GOLD → A break of 2600 will make buyers panicFX:XAUUSD is returning to the sell-off phase due to the change of fundamental background. Buyers are unwinding their positions and the price is entering the sell-off zone
The main reason for the fall is the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. The first rumors appeared early Monday morning and the market reacted accordingly. Everyone is still waiting for the actual confirmation of the rumors.
Also Trump is beginning to hint at increased tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico and China. Active actions will start in January, after the inauguration of the new US president.
But, the risks are still high due to the escalated conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Technically, gold is returning to the channel, marking a strong resistance at 2632 and 2620. (a retest of the zone is possible before a further fall).
Resistance levels: 2632, 2620
Support levels: 2605
A price consolidation below 2620 or below 2605 will strengthen the sell-off phase. The fundamental background is weak, which increases the pressure of bears. In the mid-term, I expect the decline to continue after the breakdown of 2605-2600
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
GOLD → An unexpected shakeup. What's next? 2700 or 2600?FX:XAUUSD closed the session perfectly on Friday, hinting that it was preparing to move up to conquer the highs. But Monday morning's news shook up the market, eliminating buyers. What happened and what to expect?
Gold's decline in the Asian session was due to news from the Middle East, with Israel tentatively approving a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon.
But, on the other hand - the escalation of the conflict in Eastern Europe, where the situation has become more complicated to some critical limits over the past few weeks. This is a two-edged sword.
The market will react to any news coming from the two regions. No economic news is expected on Monday.
Technically, the focus is on the sideways range of 2731 - 2660 and internal levels, among which the price may look for support....
Resistance levels: 2673, 2689, 2731
Support levels: 2660, 2643
If the price consolidates above 2673, then we should wait for a retest of 2689 (0.5 fibo). If the bulls continue to press the market, the gold may test 2721.
But if the bears hold 0.5-0.7 fibo and retest 2660, then we should wait for a correction to the zones of interest and liquidity before a possible pullback
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → False breakdown of uptrend supportFX:USDJPY is forming a false breakdown of the support of the ascending price channel. On the background of the dollar rally and strong sales of the Japanese national currency, it can be a good signal for the continuation of growth
On D1 we can clearly see the upward, bullish market structure. There are no deep corrections, strong fundamental background and aggressive support from the rallying dollar. This picture may have a medium-term character and the market has a chance to test the ATH, provided that Japan does not start to take any measures to strengthen the JPY.
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating above the strong support at 153.9 and intends to go even higher. There are two strong resistances ahead.
Support levels: 153.9, 153.5, 152.2
Resistance levels: 155.36, 155.8, 156.7
Accordingly, a price fixation above trend support or above 155.4 will be a good signal that we are ready to go up
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APE → Consolidation before a possible rally. Focus on 1.200BINANCE:APEUSDT is forging a consolidation within an ascending price channel after the dump, this is a hint that the coin is getting ready to go up.
Smoothly the global trend is changing to bullish. The alt season could start any minute and everything partly depends on bitcoin's dominance in the market, which is gradually decreasing as BTC approaches the psychological level of 100K.
Technically, APE is forming a consolidation with 1.200 as resistance and 0.90 as support, but within this range, an upward channel is forming, indicating that buyers are starting to intervene in the game, gathering potential for further upside.
A break of 1.200 could trigger a bull run towards 1.44 - 1.800.
Resistance levels: 1.200
Support levels: 1.032, 0.963, 0.9
Technically, we can say that an ascending triangle is forming against 1.200. I do not exclude the fact that the price may test the support before further growth, as altcoins react extremely aggressively to any weak corrections of bitcoin. But, I would prioritize trading on a break of 1.200 resistance with the aim of further growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Gold continues rally from 2650?Dear traders, Tom here!
Spot gold hit a near two-week high in the Asian session as the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict benefited traditional safe-haven assets. The weekly uptrend appears to be unaffected by bets for a less aggressive Fed easing, continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-on environment. At the time of writing, gold is hovering around $2,683 and up 0.51% on the day.
