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Gold Rebounds on Ceasefire FragilityGold edged back up to around $3,330, recovering from a two-week low. While the Israel-Iran ceasefire brought temporary calm, a US intelligence report showed that Iran’s nuclear progress was only briefly disrupted, raising concerns about renewed tensions. Fed Chair Powell adopted a cautious stance, saying rates would likely stay unchanged for now, though a July cut remains possible. Diverging views among Fed members on inflation and job data may limit gold’s upside in the near term. Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher. Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
Risk Sentiment Improves, GBP/USD Nears 1.3650GBP/USD extended its rally for a third session, trading around 1.3620 and holding close to Tuesday’s high of 1.3648, its strongest level since February 2022. The pair continues to benefit from improved risk appetite as Middle East tensions ease following Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Despite the initial increase, investors remain cautious as doubts persist over the ceasefire’s durability and potential nuclear negotiations with Iran. Focus is also on Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, which continues to raise geopolitical concerns. Meanwhile, Powell, in his congressional testimony, signaled that rate cuts are unlikely before Q4. He acknowledged that new tariffs could push inflation higher from June but maintained that the Fed is prepared to ease policy once conditions allow. Resistance is seen at 1.3655, while support holds at 1.3540.
by ChartMage
Ceasefire Supports Yen’s StrengthThe Japanese Yen stayed strong near a one-week high around 145.5 on Wednesday, supported by risk-off sentiment and dovish commentary from the Bank of Japan. Several BOJ members favored steady rates with concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on Japan’s economy. May’s Services PPI remained above 3% yearly, strengthening speculation that the BOJ could still raise rates later this year. Meanwhile, lingering geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Fed rate cuts continued to pressure the US Dollar. The key resistance is at $146.20, and the major support is at $144.85.
by ChartMage
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF. Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman. Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Hits Weekly High as Ceasefire Weakens DollarEUR/USD climbed to a fresh weekly high near 1.1610 during late Asian trading on Tuesday, boosted by a sharp sell-off in the US Dollar following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran by President Donald Trump. The truce improved market risk appetite and dampened demand for traditional safe havens like the US Dollar. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped steeply from Monday’s two-week high of 99.42 to around 98.10. The dollar also came under pressure from shifting expectations around Fed policy. On Monday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman signaled support for a potential rate cut as early as the July meeting, citing rising concerns over the labor market. “We should put more weight on downside risks to the job market,” she stated, adding that it's time to consider adjusting the policy rate. Her dovish tone nudged up expectations for a July rate cut, with CME FedWatch data showing the probability rising from 14.5% on Friday to 22.7%. In the Eurozone, ECB officials expressed concerns over the region’s economic outlook, particularly considering new US tariff policies. President Christine Lagarde, in remarks to the European Parliament, warned that inflation staying near the 2% target is uncertain and noted that survey data points to “some weaker prospects for economic activity in the near term.” She added that risks to growth remain “tilted to the downside.” Resistance is located at 1.1630, while support is seen at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
Safe-Haven Flows Lift Silver Near $36.10Silver (XAG/USD) rose near $36.10 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak as rising Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. The gain followed US airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites Sunday. Iran vowed to respond, while Trump warned any retaliation would be met with greater force. Escalation risks continue to support silver. Additionally, Fed Governor Waller signaled a possible rate cut as early as July. Dovish Fed comments and lower rates tend to increase silver demand by making it more affordable globally. The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Middle East Conflict Keeps Gold ElevatedGold traded near $3,360 per ounce in choppy conditions on Monday, as investors closely watched developments in the intensifying Middle East conflict following U.S. involvement in Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Over the weekend, U.S. forces targeted Iran’s three main nuclear facilities, with President Donald Trump warning of further action unless Tehran agrees to peace. The eruption of war between Israel and Iran has added new fuel to a rally that has pushed gold prices up nearly 30% this year. Resistance is seen at $3,395, while support holds at $3,316.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GBP/USD Weakens Ahead of PMI ReleasesGBP/USD fell to around 1.3405 during Monday’s Asian session as safe-haven flows strengthened the US dollar amid rising Middle East tensions. Fears of Iranian retaliation after US airstrikes on three nuclear sites lifted demand for the Greenback. Trump said Iran’s facilities were “totally obliterated” and warned of stronger attacks unless peace is reached. Iran vowed to respond, saying it “reserves all options.” Investors await June PMI data from the UK and US due later Monday. The Pound remains under pressure after UK retail sales dropped 2.7% MoM in May, well below the expected 0.5% decline and April’s revised 1.3% gain. The BoE held rates at 4.25% last Thursday. Governor Bailey said rates are on a gradual downward path but warned of global unpredictability. Reuters expects 25 bps cuts in both August and Q4. Resistance is seen at 1.3500, while support holds at 1.3415.
by ChartMage
Trump’s Strike on Iran Lifts Dollar, Weighs on EuroEUR/USD dipped to around 1.1480 in early Asian trading Monday as the dollar strengthens following President Trump’s decision to join Israel’s war on Iran, escalating the conflict. Over the weekend, US forces struck three Iranian nuclear sites; Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump claimed the facilities were “totally obliterated” and warned of harsher attacks unless Iran seeks peace. The escalation supports safe-haven demand for the dollar, pressuring EUR/USD. Meanwhile, the ECB cut rates for the eighth time this year but signaled a pause in July. President Lagarde said cuts are nearing an end, which may help limit euro losses. Resistance is located at 1.1530, while support is seen at 1.1450
by ChartMage
Yen Falls Despite Japan’s Manufacturing ReboundThe yen fell past 146 on Monday, its lowest in over five weeks, as the US dollar gained on safe-haven demand after US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites escalated Middle East tensions. Domestically, Japan’s manufacturing sector grew in June for the first time since May 2024, and services expanded for a third straight month, showing economic resilience. The key resistance is at $148.15 meanwhile the major support is located at $146.15.
