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GOLD → The news will determine the medium-term outlookFX:XAUUSD is updating the low and forming a false break of support. Fundamental and technical background is negative. A quick retest of 2328 may lead to a fall, but there is NEWS ahead! Before the news, gold goes into a local flat 2360 - 2330. The market is gathering potential and liquidity before the news. GDP and Initial Jobless Claims are ahead. This time traders expect an extremely low GDP: 1.6% This is generally negative for the US market, in general this figure is logical based on general market indicators, but traders pay attention to the actual data. It is also worth paying attention to Initial Jobless Claims. Technically, under the current circumstances, a decline is possible after a retest of resistance. But, if the news is contradictory, the price may break the resistance, consolidate above 0.236 Fibo and head towards 0.618 (25-30% probability). Resistance levels: 2343, 2347, 2354 Support levels: 2335, 2328, 2306 The gold market is dominated by bears on the background of general economic conditions. Globally, the trend is still bearish and a correction is forming within it. Today is a purely fundamental day and you should not get into the market before the news. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Break of the support of consolidation. Next is 2300?FX:XAUUSD is still bearish. The price is trying to leave the corrective range, which is formed after the false breakdown of support. The market is preparing to go lower. On the 1H timeframe it is becoming clear who is showing dominance in the market. There is no strong buy yet, apparently, before the GDP and PCE publication on Thursday and Friday, no one dares to enter the market early. (Presumably, the dollar may get another dose of support, which could weaken gold even more). I think that in the short term the price may retest 2335. Resistance levels: 2354, 2364 Support levels: 2335, 2328, 2306 Consolidation of the price below the previously broken local uptrend support (dotted line), will be a confirmation of the market's intention to go down. A quick retest of 2335 may lead to a break of support and further fall to 2300 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
EURUSD → False resistance breakout. Decline to 1.075?EURUSD is testing range resistance and forming a false breakout with further confirmation of the boundary. The bears are strong and are not letting the price beyond 1.0884 yet. On Thursday and Friday strong and important news are published. Traders are interested in US GDP and PCE. There is a high probability to see data that could be bullish for the dollar in the current circumstances. As for EURUSD - trading inside the range may continue. Technically, I am waiting for a bounce from the local trend support and a retest of the resistance before a further decline. Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942 Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736 False break of resistance is a confirmation that the price is not ready to go up yet. A breakdown of the scenario is possible, if the price breaks through and consolidates above 1.0884, but there are no reasons for that. We expect a breakout of 1.0836 with the purpose of further fall. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
EURUSD → A false breakout leads to a correction. 1.080?FX:EURUSD is forming a correction after a false breakdown. The movement is formed after updating the local highs. The fundamental background for the currency pair is positive. The false breakout occurs against the resistance at 1.0885, as well as the rising line limiting the trend. If the fundamental background persists, in this case the correction will not last long and the global bullish movement may start to recover. On H1 it is worth paying attention to the support: 1,080 (liquidity area), which the price may test. This boundary may become the lower zone of the new range, which may confirm the change of trend. Support levels: 1.080, 1.0766, 1.0736 Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942 Technically, a false breakdown of resistance and corrective downward movement is forming. Today there is no strong news and movements can be calm. Regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
NZDUSD → Trend Change. Consolidation before the impulse FX:NZDUSD is entering the consolidation phase after breaking the local trend resistance. On D1 the price enters a new range and on H1 a golden cross is formed. The dollar is standing still and losing positions since the opening of the session on the background of negative news. This is generally favorable for the currency pair. In this case, a retest of the support of the range forming above the bearish channel is possible with the aim of further growth. The currency pair has a potential and with the breakout of 0.604 the price may start to realize the accumulated potential and strengthen to 0.608 or 0.617. Resistance levels: 0.604 Support levels: 0.600, 0.5983 Most likely trading inside the range may continue. False breakdown of support and further strengthening to resistance is possible, but further price reaction to resistance will show us the readiness of the market to go in one direction or another. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD - Will double in price in a few years! (cup and handle)GOLD is at its all-time high levels and will continue in the price discovery action. Why? On the chart, you can see a cap and handle formation that is currently breaking out on the monthly chart. This is a huge event for gold, and therefore the price can double in a few years from now. Does it mean that we will see a multi-year bull market? Definitely yes. This cup and handle formation is fully confirmed. The monthly candle closed above the neckline of this pattern with a bullish engulfing candle.  