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ZAR

H&S Target reached and failed to confirm a break of support.JSE:MCG formed a Head & Shoulders pattern between March and December 2019, which played out nicely and reached it's target which perfectly coincided with the lowest low of 9031 from 6 March 2019. With yesterday's movement, it broke slightly lower, but retraced and failed to confirm with the close of the candle. Failing to confirm below this low could mean a possible upward move. I will wait for confirmation before entering a long position.
JSE:MCGLong
by RossLarter
ridethepig | ZAR Market Commentary 2020.02.17Here tracking for a very technical pullback after a test of last week's open. Positioning is incredible stretched meaning the tree can be shaken at any minute, I want to get long USDZAR but reluctant to chase anything at these levels. Tracking a pullback into the 14.7x jurisdictions before doing anymore business here. A similar move for those tracking USDTRY: A breakdown is not necessary or fundamentally attractive in both TRY and ZAR, sitting tight and looking for cheaper levels in both makes sense to me. Market might give some of the high beta currencies a bid in the illiquid flows before EM FX receives a major hammer later in the week.
Short
by ridethepig
ZARJPY - Very BearishMoving average crossovers are always interesting, so let’s start there: ZAR/JPY crossed below its 100 and 200 day moving averages yesterday. As for the alignment of the moving averages, well, it’s a bit mixed up; the 20, 50, 100, and 200 do not progress from largest to smallest, or vice versa. The closest is the 100 day average, which is 3.7 pips away. Related to the moving average crossover is that ZAR/JPY may have broken its trend on the 14 day basis, as the trend’s momentum appears to be slowing down. Volatility for ZAR/JPY has exploded over the past two weeks relative to the past 30 days, which technical traders will want to note.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn1321512