Get started

Crypto market

Bitcoin’s 35-Month Bull Run: Are We 6 Months Away from the Top?One of the most important, yet underrated, factors in trading is psychological resilience. While numbers, charts, and data analysis play a key role, what truly separates consistent traders from the rest is their ability to navigate the uncertainty that dominates real markets. 🎲 Deterministic vs. Stochastic Thinking in Trading We’re all trained from an early age to think in deterministic terms: 2 × 2 = 4 — the same input always gives the same output. That’s comforting. It’s predictable. It’s math. But markets don’t work like that. Trading operates in a stochastic environment — meaning even if you see the exact same chart pattern, setup, or signal, the outcome can vary each time. Why? Because real markets are driven by probabilities, randomness, and human behavior—not fixed equations. A better way to understand this is: Imagine flipping a weighted coin that lands on heads 70% of the time. You’ve got an edge—but any single flip could still land on tails. Trading is the same: High probability ≠ guaranteed outcome. This disconnect between how our brain prefers certainty and how markets deliver probabilistic outcomes is where most traders struggle. ⌛ Historical Patterns in Crypto (2015–Present) Looking at the macro structure of Bitcoin, we’ve seen a recurring pattern since 2015: Two bull markets, each lasting 35 months Two bear markets, each lasting 12 months Right now, we’re in month 28 of the third bull cycle. So far, this cycle has shown remarkable similarities to the previous two. Based on that historical rhythm, there’s a reasonable probability that the market could continue its upward movement for the next ~6 months. But here’s the key: Probability is not certainty. Could the market break the pattern and enter a decline tomorrow? Absolutely. But with limited historical data—especially in a young market like crypto—we work with the best probabilities available, not guarantees. 💬 Final Thoughts You can have the best technical strategy in the world, but if you’re not mentally prepared to embrace randomness, to take losses, and to act on probabilities rather than needing certainty—then markets will always push you out. 🧠 Your true trading edge isn’t just your strategy; it’s how well your mindset aligns with probabilistic thinking.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Ali-Mani
ADAUSDT Flashing Bearish Signals – Is a Drop Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Are we about to see a strong rejection on ADAUSDT? Let’s break it down. 💎ADAUSDT has filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and formed a double top with bearish divergence. Notably, the right top is slightly above the left, signaling a liquidity grab. Following this, we’ve seen a Change of Character (CHoCH) to the bearish side, increasing the probability of a downside move. 💎If ADAUSDT retraces from this level, it will strengthen a high-probability bearish setup from the 1-hour FVG, where the 0.5 Fibonacci level aligns—offering an attractive risk-to-reward (RR) opportunity for shorts. 💎However, if price breaks and closes above the 0.786 Fibonacci level, our bearish outlook will be invalidated. In that case, it would be best to step back and wait for stronger confirmation before taking action. 🎖 Patience and discipline win the game, Paradisers! Don’t chase—wait for the best setups and protect your capital like a pro. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
4
ORDIUSDT: trend reversal and bounce from fib level!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let's analyse ORDIUSDT technically. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: The Ordinals Protocol enables the creation of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) directly on the Bitcoin blockchain. By inscribing data onto individual satoshis (the smallest Bitcoin units), it allows unique digital assets to be represented and traded on Bitcoin's base layer. This approach leverages Bitcoin's security and decentralization, offering a new method for creating digital collectibles and assets. Unlike NFTs on other blockchains, Ordinals operate directly on Bitcoin, ensuring permanence and immutability. As a recent innovation, the Ordinals Protocol opens new possibilities for digital art and asset management within Bitcoin’s established framework. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: After a 109-day consolidation and an 84% price decline, ORDIUSDT is breaking out of its parallel channel. The recent low of $7.7 aligns precisely with key Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting strong support. The subsequent bounce shows significant bullish momentum, backed by increasing volume. Smaller EMAs are acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the price's upward trajectory. This breakout, combined with fib level confluence and strong volume, signals a potential trend reversal for ORDIUSDT. Accumulation zone: CMP and $9 Target levels: $13.4 $20.8 $29.5 $51.9
Long
by persis10t
