FXSUSDT → Out of Range. It's up to the bulls BINANCE:FXSUSDT is squeezed within the consolidation boundaries of 7.174 - 3.910, but at the same time inside the range there is a prerequisite for a possible trend change and price strengthening
A bullish pattern in the format of a "bearish wedge" is forming on the chart. The price is breaking resistance on the background of weak bitcoin. Investors are looking for potential in altcoins during a correction in the cryptocurrency market. Consolidation above 5.866 could form a bullish upside to 7.175, which would form a retest.
In this case, the market will get the potential to break the resistance of the 7.175 range and further growth. There is no pronounced trend, the price is forming a sideways range based on the bottom of 3.910. The market may slowly but try to reverse.
Support levels: 5.866, 3.910
Resistance levels: 7.175
I expect the formation of bullish support with the last retest of 7.175 aimed at the breakout of the range and further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
KNCUSDT → A break of resistance forms an impulseBINANCE:KNCUSDT breaks the resistance of the figure and forms the primary impulse. The resistance 0.726 is retested. The price moves to the realization phase. What to expect next?
KNCUSDT is forming a bullish setup. The prolonged downtrend may break and change to a bullish trend.
The price is retesting 0.726 in the phase of realizing the accumulated potential.
If 0.726 is broken through, the growth to the key resistance 0.933 can be formed, which will separate us from the active growth to 2.200, as the area of 0.933-2.200 is empty and there will be no obstacles for the price.
Recently, altcoins are increasing volumes and are active, which may show good potential in the near future.
Support levels: 0.575, 0.495
Resistance levels: 0.726, 0.933
I expect a bounce from 0.726 and a possible retest of the previously broken figure boundary, but in the medium term I stick to the fact that the price can show excellent growth by tens of percent.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - Retest of market support, readiness to decline Gold breaks through the 1963 resistance, but as it turns out this maneuver is false. The descending price channel is contributing to the price action, while at the same time price is retesting the support area and retracing back to that area to test the breakout attempt.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price is approaching range support. NFP related news may negatively affect the price
2) The liquidity area against which an entry point can be formed is around 1942. A breakout or false breakdown is possible
TA on the low timeframe:
1) On July 27, the price tests 1942 and forms a rally to 1973, after which the price does not go further, but comes back and tests 1942 again, but now already updating the local bottom
2) After a few hours and a retest of the liquidity area 1950-1955, the price returns to the support retest. Most likely the market is negative.
3) A pre-breakout consolidation is forming, which may break the market support under the pressure of fundamental factors.
Key resistance📈: 1950
Key support📉: 1942.5
💱USDJPY - Correction before further growth USDJPY is strengthening, making a false breakdown of local trend resistance. A correction towards the key support area is being formed, a rebound is likely to follow
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False break of 142.25 may form a rebound to 140.7
2) The price is updating the local maximum, we should not expect a strong fall, as the market has a key target of 144.69, most likely in the medium term we will see growth to this mark.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A bearish correction is forming. This movement may test both 141.9 and 140.7.
2) There is no talk of a trend change, there is a strong bullish trend on the chart and a smooth transition into consolidation is forming.
3) Locally we have a bullish trend and in our case we should look for support levels to open long positions.
Key support📉: 141.95, 140.73
Key resistance📈:143.00
EURUSD → A false break of support could provide bullish momentumFX:EURUSD is forming a false breakdown of the support line. The price is still trying to hold within the bullish trend
The false break of the trend support led to an increase in liquidity, after which a reaction is formed in the market, which brings the price back into the channel and confirms the false breakdown.
The false breakout may be followed by a retest of 1.09480 which will signal that the price is not ready to rise and will start to fall. BUT! If the currency pair consolidates above the support line of the uptrend, the market will form the potential for strengthening.
Moving averages act as resistance.
Support levels: trend line, 1.0948.
Resistance levels: 1.1033, 1.1075.