How to trade? If you are an investor, simply buy gold and hold, you can expect a pretty good and reliable return in a few years. If you are a swing trader, I recommend trading with the trend and going for buy/long only strategies. Do not short gold on futures, as it will lower the probability of success. And if you are a day trader, also focus on long-only strategies, and you can potentially short GOLD, but only with limit orders that you put above the current price. Avoid trading bearish breakouts, as they tend to take liquidity (stop losses) and reverse.  What is the profit target for gold in 2026 or 2030? There is no historical price action, so to determine our profit targets, we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool and Elliott Wave theory with simple trendlines. On the chart, you see my Fibonacci projection (wave 1 -> wave 2). Usually, the market tends to react to the 1.0 extension, the 1.618 FIB extension, and the 2.0 extension. These are strong levels, but only for a short-term bounce. As my title says, I am expecting a huge bull market, so do not forget to follow my account to stay updated! Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xanrox
29
GOLD → Consolidation before distribution. $2,400 or $2,300?FX:XAUUSD after a false breakdown of the support of the range is forming a correction, but within the upward consolidation channel. The fundamental background is still negative. There is no strong news in the next two days, so the fundamental background remains the same. There is no strong buyer on the market yet and thus, gold may continue its downward movement if it breaks through the support area: the rising line or the approximate area of 2340. A break of the local uptrending support line will move the market into the realization phase, which will be a continuation of the decline. The structure may be broken if the price rises and consolidates above 2354. In this case, the price may head towards 2374. Resistance levels: 2354, 2358, 2370 Support levels: 2340, 2335, 2325 I expect that with high probability the decline may continue. But in the phase of waiting for strong news (Thursday and Friday), the market may gather liquidity. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Correction after strong sell-offs. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is trading in the range of 2335-2397. Bulls are trying to keep the price from falling, countering the market in the 2330-2340 area. A rebound may reach local liquidity zones. At the moment the market is bearish but also volatile. Any news could have a strong impact on the dolar and gold. In the mid-term, since after a false break of support a rebound is forming, which is developing within a possible fourth wave, this movement may reach the local liquidity areas 2354, 2368 before a possible further fall. It is worth paying attention to the nearest resistance areas and any market reaction in the form of weakness may give a corresponding reaction - a decline. Resistance levels: 2354, 2368, 2374 Support levels: 2335 Today is a holiday in the USA and the market volatility may be low. A correction is forming, the purpose of which is to collect liquidity. The fall may continue from local reversal zones. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
CADCHF → Realization phase. Growth after breakthroughOANDA:CADCHF may continue its growth after confirmation of bulls' intentions. CHF is weakening faster than CAD, which in general will favorably affect the currency pair. We expect the growth to 0.68 The price is breaking the global resistance, as well as moving the consolidation pattern into the realization phase. Consolidation of the price above the previously broken trend boundary will be a great sign that the currency pair is ready to go higher. Fundamentally, the situation is relatively stable, which is generally positive for us. Ahead of resistance 0.6722, the level can be broken after a quick retest. The formation of a bullish impulse is possible. Resistance levels: 0.6722 Support levels: 0.6694, 0.6655 Technically and fundamentally conditions are favorable. We are waiting for confirmation of the signal with the purpose of further growth to the previously mentioned targets. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD → There is no big buyer in the market. Moving to 2300?FX:XAUUSD continues to update lows amid a bearish wave based on fundamental (economic) reasons. The market after a pullback may be willing to continue falling. On D1 the outlook and situation is in the hands of bears. There is no big buyer on the market, who could turn the market around (not yet). Accordingly, a correction is forming due to liquidity captured by the false breakdown relative to 2335. Within the counter-trend correction, the price may test the density zone of 2354 before further declines. A pre-breakdown consolidation or a quick retest of 2335 will form the potential for further decline. Resistance levels: 2354, 2374 Support levels: 2335, 2306 False breakdown and stop from 2335 is most likely temporary. Keep an eye on local resistances, a false breakdown could be a motivation for sellers. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
4
GBPUSD → A false breakout draws a pin bar. Sellers are winning FX:GBPUSD is forming a test of the resistance level at 1.271. There is a struggle for the level during the week and apparently the sellers are winning (pinbar is formed and consolidation under the level). Technically, the downtrend was broken earlier, but there was no confirmation of the boundaries and confirmation of the trend change, so the area of 1.271 may become the zero point for the beginning of the correction. The currency pair on the background of fundamentally strong dollar may go down to 1.2664 with the subsequent breakout and fall to 1.257. Overall, the environment is unstable due to high inflation and regulators' decisions. Resistance levels: 1.271, 1.28 Support levels: 1.2664, 1.257 I expect the beginning of correction to the support area, although the bearish channel was broken earlier, but there are no strong bulls in the market yet. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
