after the rescue of Bear Stearns. Having said that, the material different between now and the global financial crisis is the asset quality, that the subprime loan is basically at default while the long-term treasury and MBS many banks are holding now can recoup the floating loss if they can be held until maturity. Situation will improve with time. The drop of treasury yield because of risk aversion is also a self-cure mechanism that reduce the floating loss, and lower depositor’s incentive to move money out from banking system. Therefore, the level of Treasure yield is an important factor to determine whether a bank run might occur again, since higher yield means bigger deposit outflow to seek better yield return and a bigger loss of bank asset. The resurge of yield will worsen the sentiment and dampen confidence. Another good indictor is the size of emergency funding facilitates that Fed is providing to banks. If there is a sudden increase on the size, this could imply there might be another bank in trouble. 2. How lending be impacted after the bank crisis? Although Fed set the policy rate, it is the Bank to lend money in a rate they desire to the business and individual. In order to improve and avoid further deterioration of asset quality, Bank might take a more conversative approach in lending. The outflow of deposit also reduced Bank’s ability and willingness to lend. Since FDIC is asking Banks to pay the bill for saving SVC and Signature Bank, together with US government is seeking a tighter regulation for banking sector and many bank need to increase deposit rate to keep deposit, higher capital/operating cost might make Bank more selective and ask for higher lending rate to compensate the cost, that is not good for the whole economy. 3. Inflation trend? Even OPEC+ surprised the market by cutting production that boost price, Energy should still strongly pressure headline inflation downward in Q2, especially on a YOY basis. NYMEX WTI crude oil above $100 most of the time in Q2 2022 and reached $123. Compare to current energy price, there will be an obvious negative impact in headline inflation. The delayed effect of lower property price and rent should also drive the inflation lower. We have seen some signs of lower service inflation, and if banking crisis harm business confidence, we might see a less tight employment market and a less wages growth. Despite OPEC+ action might make thing a little bit complicated, we might still see some decent drop in inflation in Q2. 4. Fed to end hiking cycle after May’s meeting? May could be the last hike in this cycle. As mentioned, the inflation is cooling down and bank crisis will hurt the economy. Fed will also avoid hiking rate too much that will drive the Treasury yield up that might refuel the bank crisis. February Core PCE is trending lower, so as long as inflation doesn’t accelerate, a full stop of hiking cycle after May’s meeting will be a reasonable bet. 5. Recession possibility? Inverted yield curve and ISM survey pointed to recession. Q2 could be the turning point of economy growth and we might see some slowdown. Recession has become base case scenario to many investors and they will allocate their asset and conduct trading strategy accordingly. If inflation under control and GDP growth, probably in Q3, recorded a deeper-than-expected negative growth, Fed might start easing by the end of this year. 6. End of War? Russia-Ukraine war could enter the decisive phase in Q2 when Ukraine could launch the counter attack in Spring. It is very hard to predict the outcome but assuming Russia lost the war, the geopolitical ecosystem might be rewritten as well as the regime. How ally of Russia react is also highly unpredictable. With interest rate hike cycle coming to the end, there might be more rooms for Treasury yield to go lower. This will benefit growth stock so Nasdaq might outperform Dow again, adding to the gap built in Q1. Recession fears is not friendly to most of the commodities (except gold), and any big change on War might mean a lot to many cyclical commodities such as oil, natural gas, nickel and more. Good Luck and Good Trading in Q2. Disclaimers Above information are for illustration only and there is no guarantee on the accuracy of the information. They should not be treated as investment recommendations or advices. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trade set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, check out on CME Group data plans in TradingView that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com gopro/
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by FOTrading
1
DOW JONES above the 1D MA50 for the first time in monthDow Jones hit (and closed over) the 1D MA50 on Friday for the first time in more than a month (Feb 20th last closing over it). With 1D technicals on very healthy bullish levels (RSI = 60.420, MACD = 12.500, ADX = 35.536) this is a very positive sign on the long-term. Especially since the RSI crossed over the 4 month LH trendline. Our TP (33,450) from our trade idea 2 weeks ago (see below) is almost hit, however short term traders need to start and consider the immediate Reistance levels that the index needs to break in order to extend the long term rally. This is firstly the 33,550 High of March 6th and secondly the top of the December Channel Down pattern. A 1D closing above each would be a bullish continuation signal that would target the next level of Resistance. Primarily we look for a closing above the Channel Down in order to target R1 (TP = 34,350). Conversly a rejection and closing under the 33,550 Resistance would target the lower Symmetrical Support (TP = 32,600). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
U
by InvestingScope
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 03 WEEK YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 03 WEEK Price was marked up on low volume = possibility of trapping longs. Keep your stops tight if you are holding long positions. Possible scenarios: 1) Sell if False break of 33590, test and reject of recent high 2) Long on test and accept of 32595 // 33590 Volume Analysis: Weekly: Low vol up bar close off high = possible selling, trapping longs Daily: Wide spread low vol up bar close off high = possible selling, trapping longs Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 33590 32595 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677