I expect price consolidation above the support line, relative to which a false breakdown was made. After that I will wait for growth to the resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bart pattern + Comment your altcoin!Make a comment with your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it in reply! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
The bart pattern is a new type of chart pattern that occurs specifically on Bitcoin but sometimes also on other coins. It's something like pump and dump, but at the top of the pattern we have a sideways price action that looks like a Bart's head.
Usually August and September are the most bearish months on Bitcoin, so I would not be surprised!
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When we look at the daily chart, we can see an ascending parallel channel with 3 touches at the bottom. This indicates to me that the bulls are losing steam because they are unable to make a parabolic uptrend!
There is still a possibility of going up to 32k - 33K in the short term, but this is something I don't want to speculate on. And even if Bitcoin could pump to these higher levels, the crash would follow either way.
My Elliott Wave count suggests that a deep retracement is on the way up back to 20k or 21k, which is definitely a good price to buy as much Bitcoin as possible and prepare for the new bull market in 2024 and 2025. Also, you can open a long-term leveraged position on futures in this zone.
We still need to wait around 8 months for the halving event, and that's plenty of time for a crash. We have a lot of unfilled FVGAPs and a CME GAP below the current price. They are going to be filled sooner or later.
If we take a LOG fibonacci retracement from 16.3k to 31.5k, we can see that the 0.618 golden ratio is at 20303. The whales really like to buy BTC at this specific Fibonacci level, as it has the highest successful rate of all Fibonacci levels.
This bart pattern looks pretty funny, but if you are on the wrong side of the market, it's definitely not funny. The price moves extremely fast, and you can wake up into a massive red dildo.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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GOLD → Buyer weakness leads to a retest of support OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a false break of support after which a bullish impulse is developing, which is predictable, but within the framework of the local rally the price cannot update the local maximum, which may indicate buyer weakness
A fall is formed after the establishment of LH 1972. The price breaks the 1959 level and forms a consolidation below the level. A consolidation in this area may form a potential for further decline, which may form another retest of 1948 support, and this movement will already form a potential for a possible breakout of this area with a further decline to 1933.
After the breakout of the uptrend, a flat is formed and the price can stay within these limits for quite a long time, but there are no preconditions for breaking through the flat resistance or flat support. We are waiting for the price to approach the boundary and will follow the reaction.
Support levels: 1953, 1948
Resistance levels: 1959, 1972.
I expect the price to decline to the flat support. Further reaction to the level of 1948 will show the medium-term potential (rebound or breakout to 1933 is possible).
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Falling wedge will send BTC to 32k! (act quickly)
The price of Bitcoin is currently forming a bullish falling wedge pattern, and we are very close to a breakout! Trade it properly.
We can see that the price broke out of the strong horizontal line (at 29500), but the bears are weak and they are not able to continue in the downtrend. What is now likely is that the bulls are going to push the price back above the line and pump bitcoin to 32K! 32k is a strong resistance because of the ascending trendline, so make sure you take profit or open a short when the time comes!
On the way up to 32k, we have some minor resistances, such as the previous unfilled FVGAP and 0.618 FIB retracement. Good for intraday pullbacks, but nothing huge.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we clearly see an overlapping structure in the downtrend. I marked it as WXY (double three pattern). Also, the X wave looks like a triangle, which suggests that the downtrend is almost over.
This is my update on BTC. I expect higher prices for the crypto market in the next few weeks! Alt season is ready, so make sure you buy some altcoins if you haven't already, as per my previous analysis. Set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
What do you think about Bitcoin? Let me know in the comment section; I look forward to your opinions!
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GOLD → Prerequisites for a possible breakthrough of supportOANDA:XAUUSD forms a false breakdown of the specified resistance level of 1959.8. The fundamental factors of last week indicate the weakness of the instrument
After a strong bearish impulse from the resistance of the 1983.7 range, a correction is formed aimed at retesting the 1959.8 area, the resistance is not broken and the price begins to decline. An attempt to retest the support of 1948 is being formed, which is a prerequisite for the market's readiness for further decline.
The 1948 retest and the formation of pre-breakout consolidation near the level can form a potential at which the market can break support and decline by 1933.
A reversal pattern is formed on D1, to confirm its implementation, the price needs to overcome the specified support.
