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EURUSD → Weak market. The target is 1.06. But, news... FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation, characteristic of a pre-breakout, against a key support line as the dollar index continues to gain support and hold north. A strong bearish situation is developing on D1. There is no strong buyer in the market that can turn around a weak market under pressure from strong bears. The market is below the MA200-MA50 daily moving averages and is also forming consolidation relative to the support, which with a high degree of probability speaks about the intentions to go lower. On H4 the price is in consolidation, above the local maximum is the area of liquidity, as well as resistance, which can test the market before the subsequent decline. BUT! Today's news. Traders are waiting for PCE inflation data.... Resistance levels: 1.07238, 1.07816 Support levels: 1.0664, 1.0606 Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is in a neutral-negative outlook. If the fundamental background does not change today, I will still stick to the downward movement to 1.06- 1.055. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GBPCAD → Trend Change. The fall may continue to 1.710OANDA:GBPCAD breaks the uptrend, a bearish rally is forming and the price is testing local support. A break of the liquidity area will renew the sell-off against a weaker GBP and a rising CAD. Pound sterling is moving from accumulation to realization and downward distribution on the background of expectations that the UK central bank will start an earlier interest rate cut relative to the US Fed. The Canadian, on the contrary, is growing on the background of monetary policy tightening in the country. The resistance at 1.7336 plays a key role for the currency pair at the moment. A false breakdown (touching the SMA) is possible before the subsequent price drop, a breakdown of 1.7297 will strengthen the sell-off. Resistance levels: 1.7336, 1.7387, 1.7415. Support levels: 1.7297, 1.7228 I expect consolidation in the local range, which may turn into a phase of further decline. Key liquidity zones are 1.7228 - 1.7085. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GOLD → Correction before the news. Bears may resist ↓FX:XAUUSD after falling to 2293 is forming a correction before the news as traders are shrugging off fear of unpredictability. Important news ahead that determines the medium term strategy Traders are waiting for US GDP and PCE inflation data. Bullish data against the dollar could hurt the price of gold quite a bit, which could head towards 2220 and get a downward correction phase change to a downtrend. Regulators are still sticking to the fact that inflation is high and it is still hard to fight it. Technically, price is forming a bounce. Local rally is directed towards interest and liquidity: 2315-2325. Possible retest of local resistance before the news, if the general mood does not change, the fall will continue from the above zones. But, a break of the resistance at 2325 will bring the market back to the range boundaries.... Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2332 Support levels: 2306, 2397, 2287 Unpredictable news makes trading difficult, but based on the current data the market is bearish, there is no big buyer yet, local data may form a shakeout and increased volatility, after the exhaustion of which traders may return to sell-offs of metal Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22
GOLD → An attempt to break H4-D1 support. Fear?FX:XAUUSD is updating the low. The breakdown of the structure confirms the dominant bearish potential. But, the price is moving reluctantly in anticipation of the news. There could be a retest of resistance (trap) before falling. The dollar is strongly bullish. The US market situation is difficult and regulators have hinted more often about rate hike, inflation is uncontrollably rising and this is a negative scenario for the markets. The situation in the Middle East is heating up: the Israeli army continues to pull heavy military equipment to the borders of Lebanon. The intensification of the conflict will increase the interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. At the moment, technically, gold is in a selling zone, as the price is breaking the strong support area H4-D1. A retest is possible before the subsequent fall (if the overall fundamental environment does not change dramatically). Resistance levels: 2326, 2332, 2341 Support levels: 2315, 2306, 2297 Traders are waiting for the US GDP, which will be released tomorrow. Traders expect the DXY to continue its northward course, accordingly, the expensive dollar on gold may have a negative impact... Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
32
PEPE → The end of the correction may take us back to an uptrend BINANCE:PEPEUSDT - the meme coin is showing signs of a possible end to the correction and a return of price to the bullish trend continuation phase. On the local timeframe, the price forms an exit beyond the resistance of the descending channel, characteristic of the correction against the background of the bullish trend. Against the background of bitcoin capitulation and the general mass of altcoins, the meme coin PEPE looks quite cheerful. The price can move into the phase of the 5th wave realization if the bulls can keep the defense above 0.0000114. The next boundary is the range resistance. The breakout of this area will be a green traffic light signal for the buyers, the potential of which could strengthen the price towards ATH Resistance levels: 0.0000125 Support levels: 0.0000114, 0.00001084 I expect that the bulls will do their job and will soon be able to bring the price to the nearest resistance, where a fierce struggle for further space between buyers and sellers may take place. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
