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EURUSD → Bullish NFP figures for USD may drop EURFX:EURUSD is declining and testing the local minimum on the background of strengthening of the dollar. The price is retesting MA-200 , which only increases the chances of further decline. Today, at 13:30 GMT we will meet the NFP data, to which the market reacts quite strongly. In general, analysts expect an improvement for the dollar, as 180K is expected relative to the previous 150K . After the publication of yesterday's Initial Jobless Claims, the reality is closer that the market could see NFP 180K , if not more, as the overall market situation is improving and the fundamentals support this. EURUSD may react with a fall to the possible strengthening of the dollar, but before the fall the price may test a local high, for example 1.08170. Overall, the chart clearly shows the approximate potential. A false breakdown of resistance of the ascending channel opens the possibility to see a sell-off towards trend support. Support levels: 1.0760 Resistance levels: 1.0800, 1.08170, channel resistance In general, bullish news is expected for the US market, which may weaken the euro and the currency pair may fall. But this is news and no one knows in advance what can happen, we only try to see the scenario with a higher chance of realization FX:EURUSD TVC:EXY TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GOLD → The bears are moving towards imbalance OANDA:XAUUSD continues to update lows, testing new zones, but at the same time, as part of the correction, the price confirms the boundaries of the forming descending price channel. On D1 it is obvious that the decline in gold will continue, as there is still a huge imbalance at the expense of buyers. At the moment we are interested in the support area of 2022, which may be broken after another retest. In this case the decline will continue to 2009 and then to 1984. The Dollar Index is forming a correction, but even if the decline starts, gold may not react to the dollar and will continue to move towards its targets. On the chart we see a bearish channel, a bounce from resistance and another retest of support, the sellers are strong at the moment. At the same time the market is waiting for the news at 13:15 ADP Nonfarm EC, don't miss it, but before the news reduce the risks. Support levels: 2022, 2010, 2007 Resistance levels: 2035 I expect the continuation of the descending channel formation, in this case, the support may be broken soon and the price will head towards the mentioned target TVC:DXY OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Global Highs Update. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD , on the back of the residual potential from last week, is forming a rally from the opening session and testing a new global high of 2150, after which we saw the strongest sell-off. Yesterday we looked at what could happen in gold. But no one expected an update of the highs to 2150. In any case a conglomeration of factors is important for us: Retest of global range resistance (W1, M1) Area 2069-2070. Huge sell-off after the retest of 2150. The market sold off all the upside. Distribution since early November. No potential, no energy and no volume. Update high was on no volume, on the back of hyped up price (pure market manipulation) Most likely, after the market calms down after this burst of activity, price will start testing the 2070-2069 area. I still stick to my scenario - false breakdown and further correction. Key level: 2069.8 - 2070. Support levels: 2059.65, 2049,6, 2035.3 It is important to wait for the market to calm down. A calm market may show a clearer picture for further prospects. We are waiting for a correction. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
34
EURUSD → A retest of support will show further potential FX:EURUSD is forming a correction phase, within which it aims to test the support of the forming range. There are key nuances that suggest a further bullish trend, but there are also those that hint at a possible medium-term decline. The market is laying further TVC:DXY weakness amid interest rate cuts from the Fed. EURUSD is currently in correction on the background of bullish trend. Key support area: 1.0840-1.0830. The market is likely to test this area in the format of a false breakdown, as there is a strong support zone in this area. Consolidation above this area will give a potential for buying. It is also worth paying attention to the fact that below the support is MA-200, which can also favorably affect the market recovery. But, on D1 the market is not reacting to the previously formed false support breakout. If the price continues to form a squeeze to the support at 1.0844 - 1.0830, we should expect a breakout attempt with a phase of further decline to 1.08 - 1.07. Support levels: 1.0844, 1.0830, 1.0777 Resistance levels: 1.08875, 1.0965 A retest of the support area will show further potential. False breakout will give the opportunity to buy, and the breakout and consolidation of the price below the area will return the price to the channel. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
17
GOLD → Huge imbalance. Updating the highs. What to expect?OANDA:XAUUSD is making another rally and updating the global high to 2075.4, but at the same time there is a huge imbalance in the market. Distributive retest of the resistance zone and several preconditions allow me to think about a possible correction. In the coming week we will encounter several important news that will determine the market mood and possible medium-term prospects for trading. It is worth paying attention to the following news: SP PMI, ISM PMI (Bullish expectations) ADP NonFarm (Bullish expectations) Initial Jobless Claims (Bearish expectations) NonFarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate (Bullish Expectations) The bigger reaction is the unexpected nuances regarding the expected data. Since it is news, it is impossible to know in advance what will happen in the market. In the Middle East we notice the aggravation of the situation, but globally