A bullish setup can appear only if the 1959 breakout and price consolidation above this line.
Support Levels: 1948
Resistance levels: MA 50, 1959
I expect a 1948 retest with a possible breakthrough of support and further decline.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Shake-up the support of the uptrend. Bullish potentialFX:NZDUSD forms a false breakout after retesting trend support, so we have the prerequisites for a new bullish movement.
The price returns to the boundaries of the ascending channel after the support shake. Earlier, there was a shake-up of resistance, and the price fell to support. The price tests the Fibo 0.236 and forms a consolidation above this line, the support line also coincides.
Consolidation of the price above this area will form a bullish potential, and in the medium term, the price may show strengthening.
The global trend remains neutral, the local trend is still bullish. Moving averages may give a signal in the near term.
Support levels: 0.236 Fibo, Trend support
Resistance levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.6305
I expect the price to consolidate above this support area with further strengthening to 0.6305 or 0.6381.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Huge alt-season is starting! (buy altcoins)
Bitcoin dominance is going down, and in confluence with this sideways price action, I expect a huge alt-season! It's a great time to buy some altcoins.
We can clearly see that the price of Bitcoin is stuck in this rising wedge pattern. Because of it, generally, there is a higher probability of the price going down, but we still have plenty of time, and the price can stay inside for another 30 or 50 days.
We need to wait for the rising wedge pattern to show us the direction. The trendline of the rising wedge is slightly ascending, which is unpleasant to the bulls for a breakout. It tends to make swing failure patterns above the previous high, but you can take advantage of it and short it.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Trading Bitcoin on higher timeframes is currently not worth it because of its low volatility. You can still trade it on an intraday basis. But I prefer altcoins at this moment because the Bitcoin dominance chart (BTC.D) is showing some signs of weakness.
Bitcoin broke out of the market structure in recent days but quickly went back up. So we need to be patient. To increase the probability of success, switch to altcoins!
Litecoin's halving event is in 6 days, which should send the price to the moon. We will see... I am prepared for it.
This is a quick update on BTC; I am not short or long on it. I trade altcoins!
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BTCUSD → Price is forming a consolidation. Retest of 0.382 fiboBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is in the correction phase. The market is forming a decline in volatility to the lows of the last few months. Globally we still have an ascending price channel and a bullish trend.
The price is declining to the limits of 0.382 fibo. Consolidation is formed above this line, in this case if the price continues to consolidate near 0.382 in the absence of a bounce, a breakout may follow and the price may decline to 28474 for a retest.
A positive sign for us will be a rebound from 0.382 and a breakout of 0.236 with the subsequent consolidation of the price above the level, in this case the bulls will again begin to show potential and form a retest of resistance.
The medium-term view of the situation tells us that this technical correction may continue, but not for long. The price is testing the important support area MA50 - 28474.
In the long term it is worth paying attention to strong support levels, and secondly to the resistance, because in the uptrend it is worth looking for reversal points and entry points and breakout entry at these areas.
Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 28474, 0.618 fibo
Resistance levels: 0.236 fibo, 30575
I expect the correction to continue with a possible retest of 28474, but in the long term I expect continued growth to retest 30575 with a subsequent breakout and price movement to trend resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The market is preparing for further decline FX:EURUSD is forming strong declines after the news on Wednesday and Thursday. The price is weakening by 2.95% amid the strengthening of the dollar
On the chart I have indicated the current range with a width of 3.97%. The range boundaries are resistance at 1.1075 and support at 1.0635. At the moment the asset is within the ascending channel, but this is not important for us, we are interested in the ascending support line, which plays a key role for the price. We are interested in the price reaction to this line to determine further decline. We should wait for either a breakout or a false breakout, the signal for a set-up will be consolidation below or above the line. Accordingly, if the price consolidates below the level, the market will form an area for entering short positions
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: Trend line, 1.0948, 1.0835
Resistance levels: 1.1075
Most likely in the long term we should expect a decline, but a rebound is possible against this line before a further fall. The lower boundary of the range could be a medium-term target.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance Retest. Possible rebound before growth OANDA:XAUUSD amid FOMC speech realizes accumulated flag potential and strengthens, aiming for flat resistance, where it is at the moment
Published today:
12:30 GMT Core Durable Goods Orders (downgrade)
12:30 GMT GDP (QoQ) (improving)
12:30 GMT Initial Jobless Claims (?)