USDJPY → False break of support, Yen weakens. 160.0 again?FX:USDJPY fell under the correction wave, which was caused by the liquidation of buyers based on the change in the fundamental sentiment of the dollar index. It didn't last long. Buyers liquidation on the back of strong bullish trend. (A big player collects the position) In general, both technically and fundamentally, the situation remains unfavorable for the Japanese yen. The national currency may continue to weaken and thus test the current ATH. False breakdown of trend support brings the price back to the range of 155.95-157.23. Possible retest of resistance with the subsequent breakout and growth to the far liquidity zones. Resistance levels: 157.23, 158.44 Support levels: 155.95, 154.77 The bulls should hold the defense above 155.95 with the aim to continue rising. The intermediate key point is 157.23 with the possibility of further breakout and growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Trading inside the range. 2340 zone of interest FX:XAUUSD is not preparing to leave the local ascending channel (the nature of the channel is corrective-consolidation), as traders do not seek premature action before the news The U.S. market is facing another problem: slowing economic growth and rising inflation is leading to recession, no matter how much the authorities deny it. Accordingly, the phase of active currency support may continue and this may have a negative impact on the metal price. Today CB Consumer Confidence - the indicator can give some idea about the mood on the market, but in general traders are waiting for the US GDP, which will be published on Thursday. Neutral data is expected, but there is a high probability that the actual data will be different from the expected... Resistance levels: 2341, 2354 Support levels: 2326, 2315, 2305 The general mood is neutral, the big players are not in a hurry to act and are consolidating. Technically, gold may strengthen to 2340 (area of interest and liquidity) within the range. The bulls may stop the micro rally and turn the price to the support, if the market maker is not enough, the price may strengthen to 2354 before coming back down Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
Bitcoin - Ultimate 2025 target + Name your coinBitcoin should bounce soon from the 62,400 level and continue in the bull market to an all-time high. Why 62,400? All details are in my previous analysis in the related section down below. Critical news: Looking at AI-generated images and listening to AI music causes internal mental bleeding. Regulations on AI will follow. Bad news for AI crypto coins? (Source: X). Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy Acquires 11.9K More Bitcoin for $786M. The company now holds 226,331 bitcoins worth just shy of $15 billion. The company's bitcoins were purchased at an average price of $36,798 each. (Source: CoinDesk). To establish the ultimate profit target for the whole bull run, we need to use the Fibonacci extension and Elliott Wave theory. Throw away all Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin and use only following that works: 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618, 2.000, 2.382, 2.618, 3.000 etc......First, we need to make an Elliott Wave count, and after that, we can use the Fibonacci extension tool. As per my Elliott Wave count, we are in the final wave (5) of the whole bull cycle. That means we are in an impulse wave (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) and finishing the fifth wave. In general, to establish the profit target for wave (5), we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool from the start of the bull market, to wave (3), to wave (4). Usually, we want to target the 0.382 fib extension or the 0.618 fib extension. But in this case, it seems to be too low, so I am targeting a 1:1 FIB extension because of the wave (2) look. This gives us a profit target of 114,853. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Also, name your coin in the comment section and I will tell you my opinion + TA. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Long
by Xanrox
269
GOLD → Correction after the rally. Bears still dominateFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session, buyers are trying to hold the defense above 2325 and redeem part of Friday's fall. Fundamental background remains negative. Idea: GOLD → Bears are engulfing the market. What's next? We discussed a possible rebound and the strength of the bear market. The price consolidation above the strong support at 2326 opens the range for maneuvering and may allow traders to strengthen to 2341 (2354) - the area of interest, the target of such maneuvering may be the liquidity inside the range, formed within Friday's rally by those who tried to catch the departing train. If 2341 will be confirmed and the bears will not let the price go beyond its limits, the market may go into the sell-off phase again. Investors this week are interested in GDP and PCE, which are released in the second half of the week, the first half of the trading week may be relatively quiet. Resistance levels: 2341, 2354 Support levels: 2325, 2315, channel support I expect the correction to continue to the area of liquidity and interest. A major player may gather the rest of the potential before further movement in one direction or the other. Watch the price reaction to the level of 2341, which may determine either a fall or further growth to 2354. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Bears are engulfing the market. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is hit by a strong wave of selling on optimistic fundamental data in the US market. A takeover is forming on the chart, which clearly makes traders panic. Technically, buyers who showed interest in the metal, which started the strengthening phase from the middle of the month got under liquidation. The sellers are not ready to let the price go beyond 2350-2360 and staged a bearish rally, energized by the fundamental background, which sharply strengthened towards the already bullish dollar. Geopolitical tensions are still at a high level, the reason for this: rumors that the Israeli army approved an offensive against Lebanon. Toward the end of last week, the dollar both looked and continues to look quite strong, on the back of upbeat S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data. The index rose to 51.7 in the June estimate from 51.3 in May, while the services PMI rose to 55.1 from 54.8, showing continued expansion of private sector business activity at a rapid pace. Traders are awaiting U.S. GDP to be released on Thursday and on Friday the BEA will release PCE price index data for May, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Resistance levels: 2325, 2332, 2340, 2355 Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2290 Overall, traders may try to buy back some of Friday's decline from local bullish channel support and test the resistance and liquidity area of 2332-2340. But a number of technical and fundamental patterns point to a negative backdrop, and this could generally signal a continuation of the decline after a small correction. Active selling may intensify with a downward breakout of 2316-2320 level Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
7
BITCOIN → Liquidation and retest of support. When is 74K?BINANCE:BTCUSD is not ready to pass through 71500 yet and continues the correction phase, testing local lows and liquidating buyers in order to increase the position of a major player. Consolidation is clearly visible on the higher timeframes. The resistance area of 71500 plays an important role for the market, a breakout and consolidation of the price above this area will mean that the market is ready to go higher than 74K, but, the market has not yet gathered the potential and, therefore, the consolidation continues. Bitcoin is currently in the range of 71500 - 64500. It is worth paying attention to the upward support, marking a bullish trend, and the 64500 area. The bulls will actively defend this area and if they fail, the price will head towards 61500 - 59000, 56400, but the most likely scenario is a false breakdown of 64500 followed by price strengthening to the resistance of the 71500 range. Support levels: 64500, rising line, 61500 Resistance levels: 70000, 71500 The coin continues to consolidate. Sooner or later this phase will move to the phase of realization (distribution), based on the general data it may be growth, but no one excludes dump and retest of lower liquids zones before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
67
EURUSD (1971 analysis) - 23% Crash will follow!EURUSD has been in a long-term downtrend since the financial crisis of 2008. On the chart, we can see that EURUSD started its downtrend at the top of the major rising wedge chart pattern. The rising wedge pattern broke bearish in 2015, and the price retested it in 2018. Since then, the price has been going down and has broken another trendline (2000 - 2022), which is a double breakdown. Right now, there are absolutely no signs of strength on this chart, and I expect a pretty severe 23% crash in the next years. Does it mean that the DXY index will go up? Definitely yes. The downtrend is confirmed, and from a technical perspective, there is currently pretty much nothing bullish. How to take advantage of this analysis? What you should consider is to avoid long positions and focus on short positions instead to increase the probability of successful trades. So what are the next major support levels on the way down? I don't really see any major support until 0.87617. This is a strong level because it's the POC (point of control) of the previous mini triangle that was formed during the years 2000 and 2002. I am expecting a pretty strong bounce, but this will probably not be the bottom. The next support is at 0.82311 because this is the major swing low of 2000 and it provides a lot of liquidity. A lot of traders may capitulate around this level. Big players can take advantage of it and buy EUR with a large amount of money. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
22
GOLD → The mood is shifting. Resistance is broken... FX:XAUUSD breaks through downside range resistance and consolidates in bullish territory, opening up potential at 2365-2387. Signs that the US labor and housing markets are cooling keep hopes for a September Fed rate cut alive, with an ECB rate cut helping to keep the gold price afloat. Another important nuance that makes investors wary: A meeting between the Russian President and the North Korean leader earlier this week, which confirms the tensions in geopolitics. For now, all eyes are on the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services in the U.S. and the Fed Monetary Policy Report, which may shed more light on the economic outlook There is still pressure on the market, but the price movement is detached from the dollar (correlation is decreasing), which indicates that the mood towards the metal is changing. Resistance levels: 2365, 2387 Support levels: 2354, 2340 Technically, traders may try to break the resistance of 2365, if it succeeds, and the probability is high enough, we can go to 2387, then we need to watch the price reaction to the area. In case of false breakdown there is a probability to return to the support. It is also worth taking into account the broken resistance that was not tested earlier Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