BTC Today's analysisLast week, BTC was in a sideways oscillation around $84,000. The competition between bulls and bears was intense, and the market was filled with strong wait - and - see sentiment, constantly waiting for a clear direction. Yesterday, the price rose to $85,000, and today it reached the $87,000 resistance point analyzed previously. Currently, the resistance at $87,000 is significant. A large number of sell orders have gathered, putting great pressure on the price and causing frequent fluctuations. There are two reasons for this resistance. First, investors who bought at high levels earlier are selling here to stop losses or lock in profits, increasing the selling pressure. Second, investors generally expect strong resistance at this price level, so they either sell or wait and see, exacerbating the resistance. If BTC breaks through the $87,000 mark, there is a high chance of a new upward trend in the short term. Technically, the breakthrough will attract trend - followers to enter the market and push up the price. In terms of market sentiment, it can boost confidence and trigger chasing buying. Based on the current momentum and historical experience, the price may quickly rise to the range of $88,000 - $89,000. If it fails to break through, the price may retrace to the range of $85,000 - $86,000 to seek support and start a new consolidation to accumulate upward momentum. Therefore, it is crucial to closely monitor the breakthrough of the $87,000 resistance point in the following days, as it is of great significance for investment decisions. 💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@85000 - 86000 🎁 TP 88000 - 89000 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BenGray9
BTC – CME gap fillAfter a week and weekend of Saylor filling the books with 500M buys, I'm looking for some of these imbalances to get filled. Trigger for me will be get back below 86.5, then short around there with a stop at the high (can be higher than current high of course). First target would be the gap towards last week's CME close, since that was the most imbalanced move we had. Second target is around 82k, where we have an orderblock that never got tagged after taking off in an also quite imbalanced move up.
Short
by Tealstreet
JUST IN: Bitcoin Reclaims $88K, Eyes $100K Breakout!The Price of Bitcoin shocked sceptics surging nearly 4% today, reclaiming the FWB:88K pivot- now setting its coast for $100k breakout amidst a bullish symmetrical triangle Pattern. On the daily time frame, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed 2 bullish candlesticks, should a third identical candlestick evolve, it will lead to a breakout of the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle formed- placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC in the $90,000 - $96,000 range. A break above this pivots would cement the the move to $100k and beyond. Similarly, should the asset faced selling pressure into making it dip below the $81k range, a selling spree could emerged. Bitcoin Price Live Data The live Bitcoin price today is $88,452.78 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $29,835,452,540 USD. Bitcoin is up 3.95% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,755,025,651,822 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,841,384 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
BTC: Achieved Enormous ProfitsBTC is in line with my analysis. After breaking through 85,000, it rose rapidly. Our long-position strategy has yielded huge profits. Next, we will continue to pay attention to the resistance situation at the range of 89,000 - 90,000. Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $900,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Short
by KentJessie6
ANKR/USDT Will Bulls Take Control or Are We Heading Lower? Yello Paradisers! Are we about to see #ANKRUSDT break out, or is another rejection incoming? Let’s break it down this is a crucial moment in the market, and you don’t want to miss it. 💎Right now, the 4-hour chart shows SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ANKR sitting above the EMA 50, signaling a short-term bullish push. But don’t get too excited just yet—price is still below the EMA 200, which keeps the overall market bias neutral to bearish. For the bulls to take over, a clean breakout above the EMA 200 resistance is needed. If ANKR fails here, we could see another test of the supply zone between 0.02019 - 0.02271, followed by a potential pullback toward the 0.01504 support level. 💎Now, zooming out to the 1-day chart, the picture gets even more interesting. The price is still trading below both the EMA 50 and EMA 200, confirming that the bigger trend remains bearish. What does this mean? Any bullish moves on the 4-hour chart could just be temporary retracements within a larger downtrend. With this structure, selling pressure is still dominant, and unless we see a major reversal, further downside remains on the table. 💎So, what’s the key takeaway? Short-term bullish opportunities exist, but they’re facing strong resistance from the EMA 200 and supply zone. Meanwhile, the longer-term trend remains bearish, meaning any failure to break higher could increase the risk of a deeper drop possibly toward the 0.01294 support area. Patience and precision are key in these conditions wait for strong confirmation before making your moves. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
16
BTC ANALYSIS#BTC Analysis : Channel Following 📊As we can see that #BTC is following ascending channel on daily time frame. Currently the price is trading above its major support zone. Price is moving upwards within a long-term rising channel, recently moving towards its support from its support level. Expect a bullish move in few days.📈 🔖 Current Price: $87,700 ⏳ Target Price:   $91,500 ⁉️ What to do? - Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸 #BTC #MajorSupport #Cryptocurrency #ChartPattern #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts