BTCUSD → An impulse that scares the buyer. What's next? BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is breaking the 26700 support and MA-200 forming a strong bearish momentum, but at the same time the price is not breaking the bullish channel. In terms of global outlook, the price is still in an uptrend
Pay attention to the weekly chart on the left. Price is forming momentum and a strong distributive move towards the strong support at 25000. The level is important for us, has a double confirmation, the first confirmation was from the sellers side, the second from the buyer side. I think that another retest, and especially after the distributive movement, may give us either a reversal or at least a strong bullish reaction.
Traders are waiting for fundamental confirmation for cryptocurrency action. At the moment it is the approval from the SEC of BTC-ETF futures applications. This will give a new breath to the market.
Most likely, this movement within the uptrend may be triggered for the sake of buying the asset at a lower price before further strong growth
The moving averages are acting as resistance. The market is in a correction phase.
Support levels: 25000, 24819
Resistance levels: 26707, 28474, 30575
The market is in the phase of a bullish trend, a correction is forming within the upward channel on the garfish, which may end near support
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
Bitcoin is starting to crash to 20,330 USD! (emergency)
The major uptrend from 15500 to 32000 is over, and the bears are stepping in! I expect 20330 to be hit in the next few weeks, so make sure you are prepared for it!
We can clearly see that the major trendline / parallel channel is breaking down! The price is below the trendline, and what's more, if we take a look at altcoins such as ETH, it confirms this analysis!
We have finished the first cycle (1) of a huge (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) impulse wave. Now we are in cycle (2), which will send the price of Bitcoin to 20330, according to my technical analysis. Why 20330? We still have the unfilled CME GAP, which you know because I have been talking about it for more than a few months. Also, we have the 0.618 FIB retracement in confluence.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, waves marked as (1) have usually deeper retracements, such as 0.618, 0.764, or almost 1:1. It also tends to fill previous gaps because breakaway gaps usually appear when wave (3) starts.
It took 234 days for wave (1) to be completed. Compared to the stock market or gold, Bitcoin is struggling this year. Gains were overall pretty low.
Bitcoin has been going sideways for a long time, and the direction is unclear. The volatility index on Bitcoin is at extreme lows, so a big move is expected! A big pump at the current price doesn't make too much sense. But a big dump is definitely on the table.
Let me know what you think about BTC in the comment section!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
🥇GOLD → The chart gives a set-up to sell Gold breaks through support and makes a momentum move and updates the global low to 1889. It is likely that the market may continue to fall
TA on the high timeframe:
1) The nearest point from which we can expect to buy is 1902.87, a false breakout can be formed but it will take a lot of time
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price breaks the support of the wedge, forming a correction
2) The correction may confirm the bearish market sentiment
3) The decline may continue from 1896.45
4) In the long term, there is a chance that price could fall to 1881.
5) The price needs to strengthen to 1903 to expect a rise
Key support📉: 1891, 1881
Key resistance📈: 1896, 1903
GOLD → The bears are taking the gold to the den OANDA:XAUUSD amid numerous resistance retests is not yet able to break it. Fundamental data is still on the side of the dollar. The gold price continues to fall and update the lows
The price bounces off the channel resistance and falls, testing 1890. A false breakout is formed against the mentioned support and the price starts a local rebound. Most likely, gold may test 1900 in the near future before falling further. There is still a strong bearish trend in the market.
Yesterday's fundamental data is positive for USD. As the dollar index strengthens, we see the gold price falling. In the medium term, we should expect the metal price to continue falling.
Support levels: 1890
Resistance levels: 1900
I expect a retest of the resistance area before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSDT → Retest of MA200 and trend supportBINANCE:ETHUSDT is testing a strong support area in the correction phase amid a bullish global trend. Bitcoin is falling and dragging the whole market with it
The price of Efirium is testing the support of the ascending triangle - this set-up is now global. At the same time, the price is testing the MA-200 (daily), which supports the trend. In our case, if this retest turns out to be false and the price forms a false breakout and is able to consolidate above the MA-200 and above the 1800 level, then the market may switch to a bullish direction again. In this case, the scenario will start to develop, which includes price growth to 2020 and in the medium term to 2457.
