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Government bonds

US02Y bullish move stopped by a fibSharing how Fib extension can catch tops and bottoms / support and resistance. Here we have the 2yr bond yield with the 3 pivot points (marked by blue price notes) for the fib extension at Mar 24 low, Mar 31 high and Apr 05 low. Last nights .5-ish move was suppressed by the Fib 3 boundary. From an elliott wave perspective, there are so many 1-2 waves from the May 04 low...it would seem, if this is a correct analysis, the 2yr is headed higher...much much higher. I believe this is the 5th wave just starting and to confirm, we'll have to watch for a significant break(IE a few green non-retracing candles to be the confirmation - something like the push from 13-sep-2022 to 26-sep-2022)
TVC:US02Y
by shamgar331
US 10Y TREASURY: time for relaxation, or maybe not?The US inflation figures were published during the previous week, which showed that it is not going to be an easy task for the Fed to bring it back to its 2% target. At the same time, oil was traded above $90/barrel with some analysts’ prediction that it might easily reach the level of $100 till the end of this year. Taking current circumstances into account, the market was able only to move in one direction – bringing 10Y Treasury yields back toward the 4.30% level, where the benchmark is finishing the week. Currently there is a bit of a tricky moment on the charts. Namely, 4.3% could be treated as sort of the resistance level for 10Y Treasury yields. But, taking into account that the FOMC meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, surprises might be possible in terms of a break of 4.3% level. However, if everything stays as anticipated by the market, then yields might come a bit back down to 4.2% levels.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Dark times are coming... - TVC:US10Y is showing significant strength on all major timeframes. - The EMA's on the monthly timeframe broke bullish after 12,000 days (Last seen 1962). - If the US10YR breaks the 50% price retracement, we could see between 7.25% - 15%. (Last seen 1981) The markets are in a scary place right now. This bear market may be extended due to many factors were dealing with in 2023 (War, Virus, Inflation, Rising Interest Rates, Upcoming election, etc...). Maybe a crash is what's needed to reset all of this chaos?
TVC:US10YShort
by iLeverageBTC
Yields Spread Market Crash AstrologyYield spreads tighten and also invert leading into a recession and it is only once they start to de-invert that any sizable decline begins once all the durations have been squeezed and there is nowhere else to run/hide for market participants. The 10Y-03M curve is of particular interest compared to 10Y-02Y, which almost always leads to a crash once that cuts above 0. Current widened spreads suggest there is still time for any black swan event to realize. I would expect long duration to rally in the next 2-3 months to narrow the spread around ~5% range, this can occur with help from TGA refill that's occurring until the end of September. Once at the end of the fall, I think we will see trouble brewing in markets from high rates and short liquidity. Net-net, equities, and all risk assets can float around until late August/September before any major decline can transpire.
TVC:US10Y
by ponzialchemist
US10YHey folks i do hope everything is going well around you ......lets ckeck us10y chart as of now we are seeing bear flag on DXY and double top in us10y bond and bullish flag on Gold chart....based on these all things i conclude we can dare to expect devaluation in Dollar in midterm and increasing price in gold and commodities...... more over please consider we are getting close to election year day by day , and us goverment needs strong economy in election debates..... GOOOOOOD LUUUUUUCK
TVC:US10YShort
by Logical_Markets
US 10Y TREASURY: reversal is still pendingThe market uncertainty of the future course of inflation and FED`s next moves continued during the previous week, especially after the news that Saudi Arabia will continue with its decreased supply of oil by 1 million barrels per month until the end of this year. The price of oil surged on this news, putting the markets back on the negative sentiment. However, Treasury yields did not make a significant reaction to this news, as investors will probably need some more time to digest potential next Fed's move. The 10Y Treasury yields started the week around 4.18% and went back to the level of 4.30%, without a strength to break this level. They are ending the week around 4.26%. Current charts are pointing that there is time for further relaxation in the 10Y Treasury yields. In this sense, the level of 4.0% is still pending to be tested. During the week ahead yields might again revert back toward the levels from the beginning of the week, around 4.2%, with some probability that 4.10% might be reached. A move toward the upside, in terms of 4.30% is unlikely at this moment, at least based on the charts.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US 10 Year Bond ready for downward moveFor all trade on my Auto Harmonic patterns indicator trade setup - Risky trades can take trade after crossing 23.6% on either side and safe traders can take trade after 41% We can start buying when our Trailing SL hit at 23.6% with SL of recent low our Target will be 41%, 78.6% , 127.2% 161.8% and 223.6 % , when reversal pattern appears on chart we have to trail our SL if trailing SL hit exit from long trade and initiate sell trade ,
TVC:US10Y
by JaiPrakashShuklaHarmonicTrader
Buy the 10 years sometime soon?for the two year to drop rapidly ( BY Powell) there would have to be a black swan event: WW3 GF When the 2 year crosses the 10 year that´s when you need to be paying attention as the market has gone risk off! In times of crisis good to own the 10 year assuming the FED drops rates, Long end rates may go higher maybe 6-7%, but the opportunity will be fleeting and painful.. but eventually it could be worth the pain as the FED then cuts and equities drop.
TVC:US10YLong
by PoPnoStyle