GBPUSD → The start of a rally? A retest of support FOREXCOM:GBPUSD on the back of Powell's loyal speech regarding further rate cuts, but which he has now left unchanged, and also on the back of inflation, which is falling much slower than he would like, is strengthening and updating the high to 1.279 .
On D1 we see how the price reacted to the news that came out on Wednesday. Price tests the MA-200 on Tuesday and Powell accelerates the rally on Wednesday. Pretty aggressive market reaction to virtually unchanged data. Oh well. At this point, the price broke the downward resistance, which puts the market in a bullish phase. After consolidation we see the transition to the distribution mode, which may continue after the local retest of the support areas indicated on the chart. Strong bulls have come to the market again, which take advantage of the weakening TVC:DXY
The key support area is 1.2715 - 1.2650. A retest of the support may form a false breakdown, and the subsequent consolidation above the level will form a bullish potential. Medium-term targets for further growth are resistance at 1.2784, 1.2888
Support levels: 1.2715, 1.265, 1.2615
Resistance levels: 1.2784, 1.2888
Within the framework of the emerging correction, the price may test the support before further growth. Today there is no strong news that can affect the market, in all likelihood, the bullish influence on the pair will continue.
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
ETH → Conglomerate of bullish patterns. Waiting for growth ↑Ethereum COINBASE:ETHUSD is forming a conglomeration of bullish patterns amid a strong uptrend that continues to show chic preconditions for further growth.
On W1, the price forms a retest of the resistance of the uptrend range. The price successfully fixes above the strongest support zone 2041 and in fact the bulls define for themselves the lower boundary of the range, beyond which they have no right to let the price go.
The area of 2300 is important for us in the medium term. This level shields us from a new range with the width of 55% of the price movement.
I've seen two scenarios on the 4H timeframe. But first we should pay attention to such nuances as: bullish trend (strong), ascending triangle, the breakout of which continues to influence the price formation, as well as the bullish pattern "flag", which can be interpreted as: correction on the bullish trend before the continuation of growth.
Support levels: 2190, 2131, 1980
Resistance levels: ascending resistance line and 2030
On the background of the retest, a false support breakdown is formed and the market forms a pin-bar candlestick - a strong signal for further growth. In addition, the conglomerate of bullish patterns " ascending triangle " and " flag " also forms the expected bullish potential. In the near future we expect the realization of one of the above scenarios with further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Nearby resistance could influence further declines FOREXCOM:XAUUSD on Friday, after the words of Williams (Fed) falls under the sell-off and tests the low of 2015.6. At the moment, the market is calm and forming a correction after a false breakdown of support.
For the TVC:DXY , a relatively bullish fundamental backdrop was restored on Friday. In all likelihood, the correction may be followed by a recovery phase, which could affect gold in terms of further declines. Let me remind you that at the moment the price is in the range of 0.382 fibo - 0.236 fibo.
On the H1 chart, the price is forming a false break of the support of the 2020 range and is heading towards resistance to retest this area.
The market still wants to take the price lower as there is an area of imbalance and interest for the market below the 2000 - 1975 area, but amid strong market manipulation by the Fed, the asset is trading slightly higher than it should be.
Support levels: 2020, 2015
Resistance levels: 2030. 2038. 2050
Still, we expect a decline after the resistance retest. The market is recovering fundamental background, within which gold may test lower support levels.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The market is warming and bullish potential is forming FOREXCOM:XAUUSD strengthens and tests the local high but fails to reach the key resistance at 2050. A strong consolidation above the 2030 level and subsequent momentum is forming.
On D1 we see the potential that the market is aiming for. On the background of weakening TVC:DXY , on the gold market bulls form a strong support area below 2030 after which within the framework of realization of the accumulated potential the market strengthens, forming a bullish impulse.
For us at the moment the area of 2034 and 0.382 fibo plays an important role. As the pre-breakout consolidation is formed in relation to the resistance, and after the false breakout of 2040 the price does not fall, but breaks the resistance, it seems that with a positive fundamental background the market may continue its growth.
But before the growth the price may finally test the support. As part of the realization, the price may reach the area of 2050 or even 2060. Closing of today's daily session will determine for us the medium-term potential for the next week.