While bitcoin is dragging the whole market down, it will be hard for altcoins to break out upwards.
At the moment, the moving averages are clamping down on the price, with the coin trading in a narrow range.
Support levels: 1800, MA200
Resistance levels: 1872, MA50, 1900
In priority I am waiting for a false breakdown and continuation of the ascending triangle formation.
Regards R. Linda!
💱EURCAD - Ascending triangle EURCAD continues its bullish trend. The price is testing the resistance on the background of upward movement. There is a chance for a quick breakout
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Accumulation is formed near the level of 1.47728. At the next retest, the price may break the resistance
2) The liquidity area of interest for the price is above 1.48560.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A triangle is forming
2) Price bounces off the support on the background of a bullish trend
3) A retest of resistance is forming, increasing the chance for a breakout
Key resistance📈: 1.47600, 1.4796
Key support📉: 1.4700, 1.4654
CADCHF → Downtrend triangle on the background of a bearish trendFX:CADCHF under trend pressure is forming a setup to continue the trend and update the global lows.
The currency pair is in the bearish phase. The price continues to decline and test the strong limit support line at 0.64990.
A descending triangle pattern is forming on the chart, which can be interpreted as pressure from dynamic sellers on limit buyers at 0.64990. The price is within the descending price channel, a retest of the trend resistance each time sends the price to the indicated support - a strong signal for a breakout
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 0.64990
Resistance levels: trend boundary, 0.65450
I expect a bounce from resistance, which will lead the price to another retest of support, which may help the price to breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Secret parallel channel! (Important update)
Bitcoin is bullish, and I expect its price to reach levels above $30,500 in the short term! That's because we have this secret parallel channel that no one talks about. It's important to take profit on your intraday trades at the top of the parallel channel!
I believe Bitcoin can rise much more, to 32k, until the end of the month. But of course, volatility on Bitcoin is currently extremely low, so this can take some time.
I recommend buying XRP for the long term; the current price is very good. Check out my previous analysis on XRP in the related section down below.
But be really careful in September, because this is statistically the worst-performing month for Bitcoin. Usually, Bitcoin goes down during this period of time. But after that, we have October and November, and these months are, on the other side, extremely bullish!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin has completed the complex correction double three (WXY). We can definitely start a new impulse wave from here, but it can also transform into a triple-three pattern (WXYXZ).
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
This was a quick update on BTC. Some altcoins are pumping heavily, but these pumps are most likely a game of whales. To catch these coins, you have to sit on the right coins before it happens.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD → The Bears continue to dominate. Ahead of CRS, RSOANDA:XAUUSD continues to update the lows. The price bounces from the local liquidity area of 1903 and forms a correction, making another attempt to retest the trend resistance
The upper boundary of the descending channel does not let the price yet, most likely targets below the most important. Reports released today are:
1) Core Retail Sales (no data, the previous ones were bearish)
2) Retail Sales (expected to strengthen)
After retesting the support, it is likely that the price may head up to retest the trend resistance, there is a possibility that the price may break the line and start to form a flat (consolidation) before moving further to one side or the other. A global bearish trend dominates the market. I still expect a retest of 1900 as a priority (a false breakout is possible)
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 1905, 1903, 1900
Resistance levels: 1908.3, 1912.7
In priority, I expect the price to fall from the channel resistance to 1900 with the subsequent rebound and the formation of a flat on the background of the bear market.
Regards R. Linda!
OCEANUSDT → A break of resistance will give a 30% increaseBINANCE:OCEANUSDT forms a bottom at 0.1208 and forms a false breakout. After formation of the formation, the price rallies and goes into consolidation in the triangle format
After retesting the triangle resistance on July 22, the price forms a small correction after which the price forms a pre-breakout consolidation near the upper boundary of the formation.
Altcoins have been showing positive dynamics lately and most likely the breakout of resistance at OCEAN will give excellent potential.
While bitcoin is forming a correction and forming a local support area, the altcoin price is updating the local high and breaking the resistance.