GOLD → The mood has shifted to bearish. A correction?FX:XAUUSD is forming a bearish wave, within which it is declining from 2400 to 2350. The price is testing strong support amid the changing sentiment. Within a bullish trend, after testing the high of 2450, the market catches up with a correction wave based on fundamentals. The market is caught by a wave of sell-offs, which can be continued after a pullback and retest of local areas of liquidity. From 2354 we expect a rebound to the above-mentioned areas and further we should follow the price reaction to the liquidity areas. Initial Jobless Claims and Purchasing Managers' Index are ahead. Traders are neutral towards the dollar, but amid the general policy, the dollar index may get support, which may have a peculiar effect on the gold, until the market finds new reasons to rise. Resistance levels: 2374, 2383, 2397 Support levels: 2354, 2336, 2306 Technically and fundamentally the market is still bullish, but a correction is forming within the uptrend, which may take a little longer. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
13
USDCHF → False breakdown gives bullish momentum ↑FX:USDCHF is forming a false breakdown of range support and uptrend, which opens the market to buy potential. CHF is weakening stronger than the dollar and this could support the uptrend. On D1, the price tested the MA-50 ascending average with a false breakdown, as well as a strong support area at 0.900. Liquidity capture and candlestick set-up form the price reversal and bullish momentum, which, from the point of view of trading inside the range, can lead the price to the upper boundary - 0.9216 Resistance levels: 0.910, 0.915, 0.9216 Support levels: 0.9075, 0.900 A break through the nearest zone 0.910 will accelerate the price strengthening. The bullish trend may continue. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
BITCOIN → The bulls are ready to break resistance. 71K or 73K?BINANCE:BTCUSD , after a shake-up (False Breakout), relative to the liquidity zone of 59-60K, is forming a bullish impulse, which is also favorably influenced by fundamental reasons On the local timeframe there are signs of the end of the locational correction and the beginning of the formation of the third wave. The bullish trend is starting to revive, but there are quite a few key areas ahead that can hold the level. Yesterday, after the bulls held the defense above 64500-65000, the buyers started to push the price up and tested the resistance 67250 with a false breakdown. There is no fall after the false breakdown, a pre-breakdown consolidation is forming. Bulls are still collecting positions with the breakout target and are ready to go all the way. On W1 the picture is very interesting and this correction has the character of consolidation. Huge volume is being collected from the strong buyer side. The distribution phase that will start after the consolidation is over could continue the bullish trend if the buyers are persistent. Resistance levels: 67250, 71500, 73700 Support levels: 65250, 64500, 61500 Bitcoin looks quite bullish right now. High interest, favorable fundamental background can affect the strengthening of the price. At the moment it is worth paying attention to these levels, the breakthrough of which may give a continuation of movement, the targets are indicated on the chart CME:BTC1! CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
64
Bitcoin - Pullback is required, buy again lower!In my previous analysis, I suggested buying cheap Bitcoin at 67k and now the price has gone up to 71k in a single day: What now? Will this pump continue? It's possible, but I am waiting for lower prices because the current pump has created a huge FVGAP on the daily chart. These GAPS tend to be filled sooner rather than later. What's more, the price hit a critical point of resistance that you can see on the chart. We have 2 parallel channels, and the price is currently at this critical point. My suggestion is to wait for lower prices, 68k seems to be a strong support, but also the bottom of the ascending blue parallel channel. Bitcoin is very bullish on the weekly chart, so there is a strong probability of prices above 100K this year. What is my ultimate target for Bitcoin for the whole bull market? I will soon share my special technical analysis on the monthly chart, and you will see a detailed graphic representation of it. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
29
GOLD → Traders don't know what to do. Struggle for 2417FX:XAUUSD is stopping and forming a consolidation between 2400-2450, but at the moment the consolidation resembles a descending triangle. What's going on? The price breaks the local ascending support line in the correction phase, which makes traders panic (some start selling, others start actively buying). But the candlestick setup suggests that the buyer is still in the game. The market maker may shake down to liquidate traders. A retest of 2407-2400-2397 (ascending support line) is possible before further growth. The trend is bullish ( locally and globally ), while the market is waiting for the FOMC speech, which will be held today at 18:00GMT Resistance levels: 2417, 2426 Support levels: 2406, 2400 FOMC comments may warm up the crowd. Gold traders are in neutral stance for now and forming a range due to lack of understanding of the local environment. Consolidation above 2417 will renew the bullish potential. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