the situation does not change, and in addition, the TVC:DXY and OANDA:XAUUSD have not paid much attention to it lately. Increased interest in the gold market is connected with the general world crisis + decrease of dollar indices. Gold in the distribution phase is testing the strong level of 2069.8, the price closing above the resistance level, it may be another trap before further decline. After this maneuver, another pool of liquidity was formed to continue the growth, which only increases the imbalance of forces in the direction of buyers since the strong rally of gold (the rally began in early November due to the conflict in the Middle East). The chart more clearly shows the liquidity and disalignment zones. Market managers cannot allow further rallies in such a critical situation as they may lose money in the moment. Reasons why I expect a false breakdown and further decline: Strong distribution continues for a month. this maneuver has wasted all the potential, which, from a technical point of view, will not be enough to break through the 2070 area. Huge imbalance on the buyers' side Relative decline in volume on a false breakout Death Cross Positive DXY Fundamental Expectation from the open: The market may test 2069-2070 resistance on Monday and try to form a local bullish momentum and make a new high, but a false breakout may follow in the mid term. Consolidation or retest of 2069-2070 level from below may confirm the market's intention, which will start the final decline of the asset towards the mentioned zones. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
36
GOLD → Consolidation before the news. What could happen? OANDA:XAUUSD continues to consolidate in the 2050 - 2035 range. Powell speaks again today, earlier the US market got a higher GDP and good Initial Jobless Claims data, how will this affect his speech and how might gold react? The TVC:DXY is testing local levels, ahead of ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices and also at 16:00 and 19:00 GMT Powell will speak. US inflation is declining and there are indicators for that, but the dollar is strengthening, which provokes gold to form a consolidation. We are now confused by the death cross on D1, but again, since the gold is in a global sideways range, maybe we should not pay so much attention to this signal. At the moment gold is testing the level of 2048.77 with a false breakdown. On H1 we see strong consolidation, range boundary tests and false breakdowns. The market will wait for the news and most likely there will be no strong movements before that. The price is gaining liquidity before Powell's speech. An actual rate cut is out of the question now, we will only need to hear positive sentiment or hints. If Powell hints more strongly about an imminent change of monetary policy to a more loyal one, the dollar index will resume its bearish trend and gold will head towards the upper global boundary of 2059 - 2067. But, as a force majeure, negative news for gold, the realization of a false breakout and death cross, the price could quite possibly test both trend support, 2022, and the far liquidity zone 2010 - 2020, but it will not change the medium-term and long-term outlook for now. The market could test the global high by the end of the year (perhaps even soon). Support levels: 2038, 2035, 2022 Resistance levels: 2049, 2059 I am waiting for the publication of news, which will determine the short and medium term scenario for gold. The probability that the price will update the high increases as the Fed's sentiment improves. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
GBPUSD → False breakdown leads to correction before retest FX:GBPUSD reaches the previously mentioned target of 1.2726, a false breakdown of the liquidity area is formed and apparently a correction will be formed before the retest. The TVC:DXY opens with a small counter-trend correction from the opening, which has a corresponding effect on the Forex market. In all probability, the index will test the previously broken resistance: 102.77, 103.06. The outlook is bearish. The pound sterlnigov will form a small correction after a false breakdown of resistance. The nearest support that can be tested before is in the area of 1.2640 - 1.2620. Today the market expects the publication of the US GDP, in November the index rose to 4.9% against 2.1 in the previous period. Analysts expect that the index may remain unchanged at 4.9. This is the broadest indicator of economic activity and the main indicator of the state of the economy, so this fundamental factor will have a medium and long-term impact on the market. Support levels: 1.2640, 1.2620, 1.2560 Resistance levels: 1.2726 I expect correction after a false breakdown. Retest of the support may form another bullish potential before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
TON → Strong fundamentals open up bullish potential OKX:TONUSDT has been demonstrating excellent fundamental data lately. The market is forming accumulation of bullish potential, which may soon move to the realization phase. The price is trading under the global descending resistance line. The market continues to form an ascending price channel. It is worth paying attention to the ascending triangle and false resistance breakout. The market does not allow a fall after the false breakout. What is not natural for the standard situation is that after the false breakout, the price forms a small pullback and returns to the 2.520 resistance for a retest. Clearly, Toncoin is now under the watch of a major buyer. The consolidation may soon move into a distribution phase, provided that the resistance is broken and the price consolidates above the red downtrend line. Moving averages are supporting the market. Resistance levels: 2.500, 2.600 Support levels: 2.329, 2.228 Bulls can keep the price below the support levels. A retest to resistance will increase the chances of its breakout, which is what I am waiting for. A break of 2.500-2.600 will form a bullish impulse. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
