Crypto market
Bearish Logaritmic Regression AnalysisResume
This advanced logarithmic regression predicts we are about to reach top in the middle-late June. To start a bearish long term trend.
Discussion Analysis:
To extrapolate the current logarithmic regression trend. I tried to fit a sinusoidal wave to the logarithmic regression trend. The fitted Sin Wave is in dotted purple color when LogReg Trend is in green (bullish) phase right now. The logarithmic regression also is applied as deviation factors in Fibonacci channel terms (green and red transparent bands in the background).
Current status: we are already in a red (should sell) Fib. area which is a high risk scenario in the Log Reg. A higher risk region would be seen if the price pass to the last red section, where we would see the highest volatility for this cycle, before sudden, sharp declines.
I don't think we will reach the highest section of the Fibonacci Log. Reg. Channels. The only way we still could get there is if the fundamentals change dramatically: If FED drops the rates, if Trump stops the market wars, etc. Nobody knows. I think that may play out maybe at the end of the summer.
DISCLAIMER
This is not financial advice. I own several cryptocurrencies. This is only my mere opinion. Do your own research!
Good Luck.
Thor.
Golden cross for btcAgain the golden cross predicts an explosive rise for btc. If we look at the past the price of btc exploded after a golden cross, but whether we will get such an explosion again this time I am not convinced at the moment, because in the short term we are running into an old resistance line of 7 years and the older the resistance line the stronger it is. But on the other hand we also have an old pattern that is very strong, namely the cup & handle. Even if I put my fibonacci over it, the 1.618 level nicely matches the target of the cup & handle And that would mean that from the current point we will rise another 22% with btc this bull run. www.tradingview.com
ETHUSD Trade Recap – +20R Hit ETHUSD Trade Recap – +20R Hit
As shared in my analysis yesterday, ETH played out perfectly.
🎯 Target was hit with precision
🔒 Executed with a tight stop-loss
📈 Final result: +20R gain
This trade was driven by structure, order flow confirmation, and disciplined execution. No guesswork — just clean setup + reaction + follow-through.
Thank you to everyone who followed the analysis. On to the next setup 👊
#ETHUSD #Crypto #TradeRecap #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #PriceAction #DisciplinePays #20R #TradingViewCommunity
Bitcoin Chart Analysis – May 28, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
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📈 Bitcoin Breaks 112K — Upward Counting Continues
Bitcoin has now reached 112,000 USDT, continuing to break new highs.
In my May 24, 2025 idea, I had already mentioned that a rebound would occur around the 106K area.
(Click the image to go to the May 24, 2025 idea.)
Since that idea, I have continued with the wave counting.
The basis of the wave counting at the time was as follows:
Wave 1 analysis: Wave 1 ~ Wave 3 × 0.618 = Wave 5
Wave 3 analysis: Wave 1 × 0.618 = Wave 5
Wave 5 analysis: Wave 1 × 1 = Wave 5
Wave C analysis: Wave 1 × 2.618 = Wave 3
(*Some mentioned that Waves 1 and 4 overlapped, but please note that the impulse in question is a terminal type as per Glenn Neely.)
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🧭 Wave Counting Update After May 24
One new point emphasized in this idea is that Wave C formed an impulse wave during the rise.
The wave counting after May 24, 2025, can be seen in the chart below:
In the chart, you can see that Wave C (impulse) moved up, and impulses and corrections continue to alternate.
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📐 Harmonic Pattern Analysis (Bat Pattern Confirmation)
Around the May 27, 2025 low of 107,540 USDT, one of the most well-known harmonic patterns — the Bat pattern — was confirmed.
This area was a very attractive point to enter a long position.
If wave counting and direction were set accurately, it was a position that could have been clearly captured.
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Also, in the chart below, the 1:1 ratio between wave A and wave C in the abc correction strongly indicates a bullish move.
🎯 Entry and Target Strategy — Based on Alt Bat Pattern
The basis for this bet is the 1.13 Alt Bat pattern in harmonic theory.
Point B: 0.382
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 1.13
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📌 If entering a long position, the targets are as follows:
1st TP: 109,540 USDT
2nd TP: 109,812 USDT
3rd TP: 110,057 USDT
It is not recommended to take profit on all positions when the target price is touched.
Since the current wave count strongly suggests further upside, I recommend holding some positions instead of fully exiting.
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🗺️ Long-Term Wave Counting Reference (Roadmap Presentation)
Lastly, I am reattaching the daily-based long-term wave counting ideas that I previously shared.
They will be very helpful in setting the big direction going forward.
(Click the images to go to the related idea.)
