Bitcoin - More blood will follow (Do not buy now, buy here!)Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the banks and huge institutions. They sent Bitcoin down just to make your Christmas and New Year celebrations bad. But luckily I warned you about this crash a few days ago, just before it happened in my previous analysis, when almost everyone was drunk with strong greed. Bitcoin crashed by 15% so far; altcoins are down by 30% to 70%.
The last days were very profitable, but let's focus on the future, because that's the most important. Bitcoin bounced a bit from 92k to 99k, giving players hope that the bottom is in. But do not be fooled, this looks like a corrective move for multiple reasons.
The first reason is that the crash was extremely fast and strong, pretty much no one expected such a drop in the short term. My Elliott Wave analysis suggests that this is a strong impulse wave 12345 and therefore the start of a larger corrective structure ABC. We have finished wave A, now we are in wave B, and we can expect wave C to finish at around 85k! You want to take a Fibonacci extension, as you can see on my chart.
I strongly recommend waiting for 85k because we have an unfilled FVGAP on the daily chart, and this needs to be tested. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Zigzag
BITCOIN → High risk. Falling towards 70K or rising towards 100K?BINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a correction phase after Powell's speech last week. If the price goes beyond the accumulation boundaries, there will be a risk for a strong fall as the price is approaching the panic zone...
Bitcoin is still in high demand, but private traders are going into a phase of profit taking after negative news, while institutional traders are taking advantage of the moment and buying the asset at a cheap price. But it doesn't mean anything.
Fundamentally, Trump gives a big chance to the cryptocurrency market, but after winning the presidential election the excitement starts to fade and then the risk of revaluation increases. If the market does not get what it was promised, a deep correction may occur. Also, the Fed played a negative role last week: slowing down the rate cuts and negative tone about the strategic reserve and reluctance to have BTC on their balance sheet.
Technically, despite the breakout of the ascending channel support, the price is still inside the 99K - 86K consolidation
Resistance levels: 99300, 103600
Support levels: 91780, 86700, 82700
The price is approaching the support. If the market keeps the price in this zone, bitcoin will have a chance to recover to 100K. But, if the fight for 86-84K zone starts, then everything will depend on the general market background, a negative background can provoke a breakdown of strong support and the price will fall into the void zone...
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows
Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates.
In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency.
Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633
Support levels: 2606, 2590
Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction before further declineFX:XAUUSD is testing the zones of interest within the counter-trend correction after it managed to break a rather strong level earlier. The fundamental background is not very good, there is bearish pressure on the market.
The negative impact on gold is built around the hawkish stance of the Fed (inflation, Trump's future policy and the economic data of the last two weeks). The cycle of interest rate cuts may slow to 2 rate cuts for 2025.
Friday's correction is mainly due to PCE data, but I don't think it will change the global picture.
Towards the end of the year, it is logical to reduce liquidity in the markets, which could increase mispriced volatility in the market. Be careful!
The gold market is still supported by the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Technically, price is forming a flag after a strong decline. At the moment the price is inside the pattern and for trading it is worth paying attention to the boundaries of the local channel.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2631, 2640
Support levels: 2606, 2560
Emphasis on 2620. If the bears break the level and keep the defense below the level, it can generally increase the pressure, which will provoke the price drop.
But I do not rule out an attempt to break the channel resistance and retest 2640-2650 before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Consolidation in the selling zone. FX:EURUSD is coming out of a prolonged consolidation. As part of counter-trend correction, the price is testing the previously broken support and trying to consolidate in the selling zone.
The fundamental background has become sharply negative since last week, which generally determines the medium-term potential for the currency pair.
The rate cuts in the US have slowed down, but in Europe they are going to continue to cut rates. Trump's policy with his tariff system will also put negative pressure on the EURO.
Technically, against the background of a strong rallying dollar, the euro has almost no chance.
If the bears keep the defense below 1.0448 and focus on breaking the support, the currency pair may head towards 1.022 in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.022
At the moment, the focus is on the two nearest resistances. It is possible to retest these zones and try to defend their borders from the buyer's side, but there are not many chances. A breakdown and fixing of the price in the selling zone will strengthen further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Short to medium term perspectiveFX:XAUUSD after breaking through the support and updating the local minimum is returning to the area of 2620-2625, fueling the hopes of the bulls for possible growth. But, the medium-term picture for gold is not stable. Let's understand
The strong dollar, which soared to local highs is a threat to gold going forward, as the Fed's hints of halting the rate cut course and adopting a hawkish stance on monetary policy has affected the market quite aggressively. There are 2 rate cuts pledged for 2025. Not to forget Trump's policies in general - the impact on rising inflation....