GOLD → Consolidation 2010-2018. What can happen? OANDA:XAUUSD within a strong bullish trend is forming a consolidation in the 2018 - 2010 range. Lower volatility is forming and several candlestick indications are forming that price may test support before further distribution. On D1 we can see that the leading asset, in our case it is the TVC:DXY , is testing support, which may trigger a correction to local resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the slave asset (gold may also start a correction within this range). The trend is bullish, moving averages and key levels support this direction, there is no sense to talk about any medium-term and long-term sales now. The market within the consolidation will form a lot of opportunities to gather as much liquidity as possible before further movement in one or another direction. Consequently, border touches, false breakdowns and long shadows can be formed relative to the 2018-2010 range (consolidation). But this is not the only scenario. A breakdown is possible with a quick retest with reduced volatility. In the long term, we should wait for a breakout of resistance. Support levels: 2010, 2007, 2004, 2000 Resistance levels: 2018, 2020, 2022 I expect consolidation within the range with the subsequent breakout of resistance, which can happen after a correction or after a quick retest of 2018 Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
USDJPY → JPY strengthening. What is the importance of 149.7?FX:USDJPY is testing resistance ( old support ) on the background of correction and trend change and is apparently preparing for further decline, following the TVC:DXY , which is also weakening on the background of fundamental policy. On D1 we see the global high renewal, but against the background of the dollar index weakening after a long strengthening and the introduction of measures to combat the weak Yen, the Japanese authorities get a small, but the result - the national currency rate strengthens for almost 10 days in a row. From the point of view of technical analysis: on D1 a double top is formed and the extreme bullish maneuver ends in the zone of 151.72, after which the market enters the correction phase. On the background of retest (bounce), the price is testing one of the strong levels: 149.7. The market feels a strong limit zone at 0.5 Fibo, which it cannot break through and opens the session of the new trading week with a slight decline. Further decline may continue either from 0.5 fibo (rebound) or at the breakout of 0.382 fibo. The market is bearish, as evidenced by the crossover of moving averages. Resistance levels: 0.5 fibo, 149.7, 150.0. Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 148.8. I expect further decline. It can happen either on a bounce from 0.5 fibo (149.7) or on a breakout and price consolidation below 0.382 fibo. Further targets: 148, 147, 146. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
14
GOLD → Retest of previously broken support is possible OANDA:XAUUSD has been forging a bullish momentum since the opening of the session and updated its global highs to $2018. The market under the pressure of increased interest, weak dollar and fundamental factor is likely to continue its growth. In the next few days, no important news that could change the situation is expected, therefore, the favorable fundamental background that supports the market may push the price even higher. If we look at the TVC:DXY , the dollar has room to fall, as the dollar has not reached its target yet and it is still a long way away. Gold is moving out of the range and the resistance at 2010 is now a support. There is a high probability that the price can still test this support area before rising further. The moving averages are supporting the bull market and the price is going to reach one of the important targets: 2022 Support levels: 2010, 2004 Resistance levels: 2018, 2022 I expect that the local momentum may pause to retest the support. The market may head towards the nearest level from below for a retest before rising further. Targets are indicated on the chart. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GBPUSD → Waiting for a breakthrough of 1.2560FX:GBPUSD after breaking the resistance of the ascending channel leads to a retest of the line in the format of a false breakout, indicating that the market is ready to continue its growth. The TVC:DXY forms a false breakout of resistance and on the peculiar fundamental background opens Friday with a slight fall, which appropriately affects the strengthening of the Pound Sterling. There is an important resistance level for the currency pair on D1: 1.2559 - 1.2560. The price is slowly and confidently approaching this area after a small pullback, which forms the third retest. The probability of resistance breakout increases with each test. The chance of this is also increased by the exit from the previously formed channel and the formation of pre-breakout consolidation near the key resistance. The strategy is simple: the breakthrough of resistance will be and price fixation on M5-M15 above the level will open the possibility to enter the market. (Or on a pullback (after the breakout) and on a test of 1.2560 as support. Resistance levels: 1.2560 Support levels: 1.2525, 1.25000 I expect that the next retest of the mentioned resistance will lead to the expected breakout with the subsequent price growth towards 1.2726. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
EURUSD → Correction before the news. What could happen?FX:EURUSD is forming a false breakout. This may be the reason for the formation of correction in the short term. The market is also expecting news today, which is worth paying attention to. We are interested in CDGO (MoM) today and the one that may affect the price in the short to medium term is Initial Jobless Claims. For the latter, analysts are expecting an improvement in the indications from 231K to 225K. If the actual data released at 13:30 GMT is higher than expected, the correction may end and the pair will start to strengthen. If the data will be lower than expected, the correction is likely to be a little bit delayed From the technical analysis point of view, an actual false breakdown could be the reason for the price decline to 1.0875 or to 0.382 or 0.5 fibo. But since we have a fairly strong fundamental basis for the medium term, the currency pair has the following areas as targets: 1.1033, 1.115, 1.127 Support levels: 1.0875, 0.382 fibo, 0.05 fibo Resistance levels: 1.0918 The correction may continue until the publication of news that may determine the short-medium term outlook. I expect growth after the test of local support areas. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
