Double top on 4 hr? End of bull run?The 4-hour chart shows a clear double top formation, accompanied by diminishing volume as we approach the end of May. The old saying "sell in May and walk away" suggests a high probability of a retracement down to previous support levels, indicating the potential end of this bull run. Historically, bull runs often conclude around this time (@585 days so far), and while it is possible that a new all-time high of $12,800 could be reached, retail interest is dwindling. The charts indicate that profit-taking is beginning to occur.
While institutional buying is currently propping up the price, it raises the question of how long this can last. A significant proportion of holders are already in profit, making this a good exit point to prepare for the next bear cycle and to accumulate more assets. Additionally, with the DXY (US Dollar Index) being low, a recovery in the DXY coupled with a drop in Bitcoin's value could significantly reduce the realized profits for Bitcoin holders.
The RSI and NUPL are high, and with the number of BTC longs decreasing, it indicates low confidence in further upside.
