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Corn

Big Picture look at Corn Market structureCurrent Market Structure: **Sensitive, with extreme bandwidth** (IMO) The current Domestic and World; Supply & Demand numbers,paired with recent inflationary threats support a price base range from 4.75 to 5.15. There are to many variables that could change the fundamental picture and that is what this chart and the extreme bandidth is trying to tell us. 2014-2020 that was a 3.75 base. If the Market went to far above or below 3.75, eventually it came back to it. Resistance above the 5.75 area at 6.50 - 7.35. **5.75+ is an area that some pricing and protection should be encouraged Major Support is the 5.15 to 4.75 area. **Many 22’ break evens are coming in at this range. Eventually price will return to this area. Risk is 4.00-3.80 range with further extreme risk at 3.00. We traded a 6 year range from 3.00 to 4.50, someday there could still be a pull back to that area **This is a continuous front month chart, new crop (currently Dec 22’) targets should be considered when front month futures hit target areas…
CBOT:ZC1!
by mtb1980
Continuous CornA few things for direction on Corn after report. Some bias for more upside longer term, but the market has been saying not so fast lately. US Dollar: Usually trends lower into major China export programs (more so for beans than corn as China usually does not buy much corn) Trends higher after export program concludes. Some resistance ahead. A move lower would help grain exports…. COT: Commercial Net is tipping lower. Natural selling by farmer. (+) Commercial Shorts could be reversing to add to positions, typically places a low. (+) Commercial Longs have not been adding. Until they start adding I will remain neutral. (+/-) Funds are adding to longs. (+) **These indicators lag behind change in trends. But if we do trend after the report, It should help confirm a bigger picture scenario either way….
CBOT:ZC1!
by mtb1980
Continuous CornCorn – Weekly Cont: The 5.47 area had the most volume by price since the uptrend began. Did the recent bump give the Funds an opportunity to bail on their longs or does it prove to be an area of accumulation for funds and end users??? Weekly support at 5.21 needs to hold for the weak longs. Further key support at 4.98. Risk is 4.66-4.37. So far the cloud is acting as good support. Any further strength needs to see a weekly close above the 5.44-5.47 resistance. Initial target above 5.47 is at 5.88 and then 6.16. Current “Market Structure” is very sensitive. Downside Risk is 4.37, Upside Risk is any posted number up to 8.81
CBOT:ZC1!
by mtb1980
December CornPossibly put the highs in for Dec Corn here...as shown in chart, we faded the gains from the bullish July USDA crop report (which showed lower acreage) on better weather forecasts after wknd of the 4th...weather maps less threatening in corn belt as of late and is bearish feature for the next few weeks should forecasts confirm. Condition ratings expected to increase. Spreads are firm though and there is some support from Bean oil as the Canola mkt is experiencing production issues due to ongoing drought. This feature could have potential to pull CZ higher but I believe the upside here is limited. I expect CZ to trade down to ~520 range and b/c range bound from there.
CBOT:ZCZ2021Short
by King_of_Beans
🌽𝘾𝙤𝙧𝙣 𝙛𝙪𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙚 - we buy canned food for the New Year🚜ZC1! : 🕐 2W Most likely, wave (V) of the "Supercycle" degree unfolding the ending diagonal I-II-III-IV-V , in which the growth is in wave III . ZC1! : 🕐 1W The growth marked with ((A)) is most likely over, although one more local maximum is not excluded. Further, a rollback is expected within the wave ((B)) of III , which has the right to take the form of any corrective pattern. CORNUSD :🕐 1D When the correction forms appear, at the completion of the corrective wave ((B)) of III , I plan to take a closer look at a long position on one of the available trading instruments, as well as at companies in the agricultural sector. The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.
CBOT:ZC1!
by TradeWaves-EWA
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