The booze seems quite strong; the hungover continue aft party!FX:HKG33
hello everyone TGIF!
Trade plan for today before end of the week.
It continues to dance btw range as shown in chart : 19800 - 20500 (1h Chart)
To trade using smaller range tf.
For the week it's still a small gain.
Shorted earlier hoping to take some profit for 🎄 weekend meals. ☺
Again to set your SL/TP level.
4H Chart
The 4h chart showing the index is still on the bearish zone.
Happy Trading and have a good weekend everyone!
while waiting toTP let's continue to zen with 📙 and 🍵!
Zentradingstrategy
Is The Reversal End? Will the rebound party last?FX:HKG33
Is the Index rebound strong? Based on the 1h chart, you know the answer.
What is the range to look out for?
10EMA crossing down 52EMA on 1h chart. Not good.
MACD signal break through zero line level indicate bearish mode. Histogram bearish color in deep red like the index. Required "blood/live" to boost.
From the Money Flow Profile : 20208.39 level shown the selling pressure with huge volume. You know where to get the indicator and how to read it.
KDJ Indicator, kind of confirming the bearish zone for the hour.
Consolidation area : 19750-20300(the index dance between the rangebound)
as mentioned in previous post reaccumulate at 19730-20300.
D Chart
Price 20165.88 closed below 52EMA - 20354.18 (Down 171.28; -0.84%)
For the Week, as of today - it is still gaining 391.15 +1.98% from Open : 19,774.73 on 9Dec24.
Let's continue to monitor and see if the authority fiscal policy benefit and boost the reversal.
Happy Trading!
Key Support Level! FX:HKG33
Hi everyone, did you managed to ride on yesterday the fireworks and joined the party?
If you are following the movement of HSI then probably you are in the game and able to catch the short term fireworks Bull :)
Yesterday the Index seems being injected with stimulant - based on HKG33 (surged 1,013.46; +5.13%)
Let's look together at the D,4h & 1h charts where they've had given us signal of the boost.
D Chart
4h Chart
1h Chart
- Price is moving downwards closing to the 52EMA (20137)
- MACD Signal with Deadcross and KDJ at bearish zone
However, as mentioned in previous post my personal POV, prefer the movement slow and steady forming a stable staircase; more sustainable.
As you can see, today the candles seems tired after the stimulant boost for the party.
Then, did you managed to short for the reversal for some pocket money? :-)
Trade Plan -
Day Trade : Swing Lo: 20290-20800 (Long at support and short at resistance depends on your own tf)
Swing Trade : 2 days - 5days : Swing Lo:21350 Swing Hi :18960
Re-accumulate at/below 19730-20300 level.
Please note that 19730 & 20300 are keys support/resistance level. Remeber to put your SL for traders.
Longterm Trade : With the recent China govt calls for proactive fiscal policy in 2025 (appropriately loose monetary policy), it's confident and confirmed that both China and Hong Kong markets will benefit and the reversal is for real. We can start to expose and accumulate more in both countries.
For HSI to break the range 22900-23275 and make new ATH would be very soon.
Happy Trading everyone!
Let's continue to monitor the Index movement and dont forget to follow your zen trading strategy.
Trading is a lifelong learning path , continue to practice and master the skills by reading 📙 and 🍵.
Reading helps to form a good habits for thinking and sometimes is a good method for distraction (not to keep looking at chart) once you have set your TP/SL following your strategy. :)
About to breakthrough!FX:HKG33
From previous post - D chart shown that the MACD SIgnal lines are both downtrend and breakthrough the zero line. Forming a short term bearish mode.
The Index corrected down to 18956 (last week low).
As you can see from the snapshot from W chart that week of 11Nov,
week of 18Nov: -246.64 (-1.27%)
week of 25Nov: +395.16 (+2.06%)
This week - 2 Dec : as of now -109.64 (-0.56%) if the Index able to hold at the support level of 19330 and break 19785, the Index then considers reversal.
the MACD Signal lines.
Trade Plan -
Day Trade : 19000-19700 (Long at support and short at resistance dependings on your tf
Swing Trade : 2 days - 3wks : Accumulate at 19000-19150 Discount level, Take partial profit at 19300, 19700.
Longterm Trade : The Index is now retracing. May accumulate & hold at 19340 (if you have been monitoring accumulating starting 16900.
Is it the time to Buy the Dip? FX:HKG33
As you can see from 1D chart - the MACD & Signal line both are on downtrends.
Be cautious if the MACD fast line break below the zero line.
From W chart, you can see the MACD & Signal lines are both staying zero line i.e bullish mode but on a weaker momentum ( the KDJ is on bearish zone and the MACD histogram with ligher green). Also the MACD line (blue line) seems forming a curving down movement.
The next Support level at 18186 (the sudden surge on the 26Sept2024 +1239.06;6.41% that day)
From 1h chart, at point of commenting it seem that the index is on Bearish mode, it might take a while to rebound to previous support level (the new resistance ) at 19500-19520.
You may not want to open bullish too early if it's not break through the level.
Shorterm
Bearish - it seems the index will continue to be downtrend based on 4h BB; but SL at 19834, you may set TP at 19146 (the next support level)
Peoples Sell on News
www.tradingview.com
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From Reuters : China and Hong Kong stocks fell on Thursday after Beijing's latest measures to revive the struggling property sector failed to boost investors' mood.
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Longterm
Let's continue to monitor the D chart with MACD & KDJ indicator if there is clearer signal to take position.
While waiting let's zen with 🍵 & 📙
Summary of the week and a swing long position & locked profit
FX:HKG33
Summary of the week for the index.
1h chart form a golden cross below zero line and happen that 4h chart had formed the same golden cross even though both are below zero line. I took a aggressive & several long position.
TP at 20735 level at time was looking at the index trying to close the week gap.