💱 USDJPY - Pending a breakout of resistance USDJPY continues to trade within the upward price channel. Following the dollar index, the currency pair continues to strengthen TA on high timeframe: 1) A resistance retest is being formed. If the global zone is broken through, the price will continue its growth 2) The ascending price channel is formed following the DXY. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Important level 149.65. Consolidation is formed on the background of the level retest 2) No deep pullback. A retest is being formed for a breakout of the level 3) Consolidation above 149.65 will give a buy entry point. Key resistance📈: 149.65, 150.16 Key support📉: 149.300
Long
by AndeWave
7
GOLD → Consolidation phase and key boundary OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form consolidation in the range between 1928.8 - 1914.2. In the near future resistance may be tested, the price reaction to this level will determine the future direction of the price Since the price is in the key range of 1928 - 1914, there is a probability of price bounce from the resistance. Further growth may continue after the price goes beyond 1928 - the signal for this will be further consolidation of the price above the level. In periods of geopolitical uncertainty investors rush to safe assets. Gold is a rare bright spot in such turbulent periods.Geopolitical fluctuations are a good reason for investors to look for a safe haven in gold. Despite zero yields, the yellow metal is a preferred asset for money managers who want to wait out scary periods in world affairs. The moving averages are supporting the trend and on the Daily timeframe, price is testing global downside resistance, breaking through which price will get the 2000 mark as a further target Support levels: 1914.2, 1909 Resistance levels: 1928.8 In the long term I expect a retest of the resistance. If the price breaks through and consolidates above the level, gold will head higher. With the formation of a false breakout and price consolidation below the level, the market will give us a correction to support COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:US500 Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
SFPUSDT → Pre-break consolidation could send the price upward BINANCE:SFPUSDT after months of forming a sideways range on the background of the global honey trend finally forms a pre-breakdown consolidation against resistance, which may initiate a trend change We are interested in the global pattern "symmetrical triangle" - in fact, it is a range within which the price is gaining liquidity. Above the range, after the first breakout of resistance, the second level - 0.6420 is formed and relative to this level an ascending triangle is formed, which can be interpreted as an attack of dynamic buyers on the limit resistance area. On the background of possible BINANCE:BTCUSD strengthening, SFP can get a good bullish potential when the resistance of the ascending triangle is broken. The moving averages act as trend support. Resistance levels: 0.6420 Support levels: previously broken range resistance In the long term, I expect a breakout of 0.6420 followed by price consolidation above the level, which will form a bullish potential. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
EURUSD → Strong $ negatively affects the pair FX:EURUSD on the background of a strong dollar may continue its decline. A flat and support retest is being formed. If the dollar goes up, the currency pair will break the support We observe the formation of a bearish trend. Earlier, the price tried to break the trend resistance and change the market direction, but only managed to form a flat between 1.0635 - 1.05000. The support is being retested on the background of TVC:DXY strengthening. The price will go up at the next retest, which will have a negative impact on EURUSD. There is a possibility that the price may retest the flat resistance or one of the moving averages before further decline. Support levels: 1.05000 Resistance levels: 1.05600, MA50 In the long term I expect a breakout of the support at 1.05000, but it can happen either on a retest or after a pullback. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
19
TOMOUSDT → a strong coin in a weak marketBINANCE:TOMOUSDT in a weak cryptocurrency market gives us hints of chic bullish potential. But this will happen under a number of conditions The coin is in a range under the resistance at 1.5480 and under the downtrend line marking the direction of the global trend. The coin after a long consolidation and numerous retests breaks this line and begins to move into the phase of realization of the accumulated potential. On the background of weak BINANCE:BTCUSD (and this is important enough) TOMO forms an active bullish growth to the area of 1.5480, which is a panic zone for sellers. If this resistance is broken through, an increase in volumes will be formed that will start to lift the price, in which case we can catch a rise in price. Medium-term target is 1.9700 and 2.4390. Moving averages on D1 act as support. Resistance levels: 1.5480, 1.6640 Support levels: 1.3300, MA-50 and MA-200 In the future, I expect a continuation of the simplified struggle of buyers with the market, which may lead to a breakthrough of the above resistance and further strengthening of the price to important targets CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 CRYPTOCAP:BTC COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:TOMOUSD a strong coin in a weak market Regards R. Linda!