There are two interesting charts online that should not be overlooked:
Statistics play an important role in shaping prices, but it is worthwhile to base this on actual fundamental and technical data. You should not use these statistical charts as primary data, but you can take them into account. We will analyze the dollar in terms of cycles and possible reversal in the second half of January and further as Trump acts....
As for gold, technically, in the short and medium term, I expect the decline to continue for the following reasons:
- the bearish structure is confirmed
- a localized retest of the zone of interest and imbalance is forming before a further fall.
- The bearish trend has not broken within the framework of the December 10-13 movement.
- price updates local lows
We continue to follow the zones: 2631-2636 and 2650
Regards R. Linda!
PNUTUSDT → Double bottom. One step away from a rally BINANCE:PNUTUSDT.P accumulates good potential for possible growth by 30-50%. After a strong fall (Dump), a reversal pattern appears on the chart.
Against the background of bitcoin standing still, pnut forms a double bottom and enters the rally phase. There is resistance at 0.75 ahead. If the coin can break this zone and keep the defense above the level, the coin can fly to 1.0 in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 0.75, 1.0
Support levels: 0.6
If the bulls can overcome the strong resistance of 0.75 and can consolidate above this area, we have a great coin with good upside potential. Primary target is 1.0, next targets are 1.15, 1.35.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows.
On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs.
Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up.
From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2622
Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560
Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall
Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction.
Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665
Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245
After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline
With Respect R. Linda!
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market.
The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected.
The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling.
Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims.
Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636
Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603
After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing.
The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562.
Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817
Support levels: 0.575, 0.562
I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Finally time for a drop! (alien technology)Bitcoin (crypto) is a technology that was brought to planet Earth by alien species. You probably heard of Grays, Reptilians, and Dracos from TV or YouTube. These days they are everywhere, and they are represented as evil to humanity. They infiltrated the government, presidential candidates, and big companies. They are here, but you don't see them. You can watch the following interview with a reptilian: www.youtube.com
Crypto technology is not new in the galaxy, and humans didn't invent it. But let's take a look at the price action. The Bitcoin bullish cycle is coming to an end. I think the end will be around 125,000 USDT, so you don't want to buy the TOP. We can expect a 60% to 50% correction in 2025/2026 - that would be 60k per Bitcoin.
At the top of each bullish cycle, many people get stuck with their holdings by buying near-all-time highs, then experience a massive crash in their account due to extremely high Bitcoin volatility. In the short- term, I expect a pullback to the bottom of the parallel channel, profit 1: 99405, profit 2: 94700.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → Ahead is the Fed and the rate decision. What to do?FX:XAUUSD tested strong support on Tuesday at 2633 before traders moved into a buying phase, hoping a possible rate cut would support their intentions
There is a 93% probability that the Fed may cut interest rates by 0.25%. But the thing to pay attention to here is the general backdrop - the Fed's stance. Hawkish hints about 2025 could have a much bigger impact than a rate cut, which is partially already factored in by the market.
Any hint of fewer rate cuts next year could be a growth driver for the dollar. Powell's comments play an important role in assessing the situation for next year against the backdrop of Trump's policies
Downside risks for gold are quite high due to the controversial situation in favor of the Fed's hawkish stance.
Technically, the emphasis is on the local channel. A price exit beyond 2658 or 2633 will be accompanied by a strong impulse.
Resistance levels: 2658, 2675
Support levels: 2645, 2633, 2620
The situation is very controversial and complicated, that's why several directions relative to the key zones are indicated on the chart.
Everything depends not only on the actual rate numbers, but also on the Fed comments, namely we are interested in the tone and stance for next year. Recommendation - skip trading before the event and wait until volatility decreases to be able to adequately perceive the market position
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Consolidation of price in the sell zoneFX:USDJPY reaches a strong resistance at 153.87 within an uptrend. Will this direction continue, as the Fed rate meeting is ahead....
Fundamentally, today is a big day for the markets. At 19:00 GMT the Fed rate meeting, where with a 93% probability the decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% will be made, which will make the dollar less attractive, but for how long, given Trump's policy?