Resistance levels: 2047.5, 2050. 2062
Support levels: 2038, 2030, 2025
It seems that the market is getting ready to test the resistance. A pullback within the range may follow. Price return to resistance will prepare the market for further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The market's violent reaction. What to expect next...FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is once again meeting strong bulls. Powell's speech influenced the price growth and a 2.8% momentum is forming. Let's see what happened and what to expect:
Most important: The rate remained unchanged. Inflation eased 0.1% to 3.1%. In fact, there was no change . Speculators liked Powell's more positive tone, which caused them to react with a rather aggressive infusion of capital into the market. But again, everyone, as well as the Federal Reserve and analysts expect the rate reduction not earlier than March 2024. Apparently, there was an internal psychological hunger on the background of long waiting for any hints or actions and as a result, we see the weakening of the TVC:DXY and the growth of gold.
Today we expect important news at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to remain unchanged.
In terms of technical analysis, Gold is testing the resistance of the previously created range of 2038. A false breakout is formed, which may lead to a small correction before further growth amid positive fundamental background. The price may test 2030, 2025, 2020. But a retest of 2038 and consolidation above the level will contribute to the strengthening of gold.
Support levels: 2030, 2025, 2020
Resistance levels: 2038, 2049
I think that before the news there will be a sideways range and consolidation, after the news the price may form a correction before further growth. But everything depends on the news.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Pending FOMC & FED. Price may fall even lower FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is in consolidation phase and it is likely to last until 19:00 GMT. The market is waiting for news and no strong movements in one or the other direction should be expected before the time.
The premise is that the dollar will strengthen:
Friday's NFP continues to be bullish for the TVC:DXY (pattern to break resistance is forming)
PPI is expected to be bullish
Overall the data over the past few days will not allow Powell to cut the rate.
Inflation is still strong to change policy.
Against this backdrop, gold may test one of the local highs: 1990, 1996, 2000 before falling further
Overall, from a technical point of view, there is still a huge buying imbalance in the gold market, the market maker can take the price much lower to balance the situation and at the moment the negative fundamental background is contributing to this.
Support levels: 1976,2
Resistance levels: 1984.3, 1990, 1996
The price continues to update the lows and this indicates the mood of the market. The fundamental background for gold is unfavorable and the decline may continue. The situation may change if today's news and its actual data are not extremely opposite to expectations
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → FED & FOMC Expectations. Will the situation change?FOREXCOM:EURUSD is forming consolidation in the phase of waiting for news related to inflation and US monetary policy. Based on the expected news and past data, there are a few nuances.
The TVC:DXY is leading an interesting life on 4H tf. The index is gaining a bullish stance, we can tell by the long shadows and the price pushing towards a strong resistance area that may be broken. PPI is ahead (analysts expect positive data for $) , Friday's NFP is also positive (this leverage is still in place) for DXY. And also ahead of Fed IRD - it's too early to talk about a rate cut, inflation is falling, but there is not enough potential to change Powell's views yet.
Technically, on the background of the news, I expect a retest of the mentioned resistance area of EURUSD (1.083 - 1.081) with a subsequent fall, as the dollar is supported by strong fundamentals and expectations, in which case the forex will continue its downward correction.
Support levels: 1.0756
Resistance levels: 1.083-1.081, 1.0800
The SMAs are showing the beginning of a change in sentiment as the fundamental backdrop is weakening for the euro. Based on the expected news, the dollar could rise, which would weaken the currency pair. But again, the main nuance of news is its unpredictability!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Waiting for the CPI. Will the situation change much?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to fall despite the expectations of many. The price is testing the 1984 area and updated the low to 1975.89. What can happen today?
The TVC:DXY is in a local trend phase, but at the same time it is consolidating in anticipation of today's CPI and further news this week. The main gaze is directed towards FED interest rate decision, FOMC statement, Initial jobless claims.
Against the backdrop of Friday's NFP we can say that things are still not very stable and the representatives of the US economic system may still consider a tougher outlook. In this case the dollar index will continue its growth and gold will go down.
Technically, the metal is in the red zone, updating lows and testing resistances from below. The chances that the market will change the trend are not so great. Analysts expect bullish CPI, which will strengthen the dollar. Gold may fall further after a shakeout, within which it may test nearby resistances.
Support levels: 1980, 1975, 1965
Resistance levels: 1984, 1890, 1994
I expect a shakeout on the background of the news, after which the decline may continue with a high probability. The potential is on the side of the bears, their strength prevails at the moment.
Regards R. Linda!
BNB → Price is showing an interesting bullish outlook BINANCE:BNBUSDT breaks the resistance of bearish trend on the background of improving fundamental situation. For the activation of the bullish phase of the market, a few more conditions must be met.
