Pound Hits Three-Week High as Markets Await BoE CutThe British pound rose above $1.25, its highest since January 7, as the US dollar weakened and the focus shifted to the Bank of England’s Thursday decision. Policymakers are expected to cut rates by 25bps to 4.5%, reflecting slowing growth and easing services inflation. Market sentiment remained cautious over US tariffs, with concerns about a US-China trade conflict impacting global stability. Meanwhile, UK input price inflation hit an 18-month high in January, according to the latest PMI report.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2500. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2600 and 1.2650. On the downside 1.2340 will be the first support level. 1.2265 and 1.2100 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
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EUR/USD Rises as Dollar Weakens Amid Trade War ConcernsThe euro climbed above $1.04 as a weaker dollar and Trump’s tariffs fueled economic concerns. China retaliated with its own levies, escalating trade tensions. Meanwhile, Eurozone business activity rebounded after two months of decline. The ECB cut rates and hinted at more easing in March, with US tariffs potentially pressuring it to loosen policy further. Investors now expect the ECB’s deposit rate to fall to 1.87% by December.
From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0400, with further resistance levels at 1.0460 and 1.0515 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0350, followed by additional support levels at 1.0220 and 1.0180.
Yen Strengthens Past 152 as BOJ Signals Possible 2025 Rate HikeThe yen strengthened past 152 per dollar, an eight-week high after BOJ board member Naoki Tamura suggested raising rates to 1% in late 2025. Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned of rising inflation, while strong wage data reinforced expectations of continued BOJ tightening. Real wages rose for a second month in December, with nominal wage growth hitting a 30-year high due to winter bonuses. The BOJ, which raised rates in January, remains open to further hikes. A weaker US dollar and lower Treasury yields, driven by mixed US data and easing trade war fears, also supported the yen.
The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
Manufacturing Data Fuels Silver's RiseSilver rose above $31.5 per ounce, near its highest since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data stimulated demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs eased protectionist concerns. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, reinforcing silver’s industrial demand outlook.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth market deficit in 2025, with strong industrial and retail investment demand outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Key resistance levels are 32.50, 33.00, and 33.50. Support stands at 31.80, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
Gold Breaks Records Above $2,850Gold surged past $2,850 per ounce, hitting a record high as investors turned to reliable long-term assets with fears that the US-China trade war could slow global growth. While President Trump delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, he imposed a 10% duty on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to announce retaliatory tariffs on US energy products effective next week.
Adding to the uncertainty, Trump suggested US control over the Gaza Strip for reconstruction. Meanwhile, interest rate futures signaled rising expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, a sharp shift from last month’s outlook. Weaker-than-expected job openings in the JOLTS report and a six-month low in factory orders reinforced this sentiment.
Technically, resistance levels stand at 2879, 2917, and 2950. Support is at 2830, followed by 2790 and 2760.
GBP/USD Stuck Between Fed Policy and BoE DecisionThe USD Index (DXY) remains near its weekly low as expectations grow for further Fed monetary easing. Tuesday’s JOLTS report signaled a cooling US labor market, increasing speculation of rate cuts despite inflation concerns.
Global sentiment is positive after President Trump delayed tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports, easing trade war fears. This risk-on mood weakens the USD’s safe-haven appeal while supporting GBP/USD. However, lingering US-China trade tensions and the Fed’s hawkish stance limit USD losses, keeping GBP/USD gains in check.
Traders await Thursday’s BoE policy meeting with key resistance levels at 1.2500, 1.2600, and 1.2650. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
EUR/USD Consolidates, Upside LimitedThe EUR/USD pair is struggling to sustain its recovery from the 1.0200 area, the lowest since January 13, and is fluctuating near Wednesday’s weekly high around 1.0375-1.0380, showing little change amid mixed economic signals.
Tuesday’s JOLTS report signaled a US labor market slowdown, reinforcing expectations of two Fed rate cuts this year. A risk-on mood keeps the USD near its weekly low, supporting EUR/USD, but concerns over potential US tariffs on EU goods and the ECB’s dovish stance, despite a 2.5% YoY rise in Eurozone HICP for January, limit upside potential.
Traders await the final Eurozone Services PMI, while the US calendar features the ADP private-sector employment report, ISM Services PMI, and Fed speeches, influencing USD demand. However, Friday’s US NFP report remains the key focus.
Technically, resistance levels are at 1.0410, 1.0460, and 1.0515, while support stands at 1.0350, 1.0220, and 1.0180.
Japanese Yen Surges on Wage DataThe Japanese yen strengthened past 154 per dollar on Wednesday, its highest in seven weeks, as strong wage and services data fueled expectations of a more aggressive Bank of Japan policy. Japan’s real wages rose for a second month in December, with nominal wage growth hitting a nearly 30-year high due to winter bonuses. The January services PMI was revised up to 53 from 52.7.