The price is testing MA-50 and may soon test MA-200 as resistance
Support levels: 0.3335
Resistance levels: 0.3605
I expect the final breakout of the triangle resistance with the subsequent strengthening of the price to these levels.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The price may form a Flat. What does that mean? OANDA:XAUUSD is in a local bearish trend. Within the current trend, the price is testing resistance. Two scenarios are possible: either a breakout or a rebound. What to expect?
The price tests the trend resistance and goes beyond it. If the price can consolidate above the level of 1914 after the channel breakout, the price may form a potential upside to 1924.8
But again, the price may form a false break of the trend resistance, in this case the price return to the channel boundaries will confirm the bearish potential, the price will head down to break 1912.7 and continue its fall to 1900.
Break of resistance and growth to 1924 may form consolidation or flat 1924.8 - 1912. If the upper boundary of the future flat is retested, we can look for sell signals
Support levels: 1912
Resistance levels: 1915, 1924.8
I expect one of the scenarios to develop, it is important for us to wait for confirmation. Most likely a flat formation may follow and in this case the price will initially head towards 1924.8.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP - Time to buy for a 500% profit! (now)
XRP is currently retesting a major trendline from 2022, and this retest is exactly where you want to buy this coin! This trendline is also part of an ascending parallel channel on the daily chart, which strengthens the support.
What's more, we have had a strong 0.618 FIB retracement on the LOG scale. We hit this level almost to the dollar, so if you bought at this level, congratulations! I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
We also need to take a look at the volume indicator. Clearly, since the downtrend finished in 2022, the bullish volume is overwhelming. That's definitely positive, and XRP could reach much higher levels in the next few weeks and months!
Now the most important question is: what is the profit target, and where do I take it? To answer this question, we need to take a look at the market caps of XRP and BTC. The current market cap of XRP is $33,134,349,311 and that of BTC is $574,121,632,744. The market capitalization of BTC is 17x higher than XRP! This means that XRP could theoretically make a 1500% profit and still be number 2. But be optimistic and stay with a 500% profit because it's possible that XRP will go through a 1-year consolidation period before another huge pump. So you want to use your money on something else if it happens.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is really a strong setup. We have a nest (1-2-1-2), which is a bullish base. Now we are waiting for the 3rd wave to finish.
XRP won the SEC case recently, and that caused a 100% pump in a few days. New developments are good and positive, so I don't see any reason why XRP should go down.
We will take a look at all profit targets from a technical perspective in the next update on this post tomorrow.
Thanks for reading! I hope you learn something new, and let me know your thoughts in the comment section!
APEUSDT → A distribution could follow from the bottom of 1.730BINANCE:APEUSDT is trying to develop a bullish scenario. The prolonged bearish trend may end, but buyers will have to take and hold a few positions to do so
While bitcoin is testing a strong support area and is in the correction phase, APE is breaking the descending wedge resistance and forming a local wedge. In this case, we are interested in resistance at 1.836 and 1.990, the latter being the resistance area of the wedge.
It is enough for the bulls to break one of the levels and form the liquidity area, which will allow to start the strengthening and distribution phase after consolidation.
The price tested the bottom at 1.730, the market reacts with a small bounce.
MA-50 resistance may be tested soon, market may give a small bounce before breaking the resistance and further up towards 2.793
Support levels: 1.836, 1.730
Resistance levels: 1.990, MA-50
I expect the growth to continue after the breakout of the mentioned resistance area. Medium-term potential - 2.793, 4.528.
Regards R. Linda!
SUSHIUSDT → Resistance breakout. Expect momentum BINANCE:SUSHIUSDT is forming a bearish wedge and after retesting the global bottom, the price starts to strengthen, breaking the resistance of the pattern
A symmetrical triangle has been forming for the last few weeks, within which the potential is accumulating. Within the forming figure, the price is breaking the resistance of the global wedge, but is still trapped under the triangle resistance. Most likely, when breaking the symmetrical triangle resistance, the coin can show an excellent bullish momentum. The market is waiting for activity from bitcoin, but it has reduced its volatility to a minimum, showing little reaction over the past few weeks only yesterday when the market bought back the decline and altcoins reacted accordingly.