by ChartMage
Silver Pulls Back After Multi-Year HighSilver fell 2% to $35.60 per ounce, marking its third straight session in the red. The decline followed a powerful rally to 13-year highs, as traders took profits and sold off precious metals to offset losses from geopolitical turmoil. The Fed’s steady-rate stance and warning on inflation risks tied to Trump’s new tariffs also weighed on sentiment. Adding pressure, a massive metals discovery in Argentina was confirmed, estimated to contain over 80 million ounces of gold and silver, one of the largest finds in decades. First resistance is at 37.50, while support starts at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Falls as Mideast Tensions RiseGold dropped below $3,360 per ounce, hitting a one-week low and on track for its first weekly decline in three. Investors trimmed holdings to cover losses in other markets, with risk sentiment shaken by the intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran. Israeli strikes reportedly targeted key sites in Tehran following an Iranian missile strike on an Israeli hospital. Uncertainty also surrounds the US response, with President Trump weighing direct military action. A decision is expected within two weeks. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and signaling two potential cuts this year, Chair Powell cautioned that tariffs could push inflation higher. New Fed projections flagged slower growth, higher prices, and weaker job markets in 2025. This could limit rate cuts, dampening gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Resistance is seen at $3,370, while support holds at $3,316.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Slips as Fed Stays HawkishEUR/USD hovered near 1.1520 during Friday’s Asian session, extending gains for a third day as the US dollar weakened, likely due to a technical pullback. However, the greenback may rebound as safe-haven demand grows amid rising tensions between the US and Iran. Citing senior US intelligence, The New York Times reported that Iran hasn’t yet decided to pursue nuclear weapons, despite having enriched uranium reserves. Meanwhile, the Senate Intelligence Committee Chair said President Trump is set to offer Iran one final window to negotiate before considering military action, potentially delaying any decisions for up to two weeks. Markets are also awaiting Friday’s Monetary Policy Report from the Federal Reserve, which will provide fresh insights into the Fed’s stance. On the Euro side, the ECB’s hawkish outlook offered additional support, with President Christine Lagarde suggesting rate cuts may soon end as the central bank remains “well positioned” to handle persistent risks. Resistance is located at 1.1530, while support is seen at 1.1450
by ChartMage
Yen Edges Higher as Inflation SurgesThe Japanese yen traded stronger near 145 per dollar, rebounding as Japan’s core inflation rose for the third straight month to 3.7%, its highest since January 2023. The data strengthens expectations that the Bank of Japan may continue policy tightening. Earlier in the week, the BOJ held rates at 0.5% but highlighted how rising wages are being passed on to consumers, keeping inflation elevated. Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized a data-driven path forward, keeping the door open for more hikes if needed. The key resistance is at $145.30, while the major support is located at $142.50.
by ChartMage
Silver Consolidates After Hitting Multi-Year HighSilver holds near $36.75 in Thursday’s Asian session, steady after a slight pullback from its highest level since February 2012. The trend remains bullish, suggesting more upside. A sustained move above $36.45–$36.50 confirmed a breakout from a descending channel, forming a bullish flag. The RSI has eased from overbought, and momentum indicators support a positive near-term outlook. The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Climbs as Israel-Iran Conflict DeepensGold rose toward $3,380 on Thursday, recovering earlier losses as safe-haven demand grew amid the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, now in its seventh day. Reports say Israel hit over 20 sites near Tehran, including nuclear and missile facilities, while the U.S. may join the strikes, raising fears of a broader war. Meanwhile, the Fed held rates steady Wednesday but signaled two possible cuts this year, despite high inflation and slowing growth. The move followed renewed pressure from President Trump for deeper cuts. Resistance is seen at $3,370, while support holds at $3,316
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
BoE in Focus as GBP/USD Nears 1.3410GBP/USD remains under pressure for a third day, trading near 1.3410 in Thursday’s Asian session, as safe-haven demand strengthens the US Dollar amid Israel-Iran tensions. The BoE is expected to hold rates at 4.25% today. UK inflation eased to 3.4% in May from 3.5%, in line with forecasts but still above the 2% target. Markets still price in about 48 basis points of BoE cuts by year-end. Resistance is seen at 1.3440, while support holds at 1.3260.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Slips as Fed Stays HawkishEUR/USD fell toward 1.1465 in Thursday’s Asian session, pressured by a risk-off mood as Middle East tensions rise. The focus shifts to speeches from ECB officials Lagarde, Nagel, and de Guindos for further guidance. On Wednesday, the Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.50% and signaled a slower pace of cuts, citing inflation risks from Trump’s new tariffs. The FOMC still projects two cuts in 2025 Bloomberg reported the US may strike Iran in the coming days, raising safe-haven demand for the dollar and adding pressure on the euro. ECB’s Lagarde said rate cuts are nearly done and that the ECB is well-positioned to manage current uncertainties. Resistance is located at 1.1475, while support is seen at 1.1415
by ChartMage