CORN has reached exhaustion (for now)Yellow line is entry;
Stop loss is the red line;
Take profit are the green lines;
Zc1
Corn Weather Market Losing Steam?
In the ZCZ2019 chart, I see the potential for another leg up however I believe it could retreat down to test the current support line. On 4/30 I bought corn around $3.80 feeling the low had been put in, after a few discomforting days I was correct. Due to delayed plantings and not optimal weather looking forward the market exploded up. I exited this position around the $4.40 range and enjoyed the nice profit, skeptical the market could not bust through the $4.54 price level.
Now that the market has broken through that level of $4.54 I am not adding to a Spec long position, while there is certainly upside potential left, I feel the market will struggle in the coming days and weeks to continue the great run it has displayed over the past weeks. That does not mean I am ready to initiate a short position, I feel the upside potential of 8.5% to the upside is still greater than a potential selloff.
I will be keeping a close eye on the market in the coming days and weeks if we do continue to rise an additional 8.5% and reach $5.00 +/- I will be preparing to enter the market as a bear. I do not forsee a freefall taking place but do see the potential for significant price reductions if we reach these levels. For the time being, I remain patient, sitting on my hands.
**Educational purposes only**
ZC1! - What to expect on the 4hr - CORN FUTURESSo check my last chart to see where I told you what needed to happen to get here. Spoiler alert. I was spot on. Now we have a fresh high and fresh failed to gain. Not a bad place to get short with tight stop just above previous highs. BUT TO TRULY KNOW IF THIS IS THE TOP... you have to lose the high. Look for a close below the last leg that took you up and then get short on the pull back to test that previous local high. This could be the last pullback before the drop, if there are no closes above the top green line. But typically there is a significant pull back after it close below the last leg up and thats usually where I get in on trend reversal signals.
ZC1! - Corn Futures - What to expect on 2hr.I like when charts show fresh highs, you just let it do its thing till it signals which way its about to go. Looking to get short on this one as its coming up to a nice past resistance level. Not financial advice. Trade safe.
CORN DAILY CHART ANALYSISKey Level: 387’6
I’m working on the idea of triangle wave (B) complete and wave (C) is developing into 5 wave motive structure.
By using Elliot rule of “WAVE 2 never retrace 100% of wave 1”, we can establish an invalidation level that served as our key level of this analysis.
If wave (B) complete, corn has no business to go above 387’8 level and I’m looking forward to short with corn in wave 3.
Let’s see how corn market develop in the next coming days, week and month :D
Please leave a comment if you have any idea and suggestion to improve this corn analysis.
Happy trading
Corn: Moving sideways on 1W. Short.Corn has been practically neutral on 1W (RSI = 54.490, ADX = 23.173), trading sideways since mid July. With the price currently testing the inner 374'2 Resistance, we consider it to be high enough for a short towards the 0.618 1D Fibonacci = 356'6.
Corn forecast ZC1!Looks like a possible long setup for the short term, but beware of nearby resistance. Wait for confirmation.
Like this idea if you agree.
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ZC1 uptrend resisting Fib levelCorn futures ZC1 have touched the 50% Fibonacci level on three occasions and failed each time. Looking for a reversal to the uptrend
Previous Target hit. 1D Channel Down continuation. Short.The TP = 372.20 has been hit and the 1D Channel Down (RSI = 37.956, Highs/Lows = -0.2679, B/BP = -1.4820) continues to deploy on a standard manner. Next TP = 337.20 which is the November 13, 2017 bottom and a very likely candidate for a rebound. If it breaks then 320.40 is next.
Break out point on 1DAfter breaking the 1D Channel Up (Highs/Lows = -12.9821, MACD = -1.170), Corn just bounced off the first important support at 380. We will either see a strong rebound here (long with tight SL, TP = 392.40) or if 379 breaks, it will look for the 372.20 support (TP = 374).
Corn: Bear Flag Under the TrendlineLooks like a flag to me.
My indicators do not yet align with the idea on this time frame...I will update using lower time frames below.
Also note the bearish 2618 set-up which completes @ 393.
If you have any comments or feedbacks on this idea or your own view on Corn, please share!
Wheat - Mar $4 Support?Bulled up... just a matter of weather* $4 support holds or we drop down to 3.5 levels
Trend line resistance erroded
Buying Corn @ the Bat @ Trendline; Aiming for the Bearish BatI wanted to show the longer term view. Corn has been bullish but I have patiently been waiting to short at the large bearish bat/2618 trade set-up (linked below).
However if you zoom in you can see the potential buy set-up near the trendline based on 2 different bullish Bat patterns (yellow and pink). I will be watching price action near their completion points to choose which to take. I will move stops to B.E at TP1 of the pattern I choose and will likely choose to aim for the entry of the bearish Bat which would make a great long trade.
(Note: the bearish Cypher (blue) is only valid if the bat patterns do not complete!)
CORN | Weekly ChartIt's arguably a similar case to the former on wheat... Buying within the lowest decile in a decade, a very asymmetric return distribution, a potential break-out of the down trend.
CORN: Go long at market openWe should enter longs in CORN at market open tomorrow, our risk is 85 cents down from our entry (whatever that is), so size your trade accordingly, risk 1% on the position, and aim for a 13.95% rally, to begin with.
There's a possibility that this is a long lasting bottom in this commodity (and possibly many others), so don't miss out on the move.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
ZC: Corn has a new potential uptrend signal hereLet's add to longs at market open, there's a chance a second 'Time at mode' signal confirms on close here. Move all stops to Sept. 12th's low, and open a 1% risk long, if we don't retest the new entry stop on close, we can expect a rally to 364'6 by or before October 25th.
We should see a strong rally from here, and at least 3-4% more upside, before a pause in it.
This is an example of the type of work we do with my signals group, so if you're interested in a free 1 week trial, message me.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
Commodities: Oil leading the pack and an interesting spreadWe have an interesting setup here, with oil suddenly breaking up above weekly resistance, and outperforming precious metals, I think we might see a shift in positioning towards oil, and a few laggards that show an increase in commercial long positions for some time according to the commitment of traders report.
I'm watching oats, rough rice, soybeans, corn and wheat here.
Powerful trends look to either stall, or shift down, like the ones in silver, gold, orange juice, sugar, coffee...If everyone already bought and is in positions, who is left there to buy and bid it higher?
Right now, my focus is seeing which commodities moved up for the day yesterday, and then examine the individual setups. I'll post the ones worthy of attention, but meant to publish this as a heads up.
You can read the tickers and the color code on the top left corner.
Feel free to leave comments below.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
