Kumba moving down after a strong upward moveAfter a very successful long position (link attached below), JSE:KIO has bounced off of the strong resistance level at around 67000 and seems to be on the way down. This is being confirmed by our momentum indicators, the stochastic, MACD and potentially the EMA's with today's move. If it confirms, potentially, we could go down to around 58000 - 59000 area.
ZAR
Downward Momentum on ARIJSE:ARI is showing some good downward momentum with the recent downward crossing of the 3 and 15 period EMA's as well as the crossing downward of the stochastic and the MACD. If this momentum continues, we could see a possible downward move towards the support level at around 24000.
Emerging Currencies Gaining Strength??As we zoom out and look closely at the South African Rand, we see many signs of strength that have been building for some time now. I believe the ZAR and many other emerging currencies are all showing similar signs of strength and in the process of a reversal. While this may provide a great long trade and a short-term boost to the Peso, I fear it will have long-term negative effects.
These are the things that lead me to continue to believe the dollar will continue to devalue. Emerging market currencies have consistently gained strength against the dollar. If the ZAR closes above the 13-year historical resistance by the end of this month, it will be a decent confirmation of a trend change. Unless we see some BIG power moves come from the dollar, I believe this is likely to continue. Not to put to be dramatic, but "IF" this does play out, it will be VERY difficult and drastic for most people's current financial circumstances in the U.S. If the US dollar loses that much purchasing power in relation to the rest of the world, it will affect people in many ways. If it now costs most companies a certain amount to purchase products, then the stores in the US will raise their prices significantly, at least to make up for the lost purchasing power, which means many will have to settle with less to provide for themselves. This may seem good for the emerging currencies and their economy in the short term, but I believe we are seeing a global financial shift that will affect everyone negatively, not just the U.S. economy.
The U.S. produces very little in comparison to the rest of the world, so we will suffer because of this. IMO, the U.S. has sat on its laurels of being the biggest economy far too long, and it's caused us to have an economy that is far too reliant on other countries because we "had" the money to pay for cheap labor. I believe the U.S. will suffer a great financial loss because of our short-term approach and being far too prideful because we had more financial liberties compared to others. Essentially, The U.S. became conceited... This money printing has seriously backed us into a corner. Very similar to many ancient empires in the past. I honestly hope I'm wrong about this, the effects of this kind of macro shift could be devastating for many. When things like this happen, it's typically best to look into hard assets like Gold/Silver and even Bitcoin. Please don't take my brutal honest the wrong way, but I believe it's important to see the global shifts that are in place and consider taking the proper precautions. We're entering uncharted territory for the global economy and this will likely create unstable conditions for all.
SASOL - Upward Channel HoldingJSE:SOL has been trading in an upward parallel channel since October 2020.It has made numerous unsuccessful attempts to break out of the trend since then but the upward channel has held. With the break of the previous highs last week, I think we can continue to see an upward rise in the price all the way to the resistance level at around 28000
Richemont finally breaks out of consolidation areaJSE:CFR has been trading sideways in a consolidation area since early Jan and it has really struggled to break through the resistance around 15000. With yesterday's price action it broke out of the top of the "buy-box" and it is looking promising for an upward move. This is a new all-time high, so, with no existing resistance in sight, if it continues upward, I would be surprised if it goes all the way to the 16000 level.
USDZAR testing the structure 🦐USDZAR on the 4h chart is testing the support area after the test of the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break below we will set a nice short order.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
• 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
• 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
• 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
• 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
• ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Bidvest longJSE:BVT is showing signs of an upward move after a successful short position. Link below. Based off of the momentum indicators, we could be seeing a move to the upside. I would keep an eye on the trendline that it broke through recently as it might cause some resistance if it reaches that level.
Clicks long if trendline brokenJSE:CLS is showing signs of upward momentum based on our trend-following strategy. However, it is struggling to form higher highs and break the down trend that it has been trading in for the past month or so. If it breaks this trendline, I will consider entering a long position.
USDZAR bounced over a monthly support 🦐USDZAR after a few tests of the monthly support starts an impulse and currently is consolidating below a minor resistance area.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break above we will set a nice long order.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
• 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
• 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
• 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
• 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
• ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
BHP Struggling with support levelAfter a nice short position, JSE:BHP seems to be struggling to break through the support level at around 42000. If the price action continues upward, I will consider entering a long position. we could potentially see a Head and Shoulders pattern forming in the coming weeks as well.
BHP - Break of trend lineJSE:BHP has broken through an upward trendline that it has been adhering to since October 2020. If the current candle closes below this line and continues down, we could be looking at a move downwards. Along with this, the stochastic, MACD and Moving Averages are all showing signs of downward momentum.
SASOL - Short if trend is brokenJSE:SOL is showing all the signs of a direction change based off of the stochastic, MACD and EMA's. I will however, only enter short if it breaks and confirms below the trend line that it has been adhering to since the end of October last year. Once this is confirmed, I think we could see a nice downward move for a while.
Exxaro - downward momentumJSE:EXX is showing signs of a possible downward move. The stochastic and MACD both turned downwards last week and with yesterday's downward move, the two EMA's have crossed downwards, signalling a short opportunity. We might see some resistance around the 15000 level, but if it breaks through that, we might be able to set our sights on around 13300 support level.