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MARKETS week ahead: December 23 – 29Last week in the news The Fed cut interest rates by another 25 bps, but Powell`s rhetoric in an after the meeting address to the public did not make markets happy. A correction was strong and immediate. The US equity markets were hit the most, followed by the crypto market. A market correction brought the S&P 500 down to the level of 5.930. BTC reached its lowest weekly level at $ 92K, however, recovered as of the weekend to the level of $97K. The price of gold followed US Dollar volatility, dropping down to the level of $2.622. In line with Feds expectations of a 50 bps cut in 2025, the 10Y US benchmark yields jumped to the levels above the 4,5%. At a December FOMC meeting the Fed cut interest rates by another 25 bps, which was generally expected. However, markets were not at all happy to hear what followed. The FOMC projections for year 2025 showed inflation expectations to be higher from previously estimated. The PCE inflation indicator is expected to end 2025 at 2,5%, higher from previous estimation of 2,2%. The targeted 2% is expected to reach in 2027. At the same time the Fed expects the jobs market to be cooling, but the GDP forecast was not changed from the previous estimate. As the discounting rate changed, so the markets entered into correction, where US equity markets were hit the most. On a positive side for US markets is that the Bank of Japan decided to hold interest rates at 0,25% for the third time this year. Considering significant carry trade in Yen, this is positive news that markets will not suffer another shock till the end of this year. A hit for the European markets during the previous week was a slide of value of Novo Nordisk shares by 20%. This drop came after the Danish drug maker published results for a weight-loss drug that did not meet expectations in a trial. Although the drug was expected to help patients to lose 25% in weight, the trial showed efficiency of 22,7%. It seems a low difference in effect, but might make a huge difference with competition, hence, investors decided to reduce the value of Novo Nordisk. China is continuing execution of its long term goals to be the leader in the field of electric vehicles in the future period. The news published by Reuters, points to a Chinese company Nio which has introduced its new EV car model, with the aim to compete with Mercedes SMART and BMW Mini electric vehicles. Nio`s EV will have the same price as German carmakers on China's market. Germany's auto industry is already facing difficulties with car sales, where China was one of the main markets, after Europe. Crypto market cap It was a hard week on the crypto market. Unfortunately, this was also the last actively trading week for this year, before the Holiday season in the Western markets. So, what actually happened? The Fed managed to spoil Holiday fun and decided to revise its economic projections for the next year. In a fear of inflation which is expected to be persistent, the Fed is expecting to cut interest rates probably two times, in total by 50 bps. This is exactly what markets did not want to hear, considering that now the discount factor is higher, bringing evaluations into a correction. Also, it should be considered that borrowed money will be more expensive, from previous projections, which again might imply less funds for the crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 7% on a weekly basis, although the drop in one moment was more than 10%. Friday's market correction erased some of the weekly losses. Daily trading volumes were also higher, to the level of $397B on a daily basis, from $297B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.622B, which represents a 99% surge from the beginning of this year. Bitcoin was the one to drive the market sentiment during the previous week. However, BTC lost “only” 3,5% in value compared to the price from the end of the week before. BTC also lost $71B in its market cap. Still, when it comes to drop in value in relative terms, altcoins were the ones that lost the most during the previous week. The range goes from 10% up to 30% with some specific coins. The majority of altcoin lost somewhere around 20% on average. It could be noted that major coins lost much less in value from other altcoins. In this sense, XRP was down by 6% on a weekly basis, BNB dropped by 6,5%. Surprisingly, or not, ETH dropped by 12,5%, earning $57B from its market cap. Considering coins in circulation, the increased activity continues. Stablecoin Tether withdrew the number of coins by 0,2%. LINK had an increase in the number of coins on the market by 1,8%, while Filecoin increased its circulating coins by 0,4% this week. The majority of other altcoins had an increase by 0,1% during the week. Crypto futures market The spot market was not at all pretty during the previous week, hence, the crypto futures market could not look much better. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded lower for all maturities, in line with spot market sentiment. However, there are also some positive developments, not all looks so bad. BTC futures fell by more than 5% for all maturities. Still, on a positive side is that futures maturing from April 2025 hold the levels above the $100K. Also, December 2025 ended the week at the level of $105.710, while March 2026 was last traded at $107.990. This is a positive sign that the market still perceives BTC strong in the long run. ETH futures had a stronger drop on a weekly basis, of around 12,5% on average for all maturities. The prices of futures fell below the $ 4K levels. December 2025 was last traded at $3.721, while March 2026 closed the week at $3.790.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
HBAR/USDT Technical Analysis🚀 Trade Setup Details: 🕯 #HBAR/USDT 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼 ⌛️ TimeFrame: 1D -------------------- 🛡 Risk Management: 🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000 🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1% 🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $12.87 -------------------- ☄️ En1: 0.21697 (Amount: $1.93) ☄️ En2: 0.17562 (Amount: $4.5) ☄️ En3: 0.14618 (Amount: $5.79) ☄️ En4: 0.11674 (Amount: $1.29) -------------------- ☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then: ☄️ Average.En: 0.17147 ($12.87) -------------------- ☑️ TP1: 0.3922 (+128.73%) (RR:1.66) ☑️ TP2: 0.4672 (+172.47%) (RR:2.22) ☑️ TP3: 0.56253 (+228.06%) (RR:2.94) ☑️ TP4: 0.68378 (+298.78%) (RR:3.85) ☑️ TP5: 0.81766 (+376.85%) (RR:4.85) ☑️ TP6: Open 🔝 -------------------- ❌ SL: 0.03824 (-77.7%) (-$10) -------------------- 💯 Maximum.Lev: 1X ⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading ‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️ 🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown: This technical analysis is based on price action, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Loss are calculated based on professional mathematics formulas as a result you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management. 📊 Sentiment & Market Context: The HBAR/USDT pair is showing strong bullish potential as market sentiment shifts in favor of Hedera Hashgraph’s scalability and unique consensus mechanism. Hedera has been gaining significant attention due to its high-speed, low-cost transactions and growing enterprise adoption. Technically, we are seeing key indicators point to a continuation of the bullish trend, with a recent breakout above resistance levels suggesting further upside potential. The market is currently in an accumulation phase, with strong support around key Fibonacci retracement levels. Fundamentally, Hedera’s consensus algorithm (Hashgraph) stands out for its speed and security, making it a strong contender in the decentralized finance and enterprise blockchain space. With increasing use cases and strategic partnerships, HBAR could continue to outperform in the coming months. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly. 💡 Stay Updated: Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