The SUSHI bulls may prove themselves in the near future
Support levels: 0.637, previously broken wedge resistance
Resistance levels: Triangle resistance, 0.827
I expect consolidation above the wedge and retest of the triangle resistance with the subsequent breakout and growth towards these levels.
Regards R. Linda!
RUNEUSDT → Price breaks resistance after retesting the bottom BINANCE:RUNEUSDT is forming a prolonged downtrend. A global setup capable of changing the trend is being formed. After testing the bottom, the price starts to realize the bullish potential
The rebound from 0.777 (market bottom) forms a bullish reaction on the background of bitcoin growth. An active strengthening and breakout of the global trend resistance is formed. The price is sandwiched between local resistance at 1.110 and support at 1.003. A local consolidation may be formed with the subsequent retest of the upper boundary of the flat and realization of the breakout. This move may give the market a new potential and price growth. MA-50 acts as support and MA-200 as resistance. The height of the range is large and this gives scope for the medium term.
Support levels: 1.003, 0.777, MA-50
Resistance levels: 1.110
I expect a retest of 1.110 followed by a breakout and further growth to 1.433 or 1.722.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → The dollar may strengthen the currency pair FX:USDCHF pinches the local bottom at 0.85797 and makes a false breakdown, which realizes the countertrend potential at the moment of dollar strengthening. The price strengthens to 0.87779 and forms a setup that can continue the price growth
The bearish trend is still valid on the chart. The price is trading under the descending resistance. Pay attention to the dollar index, the price is forming resistance at 102.5 relative to the dynamic buyer. A breakout of this level by the dollar will form momentum in the forex market as well.
I expect a breakout of the symmetrical triangle resistance and active strengthening of the price against the trend.
Support levels: 0.87000
Resistance levels: 0.87779
I think that following the strengthening of the dollar the USDCHF currency pair will start to strengthen and in the medium term the price may reach 0.89088.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → A bearish wedge could lead to a rebound FX:NZDUSD is declining in the format of a bearish wedge. Within the pattern, the price may test the key support, but what to expect from the price further?
The support level of 0.59939 is the lower boundary of the global flat. There are no signals to break the support now, a retest of the level is formed after 2 months, the liquidity area will not allow to break this level. After the breakout of the support of the wedge will be followed by a retest of the indicated support level 0.59939, but I do not expect a breakout of this support. With high probability a rebound from the support may follow and the price may form a bullish momentum to the 0.61330 area.
The moving averages formed a bearish signal earlier, which has already worked out, at the moment the lines indicate a bearish trend.
Support levels: 0.59939
Resistance levels: 0.60692
I expect a retest of the support followed by a bounce up to 0.60692 or 0.61330.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Explosive breakout, watch this bull flag!
Bitcoin is forming a bullish flag pattern or a wedge pattern on the daily chart, and that's why we can expect an explosive breakout in the immediate short term! The question is, when is it going to be? I would say this or next week, because the price could still touch the upward yellow trendline. But the decision will be very soon!
Bitcoin is bullish because the price is above the yellow trendline and above the 200-day simple moving average. They are pretty close to each other. This moving average is considered strong support / resistance by huge institutions and hedge funds. It can also be a 200-week MA or a 200-month MA. They are pretty good.
The target of this bullish flag / wedge is the white trendline. Make sure you take profit here because we could crash from this point!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Usually September is a bearish month, but we still have almost a month. Bitcoin usually pumps in 1-3 straight candles when no one is expecting it. It can be really fast!
XRP also reached a strong support that can send it to higher prices, specifically 1.7 USDT per coin. It's a good time to buy it!
I remain bullish on BTC, but on the intraday chart, we could still have some imbalance and wicks to take liquidity before going to 32k. Let me know in the comment section what you think about BTC. I look forward to your comments!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD → Waiting for a trap before a further fall OANDA:XAUUSD is still testing trend support and testing the market reaction. The price is not able to grow at the moment and continues to update local lows
On the futures market, the price failed to pass through the 2000 area, on the spot market, the situation is simpler - we see a continued decline in price. The price is trying to get out of the descending price channel, but apparently gold is in the liquidity area, which does not let the price below 1930. A global upward shakeout may follow before a further decline. Or, if the price overcomes the resistance of 1943, then the market will enter a recovery phase and strengthen the price. The potential for growth to 1954-1970 will be opened.