We can see that CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL capitalization, following the COINBASE:BTCUSD growth, is also moving into a bullish trend format. BNB is falling away due to regulatory and governance issues. At the moment, the fundamental environment is improving and the price is starting to show interesting prospects.
The break of the descending wedge resistance is a strong enough signal, the price is testing the MA-50 support and the bulls are confidently consolidating their positions above the moving average. At the moment, the resistance of the current consolidation - 257.8 - is holding back the market from going bullish.
A break of this resistance will be accompanied by a surge in volumes, volatility and the formation of a bullish impulse.
Support levels: 226, MA50, 203.4
Resistance levels: 257.8
I expect a breakout of the mentioned resistance after the next retest. On the background of favorable conditions it may happen rather quickly. Targets are 336.8, 439.0.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Weak fundamental background will weaken the poundFX:GBPUSD is set for further declines as the TVC:DXY will continue its strength on the back of Friday's NFP, which will weaken the pound sterling.
On d1 we see consolidation and retests of key liquidity areas. Since the opening of the session the market has been testing local areas and the pound is forming a small correction, most likely from the nearest resistance the decline may continue. On H4, the double top is forming a false break of the channel resistance and we understand the approximate resistance area. The bears are concentrated in the range of 1.2600 - 1.2700. On a weak negative backdrop, the pound may test the zones of interest and liquidity below 1.250 in the medium term. Within the range trading inside the ascending price channel, the emerging correction may lead us to trend support.
Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2600, 1.2615, MA-50
Support levels: 1.250, 1.245, 1.2386
I expect the end of the correction at the nearest resistance with the subsequent price drop to these areas on the background of weak fundamental background.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Strong dollar influences further decline in gold OANDA:XAUUSD , following my expectation, on the background of Friday's NFP falls and reaches the target. The price is testing the level of 2000, but in my opinion, this target will not end this week.
From December 11 to December 15 we are expecting a rather active week, fundamentally. On Friday we got a rather strong NPF for the dollar, which made gold fall from the zone I mentioned. The fundamental potential is not over, it will continue to influence the pricing in the medium term. It is also worth paying attention to the dollar. On the weekly timeframe we see the formation of a pinbar and a bullish candlestick, which overlaps the last two, which is a strong enough sign of further strengthening. Accordingly, gold and the forex market may react accordingly.
Gold is currently testing the support area of the bearish channel. The important zone for us is 2007 - 2009. It is possible to form a retest, an impulse to 2010-2015 , or a false breakdown. Further consolidation of the price below this level will form a bearish potential, which will continue to pressure the price. The market is directed to the mentioned zones of interest and liquidity ( 1990, 1984, 1965, 1955 ) in the medium term.
Fundamentally, the market has stopped paying attention to the nuances in the Middle East or Eastern Europe. Now everyone is waiting for some new information from Powell related to monetary policy, namely interest rates. But, more data on Initial Jobless Claims and NFP may make the Fed chief hesitant.
Also, on the weekly timeframe, I found the " Cup with handle " pattern forming interesting. It is clear that within such a period it is impossible to determine the exact place of the breakout or the point of safe entry into the market, but the tendency to the fact that the extreme phase of the expected pattern is forming is already pleasing. Most likely, in the medium and long term, the price will continue to test the resistance 2070-2100 for a breakout and the formation of a new range, but not in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CAPITALCOM:US500 TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → How fast will the BITCOIN reach 50K and then what?COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to rally. At a time when many were waiting for a correction from 40K, the flagship is strengthening to the next level and preparing for a further breakout.
Fundamentally, bitcoin is backed by quite strong factors. Basically, the entire surge of interest is triggered by the influx of applications for the spot BTC-ETF. With each passing day, the market is getting signals of further strengthening fundamentals, both in terms of the underlying fundamentals and by getting closer to the date when the SEC will make a decisive move:
U.S. regulators are becoming more loyal to ETF approval
SEC and funds are moving on to key technical details in the discussion
The expected Fed rate cuts are also favorable to flagging capital inflows based on fundamental fundamentals.
capital inflows based on fundamentals. etc.
BTC is currently forming a local level of 44490 . False breakdown does not lead to a strong fall, the coin continues to form a pre-breakdown consolidation. Another retest of resistance will lead to a breakout and further growth towards the upper boundary of the range.
Based on the clusters, in BTC , an important resistance area is located around the $ 47360 level, while the 37K level is an area of significant support.