In January, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates and signaled openness to further hikes if economic and inflation trends align. Externally, the yen gained as the US dollar weakened after Washington delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, while trade tensions with China eased.
Key resistance stands at 155.90, with potential targets at 158.70 and 160.00. Support is at 153.00, followed by 151.90 and 149.20.
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Gains as U.S. Factory Growth and Market Deficit Support Prices
Silver rose above $31.5 per ounce, staying near its highest level since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data increased demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs reduced concerns over protectionist policies. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, strengthening silver’s outlook as a key industrial metal. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive market deficit in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.90 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Gold Nears Record as Investors Eye U.S.China Tariffs - NFP DataGold held above $2,810 per ounce on Tuesday, near its record high, as safe-haven demand stayed strong amid global trade uncertainties. Trump postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada for a month after steps to address border security and drug trafficking, while 10% tariffs on China are still set for today. These tariffs could increase gold's appeal as an inflation hedge but might lead to higher interest rates, weighing on non-yielding gold. Investors are also focused on this week’s U.S. labor data, especially Friday’s nonfarm payrolls, for economic insights.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2830 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
GBP/USD Analysis by zForex Research TeamGBP/USD Recovers as Trump Pauses Tariffs, But Risks Persist
The British pound rebounded above $1.24 after falling to $1.225, following Trump’s deal with Mexico’s President Sheinbaum to pause tariffs for a month. Uncertainty remains as Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, 10% on China, and threatened the EU and UK. Growing trade tensions have fueled expectations of Bank of England rate cuts, with markets pricing in 81bps of cuts by December and a 95% chance of a 25bps cut to 4.5% this Thursday.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2450. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2265 will be the first support level. 1.2100 and 1.1900 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
EUR/USD Struggles as Tariff Risks, ECB Rate Cut Prospects WeighThe euro edged up but stayed pressured around $1.03 amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariff policies. Over the weekend, Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports, a 10% duty on Chinese goods, and threatened EU tariffs, citing the U.S. trade deficit. However, Mexico secured a one-month delay by agreeing to deploy 10,000 troops to curb fentanyl trafficking. The euro also faced pressure from the ECB’s dovish stance and prospects of further rate cuts after last week’s expected 25bps reduction. Meanwhile, Euro Area inflation rose to 2.5% in January, above the 2.4% forecast, while core inflation held at 2.7%, defying expectations of a slight dip.
From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0305, with further resistance levels at 1.0360 and 1.0460 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0220, followed by additional support levels at 1.0180 and 1.0120.
USD/JPY Analysis by zForex Research TeamYen Falls Below 155 as U.S. Tariff Suspension Eases Safe-Haven Demand
The Japanese yen fell below 155 per dollar on Tuesday as the suspension of U.S. tariffs on Mexico and Canada reduced safe-haven demand. On Monday, Trump agreed to pause the tariffs for a month after talks with both nations. Optimism is also rising over a possible U.S.-China deal to prevent the 10% tariffs set for today. In Japan, investors await Wednesday’s wage data, which could impact the BOJ’s policy outlook. The central bank raised rates in January and signaled readiness for further hikes if economic conditions support it.
The key resistance level appears to be 155.90, with a break above it potentially targeting 158.70 and 160.00. On the downside, 153.80 is the first major support, followed by 151.90 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
Silver Surges to $31.7 on Supply DeficitSilver remained above $31.40 per ounce on Friday, staying close to a seven-week high as the Silver Institute forecasted a significant market deficit for the metal in 2025 for the fifth year. This shortfall is primarily driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, which are expected to outweigh declining consumption in jewelry and silverware. Silver contributes to industries such as solar panels, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics. Although global silver production is set to rise this year with higher output from China, Canada, and Chile, the ongoing supply deficit is expected to persist.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.85 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Tariffs Fail to Spark Gold RallyGold fell below $2,780 per ounce as the strengthening U.S. dollar outweighed safe-haven demand following the U.S. decision to impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods and a 10% levy on Chinese imports, set to take effect on Tuesday. Although such developments typically stimulate demand for gold, the appreciating dollar and interest rate outlook are limiting upward pressure. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers while the inflationary effects of tariffs could keep borrowing costs high, weighing on the appeal of non-yielding assets like bullion. Some investors also engaged in profit-taking after gold recently hit a record high, further contributing to its decline.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2817 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Dollar Surge Pushes Pound Below $1.22The British Pound dropped to approximately $1.22, reaching its lowest level in nearly two weeks as Trump's tariffs sent a shock wave through major currencies. The Bank of England is still expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its February 2025 meeting, though outperforming economic data suggests that additional rate cuts may be delayed.
