EURGBP head and shoulders top pattern, pay attention to the neckOn the 4-hour chart, EURGBP formed a head-and-shoulders top pattern and then fell back in a shock. Short-term bears have the upper hand. Currently, you can pay attention to the neckline near 0.8520. If the rebound is blocked, you can consider shorting. The support below is around 0.8380.
Forex market
Sterling Bulls Wrestle 2024 HighsThe British Pound has rallied more than 11.1% off the yearly low with GBP/USD trading into uptrend resistance at fresh yearly highs. Building momentum divergence highlights the risk for exhaustion here and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable near-term while below this slope.
Initial support rests with the objective weekly open at 1.3313 and is backed by the April opening-range high (ORH) at 1.3207. A break / close below the median-line would be needed to suggest a more significant high was registered this week / a larger correction is underway. Subsequent support seen at 1.3111 with broader bullish invalidation raised to the 1.30-handle.
A topside breach / close above the upper parallel would expose subsequent topside objectives at the 2019 high at 1.3515 backed by the 1.36-handle and the 2022 high-day close (HDC) at 1.3705- both levels of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached.
The British Pound rally off the yearly lows has extended into uptrend resistance at the yearly highs on building bearish momentum divergence- mounting risk for exhaustion here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses should be limited to 1.32 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the upper parallel needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.
-MB
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
LONG POSITION EUR/AUDEUR/AUD has completed a correction phase across the higher timeframes — Daily, 4H, and 1H charts.
On the 4-hour timeframe, the pair has broken above the corrective trendline, signaling a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the predefined targets shown on the chart.
🔹 Entry Point: 1.7741
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.7641
🔹 Long-term Target: 1.8500
📈 With every 50-pip rise, it is recommended to secure partial profits and move the stop loss to the entry level.
Wishing everyone successful trades......:-)
NZDUSD – 4H Bearish Divergence and a Bearish Cup & HandleHey traders 👋
NZDUSD is currently flashing some solid bearish signals on the 4H chart, and it's time to pay attention if you haven't already. Let's break it down.
🔍 Bearish Divergence in Play
On the surface, price action has been making higher highs — classic bullish behavior, right? But here's the catch: the RSI isn't playing along. Instead of confirming the higher highs with its own strength, it's diverging, making lower highs while price pushes up. That’s a textbook bearish divergence — and it’s one of those signals that tends to play out more often than not.
This kind of divergence hints at momentum exhaustion, which means bulls might be losing steam, and bears could be waiting to take over. Always worth a second look.
☕ Bearish Cup & Handle – Not Your Morning Brew
Another piece of the puzzle: the price structure is starting to carve out a bearish cup and handle pattern. While the bullish version is a continuation setup, the bearish one flips the script.
We’ve got a nice rounded top forming the “cup,” which signals distribution rather than accumulation.
The “handle” is forming as a short-term consolidation or a weak push higher — but volume is drying up, and there’s no real conviction in the move.
When this type of pattern forms after an uptrend or during exhaustion phases, it often leads to a downside breakout, giving bears the upper hand.
💡 Overall Outlook
With momentum fading, RSI divergence, and a bearish pattern all lining up, this setup looks like a potential swing short opportunity. Of course, confirmation is key — always wait for that break before diving in.
No need to chase — let the chart come to you.
📌 Trade Smart, Stay Sharp.
Let me know what you're seeing on this pair. Are you eyeing the same pattern or do you have a different take?
#NZDUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishDivergence #CupAndHandle #4HChart #PriceAction #RSI #ForexTrader #SwingTrading
CAD/JPY Short SetupTechnical Analysis: CAD/JPY has surged to a resistance level around 107.75, which previously acted as a significant barrier. The pair is exhibiting signs of overbought conditions, and a pullback towards 105.50 is plausible. 
• Fundamental Factors: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to announce a rate hike soon, with markets already pricing in two 25bps increases by the end of 2025. This anticipation strengthens the JPY, potentially leading to a decline in CAD/JPY. 
• Market Sentiment: Recent statements from the U.S. administration suggest plans to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico. This development could pressure the CAD, particularly against the JPY, as investors seek safe-haven assets. 