Technically, gold confirms bullishness, we are watching the resistance zone ahead after a false break of 2,686, a break would be bullish while a hold would be bearish. But in any case, the preference remains on the buyers, as interest in the metal as a hedge has returned.
Medium-term target could be 2,710-2,750
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD a local downtrend channel breakout damages sellers. The fundamental background is changing despite continued USD buying and a generally risk-off environment, which is overall positive for gold as a safe-haven asset in times of crisis.
The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities.
Despite the optimism for the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from the escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions are likely to consolidate for sellers before further strengthening.
Technically, gold has every chance to test the boundaries of the previously broken channel, but based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue.
Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
Bitcoin - Last stage of the pump! (sell here and wait 50% crash)Bitcoin is in the last stage of the bull run. Buying Bitcoin at 93,000 is not worth it for the long term because you will be able to buy it cheaper in 2025/2026 at the price around 60,000-50,000. The moon boys are back and everyone is very bullish; that is usually a sign of a cycle top. Bitcoin always moves in significant cycles and is highly volatile. New people don't know it, and their finances get completely ruined with each bearish cycle.
Let's look at the technical analysis. Always start with simple trendlines. We can draw a very nice trendline starting from wave (1) -> wave (3). These 2 points are significant swing highs. This gives us a current profit target of 107,000 USD in December 2024. Next, what we want to do is look for the Fibonacci extension levels. As per Elliott Wave analysis, we are in the last wave (5), You want to draw the fibonacci extension from the start of wave (1) to the end of wave (3) and the second point will be the end of wave (4). This also gives us a profit target of 107,000 USD! This is not random; this is pure skill.
95% of retail traders don't use the Fibonacci extension tool, and among the 5% of users, 95% of them don't know how to use the tool properly. I know how to use it properly with the Elliott Wave theory, as I have been trading crypto for almost 10 years.
Enter a short position at 94,500, first profit target 92,480, second 91,062.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → Why is the metal rising? A chance to upgrade ATH to 2800?FX:XAUUSD rallies and seeks to renew the local maximum. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the metal, to which aggressive buyers are running...
Gold is not reacting to the dollar rally and hawkish Fed rate statements. Markets now rate the probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in December at 51%, up from 84% a week ago.
The reason for the metal's rally is paramount to the escalating conflict in Eastern Europe. The US Democrats have untied the hands Ukraine, which has caused Russia to change its nuclear doctrine and lower its threshold for retaliatory decisions. The conflict, fundamentally, is taking a more serious side.
Gold, as a hedge asset in times of crisis, is soaking up investor money and feeling strong buyer support
Technically, we are getting a high probability that the metal can update ATH to 2800-2850.
Resistance levels: 2710, 2731, 2750
Support levels: 2689, 2680, 2674
There is strong resistance ahead, which may trigger a correction to the nearest liquidity zones, but we are not talking about reversals. The correction may end quickly and the price will go into the bull run phase again. Medium-term targets are 2731-2750
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go below...FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation in the “flag” format, the purpose of which, in the current situation, is to accumulate the potential for continuation of the trend... Fundamental background is still negative.
On D1 we can clearly see the consolidation below the key level of 1.0600 after a strong fall. There is no proper and logical reaction in the form of a pullback. Accordingly, based on this we can conclude that the dynamics and strength of the buyer is not enough to reverse the local situation.
The dollar is starting the recovery phase again, which may put pressure on the euro.
Technically, the emphasis on consolidation “flag”. The exit of the price from the boundaries of this channel will provoke further movement.
Resistance levels: 1.0606
Support levels: 1.0521, 1.044
It is not worth trading inside the flag. The exception is a retest of resistance. Opening an order is acceptable after a false breakout.