GOLD → Fighting for levels. When do we go to 2500?FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction to the liquidity area after ATH update. To continue the growth the market needs to get confirmation from the bulls. The price still looks quite confident. A corrective wave is being formed, confirming the end of the impulse bullish wave and the market's readiness to go for a fifth, which in general determines the medium-term prospects for us. The strong support area is the zones: 2417, 2400. Most likely, before further growth, the market may test these liquidity zones, but, a good signal and confirmation of readiness to go up will be the closing and consolidation of the price above 2417 and 2431. Support levels: 2417, 2497, 2397 Resistance levels: 2431, 2437, 2450 Now there is a struggle between traders for strong levels, fundamentally and technically the bulls have the advantage, it is necessary to wait for confirmation on the chart, in order to take some measures for trading. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → ATH Update. What are the reasons? Next up is 2500? FX:XAUUSD has been breaking through ATH and testing 2450 since the opening of the session. Possible reasons could be fundamentally weak dollar, as well as geopolitical reasons related to Iran Earlier we defined exactly the end of the correction, the intermediate bottom at that moment was the area of 2300 and since that moment the price has overcome the way of 150 dollars or 6%. The bulls are back in the market and traders are ready to support the acutal trend. It is worth paying attention to the support of 2431, 2417, it is possible the beginning of a small correction (assumed 4th wave), within which the price can test the above mentioned areas of liquidity before further growth. Support levels: 2431, 2425, 2417 Resistance levels: 2450, 2475 The bulls will actively defend the nearest liquidity areas and strong support levels, as these are the risk areas for the buyer. The trend may get its continuation either after a pullback or when the price breaks through and consolidates above 2450 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
GOLD → Are the bulls ready to break through 2430 and go ↑ ? OANDA:XAUUSD on the background of weak dollar and favorable fundamental background realizes the accumulated potential after breaking through resistance. The price is testing the global resistance of 2431. The market is bullish again, which was supported by economic news, mainly related to inflation. Technically, the gold is again interested in strong buyers after the correction phase, which ended at the moment of the beginning of the realization of the bullish pattern, as well as the confirmation of the bulls. In general, this movement can be continued, as the general background is favorable for the gold market In the coming week traders are interested in such news as: - Powell's speech on Monday - FOMC meeting minutes on Tuesday - Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday Resistance levels: 2417, 2431 Support levels: 2400, 2375 Technically, the price may test the ATH on Monday, but a bounce or a false breakdown may be formed afterwards, which will lead to a small correction. A quick retest of 2431 could lead to a breakout and further growth Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
Bitcoin is ready to reach a new all time high! (Buy now)Bitcoin finally revealed its direction and its bullish. On the chart we can see 2 parallel channels. The first one is currently breaking out and there is no doubt that the second parallel channel will break as well. Next resistance is exactly at the top of the first parallel channel, I am expecting a pullback from this strong dynamic line. From the Elliott Wave perspective, the WXYXZ corrective pattern is now confirmed, so this is also a very bullish sign for the next weeks and months! On the 1h chart I can spot a strong buying activity from whales, so this also adds to my bullish bias. When new all time-high? And what is the ultimate target for this bull run in 2024/2025? I will reveal my strong technical analysis in the next post, so make sure you follow my account! Right now it's strongly recommended to trade with the bullish trend, that means only long strategies and do not short Bitcoin on the futures market. This will increase the probability of success for your trades. I am bullish as all bearish scenarios were invalidated.
Long
by Xanrox
29
Bitcoin - Life time opportunity, buy now, new ATH soon!Bitcoin is forming this bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, and we have a lifetime opportunity to buy Bitcoin at the bottom of the flag. What's more, we have a long-term trendline starting in October 2023, which is another reason to buy Bitcoin in confluence with multiple technical indicators. A lot of people are calling for Bitcoin winter, but I don't think so. I see the recent price action as a great buying opportunity on the other side.  It is always important to do an Elliott Wave technical analysis to see the full picture. From my point of view, Bitcoin has formed and completed the WXYXZ triple-three corrective pattern inside this bullish flag. What you want to do as a trader is trade a breakout above the flag or buy at the bottom of the flag, potentially trading a breakout of the last Z wave. Another reason why I think Bitcoin is bottoming out is the chart of Ethereum. This is probably one of the best indicators for Bitcoin, so we cannot miss doing analysis on it. You can check out my analysis of ETH in one of my previous posts, but I can tell you now that the crash was pretty strong (more than 30%) and we are in a bull market, so we definitely want to buy the DIP and prepare for another huge wave to the upside. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Long
by Xanrox
87
Bitcoin - new ATH soon. Best time to buy nowBitcoin looks very strong at this moment. We can see that the price is breaking out of the descending parallel channel on the daily chart. The price is above the channel and has already retested the downward-sloping trendline. We should see a strong pump from the current price.  Why is bitcoin pumping? From a technical perspective, it's pretty easy to say. Take a look at the previous price action. We have a false breakout below the key levels; it was a bear trap created by market makers to get as much liquidity as possible for their huge orders, as they cannot simply do so whenever they want.  From the Elliott Wave perspective, there is nothing bearish at this moment. I see that the corrective pattern WXYXZ has been completed, and we are starting a brand new impulse wave to the upside. The next target is around 71k because we have his important red trendline, so make sure you are aware of it. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
43