GBPUSD → The market maker's trap. Ready to go down ↓ ?FX:GBPUSD is losing after a prolonged struggle for resistance. A major player does not let the market beyond 1.2800. On the background of the dollar growth, the currency pair may change the local trend The fundamental background is unstable, the US dollar is still going through Wednesday, but based on the position of regulators the dollar looks ready to strengthen further, which is generally negative for GBPUSD. On D1, the area of 1.285-1.28 is worth watching. A major player is not still holding the barrier of limit resistance zones. After a shakeout and liquidity grab (trap from the market maker), the market is ready to go down as the current zones of interest are 1.258-1.257, 125. Support levels: 1.271, 1.265 Resistance levels: 1.28 Technically, we should wait for a pre-breakdown consolidation and subsequent breakout of 1.271, or price consolidation below this area. Having received confidence and confirmation of readiness to decline, we can wait for the previously mentioned targets. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
EURUSD → Readiness for further decline. Target 1.0600FX:EURUSD is in a bearish channel. The price is below the resistance at 1.0725, there is a possibility of retesting the liquidity area before further decline. The fundamental background is weak and the actual target is 1.0606 Globally, the market is neutral-bearish. The lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle on D1 is the actual target (testing the liquidity area). Based on the general situation on H4 it is worth paying attention to such zones as: Resistance: 1.0725 (possible false breakout) Support: 1.069 (breakdown. Consolidation below will activate sell-offs). The market has a potential of about 1.10%. No news today, the fundamental and technical background is still in place. Resistance levels: 1.0725, 1.0812 Support levels: 1.069, 1.0606 On the daily timeframe, last week is closing very poorly, which most likely may hint at a possible continuation of the decline. The key target has not been reached yet, the potential is open. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Bitcoin - Final capitulation before a new ATH (62k)Bitcoin is almost ready for the final capitulation event at 62k. Is this a lifetime opportunity to buy BTC and catch the bottom? Definitely yes, you can do it pretty precisely at 62402 with your limit order. Why is this level so important? The most important is the 0.618 Fibonacci level that we can measure in the previous impulse wave. Second, we have an unfilled Fair Value GAP (FVGAP) that was created on May 15, 2024, during a significant pump. But with these types of GAPS, they tend to get filled, so the probability is relatively high. Third, we have the Point of Control (POC) of the previous market structure. You can see this level on the volume profile indicator on the left side of the chart.  Levels around 62k are really significant, and we can expect a strong reaction from them. But what about Elliott Wave analysis? My Elliott Wave count suggests, that the previous uptrend is definitely an impulse wave (12345), which gives us more confidence in the overall bull run. Now, the corrective wave (WXY) is in progress, and we need to find its bottom. At this point, we don't really know if it will be a WXY (double three) or WXYXZ (triple three) pattern. But the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a strong support, and we should finish the corrective wave here! After we finish this corrective wave WXY, we can mark it as wave 2 of a higher impulse wave (higher degree) and prepare for a 3rd wave, which will lead us to an all-time high. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
78
GOLD → Shake up and bounce from MA-200 (D1) FX:XAUUSD is testing range and trend resistance, forming a false break of 2340 and touching MA-200 (D1). In the meantime, the dollar is strengthening and doesn't look like it's ready to give up.... Traders are expecting Initial Jobless Claims to be relatively lukewarm towards the US market. If the figure is lower than expected, it will provide additional support to the market, which would be a negative scenario for the metal price. Technically, the price is in a downtrend. In relation to the range of 2340-2300 a false resistance breakout is formed (liquidity capture). The strong movement is similar to a shakeout in nature. A retest is possible before a further fall to the lower liquidity zone. There is still no strong buyer on the market. Resistance levels: 2340, 2358 Support levels: 2332, 2325, 2315 With a retest target, the price may return to 2340, but there is no reason for gold to break the resistance yet. Consolidation below 2332 will send the price to 2315. BUT, provided the news is negative for the dollar, gold could test the trend resistance with a breakout target. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Bears are holding 2332. Possible shake up...FX:XAUUSD rises on Tuesday and Wednesday amid unexpectedly weak news in the US market, but at the same time the dollar does not tend to fall. Today is a day off in the US and gold is creeping up towards resistance. The price is resting in the strong resistance area of 2332, the limit resistance level formed by the sellers does not let the price go beyond it. Consequently, a shake up and subsequent false breakout may occur relative to the level, which may lead to a strong fall and liquidation, as there is no strong buyer in the gold market and the fundamental background is weak. The market is within the descending channel, but in the phase of consolidation, which sooner or later will move into the realization (distribution) phase. Before that a retest of the trend resistance is possible (capture of additional liquidity) Resistance levels: 2332, 2340, 2356 Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2305 The overall situation is that we may see another bearish rally. There are no reasons to break the trend resistance at the moment. The most likely scenario is a false breakout under current circumstances. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