14:00 GMT Pending Home Sales (improving)
Overall there may be positive news for the USD, but it depends more on GDP & IJC. The reports of these releases will show the current situation on inflation.
Gold may decline with positive reports in the US market, but since the metal is in an uptrend and in a bullish set-up phase, I think that after retesting the flat resistance, the price may test one of the nearest supports before rising further. The SMA is again forming a cross.
Support levels: 1972.2, 1959.8
Resistance levels: 1983.7
I expect a storm in the market when the news is released. Report data may show a medium-term outlook. Gold chart so far gives hints of medium-term growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ZENUSDT → Exiting a bearish trend. Growth potential by 15.00BINANCE:ZENUSDT is forming a prolonged bearish wedge. Numerous resistance retests are inconclusive except for the last one. Against the backdrop of falling bitcoin, ZEN is showing strength.
The price after testing the bearish trend support consolidates and stops under the resistance at 9.66, forming an ascending triangle. Over the course of several weeks, price consolidates and continues to push up against resistance.
At the moment of volume surge, the price moves from the accumulation phase to the phase of realizing the potential. A breakout of resistance and a bullish impulse is formed.
A retest of the previously broken boundary or consolidation above 9.66 may be formed soon, which may give an opportunity to enter the market at a better price. It is also worth noting that the price is breaking the moving averages and this may indicate a trend change.
Support levels: 9.66, the previously broken trend boundary
Resistance levels: 11.4, 15.12
I expect the growth to continue after the breakout of 9.66. Medium-term outlook - strengthening to 15.12.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Awaiting the FOMC & Fed press release. ↑ or ↓ ?OANDA:XAUUSD is realizing the potential of the "flag" pattern I talked about yesterday. The correction wave is ending and the price continues to strengthen
Today, Wednesday, important news are published, we are interested in those that will be at 18:00 GMT from FOMC, FED. Current issues related to the rate and inflation, some representatives of this structure say that the rate may increase, and the temporary weakening of inflation may soon end amid geopolitical factors.
The gold price breaks correction resistance and starts to strengthen, testing the 1970 area. Below is one of the key support 1969.3, the expected consolidation above the level may form a potential for bullish movement. Before the news I recommend to trade carefully and try to reduce risks. Moving averages indicate a neutral stance in the market before the news.
Support levels: 1969.3
Resistance levels: 1973.5, 1983
If the news is bullish for the dollar, the surge in volume could destroy the gold's strength and in this case the price will move towards 1950, the technical analysis of the XAU suggests a continuation of the upside. Actually in this combination lies the difficulty.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → A combination of signals gives a reversal potential FX:NZDUSD makes a false break of 0.6381 resistance and forms a correction within the uptrend.
The price is testing the trend support, a reversal candlestick pattern is formed on the 4H timeframe.Collectively, we have a signal on the candlestick pattern, a false breakout of trend support and a false breakout of MA-200. Consolidation is formed above the mentioned moving average.
The price is testing 0.236 Fibo and most likely this zone can serve as a starting point. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this level in the current situation, we may see growth in the medium term.
Support levels: 0.236 fibo, MA-200, trend support.
Resistance levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.6305
I expect the currency pair to strengthen after fixation above the mentioned support line. Medium-term target is 0.6305 and 0.6381.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bearish 21k target confirmed! (Bart pattern)
The Bart pattern is now confirmed, and it doesn't look good at all for the price of Bitcoin! We need to react to the recent price action, and this pattern is breaking down. I would not be surprised if we woke up in the morning and saw a big red dildo!