I did keep some position open hoping that the US trading time could continue to boost the index.
But it seems it loose its steam and 4h chart not strong for MACD & Signal line breakout zero line.
the Index closed at 20506.46 (still record a decline of 1.21% -250.70). Looking at the W chart it seems pulling back and let's continue to monitor if its prepare for the next climb.
You may note that the W chart the MACD is above zero line still consider bullish but with weak lighter green histo.
Jya. Let's zen during weekend with 🍵 & 📙
stuck in the middle breakout or breakdown?
FX:HKG33
Hi ya everyone here's to a week filled with optimistic, progress and hapiness - may the market treat us well!
As you can see from previous post ; last week 1h chart that the MACD & KDJ movement that gave us some insights testing the support level. It has climbing up steadily. quite handsome!
It didnt breakdown to 19753 level and staying above 20240 level.
Last Friday HSI closed at 20804.11 (+725.01; +3.61%) ; however it still record a down 447.87 ; -2.11% for the week.
As mentioned, a healthy pullbackis just the market catching its breath before the next big climb!
This D chart showing the momentum has turn weak the MACD had a dead cross and the KDJ is at weak zone too.
For today, we are looking at 20700, if it holds above this level then it could break 20900 and next resistance at 21395.
May trade within the range of 20400 - 20600.
For this week, the key support level at 20400 (the 52MA).
Note : the last high was Jan'23 (closed at 22635); the recent high (closed at 23119) early this month Oct'24.
Happy trading everyone!
My take:- For today I'll watch and wait for a better entry point to avoid my previous mistake enter the party too early. No action is an action.
while waiting let's zenning with 📙🍵
Testing the Support Level. One to Zero.
FX:HKG33
Testing at strong support level at ¬20240 if it breached, the index is going to test 19753.
Hi ya!
How is everyone looking at Hang Seng Index and its performance last week?
From the 1h chart with MACD movement, seems the mometum is weakening, both index and indicator are in bearish crossover.
As mentioned in previous post, we prefer to see the index climbing up the staircase slow and steady which is more sustainable.
Nonetheless, for shorter tf swing trade continue to short. Manage position size and the bearish mode expecting to continue at least for this week.
Enter short position where tf 1m,5m,15m diverge and using JD line for confirmation of bearish momentum.
As you can see from the D chart, the movement and the momentum has been declining and we can see the MACD and signal line is crossing down. You may check other shorter tf 12h - 30m at point of writing ; the index and indicator are below the zero level.
With expectations of more stimulus from gov ; the investors still hesitate to take further position with the recent disappointment.
Sell the news, buy the dip! This pull back is healthy.
With longer tf W chart the index is on the uptrend, time is all we need.
Continue to monitor and set SL for all position.
Happy trading everyone!
HSI significant pull back! FX:HKG33
Look at 1H chart movement together with the MACD & KDJ indicator, the histogram for MACD line & signal line is getting weaker (you can see both indicators curve seems lower than the previous wave). We should monitor.
marked the time zone where the index turned bearish for the 1H chart. There was no re-entry position as trading in Asia time zone.
The significant pull-back continues when market re-open here. It's 10% pull back this morning. Well, this is a good chance to look at for a better re-entry level. However, we should be cautious to avoid catching falling knives 🗡
what we see from the 1H chart MACD & KDJ both are on the downtrend level/bearish red zone. However, we can look at the support level at 21580. If the index stays above this level then the uptrend is still intact. Otherwise, we could expect a more significant pull-back (cross-check with longer tf chart 4H,8H).
For shorter 1H tf swing trade check the 8H Chart for support/resistance level
Find support level at 21500-21700
and resistance level 22000 -22300
It has been climbing too fast and taking a break now. Personal POV, prefer the movement slow and steady forming a stable staircase; more sustainable.
Happy trading everyone! A pull-back is healthy for taking a breather.
Narrow Escape! Trust what you trust.FX:HKG33
Entered too early before the pullback. Has to hold over the trading closed day. Was intended to SL the positions if the downtrend continue.
However, the market reopen with strong bullish volume. The short time frame (tf) turned uptrend and the index gap-up. However, the MACD + KDJ showing uptrend for 1H chart. Hence, decided to continued to hold the position.
∴ Continue bullish for HSI based on W chart and try to look at Long position for 1-3 weeks tf.
This ain't a get-rich-quick scheme, folks. We're just here to chat, not make deals.
Disclaimer: The information provided here is not a recommendation to buy or sell any particular financial instrument. Individual circumstances and risk tolerance should be considered when making investment choices."
BTCUSD Short breakout setup - 1HRAs I mentioned in the previous bitcoin post, my confidence of this move continuing upwards is dwindling. The longer we move sideways, the more likely it becomes that the direction of the next move is down rather than up. We had 2 failed bullish setups, which indicates that Bitcoin doesn't really feel like turning bullish just yet
Currently we’re stuck between the red multiple timeframe support and resistance levels. If we break below the support at 3520 I’m ready to enter short slightly below that level as long as the indicator shows me the short setup. The next level of MTFA support is at 3390. Take (partial) profits here and tighten the stop.
Of course it is possible that we break upwards, or move sideways for another few days, this is Bitcoin after all..
If the bearish setup disappears the trade should be canceled promptly, no need to take unnecessary risk here.
The 4HR chart is the only timeframe still in bullish territory, but as we reach the breakout level the 4HR will move into bearish territory too. All timeframes will be bearish again if/when that happens. The CMF has gone negative on the 4HR as price was rejected from the MTFA resistance crosses, indicating that buying pressure has died out.
The daily doesn't provide any new or useful information, still in a bearish posture here. the RSX (a smoothed non lagging version of the RSI) has been rejected form the 70 level, failing to reach the overbought level.
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