7
NZDUSD → Local trend change? Moving down ↓ ?OANDA:NZDUSD breaks trend support amid a strong dollar. The currency pair could move to the downside if the bears hold the resistance area on their count. On the daily timeframe, the currency pair is inside the sideways channel, but at the same time breaks the ascending support line. Thus, the market is starting to look towards 0.6084 support as an area of interest. The US market has a day off today, so the volatility may be low, but nevertheless we have prerequisites for the beginning of the downward movement. If the bears keep the price below 0.6150-0.6140, the market may enter the phase of downward movement and head towards such targets as: 0.6083, 0.6000. Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6170, 0.6215 Support levels: 0.6083, 0.6000 At the moment the market is struggling for the area of 0.6140. Consolidation below the level or the beginning of the impulse to the support will confirm that the bears are holding the market, then we will have to wait for the achievement of the goals. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Support retest within the triangle before the news...FX:XAUUSD continues to be under strong pressure from sellers on the back of a strong dollar. The market failed to overcome the 2325 area and is heading for a support retest. Ahead of the news (Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales), increased volatility is expected. Traders are expecting neutral-bullish data against the US market. If the figures are higher than expected, gold may head lower. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, there is no strong buyer in the market yet, the rising dollar does not allow traders to take premature steps. The focus is on consolidation boundaries, a breakout of one or another boundary or level may trigger strong sell-offs (or buys). Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2340 Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2287 The chart and fundamental background speaks for itself. The news may have a temporary bullish impact on the market, but I don't think it can turn the market around under the current circumstances. The overall bearish background for gold is likely to continue this time around. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
EURCHF → A safe CHF could lead to a fall in the pairing OANDA:EURCHF is actively declining towards 0.9677 and is not ready to go up yet. Based on the general fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to fall towards 0.96 or 0.95 After a false breakdown of the range support, there is no strong reaction and the price returns to the level (retest). Fundamentally, CHF is stronger than EUR. The reason for the strong fall of the currency pair is the strong Swiss franc, which is getting stronger on the background of growing risks of recession in Europe, because in this case the Swiss franc plays the role of a hedge asset. The situation is such that determines the medium-term potential. The currency pair may continue to decline after the breakout and consolidation of the price below 0.9677. In addition, the decrease in the ECB interest rate is also a favorable background Resistance levels: 0.9738 Support levels: 0.9677 I expect that a retest of the support may lead to a breakout of the level, which will provoke a strong sell-off in the market. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Bitcoin - historical bull trap! + Name your altcoinMake sure you prepare for this huge historical bullish trap on Bitcoin. Why? First, look at the price action. We have a bullish flag, that's what everyone sees. The market makers count every cent on their accounts, and this is a pretty good opportunity for them to make a lot of money by trapping retail traders. What will a typical retail trader do in this situation? Probably buy/long BTC at around 71k to 75k. That's where the whales step in and start selling, sending BTC back to 63k! Why 63k? This is a strong support because we have an unfilled FVGAP + Point of control (POC) of the previous market structure. I really don't see any bullish sentiment during the summer season, as statistically, Bitcoin has been going sideways.  From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave 5 of the first impulse wave, which is of course very bullish for the long-term, but buying at the end of wave 5 is probably not a good idea. What successful traders generally do is wait for an ABC corrective pattern to form before buying. In the comment section, name your altcoin, and I will make a technical analysis for you and my opinion! Please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
261
GOLD → Is the market bearish and preparing for what?FX:XAUUSD has been facing strong bears since the opening of the session. The price returns under 2325 and forms a consolidation. Earlier there was a retest of a strong resistance area. The market is still bearish For the gold market the area of 2325 plays a key role at the moment. Bulls are not yet ready to overcome this area on the background of strong dollar and weak fundamental background for the metals market. A retest of 2325-2340 resistance is possible before further decline. As the market is still bearish and consolidation is forming, liquidation of buyers may follow in the nearest future. The prospective target is 2305-2290-2275. There is no news today, fundamental and technical background is negative. Resistance levels: 2325, 2340, 2356 Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2295 Technically, gold may test the local lows or even update the interim lows. There is still no strong buyer ready to fight against the whole market. The price is trading in a bearish range. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9