From a technical perspective, strong support is at 38K and the key resistance delimiting this range is 48.2K .
It is worth paying attention to the local resistance zone at 44500 . The price temporarily stops in front of the level, but the potential is still strong enough to continue rising. A breakout and consolidation above the level will give good bullish leverage.
Support levels: 42900, 20600
Resistance levels: 44500, 48234, 51000
Technically and fundamentally bitcoin shows excellent bullish potential. Therefore, we expect the growth to continue after the breakthrough of the mentioned level. And the approval of BTC-ETF dispute requests will give an inflow of huge potential and capital into the crypto market.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → NFP ahead. Will the sell-off continue? OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a local bearish channel after updating the high to 2150 and strong sell-offs to the current area. There is still a huge imbalance in the market and the price could go even lower to settle the situation.
NFP could perfectly develop the expected scenario I have been telling you about since the sell-off.
Expect the data at 13:30 GMT. The Initial Jobless Claims report was released yesterday with positive data for the dollar. This could be a hint that NFP will hit the planned 180K , maybe more , instead of the last 150K . More bullish data relative to expected data will shake up the market. The dollar may strengthen, which will have a positive impact on gold.
Gold made a false breakout of 2038 resistance and bearish channel and continues to trade within the downside range. The target support levels are a potential target. But before the news, volatility will be very sluggish. The market is saving the potential for realization.
Support levels: 2027, 2025, 2022, 2007
Resistance levels: 2033, 2035, 2038
News can be unpredictable, try to trade carefully before the news. We are expecting a more positive NFP , a rising dollar and gold falling to the previously mentioned targets, but anything can happen
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Bullish NFP figures for USD may drop EURFX:EURUSD is declining and testing the local minimum on the background of strengthening of the dollar. The price is retesting MA-200 , which only increases the chances of further decline.
Today, at 13:30 GMT we will meet the NFP data, to which the market reacts quite strongly. In general, analysts expect an improvement for the dollar, as 180K is expected relative to the previous 150K . After the publication of yesterday's Initial Jobless Claims, the reality is closer that the market could see NFP 180K , if not more, as the overall market situation is improving and the fundamentals support this.
EURUSD may react with a fall to the possible strengthening of the dollar, but before the fall the price may test a local high, for example 1.08170. Overall, the chart clearly shows the approximate potential. A false breakdown of resistance of the ascending channel opens the possibility to see a sell-off towards trend support.
Support levels: 1.0760
Resistance levels: 1.0800, 1.08170, channel resistance
In general, bullish news is expected for the US market, which may weaken the euro and the currency pair may fall. But this is news and no one knows in advance what can happen, we only try to see the scenario with a higher chance of realization
FX:EURUSD TVC:EXY TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bears are moving towards imbalance OANDA:XAUUSD continues to update lows, testing new zones, but at the same time, as part of the correction, the price confirms the boundaries of the forming descending price channel.
On D1 it is obvious that the decline in gold will continue, as there is still a huge imbalance at the expense of buyers. At the moment we are interested in the support area of 2022, which may be broken after another retest. In this case the decline will continue to 2009 and then to 1984.
The Dollar Index is forming a correction, but even if the decline starts, gold may not react to the dollar and will continue to move towards its targets.
On the chart we see a bearish channel, a bounce from resistance and another retest of support, the sellers are strong at the moment. At the same time the market is waiting for the news at 13:15 ADP Nonfarm EC, don't miss it, but before the news reduce the risks.
Support levels: 2022, 2010, 2007
Resistance levels: 2035
I expect the continuation of the descending channel formation, in this case, the support may be broken soon and the price will head towards the mentioned target
TVC:DXY OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Global Highs Update. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD , on the back of the residual potential from last week, is forming a rally from the opening session and testing a new global high of 2150, after which we saw the strongest sell-off.
Yesterday we looked at what could happen in gold. But no one expected an update of the highs to 2150. In any case a conglomeration of factors is important for us:
Retest of global range resistance (W1, M1) Area 2069-2070.
Huge sell-off after the retest of 2150. The market sold off all the upside.
Distribution since early November.
No potential, no energy and no volume. Update high was on no volume, on the back of hyped up price (pure market manipulation)
Most likely, after the market calms down after this burst of activity, price will start testing the 2070-2069 area. I still stick to my scenario - false breakdown and further correction.
Key level: 2069.8 - 2070.
