Zones
USDCHF EN ZONA DE DEMANDA IMPORTANTELa cotización se encuentra dentro de una zona de demanda importante y estamos a la espera de una fuerte reacción del precio hacia arriba para iniciar una tendencia ascendente. De lo contrario esperamos que continúe la tendencia a la baja en busca de la siguiente zona de demanda.
How to draw a trade zone for false breakout / liquidity hunt?Once you spot a location to trade from (be it a liquidity hunt, or a false breakout + market structure break) - that's only half of the job. The next most important step is to draw a correct zone which gives you a safe and reliable way to enter and define your risk.
I've always found that drawing zones which help you define your entry & risk is an art, more so than science. And this doesn't work for me - because if it's not driven by a process, I'm bound to make mistakes in this important step. Hence, I wanted it to be more defined - to the level that it could be given to a programmer who could code it.
Primary method of drawing the zone
1) Find the candle that generated the signal
2) Draw a rectangle into left side of price on the signal candle (green rectangle)
For SHORT signal
=> 3) Draw (yellow) zone using the highest + last UP candle which exited this rectangle
For LONG signal
=> 3) Draw (yellow) zone using the lowest + last DOWN candle which exited this rectangle
4) If the candle right after signal candle does not test this zone, then trade this zone as a signal - ELSE - look for the secondary way of drawing the zone
Secondary method of drawing the zone
1) Find the signal candle and look left of it
For SHORT signal
=> 2) Draw zone using last UP candle which broke an HH pivot
For LONG signal
=> 2) Draw zone using last DOWN candle which broke an LL pivot
3) Discard the zone if price revisited that zone before giving the signal
There are many reasons why these zones work (if your overall trade is correct)
- These will be the candles which are guaranteed to be engulfed by the signal making candle
- If these are institutional trades, most likely it's here where they set the fakeout trap. Hence, when price comes back to these zones, they have no need to take prices beyond your stop loss as there's no more liquidity there
- If these are those amateur folks who were trading the breakout, this is where the smartest of them bought/sold and will be the first in line to exit
If you have feedback on how to improve this zone drawing process, please leave your feedback in the comments below.
Cheers!
Euro/Australian Dollar: Possible continuation of the channel!!!My expectative for Euro/Australian Dollar is bullish, because the par formed a bullish channel and that could mean a possible bought on this par. Also, it's interesting what I see in this par. It's so interesting to know it. So, at the moment, I can't to say that we're to up, becuase another possibility is that Euro/Australian Dollar show a bearish pressure.
So, beware to trade, it's not reccomend until we broke down the $1.6485 AUD to short or $1.6538 AUD to entry in long position. So, we have these option if we see any break up or break down.
Now, more interesting is in Daily that the Fibonacci show a bought for long positon in the 0.618% of Fibonacci. But, we would awaiting that Euro/Australian Dollar make this break up or brea down. So, my expectative is bullish, but I need a good confirmation to entry in this par to trade.
We hope this opportunity!!!
So, please put 2 alarm alert in the $1.6450 AUD to short position and $1.6538 AUD to long position. You can to use any lines as I show you!!!
I will going to updated more this par, just be patience and remember, knowing the price action strategy!!!
USDCHFI understand this trade is likely to be a loss.
Its against the trend and ideally our entry should be at the Orange zone.
However, I've noticed that sometimes potential trades that seem bad can have good outcomes. Although this trade has much less confluences it at least has one which is that it is at a major zone where price has reacted many times before.
XAU/USDPotentential short.
Why? this area seems to be a strong pivot point. Looking left you can see price has pushed to the downside quite heavily, this indicates selling pressure around this area and therefore I'm expecting price to react at this level.
Price may not push all the way down to the bottom zone please be aware that price may push down to my target and push to the upside.