You can say that Bitcoin is still inside the major parallel channel and that we are still bullish, but I can tell you that the trendline has already touched three times, and only a small bounce is expected on the fourth touch. This channel is starting to be overextended, and it looks like we are going to see a huge crash!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
My target is still 21K, as you already know. I am not buying any BTC for the long term until we reach this target. It's a strong support because of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the unfilled CME futures gap.
September is usually an extremely bearish month, and October is not the best either. I think the best scenario is if we see a huge, fast crash, so we can buy cheap bitcoin as soon as possible.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, a huge major impulse wave (1) has been completed, and we are looking for an ABC correction. Markets, especially Bitcoin, move in clear waves, and this theory is pretty good for it.
I warned you about this Bart pattern in my previous analysis, saying that it's a very possible scenario. This was definitely a good idea, and now the price is going down.
I am now bearish on Bitcoin and expect lower prices. Let me know in the comment section what you think!
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GOLD → A retest of trend resistance. Breakout or rebound? OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a bearish price channel after breaking the upward range support.
Price is testing new trend resistance, what to expect from price next?
As we see fundamental complexities in the market, it is hard to determine a clear direction at the moment, we will pay attention to technical analysis.
Gold is testing the resistance of the ascending channel and then forms a consolidation below, in the red zone, thus forming an entry point for selling.
The market is restrained from falling by the support level of 1959.8. And the price is restrained from the opposite scenario by the trend resistance.
Breakout of the upper boundary of the channel can form an impulse, which will be a part of the realization of the pattern "flag"
But if the support of 1959.8 is broken, we will see a fall to 1940.
It is also worth paying attention to the cross of moving averages.
Support levels: 1959.8
Resistance levels: trend upper boundary, 1969.3
I expect more likely to break the support and further fall, but the price may test an attempt to break the resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
EUR/USD Price Completes Impulse SequenceIt's key to understanding the market structure in general, for a while now the EURUSD has been in an impulse phase the classic 1-2-3-4-5. Few points to highlight that validate the pattern waves 1 and 4 not overlapped and wave 3 is not the shortest wave.
It's been a while since we stuck on the 4th wave phase corrective pattern which was a Triangle with a wave E failure. Waves 1 and 5 are relatively equal. It's safe to say the bullish bias is over and we can expect the price to correct lower as a corrective pattern( zig-zag, flats, or complex corrections.
GBPAUD → False breakdown and upward movement to retestFX:GBPAUD continues to form a bullish trend, as the high timeframe tells us.
The price makes a false breakdown of the moving average and returns to the range.
The price has returned to the ascending price channel and may form a retest or consolidation above the support level in the nearest future.
At the moment the price is squeezed within the flat 1.9184 and 1.9035. Most likely the price has the upper boundary of the range as a target.
An intraday retest of resistance may follow for a breakout.
Since we have an uptrend, a false breakout of support and MA-200, the market is ready to continue rising.
Another breakout attempt at 1.9184 may be successful and the price may show active growth.
Support levels: 1.9035, trend support
Resistance levels: 1.9184
I expect a retest of resistance with a subsequent breakout. Medium-term target: 1.9393.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakout 0.618. What should we prepare for? OANDA:XAUUSD on the daily timeframe shows an interesting situation, which can be confusing for those who set big targets for the price rally, which ended with a false break of resistance 1981.6
The price within two weeks is forming a strengthening , investors and whales were talking about big plans, but at the same time the dollar reversed to appreciation and this situation formed a false breakout of a key resistance level on the gold chart.
Since at the moment the price is in the range of 1981 - 1935, most likely after the retest of resistance the price may go down to the support. Three bearish candles are formed, each new candle closing below the previous one. The chart gives us a strong bearish wave.
In the coming week a lot of strong news is published and the market may be quite shaky.
It is worth paying attention to:
FOMC Statement
Fed Interest Rate Decision
FOMC Press Conference
ECB Interest Rate Decision (eur)
GDP
Initial Jobless Claims
Core PCE
These speeches and press releases can give a medium-term view of the market behavior.
The price tested 0.618 fibo and the market did not allow gold to pass this area. Consolidation is formed in the red zone, this fact can be interpreted as a readiness of the market to decline.
Regards R. Linda!