But, the emphasis is on 1.052. Breakout and fixing of the price below this zone can strengthen the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
SOL → One step away from ATH. Will the maximum be updated?BINANCE:SOLUSDT is rallying and testing the high of 248.44, but what is remarkable is that the coin is not pulling back, but consolidating with the aim of reaching ATH or even updating it.
The fundamental background of the coin is strengthening as an exchange-traded fund may emerge on the basis of Solana, most likely the issue will be discussed in 2025. There are only 2 ETFs approved so far, bitcoin and etherium.
Technically, on W1 the bulls are trying to take control of the 243-244 area. Buyer's chances are quite promising, accordingly, if they manage to keep the defense above this zone, the coin has all chances to form a new all-time high.
Resistance levels: 245.3, 248.5, 259.9
Support levels: 242.3, 234.3
The trigger zone is 245.3. A breakthrough and price consolidation above this zone may provoke aggressive buying with the purpose of growth continuation.
It is possible that the price may form a correction, for example, to 242.3, 238, 234 before continuing its growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:SOLUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The fundamental backdrop is changing, as are the targets$FX:XAUSUD breaks local trend and makes sellers nervous. The fundamental background is changing despite the growth of the dollar, which is generally positive for gold as a safe asset in times of crisis
The dollar rallied strongly on Wednesday as traders increased optimism on Trump's dealings, digesting hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. Despite the hawkish shift in Fed expectations and the optimism of the overall market syuttaion on the dollar, the gold price held up and benefited from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Against the backdrop of the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, the gold price is likely to be firm, but upcoming Fed comments could strengthen sellers.
Technically, gold has all chances to test the previously broken channel boundary, but based on the technical and fundamentals, we can conclude that further growth may continue.
Resistance levels: 2665, 2686, 2700
Support levels: 2643, 2627
The price is heading towards the zone of liquidity and interest, from which a correction may be formed, after which the market may resume the growth of gold, as the interest to the metal as a hedge asset has returned.
Medium-term targets could be 2700-2750
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD: False Resistance Break Could Add to DeclineFX:GBPUSD Back to the liquidity test above after the free fall. The pair lacks bullish conviction amid a stable US dollar and as investors choose to wait for the Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Report Hearing before placing strong bets.
A clear bearish wave is forming on the larger timeframe, on the smaller timeframe the downtrend is formed based on negative fundamentals, which only strengthened after Trump's victory. Therefore, any strong resistance can easily hold the market.
On H4, it is trying to break out of the main range, breaking the main support level. A consolidation is forming inside the channel, if sellers hold the 1.269 - 1.277 zone, we can expect a decline towards the areas of interest in the medium term.
Resistance: 1.282 - 1.277 and 1.269
Support: 1.259 - 1.247 and 1.231
The focus is on the resistance level mentioned above, as the further struggle and movement of the market depends on this important zone at this point. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high at 1.282 i.e. (0.5 fib) is broken and the price consolidates above this zone.
BITCOIN → Bullish run to $100,000. When's the correction?BINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a strong rally. Most likely the token is preparing to go even higher. The target of 95K-100K is getting closer and closer and is becoming more and more realistic. FOMO or managed to get on the northbound train?
The fundamental backdrop is strong. Trump has been a driver for bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market. The phenomenon as a whole is quite interesting.
Bitcoin is coming out of a 9-month accumulation and is strengthening by 34% as part of the rally. Can this rally be even bigger? Yes! And there are bullish premises for that:
Technically, bitcoin is not trying to update the lows. It is forming a smooth, calm and upward movement with gradually updating highs, and in the last two days the price has been accumulating in front of a strong resistance level. An ascending price channel is forming on H1-H4.
The recent 7% retracement of the ATH is nothing more than profit-taking. There are no funadamental and technical reasons for a deep correction yet.
Resistance levels: 91650, 93250
Support levels: 90300, 89200, 87500
At the moment consolidation is forming near 92K. The emphasis is on 91650. A breakdown and consolidation above this area may trigger a continuation of the impulse (rally).