At the moment consolidation below the support is forming - a signal for a possible sale. Medium-term outlook 1927-1970
Support levels: 1930, 1927.5
Resistance levels: 1943. 1954
I expect a shakeout or false breakdowns of the local resistance and if the price continues to consolidate below the support, the market will give us a drop. BUT! If the price returns beyond 1943, the growth will start within the descending channel
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Pin-bar and reversal pattern on the support line FX:GBPUSD on the daily timeframe is forming a situation that suggests a buyback, at the same time a candlestick pattern and a false breakout are forming
The currency pair is in the format of the ascending price channel. Earlier support was tested and on the background of news the market bought back the fall at 1.36 which is quite a strong reaction.
After the local rally, the price is forming a correction, most likely to support or retest, which may be followed by a growth phase, coinciding with the trend direction.
Moving averages form a cross and play the role of resistance, it is worth paying attention to the support area of the uptrend.
Resistance levels: 1.27275, 1.28484
Support levels: 1.26800, trend support, 1.26065
I expect the end of correction in the area of uptrend support with the subsequent strengthening of the price within the uptrend.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD - Huge uptrend is ready! (prepare longs)
EURUSD is still extremely bullish because the price is above the 200-day daily moving average and also above the major white trendline. Trend is your friend, so we want to take only longs!
The price is also inside this ascending parallel channel, and I expect another push to the upside to test the upward trendline of the channel. It's possible to bull-break this channel!
In the last 2 weeks, EURUSD has been going down, but it's just a re-test of the previous 2 trendlines. We needed this pullback for continuation to the upside. The retest was a great buying opportunity, but of course you can still enter the market at the current price if you find a good setup on lower timeframes.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
When trading EURUSD, we need to consider the DXY index. This index is pretty bearish, and I will probably do an analysis on it as well, so make sure you follow me for more updates!
The MACD indicator tells us that the trend is rolling over from bearish to bullish again. The histogram is ticking to the upside, which is of course a bullish sign.
In conclusion, I am bullish on the euro, and I would take only longs for the next few weeks!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
I post ideas mainly on BTC, so if you want more EURUSD ideas, support with like and comment, so I know I should continue!
Elliott Wave C/3 Entry Model ExampleIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Elliottwave and Elliotwave
3/C Entry Model.
This is the minimum you should consider doing
when laying out,"on paper", your favorite/profitable trade setups.
Especially if it is new to you.
More can be added as you see fit.
I left most of my other confluences off TBH.
BTCUSD → A logical correction will test a strong support area BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues to form a global ascending price channel. The actual counter-trend correction at the moment does not indicate any change of trend, an adequate reaction to the strong resistance area formed back in 2021 is being formed.
The price on the daily chart is forming a local support line 28850, a pre-breakdown consolidation and false breakdown is formed, there is no reaction in the form of a rebound, and the price continues to form a squeeze to the support. In the near future 28850 may be broken and the price will test 28450, a false breakdown is possible. Also within this correction the price may test the support of the ascending triangle and 200-day moving average. The price may technically decline in order to purchase the asset at more favorable prices.
The cryptocurrency market emphasizes more on fundamentals than on technical analysis, it plays a secondary role in this partnership. Crypto players are waiting for some news to activate the movement in one direction or another.
Interesting nuances recently:
1) Approval of the spot BTC-ETF will lead to billions of dollars of non-investment inflows into the market
2) The government has stepped up BTC protagging for June-July
3) Mainers collectively stopped selling and started accumulating BTC. Their reserves are growing
4) Minimal liquidity is accumulating strong consolidation. A surge in volumes may follow in the near future
Strong support levels: 28850, 28450, figure support, MA-200
Strong resistance levels: 29650, 30575, figure resistance.
This correction is a logical move in the market. The price can't grow all the time. I expect bullish activity after retesting the support area.
Regards R. Linda!