Bitcoin - 2025After a long consolidation around $100,000, and a correction of ~32% from the top, it seems we are preparing for a new move.
In the previous idea, I mentioned that there could be either consolidation or a healthy correction, but both happened.
I will describe several scenarios that I see.
I will describe only positive, super-positive and ultra-positive ones.
Since the negative sounds like this - we have already reached the peak, there will be a small over-high, and we will go bearish.
Positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $150,000-$200,000
Super-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $200,000-$300,000
Ultra-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $300,000-$400,000
Now you must ask - can we really reach $400,000, how is this possible, with the current price of $84,000, and April outside the window?
I will tell you that there is nothing complicated or incredible here, that is why it is ultra-positive.
But you should focus only on positive and negative scenarios, and not float in the clouds hoping for a miracle.
As for altcoins, in this scenario, I don't think Bitcoin dominance will last long, so high, in any case, soon there will either be an overflow and altcoins will start shooting, or we will all die from the paws of bears
HOLD YOUR BEARS, IT'S NOT OVER
Crypto market
DOGE Trade Setup – Structure Shift in Progress?DOGE just swept the $0.13 liquidity, shaking out weak hands, but price is still holding strong above the $0.15 key support zone. If we get a daily close above $0.18, that could lock in a bullish structure shift and kickstart the next leg up.
📌 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $0.16
Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $0.23
🥈 $0.30
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.14
Binance Coin (BNB): Rejection From EMAs / Sellers DominatingSellers showed good MSB on smaller timeframes on BNB and now we are seeing a similar candle movement happen where recently we had a nice push to upper zones where usually we follow up with similar drops, so that's what we wait for!
Swallow Team
ETHUSD Market Analysis – Short SetupI'm going short on ETHUSD based on current market structure and key resistance levels.
📉 Trade Details:
Entry Price: $1,649.43
Stop Loss: $1,656.60
Take Profit: $1,564.97
🧭 Reason for the Trade:
ETHUSD recently tapped a resistance zone near $1,650, which has acted as a supply area multiple times in the past. After a weak bullish push with low momentum, price started to stall showing signs of rejection with long upper wicks on the H4 candles.
This hints that sellers are stepping in and bulls are losing steam.
🔥 Why I’m Short:
Price rejected the $1,650 zone
Weak bullish candles near resistance
H4 shows bearish structure forming
Risk/reward ratio is solid
📍Risk Management:
I’m keeping things tight with my Stop Loss at $1,656.60 — just above the resistance zone. If price breaks above this, it means sellers are likely out of the game.
Take Profit is set at $1,564.97, right above a demand area and previous support. This gives the trade room to breathe while locking in profit before price bounces.
BTCUSD - Looking For A Push To 90K...We appear to be in the midst of an expanded zig-zag correction.
A small push toward 90K—without breaking the support at 83,015—would confirm the pattern. So far, the break above the recent high, along with the expanded correction, supports this outlook. As long as the 83,015 level holds, price may reject any prolonged move below the 1000-period moving average.
BAKE - Some POIsThe Grey triangle could be a nice trade. Eyes on it.
I will be not active for next 1-2 days but here a small TA.
There is not much to say.
a quick overview of BAKE.
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Litecoin (LTC): Forming Bullish Channel, Might Shoot UpLitecoin is forming here a nice bullish channel from where we might see a quick spike to upper zones.
Our first target zone is that bullish CME gap, which we intend to see filled, and once we see further dominance, then the upper resistance zone (where there are a lot of FVGs).
Swallow Team
Tron (TRX): Bearish CME + Signs of WeaknessWe are seeing a possible downward movement to occur on Tron coin, where recently we have broken from that pattern of BOS on a bullish trend where we had a decent sell-off, which showed the dominance of sellers in that region.
As we are seeing a smaller bullish overtake now, we expect to see something like a "double top" pattern, where afterwards we want to see a break of the neckline/support, which then would result in a market structure break and give us a good entry for short.
Swallow Academy
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
Bitcoin can exit from wedge and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was moving inside a broad horizontal range, with clear rejections from both support and resistance. The lower boundary of this range was located near the support level at 81200 points, and the market found solid footing there. After a series of bounces, BTC gradually started to grow, breaking out of the lower range and forming a new short-term trend. The growth accelerated after the price exited the buyer zone, leading to the development of an upward wedge. Within this pattern, BTC continued climbing and eventually broke through interim resistance levels, reaching new local highs. The current movement shows clean reactions to the support and resistance lines of the wedge, with the price respecting the structure closely. Now, BTC is approaching the resistance level at 88500, which aligns with the upper boundary of the previous range and borders the seller zone. The combination of this resistance and the narrowing wedge formation increases the probability of a bearish reversal. Given this setup, I expect BTC to reverse soon and continue moving down toward the 81200 support level, which remains my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
A&B Scenario $117K - $130k📊 Fibonacci Levels:
100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance — price is reacting to it.
127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones — likely targets if the uptrend continues.
161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5).
These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls.
🔁 Elliott Wave Count (Speculative):
The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels.
A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly FWB:65K –$68K area).
Followed by a final Wave (5) rally — possibly targeting $103K to $117K.
This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top.
📐 Trend Channel:
The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well.
Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel — potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K.
📉 Support Zones:
FWB:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%–100% Fib and mid-channel).
$47K: 61.8% Fib — solid structural support if there's a deeper correction.
🔺 Bearish Warning:
The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93K–$103K area.
Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction.
🧠 Summary – End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart:
Scenario A (Bullish):
📈 Target: $103K – $117K
Timing: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak)
Conditions: BTC holds FWB:65K –$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path.
Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):
🔻 Pullback to FWB:65K or even $47K
Potential double top or failed breakout
Binance Coin (BNB): Sellers Are Controlling 200EMA (Major Line)Binance Coin has finally shown some sort of weakness where sellers took over the 200 EMA line, which has been acting as the major support line for the coin. We expect now to see another 30% decline on the coin and then some sort of recovery so let's see!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
NFPUSDT with potential 7x opportunityNFP/USDT has established a solid bottom, with the price consistently respecting the dynamic trendline, signaling strong support. This structure suggests the potential formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders (ISHS) pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup.
The neckline, which serves as the immediate supply area, is a critical zone to monitor for a breakout. A successful breach of this level could confirm the setup, paving the way for further upward momentum.
The final target for this bullish structure is clearly marked on the chart, aligning with a key resistance level, offering a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity for traders. Do let us know what you think about this setup.
BTC - Not very Clear long Term!2H :
OBV broke out of structure. Acc/Dist shows some confusing Divergences regarding Lows or Highs. It signals, that we maybe reach the upper blue TL again. In that case: there must be a new volume TA to enter a high possible Short.
Green Box (Support). If this breaks with Confirmation ( high bearish volume with red Delta and high net shorts) then the next level will be lower blue box or Orange TL.
A spike to that hVn could be very possible if the price goes higher (within the channel).
If the Prices lingers/consolidates tool long on green box or lower blue TL with decreasing CVD and OI, then the probability that the hidden Bulls get exhausted is really high and the price breaks downward. Here we must watch more tools than just simple CVD+Price. Things like OBV, Open Interest, Net shorts and longs etc...
1H :
OBV on 1h shows a structure break too.
Daily POC : 85700
4H POC : about 8440
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#APE/USDT#APE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.4040.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.4122
First target: 0.4223
Second target: 0.4330
Third target: 0.4464