Accordingly, the dollar is in a consolidation phase, traders are waiting. If the dollar starts a downward correction, it will affect the currency pair accordingly. But I do not exclude that on the background of high volatility the price may form a retest of resistance and a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 154.95, 156.75
Support levels: 151.44, 159.69
At the moment, after the retest of 0.79 fibo and the key resistance at 153.877, the price is consolidating in the selling zone. The fundamental background may increase the pressure, which may lead to a fall.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Manipulation ahead of a possible rate cutFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of 2658 (0.5 fibo). We can say that this is a manipulation before a possible growth. Technically gold has a neutral trend. The emphasis is on support.
Markets continue to consider the possibility that the Fed will lower interest rate by 0.25% on Wednesday. This could spark a bearish rally in the dollar, which would be favorable for gold, which is heading for support. But here we should also take into account the comments of the Fed, which based on economic data is beginning to question its decisions and change into a hawk. The suspension of the rate cut cycle in January may put pressure on the markets, including gold, but this problem is postponed until 2025. Today all eyes are on retail sales.
Technically, gold is flat and heading for strong support....
Resistance levels: 2646, 2658
Support levels: 2633, 2620, 2617
Price is heading towards support before the news. Manipulation before a possible rise? The probability is high :)
We are waiting for support retest, false breakdown and possible growth to the mentioned targets
Regards R. Linda!
XRP → Flag on the back of a strong rally. Going higher?BINANCE:XRPUSD after a strong rally forms consolidation in the format of a flag. According to technical aspects it is a prerequisite for continuation of the main movement. The price is testing the resistance of the figure...
There is not much left to the key point - ATH. After a strong bullish growth the coin has been consolidating for two weeks, in general, on the background of a strong bull market this may be enough. Now we should wait until the price leaves the channel and the bulls keep the defense above the key zones, for example 2.658.
In general, the potential of the project is quite positive, a lot of problems have been solved recently, which put enormous pressure on Ripple.
Resistance levels: 2.6585, 2.8724, 3.063
Support levels: 2.473, 2.20
The coin is accumulating pre-breakout potential in the upper part of the local channel, which generally indicates which way the price is going to go. Breaking through resistance and consolidation of the price above 2.6585 will be a good confirmation of readiness for growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction before a possible fall FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid last week's economic data. The price is returning to the channel and in general confirms the bearish character on the market.
Markets are ready for a 0.25% interest rate cut, but traders are waiting for hints on the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will continue to cut rates, go into a wait-and-see mode, or hint at a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. The gold price is also receiving support from renewed tensions in the Middle East and political turmoil in South Korea.
Technically, after the false breakout of 2721 a deep correction is forging, which generally develops into a localized downtrend. The price is approaching the panic zone 2615-2600. At the Asian session a correction is forming and it is worth paying attention to the key resistance zones
Resistance levels: 2667, 2675, 2685
Support levels: 2646, 2633
The price is heading towards the imbalance zone within the correction. A quick approach and retest of resistance could trigger a rebound. Traders may enter the phase of profit taking before strong news
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Consolidation before Fed Interest Rate DecisionFX:EURUSD is in a consolidation phase, as is the dollar index. The outcome could be decided this week. Traders are waiting for the FED meeting on US interest rates
Globally the trend is neutral, but the price is consolidating near the key support that has been holding the market for two years. Aggressive interest rate cuts in Europe are putting overall negative pressure on the currency pair. The dollar may go into a downward correction if the decision to cut interest rates is made on December 17-18. But any hint of hawkish policy on the part of the Fed may strengthen the dollar, which will intensify the decline in EURUSD
Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.065
Support levels: 1.045, 1.033
Based on interest, amid the downtrend, the price has not yet reached the key liquidity zone. Before important news, the market may reach 1.0607. But based on the technical and fundamental background, the fall may continue, and a breakdown of 1.0448 will strengthen this fall.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the breakout. When do we go up?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse
Globally, the coin is still in the phase of realizing a global " cup and handle ", which I reminded one of the first back in August:
A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution).
But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful
Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K
Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K
Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BTC → Consolidation Before The Breakout When Do We Go Up?BINANCE:BNBUSDT continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse
A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution).
But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful
Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K
Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K
Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high