#CVX/USDT#CVX
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 2.97.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 3.30
First target: 3.43
Second target: 3.59
Third target: 3.77
RSR soon decision timeRSR made impulse up and correction from the bottom. I expect another dip on the local level which will reveal next steps.I would like to see fibb 0.236 hold as support (small fakeout bellow it is possible but needs to bounce immediatly back above fibb 0.236), that would be more or less same scenario that XRP did before blasting up.
On other side a dip bellow fibb 0.236 and rejection on bounce up would open path to new ATL so pay close attention...
#AUCTION/USDT#AUCTION
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 11.40.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 11.92
First target: 12.21
Second target: 12.53
Third target: 12.86
#KDA/USDT#KDA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.5380.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.5447
First target: 0.5545
Second target: 0.5670
Third target: 0.5820
#SEI/USDT#SEI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.2095.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.2249
First target: 0.2423
Second target: 0.2423
Third target: 0.2538
ETH/USDT – Structural Pattern Near Completion (4H)The current 4H chart of Ethereum is unfolding a 7-legged sideways corrective structure, with signs suggesting we are now in or entering the final leg of the pattern.
🔸 Wave Progression (Post-X Correction):
A → Initial push upward
B → Sharp pullback
C → Extended leg with strong momentum
D → Symmetrical pullback, 80% of B
E → Sharp upside move
F → Pulled back to D-level support
G → Potential final leg now developing
📌 Pattern Characteristics:
7-wave alternation forming within contracting boundaries
Price symmetry observed in B = F and A ≈ C ≈ E
Visual structure remains neutral and balanced
Each leg alternating in direction and behavior
📈 Expectations:
G is likely to be an upward wave, completing the structure
Target range for G: 2,660–2,700, possibly testing or briefly exceeding E
After G completes, a reversal or acceleration move is likely
🧭 What to Watch:
Reaction near upper boundary around 2,700
Any sharp rejection from that zone confirms the pattern is complete
Break of the D–F trendline post-G confirms structure termination
📊 Timeframe: 4H
Asset: ETH/USDT
Structure: Complex 7-leg correction
Outlook: Bullish short-term → Cautious after G
💬 Drop your thoughts below. Are we completing the final leg or mid-structure?
📍 Like and follow for more professional pattern analysis.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
AKT/USDT Analysis💥 CSEMA:AKT - Swing Long Plan After 30% Correction 💥
AKT faced heavy selling pressure around the weekly pivot at $2.0640 , leading to a significant correction of nearly **30%**. The big question now: **Is it time to open a swing long?**
Here’s my take👇
Although we’ve already seen a 30% drop, that doesn’t mean the downside is over . For a high-conviction swing long, patience is key. I’m watching **three key levels** to build a position safely — no FOMO here.
🔹 Long Area 1 : $1.1291 (25% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 2 : $0.9722 (35% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 3 : $0.8234 (40% allocation)
💡 This is my ultimate swing long setup . Scaling in at these levels provides a better risk-reward profile rather than chasing the bounce.
But what if price only taps **Long Area 1** and then reverses? That’s fine too. The priority is **capital preservation and strategic entries**, not catching every single move.
✅ Focus: Make more with less risk
❌ Avoid: Emotional entries and overexposure
📌 Not financial advice. Do your own research. Trade safe! 🧠💰
#AKT #SwingTrade #CryptoAnalysis #TradingStrategy #DYOR #Altcoins
TOTAL Crypto Market. Games with the 800-Pound Gorilla. Series IIOver the 4 months since Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2025, his administration’s policies have had a complex and in many ways negative impact on cryptocurrency markets, despite the overall pro-crypto agenda.
Short-Term Market Volatility Due to Tariff Policy
One of the most significant negative impacts has been caused by Trump’s aggressive tariff policy. The announcement and subsequent implementation of new tariffs sent shock waves through global financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.
The immediate effect has been increased volatility, with Bitcoin down a third from its highs, Ethereum and many other major coins also falling by more than half, and crypto futures seeing liquidations of over $450 million in a single day.
This turbulence was not isolated — experts noted that broader “risk aversion,” in which investors flee volatile assets for safer havens like gold, led to sharp declines in both the stock and crypto markets.
Uncertainty around tariffs — particularly reciprocal tariffs affecting up to 25 countries — created short-term headwinds for cryptocurrencies. As institutional and foreign investors pulled billions out of U.S. stocks, the resulting market volatility spilled over to cryptocurrency, which remains closely tied to tech indexes like the NASDAQ. This risk aversion delayed potential rallies and led to a volatile, unpredictable trading environment.
Regulatory Rollbacks and Market Integrity Concerns
The Trump administration has aggressively rolled back regulatory oversight in an attempt to create a more crypto-friendly environment. Key steps include disbanding the Justice Department’s National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team (NCET), appointing pro-crypto officials to regulatory bodies, and directing agencies to streamline or repeal existing crypto regulations. While these actions have reduced the compliance burden on crypto businesses and spurred innovation, they have also raised serious concerns about the integrity of the market.
Critics argue that loosening oversight increases the risks of money laundering, fraud, and illegal transactions, which could undermine investor protections and the overall reputation of U.S. crypto markets.
Consumer advocacy groups warn that rapid deregulation could encourage abuse and undermine trust, especially since the Trump administration has also banned the development of a U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC), setting the U.S. apart from other major economies pursuing digital currency initiatives.
Conflicts of Interest and Ethical Controversies
Another negative impact has been the perception — if not the reality — of conflicts of interest and ethical dilemmas. The Trump family’s direct involvement in crypto projects, including the launch of a stablecoin and investments in mining, has fueled suspicions of market manipulation and blurred the lines between personal and presidential interests.
Such controversies have further undermined investor confidence and contributed to a sense of unpredictability in regulatory and market outcomes.
Summary Table: Key Negative Impacts
Policy/Action =>> Negative impact on crypto markets
Rising Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty =>> Increased volatility, risk aversion, falling prices.
Regulatory Rollbacks/NCET Dissolution =>> Weakened oversight, higher risk of fraud and abuse.
CBDC Development Ban =>> US Lagging Global Digital Currency Innovation
Trump Family’s Direct Involvement in Crypto =>> Alleged Conflicts of Interest, Market Manipulation Concerns.
Technical Challenge
The technical picture in the main crypto market cap chart CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL points to the end of the recovery period, reaching a key resistance near the $3.5 trillion mark.
Conclusion
While the Trump administration has promoted a more liberal environment for crypto innovation, the last four months have seen significant negative effects: increased market volatility due to tariff policy, increased risk due to deregulation, and growing concerns about conflicts of interest.
These factors have combined to create an atmosphere of uncertainty and skepticism, which is undermining the stability and trust in the US crypto markets in the short term.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
#MYRO/USDT#MYRO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.02700.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.02750
First target: 0.02888
Second target: 0.03017
Third target: 0.03187
MOVE - Movement, will it be so? 📊 MOVE/USDT Technical Analysis 🔍
The chart indicates that the asset is in a consolidation phase after a strong downtrend. Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance level, defined by the descending trendline. Let’s analyze the key points to watch:
🔹 Support and Resistance Levels (Possible stage 1 to break!)
Key Resistance: $0.60 - $0.65 (highlighted blue zone) → A breakout above this level could trigger a strong bullish move.
Major Support: $0.40 - $0.42 (highlighted blue zone) → A drop below this zone could invalidate the bullish structure.
📈 Technical Indicators
EMA 4 (black line) and longer EMA (green line) → The price is currently testing these levels, which could act as dynamic resistance.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) → Sitting near 50, indicating a neutral momentum. A move above 55-60 could confirm bullish strength.
📉 Trend Outlook
MOVE/USDT has been in a prolonged downtrend, with the descending trendline acting as a strong resistance.
If the price breaks above the $0.60 - $0.65 level, the next target zones are:
$0.80 - $0.85 (Intermediate target)
$1.20 - $1.30 (Major resistance zone from previous highs)
However, if the price gets rejected at the trendline and loses support at $0.42, we could see another bearish leg down.
🎯 Conclusion
The next move depends on whether MOVE/USDT can break above the descending resistance and the key $0.60 level. Watch for increasing volume and RSI confirmation to validate a potential breakout.
PENDLE/USDT Technical Analysis – April 9, 2025🔍 Market Structure & Price Action
PENDLE has recently bounced from a significant demand zone around the $2.00–$2.20 area, highlighted by the thick blue box at the bottom of the chart. This area has acted as strong support in the past and shows renewed buying interest, evident from the bullish reversal and increased volume around mid-March.
Price action suggests the formation of a potential reversal structure, with the most recent swing low marking a possible higher low compared to the previous downtrend. The chart shows multiple black horizontal lines representing historical support/resistance zones.
🧠 My Perspective & Additional Insight
This chart suggests an early-stage reversal with bullish momentum building. The fact that price bounced cleanly from a macro support zone and is attempting to break above key EMAs strengthens the bullish bias.
With this head&shoulder should give to the price a real boost!
However, volume confirmation will be critical—look for a breakout above $3.25 with strong buying volume to confirm the move.
If planning to enter:
Entry: On reclaim of $3.20 with volume.
Stop Loss: Below $2.60 (or tighter depending on risk).
Targets: $4.25 → $5.42 → $7.50.
Patience is key. If price consolidates above EMAs, the bullish structure will remain intact.
Good trading :-)