Support levels: 2059.65, 2049,6, 2035.3
It is important to wait for the market to calm down. A calm market may show a clearer picture for further prospects. We are waiting for a correction.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → A retest of support will show further potential FX:EURUSD is forming a correction phase, within which it aims to test the support of the forming range. There are key nuances that suggest a further bullish trend, but there are also those that hint at a possible medium-term decline.
The market is laying further TVC:DXY weakness amid interest rate cuts from the Fed.
EURUSD is currently in correction on the background of bullish trend. Key support area: 1.0840-1.0830. The market is likely to test this area in the format of a false breakdown, as there is a strong support zone in this area. Consolidation above this area will give a potential for buying. It is also worth paying attention to the fact that below the support is MA-200, which can also favorably affect the market recovery.
But, on D1 the market is not reacting to the previously formed false support breakout. If the price continues to form a squeeze to the support at 1.0844 - 1.0830, we should expect a breakout attempt with a phase of further decline to 1.08 - 1.07.
Support levels: 1.0844, 1.0830, 1.0777
Resistance levels: 1.08875, 1.0965
A retest of the support area will show further potential. False breakout will give the opportunity to buy, and the breakout and consolidation of the price below the area will return the price to the channel.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Huge imbalance. Updating the highs. What to expect?OANDA:XAUUSD is making another rally and updating the global high to 2075.4, but at the same time there is a huge imbalance in the market. Distributive retest of the resistance zone and several preconditions allow me to think about a possible correction.
In the coming week we will encounter several important news that will determine the market mood and possible medium-term prospects for trading.
It is worth paying attention to the following news:
SP PMI, ISM PMI (Bullish expectations)
ADP NonFarm (Bullish expectations)
Initial Jobless Claims (Bearish expectations)
NonFarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate (Bullish Expectations)
The bigger reaction is the unexpected nuances regarding the expected data. Since it is news, it is impossible to know in advance what will happen in the market.
In the Middle East we notice the aggravation of the situation, but globally the situation does not change, and in addition, the TVC:DXY and OANDA:XAUUSD have not paid much attention to it lately.
Increased interest in the gold market is connected with the general world crisis + decrease of dollar indices.
Gold in the distribution phase is testing the strong level of 2069.8, the price closing above the resistance level, it may be another trap before further decline. After this maneuver, another pool of liquidity was formed to continue the growth, which only increases the imbalance of forces in the direction of buyers since the strong rally of gold (the rally began in early November due to the conflict in the Middle East).
The chart more clearly shows the liquidity and disalignment zones. Market managers cannot allow further rallies in such a critical situation as they may lose money in the moment.
Reasons why I expect a false breakdown and further decline:
Strong distribution continues for a month. this maneuver has wasted all the potential, which, from a technical point of view, will not be enough to break through the 2070 area.
Huge imbalance on the buyers' side
Relative decline in volume on a false breakout
Death Cross
Positive DXY Fundamental
Expectation from the open:
The market may test 2069-2070 resistance on Monday and try to form a local bullish momentum and make a new high, but a false breakout may follow in the mid term. Consolidation or retest of 2069-2070 level from below may confirm the market's intention, which will start the final decline of the asset towards the mentioned zones.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation before the news. What could happen? OANDA:XAUUSD continues to consolidate in the 2050 - 2035 range. Powell speaks again today, earlier the US market got a higher GDP and good Initial Jobless Claims data, how will this affect his speech and how might gold react?
The TVC:DXY is testing local levels, ahead of ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices and also at 16:00 and 19:00 GMT Powell will speak. US inflation is declining and there are indicators for that, but the dollar is strengthening, which provokes gold to form a consolidation.
We are now confused by the death cross on D1, but again, since the gold is in a global sideways range, maybe we should not pay so much attention to this signal.
At the moment gold is testing the level of 2048.77 with a false breakdown.
On H1 we see strong consolidation, range boundary tests and false breakdowns. The market will wait for the news and most likely there will be no strong movements before that. The price is gaining liquidity before Powell's speech.
An actual rate cut is out of the question now, we will only need to hear positive sentiment or hints. If Powell hints more strongly about an imminent change of monetary policy to a more loyal one, the dollar index will resume its bearish trend and gold will head towards the upper global boundary of 2059 - 2067.
But, as a force majeure, negative news for gold, the realization of a false breakout and death cross, the price could quite possibly test both trend support, 2022, and the far liquidity zone 2010 - 2020, but it will not change the medium-term and long-term outlook for now. The market could test the global high by the end of the year (perhaps even soon).
Support levels: 2038, 2035, 2022
Resistance levels: 2049, 2059
I am waiting for the publication of news, which will determine the short and medium term scenario for gold. The probability that the price will update the high increases as the Fed's sentiment improves.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → False breakdown leads to correction before retest FX:GBPUSD reaches the previously mentioned target of 1.2726, a false breakdown of the liquidity area is formed and apparently a correction will be formed before the retest.
The TVC:DXY opens with a small counter-trend correction from the opening, which has a corresponding effect on the Forex market. In all probability, the index will test the previously broken resistance: 102.77, 103.06. The outlook is bearish. The pound sterlnigov will form a small correction after a false breakdown of resistance. The nearest support that can be tested before is in the area of 1.2640 - 1.2620.
Today the market expects the publication of the US GDP, in November the index rose to 4.9% against 2.1 in the previous period. Analysts expect that the index may remain unchanged at 4.9. This is the broadest indicator of economic activity and the main indicator of the state of the economy, so this fundamental factor will have a medium and long-term impact on the market.
Support levels: 1.2640, 1.2620, 1.2560
Resistance levels: 1.2726
I expect correction after a false breakdown. Retest of the support may form another bullish potential before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
TON → Strong fundamentals open up bullish potential OKX:TONUSDT has been demonstrating excellent fundamental data lately. The market is forming accumulation of bullish potential, which may soon move to the realization phase.
The price is trading under the global descending resistance line. The market continues to form an ascending price channel. It is worth paying attention to the ascending triangle and false resistance breakout. The market does not allow a fall after the false breakout. What is not natural for the standard situation is that after the false breakout, the price forms a small pullback and returns to the 2.520 resistance for a retest.
Clearly, Toncoin is now under the watch of a major buyer. The consolidation may soon move into a distribution phase, provided that the resistance is broken and the price consolidates above the red downtrend line. Moving averages are supporting the market.
Resistance levels: 2.500, 2.600
Support levels: 2.329, 2.228
Bulls can keep the price below the support levels. A retest to resistance will increase the chances of its breakout, which is what I am waiting for. A break of 2.500-2.600 will form a bullish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation 2010-2018. What can happen? OANDA:XAUUSD within a strong bullish trend is forming a consolidation in the 2018 - 2010 range. Lower volatility is forming and several candlestick indications are forming that price may test support before further distribution.
On D1 we can see that the leading asset, in our case it is the TVC:DXY , is testing support, which may trigger a correction to local resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the slave asset (gold may also start a correction within this range).
The trend is bullish, moving averages and key levels support this direction, there is no sense to talk about any medium-term and long-term sales now.
The market within the consolidation will form a lot of opportunities to gather as much liquidity as possible before further movement in one or another direction. Consequently, border touches, false breakdowns and long shadows can be formed relative to the 2018-2010 range (consolidation). But this is not the only scenario.
A breakdown is possible with a quick retest with reduced volatility. In the long term, we should wait for a breakout of resistance.
Support levels: 2010, 2007, 2004, 2000
Resistance levels: 2018, 2020, 2022
I expect consolidation within the range with the subsequent breakout of resistance, which can happen after a correction or after a quick retest of 2018
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → JPY strengthening. What is the importance of 149.7?FX:USDJPY is testing resistance ( old support ) on the background of correction and trend change and is apparently preparing for further decline, following the TVC:DXY , which is also weakening on the background of fundamental policy.
On D1 we see the global high renewal, but against the background of the dollar index weakening after a long strengthening and the introduction of measures to combat the weak Yen, the Japanese authorities get a small, but the result - the national currency rate strengthens for almost 10 days in a row.
From the point of view of technical analysis: on D1 a double top is formed and the extreme bullish maneuver ends in the zone of 151.72, after which the market enters the correction phase. On the background of retest (bounce), the price is testing one of the strong levels: 149.7. The market feels a strong limit zone at 0.5 Fibo, which it cannot break through and opens the session of the new trading week with a slight decline. Further decline may continue either from 0.5 fibo (rebound) or at the breakout of 0.382 fibo. The market is bearish, as evidenced by the crossover of moving averages.
Resistance levels: 0.5 fibo, 149.7, 150.0.
Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 148.8.
I expect further decline. It can happen either on a bounce from 0.5 fibo (149.7) or on a breakout and price consolidation below 0.382 fibo. Further targets: 148, 147, 146.
Regards R. Linda!