I do not exclude that on the background of reduced liquidity (Saturday/Sunday), bitcoin may test the support area before further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD--> Trend favors sellersGold prices maintained their recovery momentum on Wednesday, gaining over 70 pips early in the trading session and currently trading steadily around the 2639 USD level.
While the metal is showing signs of upward movement, this momentum appears to be short-lived as the overall trend remains favorable for sellers. The primary driver is the weakening of the US dollar, as investors take profits following last week's strong rally. Since gold is priced in USD, a weaker dollar makes the metal more accessible to buyers using other currencies.
Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to provide strong support for gold prices, with the current target aimed at the resistance level of 2665 USD. If the price successfully breaks this level, further recovery could be expected. Conversely, if it fails, the recommended strategy remains selling in line with the primary trend.
Solana: Cup and Handle PatternThe textbook Cup and Handle pattern (black) has formed on the chart.
The price has broken through the Handle, triggering a bullish signal
The target of this pattern is the depth of the "Cup" added to the breakout point.
Therefore, the SOL/USDT price is heading towards $412.
GOLD → Market confirms downtrendFX:XAUUSD is testing resistance of a key descending channel. Bears continue to resist based on important fundamental aspects of the global economy
Fears of further geopolitical escalation between Russia and Ukraine are likely to subside a bit. In addition, the Fed speech will help determine the U.S. central bank's future path on interest rates. Attention is focused on the December rate meeting....
Technically, the gold confirms the downtrend channel, so we have a key trend to follow in our trading decisions.
A false breakdown of the local resistance at 2627 is forming. Consolidation of the price below this zone may provoke further decline
Resistance levels: 2627, 2643
Support levels: 2694, 2560
Another resistance retest is possible. It will be possible to talk about buying after the price will be able to break 2643 and consolidate above this zone (additional scenario). But in priority I consider further decline from 2627 or from the channel resistance
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Ben today!
Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day.
However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks.
Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials.
Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline.
Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure.
However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
Gold price suddenly reversed and increasedOANDA:XAUUSD surged after the US dollar paused its rally and Russia-Ukraine tensions escalated. Spot gold ended the trading session on November 18 up $48 to $2,611/ounce, ending a six-session losing streak and escaping a two-month low.
Sellers held back as US President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons supplied by the United States to strike deep into Russian territory. This was clearly a major driver of strong safe-haven demand, pushing gold prices higher.
This move not only marked a turning point in the gold market but also signaled that investors were looking for opportunities amid increasingly tense geopolitical conditions.
However, in the medium and long term, we still think sellers still have the upper hand technically!
GOLD → Are the buyers back? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is getting stronger after a false breakdown of support. The fundamental background also contributes to it. The focus is on resistance 2589 and 2618, which divide the market into two zones.
The attention of the markets is shifting to the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Biden (or those above him) decided to escalate an already tense situation with his authorization of long-range missiles before leaving office. (A rather bizarre maneuver that generally characterizes Democrats as advocates of war, not peace). Gold has been reacting accordingly since the opening session. China is trying to strengthen its economy, and the dollar's consolidation after the rally gives gold fans a chance.
Technically gold is in the range of 2604 - 2546. Since the opening of the session, the price has been rallying quite strongly, which increases the chances of resistance to stop this rise
Resistance levels: 2589, 2604, 2618
Support levels: 2559, 2546, 2531
The situation is complicated due to the mixed fundamental background. False breakdown of 2589 and consolidation below this zone will strengthen the sales. But, there is a probability of retest of 2618 (liquidity zone). Similarly, a false breakout will trigger selling.
But if the fundamental situation will strengthen in the direction of gold, the market will have a chance to change the local trend from 2618
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation before the continuation of the fallFX:NZDUSD amid bearish rally is not going to pull back, forming consolidation in front of 0.5894 with the purpose of continuing the fall...
Last week the price tested the key support at 0.585, closing below the level, hinting that the market is ready to go further.
The strong rise in the dollar is extremely negative for the forex market. The excitement has not subsided yet and most likely the current movements may get a continuation.
