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Chart Explanation & Indicators
EURUSD has been bearish since the weak higher high on 25 September. You find this level in the upper zone. When MACD crossed to the bearish side on 30 September, EUR started a spectacular crash into the bottom zone. EUR pierced the bottom zone and now sits on the trendline. Historically, EUR rallied from this trendline on 27 June and 02 August, as the red circles demonstrate. Rising trendlines, however, tend to break downward eventually. MACD has an active bearish cross and a definite bearish trend. Momentum is growing more hefty to the bearish side. Bears could target the white zone at $1.088 or lower.
Technical Zones
There are two horizontal, red rectangular zones on the chart. The upper zone and the bottom zone . The bottom zone contained support levels where the EUR could bounce on 16 August and 12 September and hit the resistances of the upper zone. However, the EUR lost the support zone. The bottom zone might have become another resistance. The price sits on a rising, red support trendline now. The next zone that might function as a support is around $1.088.
Conclusion
The setup suggests a short position. The price resting on a supportive trendline casts a shadow on the suggestion. The signal might be bearish, but the entry doesn't seem ideal. I'll wait for the setup to change for a new assessment or the price action to align with the setup to catch a neat entry.
Thankfully to all followers,
Ely
NZDCHF bounce expectations
NZDCHF i am have from 29.Aug bullish expectations, at end price is start falling on events from week before and changes in USD are have impact, USD is start more bullish.
In week before we are have consolidation period which we can see its be breaked and now expecting somination of CHF here still and bounce bearish from zone 0.52250
TP: 0.50950 (90)
SL: 0.52450
BTC - Potential new ATH by the end of this monthWe're currently in a downtrend, with Lower Lows and Lower Highs; however, it seems to be looking slightly bullish right now. Lots of different data showing the price will likely increase to ~70k within the next few weeks.
There is a lot of resistance within the yellow zone highlighted here. The price will likely face rejection within this zone and if we're lucky will correct back to ~62k support at the lowest. From there there is a better chance of the 70k movement occurring.
The price is currently very undervalued, but also volume is quite low. This is likely due to the fact many have bought and are still holding, and new investors are waiting to see what will happen.
If the price however drops below 56.6k on the rejection, we may see extended bearish price movement to the 48-52k region, but likewise this should just be temporary; but it will postpone the 70k+ push by likely a few weeks.
If the trend however is bullish, this could result in a new ATH by the end of this month. A new ATH by the end of this month would put the price of BTC back on track with its trajectory to reach 198k by end of June 2025.
BTC Trend Projection - First steps to reach 198k by July 2025We are projecting an ATH of 198k by June 29th, 2025. For BTC to reach this it has some steps it needs to follow. These steps can be broken down into chunks and here we aim to break down the first part.
Likewise, here is a quick evaluation of how BTC is currently doing and what may happen in the upcoming few days to a month.
Bull:
BTC may have corrected downwards and sideways enough to become being properly evaluated. What this means is that BTC's Price and Halving projection line are very close together. This is great news as it means bullish momentum may be happening soon and this will help maintain a strong support and potentially the lowest the price may crash to in the upcoming few days.
Bear:
Unfortunately there is still some short term bearish momentum going on and the price may correct further to the 60-62k area. This should be only temporary and can be considered a good entry point to get into the market if you haven't already as most trading pairs are at a pretty good buy in price right now.
Conclusion:
Be cautious if you have a liquidation in the 60-62k price range as this correction may hit that area before the bullish momentum picks in and we slowly climb back to the 70k+ region.
If you haven't bought in yet, the next few days may be about the best you are going to get unless you want to wait until July 2026 where we may see a low of 50k..
BTC's bullish momentum may be very close to happening again, this short correction was necessary but may be almost over.
There is a potential possibility of side ways movement until May, however BTC is generally very volatile and there is a better chance we see 1-5% price movements up and down between 60-75k for the next month; so even though bullish movement may happen soon; there may still be bearish movements in between. The true parabolic movement is likely awhile away.