Long
by MergicNet
Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 92,651.63 1st Support: 87,516.30 1st Resistance: 99,246.82 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Bitcoin Domiance Confirms Alt Season is Upon UsI’ve recently been cautious about entering the market due to concerns that Bitcoin’s bearish outlook might drag altcoins down further. My worry was that there could be more downside for alts. However, today’s price action has provided some much-needed clarity—and it’s looking positive. I shared an idea about Bitcoin dominance bouncing off the 0.618 Fibonacci level back in 2021, which marked the start of altcoin season. Interestingly, we saw a similar setup this November. Bitcoin dominance reached 59.96%, rejected the 0.618 Fib level, and started declining—a promising signal for the start of another alt season. Altcoins initially rallied as dominance fell to 58.03%, but then dominance bounced back up, causing alts to pull back. What caught my attention, though, was how dominance behaved more recently. On December 22, dominance attempted to climb but topped out at 59.27%—lower than the November high of 59.96%—before posting a notable drop today and setting a lower low today. This is a very positive development for altcoins. There’s still a lingering concern about Bitcoin’s bearish potential. I’m worried that BTC could revisit its previous all-time high, experiencing a 31% correction down to $73,000. This aligns with historical data from 2021, when Bitcoin saw a 31% drop after dominance hit the 0.618 Fib level. This scenario remains on the table. However, what I hadn’t fully considered until now is how the altcoin market behaved during Bitcoin’s correction in January 2021. When BTC dropped 31%, the altcoin market surged as illustrated above. This indicates a decoupling effect, where money flows out of BTC and into alts, fueling an altcoin rally even as Bitcoin corrects. We saw a similar dynamic today. When BTC dropped to $92,000, it had little to no impact on the altcoin market. This decoupling reinforces the idea that altcoins can thrive even during Bitcoin’s downturns. With these patterns playing out, I’m now confident that we are on the verge of—or already entering—altcoin season. 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by heywippa
Valuable Demand Zone Amid Weak Market ConditionsLTCUSDT Analysis: Valuable Demand Zone Amid Weak Market Conditions I believe the blue box in LTCUSDT is highly valuable as a demand zone. Given the overall market conditions are not strong , I’ve identified a lower entry point that aligns with more favorable risk-reward scenarios. This blue box stands out due to its significance from multiple perspectives . I used heatmap , cumulative volume delta (CVD) , and volume footprint techniques to accurately define this zone as a potential buyer area. Key Points: Market Conditions: Currently weak, favoring conservative entry levels. Blue Box: A carefully identified high-value demand zone. Techniques Used: Heatmap, CVD, and volume footprint for precise demand mapping. If you'd like to learn how I use these advanced techniques to define accurate demand zones, just DM me! If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you! I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. My Previous Analysis 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by XU99
4
The key is whether it can rise above 9.39 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (APTUSDT 1W chart) It seems that the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has started to be created. Accordingly, the 7.41-9.39 section is an important support and resistance section. When it shows support in the 7.41-9.39 section, it is a time to buy. - In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be received above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator. Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 9.39. - The high point boundary section is formed in the 12.06-14.50 section, so if it rises above this section, it is expected to create a new upward wave. If it falls below 7.41, it is expected to enter the mid- to long-term investment area. Therefore, if possible, I think it would be better to trade when the price is maintained above 7.41 and wait and see if it falls below 7.41. - (1M chart) - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. How to view and respond to this is up to you. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
2
BTC.D Crumbles: Is the Ultimate Altseason About to Begin ?!!?1. **BTC.D Drops → Altcoins Rise**: - BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market share relative to the entire cryptocurrency market. A falling BTC.D typically means capital is flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins, signaling increased altcoin strength. 2. **Recent BTC.D Context**: - The **rejection at 59.23% resistance** and breakdown below support (57.48%) indicate Bitcoin dominance is weakening. This often coincides with: - A **rotation into altcoins**, as traders seek higher ROI opportunities. - Altcoin outperformance during periods of bullish market sentiment or when Bitcoin consolidates. 3. **Supporting Indicators**: - **Volume Shift**: Rising altcoin volume (lower BTC.D) is a common precursor to an altcoin rally. - **RSI & CMF on BTC.D**: Weak momentum and capital inflow into altcoins align with BTC.D's bearish setup. 4. **Scenarios**: - **Altcoin Rally Catalyst**: If BTC.D continues breaking down, altcoins could capitalize, especially large-cap alts. - **Key Levels to Watch**: BTC.D support at 56.00%. If breached, altcoin dominance may rise sharply. Summary The current BTC.D setup hints at an ongoing **altcoin season** if dominance continues falling, provided overall market sentiment remains bullish.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by vagada
2
Nobody appreciates it !!!As you can see, the price is likely forming a cup and handle pattern. If our assumption is correct, we should wait for this pattern to break out to see a price increase. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard