US10Y Technical Breakdown – Post-Moody’s DowngradeMoody’s has downgraded the US credit rating for the first time since 2011, citing rising debt levels and long-term fiscal challenges.
This move sends a clear warning signal about America’s fiscal path and adds fresh uncertainty to markets already navigating interest rates, inflation, and geopoliti
Government bonds
Is US debt a threat to equity market recovery?Introduction: The equity market is marking time in the short term after a vertical uptrend since the beginning of April. There are many issues of fundamental concern, but one is currently front and center: the sustainability of US sovereign debt. Of course, it's far too early to talk about a US pub
The Bond Shark Attack.The bond yield has taken its first dive to the 0.88 level, and according to the ever-so-fishy harmonic shark pattern , we’re bracing ourselves for a dramatic tumble at the 1.138 level.
Now, what does this mean for the stock market? Well, think of it as a domino effect but with a flair for drama.
US GOVERMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD US10Y Among the US Treasury bond yields—2-year (US02Y), 10-year (US10Y), and 30-year (US30Y)—the 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) generally reflects the strength of the US Dollar Index (DXY) most closely.
Explanation:
The US10Y yield is widely followed by currency traders and investors as a key indicator of
The break-up (a must-watch chart)One of the most important—and unusual—developments in the market right now is the combination of rising US bond yields and a falling US dollar.
Normally, when bond yields go up, the dollar strengthens. It's similar to a high-interest bank account: if you can earn more by holding US assets, global i
apan’s Bond Market Is Flashing Alarms – Carry Trade at Risk?🚨 Japan just witnessed its weakest 20-Year Government Bond auction since 1987, triggering a spike in long-dated yields:
📉 Bid-to-cover ratio at lowest since 2012
📉 Tail (spread between avg. & lowest accepted bid) was massive
📈 40Y JGB yield hit all-time highs
📈 30Y at highest since it was introd
US 10Y OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK MAY 19-23 (UPDATED DAILY)US 10y Treasury Outlook for the Week May 19-23,2025
May 19, 2025
Friday Fundamental Recap
U.S. Treasuries rose, with the 30-yr yield nearing its mid-January peak (5.005%). Gains followed Japan’s Q1 GDP contraction (-0.2%; expected -0.1%) and a strong eurozone trade surplus (EUR36.8 bln; expected EU
US 10Y TREASURY: US downgradeThere is no rest for US Treasuries. The minute the trade tensions between the US and China were settled, at least for the period of 90 days, a new storm hit the market throughout rising concerns over the sustainability of the US debt. At least as this sustainability is perceived by the rating agency
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