When BTC does exhibit parabolic movement, it usually does so for a few days to week before slowing down with a correction, consolidation and then continuation. Its never just straight up forever, be cautious!
ETH: Breaking Boundaries and Soaring High! 🚀💹Introduction: 🌐 Ethereum (ETH) is breaking free from the confines of a descending channel, signaling a pattern of continued upward momentum. Traders are eyeing a potential long entry, with the option to wait for a retest and bounce. Let's delve into the details of this exciting scenario.
Trade Details: 💰 Long enthusiasts are entering the scene, considering positions at ~$2300 - $2240 - $2200. The strategy aligns with the breakout scenario (as per the provided link) or opting to wait for a retest for a bounce.
Technical Analysis: 📊 Ethereum's price has breached the upper boundary of a descending channel, indicating a pattern conducive to sustained upward movement. The potential long entry points offer traders flexibility, either entering immediately upon the breakout or waiting for a retest.
Expectations and Targets: 🎯 Traders eye ambitious targets of $2340 - $2370 - $2400 - $2450 - $2500 as Ethereum ventures into a potentially robust bullish phase.
Stop-Loss: 👎 To mitigate risks, a stop-loss is set at $2150, safeguarding traders from unexpected market fluctuations.
Conclusion: 🚀 Ethereum invites traders to ride the wave of upward momentum. Whether you enter immediately or patiently wait for a retest, prepare for an exhilarating journey as ETH aims for new heights! 💹🌟
LTCUSDT: Riding the Bullish Waves with a Long Adventure! 🐂🌊Introduction: 🌐 Get ready for an exciting adventure in the crypto seas with LTCUSDT! Traders are embarking on a long journey from $71.44, riding the recent upward structural break and the formation of a sloping support level. Let's dive into the details of this bullish odyssey.
Trade Details: 💰 The long position (#LTCUSDT) sets sail from $71.44, secured with a stop-loss at $70.36. The rationale behind this move is the local break in the upward structure (BOS), forming a sloping support level. Price retracements reveal manipulation around liquidity, signaling significant player positions.
Technical Analysis: 📊 Zooming into the 15-minute timeframe, LTCUSDT has locally broken the structure upwards (BOS) and formed a sloping support level. Price retracements indicate manipulation over liquidity, suggesting the accumulation of positions by a large player. A level is set at $71.98, anticipating stops from short sellers to act as a magnet for market makers.
Expectations and Strategy: 🎯 The trader anticipates price compression towards the level through the slope, expecting further breakthrough beyond.
Trade Target: 🚀 The primary goal is to ride the bullish waves, capitalizing on the structural break and exploiting potential liquidity traps.
Conclusion: 🌊 LTCUSDT invites traders to ride the bullish waves on this exciting adventure. Prepare for a journey of potential profits, watch for price compression along the slope, and get ready for a breakthrough beyond! 🚀💹
Bitcoin Temporary SWING but also Long Term LONGThis Long on Bitcoin is very much LONG TERM due to the fact that the halving and so many of our indicators and others are pointing towards it.
However, this Long in our opinion does have a temporary swing to it. We may be suspecting a temporary increase to ~48-50k in the upcoming 2 - 3 weeks BEFORE a Correction back to the 44.5-45k mark by February.
After this mark around early to mid February we are projecting parabolic movement on the trajectory of our BTC Halving Indicator of 198.4k by June 29th, 2025. If this is indeed to happen, the slope/trajectory the price will need to take to reach its predicted High by its predicted Date will be exponentially parabolic.
We understand that many other Halving's analysis is anticipating April to be the Halving. If this is indeed true; this doesn't forgo our Trajectory; if anything it simply may make it more Parabolic in Nature.
