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LONG GBP/USD — Trade IdeaLONG GBP/USD — Three Talking Points Macro & Central-Bank Divergence UK growth beats, retail sales jump and service-CPI re-accelerates to 5.4 % y/y. Markets have pushed BoE-cut odds to near-zero for June and just one 25 bp trim by year-end, while the Fed is still priced for two cuts in 2025. IMF nudges 2025 UK GDP up to 1.2 %. In contrast, the dollar narrative is hampered by ballooning U.S. deficit worries and tariff-policy whiplash. Net policy path favours sterling over the dollar. Technical Structure Remains Bullish Price action is riding a January-origin ascending channel; Monday’s spike to 1.3600 set a new three-year high, but the pull-back stalled exactly where the 21-DMA, prior breakout shelf and channel floor cluster (mid-1.34s). 14-day RSI ≥ 60 yet still shy of overbought, signalling bullish momentum with room to run. Holding the 1.3440/70 zone keeps the next leg toward 1.3600/1.3750 in play; only a daily close below 1.3370 would break the channel and negate the setup. Event Risk Favouring Upside Skew BoE speakers (Pill today, Bailey tomorrow) are likely to echo the “cautious & gradual” line—supportive, not dovish. FOMC minutes may sound hawkish, but the market has largely heard it; any dovish nuance quickly re-ignites dollar selling. Friday’s PCE vs. Tokyo CPI: a soft U.S. core PCE print alongside sticky Japan inflation would weigh on USDJPY and bleed into broader USD softness, lifting cable toward our T1/T2 objectives.
Long
by TerraBullMarkets
USDCAD downtrend continuation capped at 1.4060The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3780, with further potential declines to 1.3730 and 1.3630 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4080 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4160 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDUSD READY FOR MARJOR BREAKDOWN ? The Aussie dollar is trading right below a major supply zone (0.64796 area) and showing signs of exhaustion after multiple failed attempts to break higher. This is a textbook distribution phase, often preceding a significant drop. 📌 Key Levels: 🔹 Supply Zone: 0.64796 (Heavy rejection seen multiple times) 🔹 Mid-Level Support: 0.62210 🔹 Major Demand Zone: 0.59468 – 0.60000 (POI + high volume node) 🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price fails to reclaim the supply zone, we may see a move to: 1. 0.62210 – minor support, likely to break on high momentum 2. 0.59468 – high-interest demand area + visible range support 📉 Confluence Factors: Price trapped in a range under supply Weak bullish momentum after previous rally Red arrows suggest next bearish impulse targets Demand visible via LuxAlgo’s Volume Profile + Order Block USD strength likely from upcoming U.S. data (NFP, CPI news ahead 📅) --- 🎯 Trading Plan: 🧨 Break & Retest below 0.64000 = Sell confirmation 🎯 TP1: 0.62210 🎯 TP2: 0.59468 🚫 SL: Above 0.64800 zone --- 📌 Risk Management is key – wait for confirmations like strong bearish candle close or volume spike on breakdown. Don’t rush entries. 💬 What do you think? Will the bears take control or will bulls defend this zone again? 📊 Drop your analysis below and don’t forget to like & follow for more FX setups! #AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #ForexTrading #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BearishSetup
Short
by FrankFx14
Bullish Reversal on Risk-On Shift and Channel BreakoutCMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY surged as risk appetite returned after a U.S. federal court blocked President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, undermining demand for safe-haven assets like the yen. Meanwhile, weak demand in Japan’s 40-year bond auction raised concerns over fiscal stability, adding further downside pressure to JPY. Technically, the pair broke above a downward channel and formed a bullish engulfing pattern near the 144.90 demand zone. If price consolidates above 145.00, a test of the 148.15 resistance zone is possible. Traders now eye upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE inflation data for direction on Fed policy. Resistance : 148.14 , 148.67 Support : 144.90 , 144.42
Long
by ATFX_Global
USDNGN Weekly Chart Analysis – May 28, 2025 The likelihood of price retracing into this level is high before any significant move higher. Retest Anticipation: The chart shows a projected retracement towards the key level around ₦1,549.48, which lies within the MSS zone. This level is now acting as potential support. Bullish Scenario: Look for long entries upon clear bullish confirmation at the ₦1,549.48 level, with a potential target back toward ₦1,600–₦1,630. Bearish Invalidator: A strong break below ₦1,540 could invalidate this setup and shift bias to a deeper correction.
Short
by abinvestor24
AUDUSD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom Algo Smart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed. The system first identifies market trends purely based on technical indicators — no emotions, no subjective analysis. Then, a custom-built intelligent algorithm evaluates potential entry and exit points and issues the signal. This means: a fully data-driven signal, with no guesswork or bias. 📌 Note: This signal is for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Short
by PowerBlock
1
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.826. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.814 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD potential longMulti-Timeframe Market Outlook 3-Month (3M) Timeframe • Price broke below key psychological/liquidity level at 1.2100 in Q3 2022, reaching 1.0500, where significant bullish order flow was triggered. • Bullish momentum brought price back above 1.2100, but lacked strength to reach next liquidity zone at 1.3900. • After retracing to collect orders at 1.2100 again, price advanced to 1.3400, met resistance, and returned to 1.2100. • Recent price action shows a break above 1.3400, signaling renewed bullish intent and momentum toward higher targets. Monthly Timeframe • Fully aligned with the 3M structure; no additional significant divergences to note. • Continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure remains intact. Weekly Timeframe • Last week, price broke and closed above major resistance at 1.3400 with strong bullish momentum. • Next liquidity target: 1.3650. • Price consolidated below 1.3400 for 4 weeks, suggesting accumulation of bullish orders. • Current retracement likely a pause to collect more orders before resuming towards 1.3650. Daily Timeframe • Strong order flow observed at 1.3150, followed by consolidation between 1.3250 – 1.3300 before breaking 1.3400. • Price has retraced ~100 pips since yesterday, likely seeking a liquidity zone. • 1.3400 remains the key level to monitor for renewed bullish interest and continuation toward 1.3650. 4H Timeframe • Notable bullish order block formed at 1.3400, resulting in nearly 200-pip upside. • Price appears to be retracing to this region, likely to collect more buy-side liquidity before another leg up. • Confluence across timeframes suggests strong bullish bias if price holds above or reclaims 1.3400. My thesis is long but I am very mindful of FOMC minutes today and I am waiting to see the impact that it will have on price action.
Long
by allan_mwenja2000