Get started

Crypto market

Bitcoin - Fib circles Happen. PA knocked down a little. Been warning you about this Fib circle coming up and now we know it is resistance... but how strong ? We do not know just yet but we can lok to the left to see what happened last time. Over pn the left, we can See PA droped for 7 days bwfore breaking away. This could happen again and support is below. The 4 hour chart gives us a better insight PA has already found the first line of support and we currently have a small green candle. Further support below at 104700 and 101700 If they fail, we have the 2.618 Fib extension at 98200 - This should be a strong line of support If that fails, there is ther support and I will talk abou tthat when the time comes. It is wise to be cautious with Bitcoin right now as the 4 hour and Daily MACD are Bearish. This could change anytime and the Bullish "Sentiment" still exists Bitcoin Dominance is dipping again but has the strength to bounce, so be cautious with the ALTS More Soon
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC - Bottom soon?I recently published this idea privately because I was unable to post it publicly at the time. Now, I’d like to make it public. (Click the picture above to view the TA-Chart.) I'll be copying and pasting all the text from the original private idea here, along with the missing links I had prepared on April 2nd. The purpose of this chart is just to illustrate how my three target levels align with my Fibonacci retracement levels — which is also the reason I selected them. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We are currently in a complex situation. Markets have been experiencing a sell-off due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs. Additionally, Trump needs to refinance a massive sum of government debt ($7 trillion) over the next 10 years. To achieve this, he must lower the 10-year yield to reduce interest payments. One way to lower yields is by increasing government efficiency, thereby reducing borrowing needs and bond issuance, which in turn decreases yields. Another method is cutting interest rates, yet his tariff policies counteract this approach. This raises the question: does he want a recession? During a recession investors would flock toward bonds as a safe haven, ultimately pushing yields down. Bad Signs - Fed Atlanta GDPNow Gold adjusted at -0.8% - PMI below 50 - Major uncertainty due to enormous tariffs -> Michigan Consumer Sentiment (57) and Expectation (52.6) are at levels seen during the recession of 2022 - FED cannot cut interest rates due to persistently high inflation Are we heading towards a recession? People tend to overreact and overlook key indicators—one of which is liquidity. Examining the WTREGEN, we see a steep decline since mid-February, indicating that cash has been injected into the system. This is further supported by the rising RRPONT since mid-February. Additionally, the Fed has been slowing down QT, meaning the liquidity injection is not being offset as much. Additionally due to the tariffs countries like China could bring a liquidity stimilus into the markets to help their domestic markets. In summary, liquidity levels should be sufficient for at least a blow-off top. The reason markets have not rallied yet is due to uncertainty stemming from Trump’s tariffs. This is reflected in recession-level Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index. A key bullish signal would be a falling RRPONT alongside a declining WTREGEN, as this would indicate that cash injections are flowing into risk assets, showing regained confidence. For confidence to return, we need a positive catalyst, such as an stop to QT, an increase of the balance sheet or an interest rate cut. However, the Fed is holding off on cuts due to high inflation and the tariffs. But this is where it gets interesting: According to Truflation, inflation has dropped significantly below the Fed’s 2% target since early March. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data lags by a full month, so if Truflation’s data holds any truth, the upcoming inflation report on April 10 may reflect this decline. This could restore confidence and provide the Fed with room to give us a positive catalyst. Where is BTC headed? Compared to my expectations from early february ( ibb.co ) I expect BTC to first move into the $78K–73K range before rallying toward $115K instead of rallying now at 82k. This range aligns with my Fibonacci levels, and 73K was the high of March 2024. Additionally there is currently a fractality compared to the bottom of 2022 where the bottom now would be rougly at 75k. To reach $115K, BTC must first break the black downward trendline and the double-top neckline at around $95K. My blow-off top target is $115K, and if BTC holds above $100K, I will eye $145K and $185K as the next targets. Furthermore there could be a chance that the tariffs are just a negotiation tool since the tariffs do not make any sense % wise. However if Trump does intend to impose these tariffs at the said % and other countries stab back with their tariffs, then we might actually see a stagflation if the Fed does not intervene-or intervenes too late.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by QThanhT
2