So stay tuned; the volume within the Crypto Market itself, along with BTC may become parabolic and exponential in the upcoming months. Now may still be a great time to enter if our prediction of 198.4k by June 29th, 2025 is correct.
Likewise by this slope of movement, if correct, we will see a new BTC ATH by Early May 2024.
SHORT TERM OPPORTUNITY IN CAPITAL TRUST_35% UPSIDEOn a day where almost every stock seemed to tumble, CAPTRUST managed to pull off a bullish stunt. The stock closed with a +15% gain along side 15 times surge in daily volume.
The weekly chart of the stock shows us that the stock managed to pierce above an18 months old active supply zone.
Since Jul 2022 the stock has been attempting to move beyond the INR 110 mark but failing to do so.
For the past 4 months the stock had been trading in a tight range of INR 90-110 waiting for the right time to clear above 110 mark, which it did on Wednesday's session.(AND HOW!!)
What should now be expected from the stock is that it will now head towards the INR150-160 zone to test the new supply as the old supply zone has been successfully conquered.
CMP 113.15
SL 98
TARGET 155
RR 1:3
OIL INDIA looking to breakout from a supply zone!The stock has been in congestion zone from past 3 months. During this period INR300-305 acted as a demand zone while INR 325-330 zone has been a seller's favored zone.
The stock is spotted today breaching a minor trend line resistance with good volumes. This could be an early sign of the intentions of the stock(or rather the buyers) to clear above the 325-330 zone for good this time around.
Upon a decisive close above INR 330 mark the stock could very quicky attempt to move towards the INR 360 mark.
On the downside 312 could be a good place to consider to place a SL order for a target of 360(RR 1:3).
Note*- Please do your own analysis/research before making any trading decisions.
TRADE_SETUP_20% UPSIDE IN SKFINDIAThe stock was seen bouncing off an active support/resistance zone of INR4350-4450.
This very zone has been an active zone for the stock since Aug.2022, with several attempts made by both buyers and sellers to breach it.
The sellers in fact were able to breach this zone in March 2023 but looks like the buyers would not give up even then.
After a tough battle of 1.5months the buyers not only brought the price back above the S/R zone but managed to ignite a 35% rally to the upside.
The stock after finding a new supply zone at INR5250-5350 was back to the previously active zone of INR 4350-4450 and was seen reversing quite sharply from the past 3 trading sessions.
Now one should keep an eye at 4700 as once the stock is able to close above this mark the rally could get even stronger and the buyers could target the IBR 5800-6000 zone this time around.
CMP - 4675
SL - 4500
Target1 - 5350
Target 2 - 5800(RR 1:5)
MAHLOG is on the verge of breaking out of 2.5years old trendlineThe stock is attempting to breakout from a major trend line resistance that has kept the stock in a 'downtrend' for almost 2.5years now.
A close above INR 400 could mean a quick run for the stock towards INR 420 level.
Above INR 420 however is the region where the stock would almost 'fly' towards INR 500.
But since 420 is a prior supply zone one could expect some congestion in the 400-420 zone before the stock takes out 420.
INR 360-420 can also be considered as a long term accumulation range in the stock. The stock has spent almost 10-11 months in this range giving ample time to the interested parties to accumulate it for the future.
A breakout above the trendline and also above 420 could provide some great momentum to the stock in coming weeks/months to scale up to INR 500 mark.
Note*- The explanation of chart is based on personal opinions/observations. Please do your own research before making any trading/investing decisions.
TDPS preparing for a zonal breakout and 15-20% rally!!The stock had given a successful breakout from a major resistance/supply zone of INR263-270 in Nov 2023 and subsequently formed a one month trading range right above the breakout zone.
INR 285-290 is now the new resistance zone that the stock is now eyeing to breakout out from in order to go past the INR 300 mark.
On Wednesday's trading session the stock broke out from a minor trend line resistance with a slight uptick in volume. This minor breakout can provide the necessary fuel for the stock to clear the INR285-290 zone with some momentum.