Since we have a downtrend, we should prioritize selling from strong resistance zones or supports. Focus on the key range.
Resistance levels: 0.5864, 0.588, 0.5912
Support levels: 0.584
Accordingly, I do not exclude the fact that the market may test the resistance in the format of a false breakdown and further fall. But, since we are close to the support now and the price is forming a pre-breakdown accumulation, we should consider a breakdown of the support in the first place
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD--> Buyers stop believing in gold. Are the bears coming?OANDA:XAUUSD rose, but remained below $2,600 early on Monday, snapping a six-day losing streak. Geopolitical risks favored the safe-haven metal amid reduced demand for the US Dollar.
However, expectations of a less aggressive Fed rate cut and rising US Treasury yields are likely to limit further gains for XAU.
Attention is now focused on the upcoming speech by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, as there are no major economic releases due on Monday. Geopolitical developments will also be closely watched to see if they have any significant impact on the safe-haven asset.
Technically, Gold is forming a smooth and calm move towards new highs after a false breakout near $2,575. Notably, an uptrend is emerging on the H1 timeframe.
A pullback to the imbalance zone or local resistance level may form before the news as traders try to recover losses. However, I predict that after this correction, the price will likely continue its downtrend.
Gold --> Break out of channel and test low. Next target?OANDA:XAUUSD is in a strong downtrend after leaving the parallel channel. The price is preparing to update the local low. But! There are positive nuances from the news....
According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are forecasting an 82% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in December, up from around 58% before the data.
However, investors believe that the new presidency could cause the Fed to pause its easing cycle if inflation spikes after the expected new round of tariffs, which could have an overall negative impact on XAU.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by reacting to key support at 2550. In addition, H1 is starting to show a local down channel. Ahead of the key figures (PPI) and US weekly jobless claims, prices may still test these support areas, but then the market may reverse and find resistance, after which we can expect prices to start to decline gradually until the end of the market-wide euphoria....
Bitcoin - 10 secrets and myths no one knows about BTC!Bitcoin is in the final stage of its bullish cycle! Buying at the current price will most likely lead to a massive loss on your account in 2025/2026. You want to buy when there is blood on the street, not when everyone is FOMOing in. The moonboys are back, and historically, that's a big sell signal. This cycle should end between 90k and 120k. Then expect a massive crash back to 50k.
But let's take a look at 10 Bitcoin secrets and myths no one talks about. Before that, write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas.
Bitcoin and blockchain are brand new technologies invented by humans on Earth. That's false. This technology is very old and is already in use on thousands of different planets in our galaxy and in other galaxies. This technology was brought to Earth from the outside.
Bitcoin is decentralized and cannot be controlled. That's wrong. Bitcoin is controlled by the miners, and the FED and banks have full control over Bitcoin's development. You really thought that banks would ignore Bitcoin? In fact, they created it to replace the dollar and paper money (cash).
Bitcoin will bring freedom to humanity. That's indeed incorrect. Bitcoin is part of the total control plan to create 1 world digital currency. That means 1 wallet per person on your government ID, monitored 24/7 (Bitcoin's transactions are public); if you do something wrong, you can get blacklisted and unable to pay.
Everyone thinks that Bitcoin's maximum supply is permanently capped at 21 million coins. That's incorrect. This is the current setting of the Bitcoin program, and the supply can be very easily increased. Don't forget that Bitcoin is software, and every software can be modified. The practical supply of Bitcoin is infinite.
Bitcoin is the enemy to the banks and will cause destruction of the banking system. This is very incorrect. The banks are here to provide you financial services, such as loans or keeping your money save. They don't really care if they borrow you Bitcoin or Dollar, as long as they make money on the interest, fees, and taxes. They borrow you 10 bitcoins, but you have to pay back 20 bitcoins. That's a good business, right? In fact, the banks love Bitcoin.
It's getting long, so next 5 secrets tomorrow in this post in the next update. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!