BTC Breakdown – Reaccumulation at RiskBitcoin just posted a decisive 4H candle close below 55 SMA, mid-Bollinger Band, and the primary ascending trendline. Volume spiked to 7.31M, and RSI dropped to 38, confirming bearish momentum. ⸻ 🧩 Wyckoff Structure Under Threat: • ❌ LPS level invalidated • ❌ Phase D uptrend broken • 📉 No breakout above ATH (~109.8K) after three attempts • 🟠 Still holding BC (Pole End) at ~105.8K • 🔁 If this breaks next, the entire Phase D/E thesis collapses ⸻ 🔻 What’s Next? • Support: • S1: Lower BB (~106.9K) • S2: 105.8K (BC level — key structural base) • Break of 105.8K = invalidation of reaccumulation, transition into potential distribution. Watch for daily close for confirmation. • S3: Point of control at 104k ⸻ 📊 Breakdown Triggers Confirmed: • ✅ Close below mid-BB (108.9K) • ✅ RSI < 45 • ✅ High-volume red candle • ✅ Structural break of ascending LPS pattern A short hedge can be initiated with a tight stop over breaking candle high. Note that this could be the shakeout moment i mentioned in my related post. ⸻ Unless BTC recovers 108.5K+ with rising volume quickly, this is now a valid short breakdown, and reaccumulation thesis hangs by a thread. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Breakdown #CryptoTA #BTC4H #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitcoinMillio18
XMR | Long | Privacy Sector Rebound | (May 28, 2025)XMR | Long | Privacy Sector Rebound + Reversal Setup | (May 28, 2025) 1️⃣ Quick Recap: Monero (XMR) stands out in today’s crypto landscape for what it was originally built to protect — privacy. Amid rising regulation and surveillance in digital assets, XMR offers a decentralized, untraceable alternative. Technically, the chart is forming a curved base pattern, suggesting a potential reversal is near. We're looking to accumulate in a key zone and ride the recovery. 🔒📈 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long (Spot position for long-term value) Entry Zone: $211–$240 (VWAP + Value Area High support) Stop Loss: Below $211 TP1: $275 TP2: $419 TP3: $559 Partial Exits: 275, 419, 559 (based on structure and volume response) 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Sector: Privacy Coins — Monero leads this niche ✅ What Makes It Unique: – Decentralized digital currency that prioritizes privacy and anonymity – Solves the transparency flaw in BTC-like chains where all transactions are publicly traceable – Offers full fungibility, meaning no unit is "tainted" by past use — every XMR coin is equal ✅ Competitors like Zcash may offer some similarities, but Monero remains the OG in privacy tech ✅ Strong liquidation levels seen around $263 make the $211–$240 range attractive for a sweep + reversal play ❌ A breakdown below $211 would invalidate this idea and suggest more downside or reaccumulation 4️⃣ Follow-Up: With privacy coins back in focus, Monero has the potential to break out again — possibly above $1K in the longer term. Will update this trade as price approaches key TP levels or if market sentiment shifts. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.f
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
How to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend ShiftsHow to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend Shifts in BTC Chart: BTC/USDT (1D) Tool Used: Sentiment Cycle Indicator Type: Educational – How to interpret sentiment shifts and time corrections. ⸻ 🟢 What the Indicator Does: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator is designed to help identify emotional cycles in price movements by mapping bullish (green) and bearish (red) sentiment zones directly on the chart background. It highlights sentiment clusters using a combination of volume behavior, price structure, and trend alignment , helping traders anticipate trend continuation or possible exhaustion. ⸻ ✅ Recent Performance: 📈 In the most recent BTC rally (from ~60,000 to 110,000+ USDT), • The indicator captured the uptrend early, turning the background consistently green starting mid-October 2024. • Multiple Buy signals (green arrows) confirmed trend conviction. • Even during minor pullbacks, green sentiment persisted — signaling strength. 📉 Now, the green sentiment zone has faded, and red zones are reappearing, indicating a potential sentiment shift: • This transition may be an early warning of correction or distribution phase. • Several Sell signals (red arrows) have recently fired as well, validating the shift. ⸻ 🔍 Current Interpretation: • Bullish sentiment has weakened — background color has turned neutral-to-red. • Sentiment exhaustion is likely, and this could mark the start of a distribution or corrective phase. • The absence of new buy signals despite recent price highs further supports this view. 📌 What to watch next: • If red zones deepen and persist → correction is likely. • If green zones reappear quickly with renewed Buy signals → resumption of uptrend is possible. ⸻ 📚 How-To Use the Indicator: 1. Watch the background color: • Green → Accumulation or markup. • Red → Distribution or markdown. 2. Buy/Sell Markers: • Use arrows as confirmation — not standalone signals. • Best results when aligned with sentiment zone and price structure. 3. Volatility Filter: • Sideways zones (mixed bands) indicate indecision — avoid overtrading here. ⸻ 🧠 Final Thoughts: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator isn’t just about price – it’s about the emotion behind price. As BTC shows signs of sentiment fading, this could be a pivotal time to re-evaluate bullish bias and prepare for a cooling phase or even deeper correction. Let the market’s mood guide your strategy.