CMP - 278
SL - 264(5%)
TARGET - 320(15%)
RR - 1:3
Note*- Not a suggestion to buy/sell but a personal opinion on the stock. Please do your own research before taking any investing/trading decisions.
Time to hunt down the ICICIBANK bears!!The stock broke out above an active supply/demand zone of INR 900-920 in April 2023.This particular zone has been an active supply/demand zone for the stock since Sep.2022.
2 attempts by the stock to go past INR 1000 mark were reversed by the sellers in July and Sep. this year.
Now for the past 3-weeks the stock has been making an accumulating range right at the zone of 900-920 and now has picked up some pace.(REMEMBER-ACCUMULATION RANGE AT SUPPORT AND DISTRIBUTION RANGE AT RESISTANCE OFTEN LEAD TO POWERFUL UP/DOWN MOVES RESPECTIVELY).
INR 950 is the minor resistance zone and the stock should not have much trouble taking it down first, before heading forward to face the bigger resistance of INR 1000(which too shall be hopefully taken down this time around).
TIME'S UP FOR THE BEARS!!
NOTE*- This post is for educational purpose. Please analyze/research thoroughly about any instrument in which you want to trade/invest.
Adani Enterprises is at major support.The most infamous stock in the Indian stock market in recent times- Adani Enterprises, has reached a very crucial support area and is probably attempting a bounce from here.
The chart is based on very simple concepts of Support/Resistance, Horizontal consolidation areas(HCR's) and trend lines. Nothing too complicated here, the entry too is pretty straight forward.
For a short term trade ,enter on trend line break confirmation and aim the HCR lower boundary for target.
The low at 2142 is crucial reversal point as of now and will act as a SL.
One important thing to note in this chart is the lack of volume confirmation for the past 2 months fall. What does a fall without volume confirmation mean? Is it bullish or bearish?
keep an eye on the stock and you will find for yourselves(:P).
CMP 2196
SL 2140
Target 1 - 2370
Target 2 - 2600
Gujarat Raffia Industries _a breakout on cards and 90% upside!It was noticed that the stock has been in an bottoming and accumulation phase for more than 2 years starting Aug 2021 till date.
During this 2 year phase the stock attempted to go beyond the INR 40 mark but the same proved to be a strong supply/resistance zone for the stock preventing it from going higher(though few spikes/tails managed to pierce it a few times).
On the downside however, INR 27-30 kept providing a very strong demand zone/support for the stock(though a few tails pierced it on one of the occasions) and was probably used to accumulate this stock by interested parties during this phase.
The stock gave a falling trend line breakout last week with growing volumes and has greater chances this time around of breaking-through the INR 40 wall that it could not break-down in past 2 years.
There is little to no resistance for the stock once it closes(weekly) above INR 40.INR70-80 seem to be the only resistance on the chart which from current price are almost 90% upside.
INR 33 can be used a 'SL' for this stock to enter around INR37-40 zone for a potential target of INR70-75.
NOTE*-The views expressed are based on personal opinions/observations. Please do your own analysis of any company in which you wish to invest/trade.
Has ITC refueled its tank for the next move up?The ITC stock now has been consolidating for more than 2 weeks at a very strong support/demand zone of INR430-435.
This particular S/R zone is an active zone for the stock since May 2023, acting as support and resistance on several occasions since May.
There was a slight breach of the zone in Oct.end which was successfully reversed by the excess demand hence providing more relevance to this zone.
It is very interesting to witness the stock making a 2-week range right at the demand zone of 430-435 as if it is only waiting for an explosion upwards towards the supply zone of 450-455.
Surely the sellers/bears have tested the buyers/bulls enough and the buyers have bravely stood their ground even bringing the stock back above 430 after the breach, but now its time for the buyers to test the sellers. We shall see if they hold their ground of 450-455 or flee from the battleground.
CMP 437
SL 432
TARGET 457