TLong
by RLinda
17
GOLD → The market is targeting 0.618 fibo ($1895) OANDA:XAUUSD is entering the empty range from 1885 to 1915. The only level the market will still be able to interact with, before reaching the 1915 target, is in the 1895 area - a strong liquidity area Today we see a break of the resistance at 1885 after a small retest. A momentum is formed, which tells us about a further target in the form of 1895 resistance, formed back in June 2023. It is worth paying attention to this area, because here is also 0.618 Fibo, which is an important level for the market. Since there are no important areas of resistance and liquidity in the whole range of 1885 - 1915 except this zone, it is here that some struggle on the market may take place and a correction to the support may be formed before further growth. The market now has a strong fundamental component (economic news, crisis and war) - all this increases the interest to the metal, but it should be understood that the market cannot grow all the time, sometimes it will fall (correction). SMA 1H - strong support, and 4H - MA-200 will be tested in the medium term (in the area of 0.618 fibo) Support levels: 1885 Resistance levels: 1895, local ascending line, SMA200 I expect continuation of growth to the mentioned resistance area from which a correction to support may follow before further growth to 1915 OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! CAPITALCOM:US500 TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
IOTXUSDT - IoToX is stronger amid a weak market BINANCE:IOTXUSDT is proving strong amid a weak market and the fall of the flagship cryptocurrency. A dense pre-breakout formation is forming on the chart, which can give a great move if a number of conditions are met BINANCE:BTCUSD is declining, the market failed to strengthen above 28000 and the price is falling to 26000. On the background of the 5-day fall of the flagship IoTeX / Tether feels quite confident. Growth and resistance breakout is formed. Consolidation formed under resistance will be enough for resistance breakout and active momentum formation. Altcoins periodically get potential at the transition of capitals between assets, which is most likely formed and IOTX. Earlier MA-50 was broken and the price is preparing to test MA-200 in the near future. The breakthrough of the second one will give a good leverage for growth. Targets in the medium term should be considered 0.02386 and 0.03036. Support levels: previously broken figure line, 0.01610. Resistance levels: 0.01866 I expect consolidation above the range and subsequent breakout of 0.01866 resistance. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
15
🥇GOLD - The bull market is ready to strengthen further GOLD continues its upward path. The price breaks through 1877 and consolidates above the level, which gives the market new upside potential to 1900 TA on the high timeframe: 1) The dollar index is in a falling phase, which gives gold upside potential 2) Gold failed to reach an important target and thus will continue its rise TA on low timeframe: 1) Breakout of 1877 and consolidation above the level gives us a signal 2) Potential for a new high is forming. 3) I am waiting for growth and reaching 1900 in the medium term. Key support📉: 1877 Key resistance📈: 1885, 1890, 1900
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
16
GOLD → The market is aimed at resistance retest OANDA:XAUUSD enters the 1857-1877 range, consolidates above the support and makes a new jump. Yesterday I talked about strong fundamentals, relative to technical analysis and what we see is a breakout of said resistance. Today PPI - one of the inflation indicators is published and at 18:00 GMT FOMC Meeting Minutes - most likely the information trend of previous periods will be preserved. At the same time TVC:DXY is in the phase of correction to the support area, the publication of bullish news for the dollar may resume further growth of the index, which will partly affect the gold. In the nearest future the market may test the resistance of 1877, after which the price may roll back to the support. In the long term, the market may trade inside the sideways range to determine the further scenario, but it should be understood that gold is bought up during the war. In the absence of further escalation of the conflict, the price may decline, but not significantly: the longer-term factor - expectations of the end of the Fed rate hike cycle - is also having an impact. Resistance levels: 1874, 1877.5 Support levels: 1857.7 In the future, I expect a retest of resistance and subsequent rebound with further forging of the sideways range OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! OANDA:XAGUSD TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:US500 Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
47