by TradeTechanalysis
Bitcoin Daily Outlook – May 28, 2025 Bullish Bias, Eyes on $105K Breakout 🔍 Technical Snapshot: • Price: ~$103,000 • RSI (14): ~69 – Nearing overbought • MACD: Bullish crossover • EMA20 > EMA50 – Uptrend structure intact 🔐 Key Levels: • Support: $100,000 / $98,500 • Resistance: $105,000 / $108,000 • Breakout Trigger: Daily close above $105K with volume 🧭 Forecast (Next 2–3 Days): • 🔼 60% chance of breakout to $105K–$108K • 🔁 25% chance of consolidation • 🔽 15% chance of pullback to $98K 🌐 Macro Context: • VIX: ~12.8 (low) – Risk-on environment • Nasdaq & S&P500: Bullish – Correlated upside pressure • DXY: Stable – Neutral effect 💡 Strategy Notes: • Swing Traders: Long bias but RSI near limit • Breakout Traders: Watch $105K for volume confirmation • Bulls: Buy-the-dip near $100K or EMA50 📌 Chart shows BTC with EMA 20/50 crossover. 👍 Like & Follow for daily BTC outlooks! #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #TradingView #RSI #MACD #EMA #VIX #NASDAQ #SwingTrading
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Stoxello
What we thing, what’s gonna happen. (120,000)This monthly BTC chart shows a bullish trend aiming for $116,000–$120,000. • A three-candle bullish pattern is forming, suggesting continued upside. • The label “SELL HERE, SELL the NEWS” near $120,615 signals a possible profit-taking zone. • The lower area around $78,000 is marked as a buy-the-dip zone (“Buy the scare again”). • BTC is currently seeking liquidity to continue its move up, possibly reaching the target by mid next month. • A major resistance trendline is near, so price reaction there will be key.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldFx_PR
1
Polygon: More (short-term) Upward PotentialFor Polygon’s POL, we primarily expect further corrective rises during the blue wave (iv), but below the $0.51 mark, renewed sell-offs should take over. These declines should then drive the price down below the support at $0.15, allowing the large wave to reach its conclusion there. Our alternative scenario – where the low of wave alt. in green would be already behind us (probability: 33%) – is still relevant. This scenario would be reinforced with a jump above the resistance at $0.51 but only finally confirmed with increases above the next higher level at $0.76. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CRYPTOCOM:POLUSD
by MarketIntel
VIRTUAL/USDT Analysis – Looking for a Long Position This asset is in a strong upward trend. Currently, price has reached the area of interest at $2.35, which was previously formed by absorption of market sell orders. A reaction is already taking place. We are considering a long entry: either from the breakout structure on the lower time frame (marked on the chart), or after a test and reaction from the stronger volume zone at $2.26–$2.20. This publication is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTC/USDT Analysis – Moving Within the Scenario Hello everyone! This is the daily market update from the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst. At the moment, Bitcoin is attempting to break through the ascending trendline, which may indicate a shift into a sideways (consolidation) phase. In the near term, local lows are likely to be tested, followed by a rebound after a false breakout, returning price back into the current range. This scenario is supported by: strong sell absorption on the cumulative delta, the overall bullish market context, and continued accumulation of long positions by whales in the spot ETF over the past 9 days. Buy Zones: $107,500 and $106,600 (in case of false breakdowns), $103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption), around $100,000 (initiative volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics