Short term Elliott Wave view in Ten Year Notes (ZN) suggests that cycle from 3.24.2023 high is in progress as an expanded flat. Down from 3.24.2023 high, wave ((A)) ended at 113’3 and wave ((B)) ended at 117 as the 45 minutes chart below shows. The Notes then extends lower in wave ((C)). Internal subdivision of wave ((C)) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott...
Seems like bonds are about to rip higher for many weeks here...I'm long with an ETF position using some leverage to hedge my equities positions here. Seems like a good position to put on, can be done with $IEF or $ZN_F futures . Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
I think we have a low risk trade here, buying bonds until March 17th or so. Weekly trend is up, until said date, and could after that form a new consolidation and new continuation pattern over time if my view here is correct. Definitely a good idea to have some exposure to bonds, I personally opted for buying OTM calls to ride this signal, but you could use...
$TLT has reached the end of a huge weekly and monthly down trend, and made me think it could be a long lasting bottom for fixed income here. Question is: Does this low hold after the next FOMC or not? The daily chart shows a setup where a daily uptrend is set to expire by tomorrow, which could mean the current advance is over, or, perhaps, it needs some time...
Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests the decline in Ten Year Notes (ZN) from November 20 high is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from November 20 high, wave 1 ended at 137.075 and bounce in wave 2 ended at 138.08. Wave 3 lower remains in progress and unfolding in 5 waves impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at...
Elliott Wave View in 10-year Note (ZN_F) suggests that the Note has ended the cycle from June 5 low as wave (1). From there, the Note can do a pullback in 3 waves to correct that cycle. Down from August 5 high, wave ((i)) ended at 140 low. The bounce in wave ((ii)) ended at 140.13 high. The Note then resumed lower in wave ((iii)), which ended at 139 low. The...
We're going long $ZN_F early in the Asian session for a run back up to the middle of the regression channel. We think the rise in yields today was a total headfake - they won't stop sinking until they're negative.
10-year Treasury futures took a good whack today but still remain in a bullish consolidation phase going back to March. I'd be very wary of selling into weakness here - the economy remains in deep, deep shit.