British Finance Minister Rachel Reeves outlined government initiatives aimed at boosting economic growth, including plans for a third runway at Heathrow Airport. However, investors remain focused on concerns about the sustainability of Britain’s debt levels.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2385. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2265 will be the first support level. 1.2100 and 1.1900 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Euro Weakens as ECB Signals Rate ReductionsThe euro dropped to $1.02, marking its lowest level in three weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened following President Donald Trump's decision to implement tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports and 10% on Chinese goods starting Tuesday. Trump has also warned of potential tariffs on the European Union, prompting the region to vow a strong response. These factors added to the pressure on the euro, which was already weakened by the European Central Bank's dovish stance.
Last week, the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and signaled the possibility of further reductions later this year. Currently, market traders are factoring in the likelihood of three additional ECB rate cuts by the end of 2025.
From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0300, with further resistanc
Japanese Yen Set for Weekly GainThe Japanese yen weakened beyond 155.5 per dollar, marking its second straight decline as the dollar strengthened. The US imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, triggering retaliatory actions from the affected nations. Although Japan was not directly targeted, its export-driven economy remains exposed to global trade disruptions.
A summary of discussions from the Bank of Japan’s January meeting indicated that policymakers considered the possibility of further interest rate hikes to counter inflationary pressures and a weakening yen. In January, the BOJ raised its policy rate and signaled its willingness to increase rates again if economic conditions and inflation trends warrant further action.
The key resistance level appears to be 155.90, with a break above it potentially targeting 158.70 and 160.00. On the downside, 153.80 is the first major support, followed by 151.90 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Surges to $31.7 on Fed Speculation and Supply Deficit
Silver jumped past $31.7 per ounce on Thursday, a six-week high, as Fed policy speculation boosted demand for non-yielding assets.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth straight annual supply deficit despite higher output from China, Canada, and Chile.
Investors also assessed industrial demand, particularly from Chinese solar panel manufacturers, a key driver of silver consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90 consequently. On the downside 30.90 will be the first support level. 29.80 and 29.30 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
GBP/USD Falls to 1.2420 as Dollar Strength and Tariff Fears WeigGBP/USD extended losses for a fourth session, trading near 1.2420 on Friday as a stronger US Dollar and renewed tariff threats from Trump pressured the pair.
Late Thursday, Trump reiterated plans for a 25% import tax on Canadian and Mexican goods, with the first round set for February 1. He also threatened 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they introduced a new trade currency.
Traders now await key US data, including PCE inflation and PMI figures. Meanwhile, the British Pound remains under pressure as the BoE is expected to cut rates by 25bps next week, its third cut since August.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2460. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2400 will be the first support level. 1.2350 and 1.2265 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Yen Set for Weekly Gain Amid BOJ Signals and Strong Data The Japanese yen strengthened to 154 per dollar on Friday, set to end the week and month higher as expectations grow for more BOJ rate hikes. BOJ Deputy Governor Himino signaled further hikes if economic growth and inflation stay on track.
Friday’s data showed Tokyo’s core inflation hit an 11-month high of 2.5% in January, retail sales exceeded forecasts, industrial production rebounded, and unemployment fell unexpectedly. Meanwhile, traders await clarity on Trump’s policies after he reaffirmed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, with a 10% tariff on China still under review.
The key resistance level appears to be 155.60, with a break above it potentially targeting 158.70 and 160.00. On the downside, 153.80 is the first major support, followed by 151.90 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research TeamEuro Weakens as ECB Signals Further Rate Reductions
The EUR/USD pair faces selling pressure near 1.0385 in Friday’s Asian session, weighed down by expectations of further ECB rate cuts. Investors await clarity on Trump’s potential tariff threats, which could impact market sentiment.
As expected, the ECB cut its deposit rate to 2.75% on Thursday, signaling the possibility of further reductions amid economic uncertainty and inflation concerns. Eurostat data showed the Eurozone economy stagnated in Q4, missing the 0.1% growth forecast after 0.4% in Q3. Germany’s Retail Sales and Unemployment data, due Friday, could provide direction.
In the US, the Fed kept rates at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday, with Powell ruling out immediate cuts without supporting inflation and employment data. Weaker US GDP growth of 2.3% in Q4, below forecasts, limited the dollar’s gains.
From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0450, with further resistance levels at 1.0515 and 1.0550 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0355, followed by additional support levels at 1.0270 and 1.0225.
Gold Surges on Tariff Concerns and Global Central Bank Easing Gold neared $2,800 per ounce on Friday, hitting a record high as Trump’s renewed tariff threats fueled demand for safe-haven assets amid trade war fears.
The rally was also supported by dovish central bank policies. The ECB cut rates, the BoC ended quantitative tightening, and the Riksbank eased policy. The PBoC and RBI signaled looser monetary stances. Meanwhile, the Fed held rates steady, reinforcing expectations for two cuts later this year. Gold is on track for its biggest monthly gain since March 2024.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2800 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2820 and 2858 consequently. On the downside, 2730 will be the first support level. 2660 and 2630 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.