AUDJPY bearish move| 🔹 Pair / TF | AUD/JPY, 4 h → Lower Timeframes |
| 🔹 Bias | Bearish (selling potential resistance) |
1. 📊 Key Levels
* Level: 93.317
* Role: Recent Swing High / Potential Resistance
* Level: 93.664
* Role: Higher Potential Resistance (aligned with a moving average)
* Level: ~92.317 (red shaded zone)
* Role: Broken Support – now potential resistance
* Level: ~91.109
* Role: Potential Support
* Level: ~90.011
* Role: Lower Potential Support
2. 🚨 Trigger
* Price is currently within the ~92.317 red shaded zone, which acted as minor support previously.
* There's a confluence with what appears to be a moving average (blue line) acting as dynamic resistance above this zone.
* **A rejection from this zone, confirmed by bearish price action on lower timeframes, would be the trigger.**
3. ✅ Confirmation
* Look for **bearish engulfing patterns or pin bars** forming on lower timeframes (e.g., 1h, 15m) within the ~92.317 zone.
* The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the lower timeframe chart (shown at the bottom) is currently trending downwards and has broken a minor upward trendline (red line drawn on the RSI). **A continued downward trajectory below the 50 level would add confirmation.**
* **No significant bullish divergence visible on the RSI** that would suggest a reversal.
4. 🎯 Entry & Stops
| 🔶 Entry Zone | ~92.317 – ~92.200 (within the broken support now resistance zone) |
| 🔴 Stop-Loss | Above the recent swing high at 93.317 (potentially around 93.400 - 93.500 to allow for some wiggle room) |
* Place a **Sell Limit or Sell Stop order** within the entry zone, depending on your preferred entry style and confirmation.
* **Risk:** Determine your position size based on your risk tolerance and the calculated stop-loss in pips.
5. 🎯 Profit Targets
| Target | Level | Pips (approximate) | RRR |
| :----- | :-------- | :----------------- | :--------- |
| T1 | S1 ~91.109 | ~120-130 | 1 : 1 or better |
| T2 | S2 ~90.011 | ~220-230 | 1 : 2 or better |
* **Scale out:**
* Consider taking partial profits at T1.
* Let the remaining position run towards T2, potentially adjusting your stop-loss to breakeven or in profit.
6. ⚙️ Trade Management
* Once the trade is in profit (e.g., reaching a certain pip gain or T1), **consider moving your stop-loss to breakeven** to protect your capital.
* **Monitor price action around S1.** If there are strong signs of buying pressure, consider closing the remaining position.
* Pay attention to any potential reversal patterns or significant volume spikes as price approaches your target levels.
7. 🔑 Rationale
* The **break of the previous minor support around ~92.317 suggests a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.**
* The **confluence of this broken support with a dynamic moving average resistance increases the probability of a rejection.**
* The **bearish momentum indicated by the RSI on the lower timeframe supports the short bias.**
* Aiming for the next support levels (S1 and S2) provides logical profit targets based on potential price action.
⚡ Highlight:
This is a **bank-order-flow style fade**, looking to sell at a level that previously acted as support, now likely to act as resistance after a break, with confluence from a moving average. The lower timeframe RSI breakdown adds to the bearish conviction.
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1407
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1365
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD I Weekly CLS I KL - Monthly OB I Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPJPY bearish move🔹 Pair / TF | GBP/JPY, 1 h → 15 m |
| 🔹 Bias | Bearish (selling the break of support) |
1. 📊 Key Levels
Level Price Role
R1 191.721 Major resistance (green)
Broken Support 190.65 (black line) Minor support → now resistance
R4 189.828 Next minor support
R2 189.355 Next major support
2. 🚨 Trigger
Price closes below the 190.65 support (black line) on 1 h, AND
200-hour MA (red) has just been rejected—sellers stepping in.
This decisive break flips 190.65 into new resistance.
3. ✅ Confirmation
RFI oscillator on 15 m dips below its rising trendline and fails to reclaim it.
Momentum is clearly bearish—no divergence or oversold reversal signal.
4. 🎯 Entry & Stops
| 🔶 Entry Zone | 0.19060–0.19050 (just below 190.65) | | 🔴 Stop-Loss | 0.19180 (above R1 at 191.72) ≈ 120 pips |
Place a Sell-Stop at 0.19055 (mid-zone).
Risk: 1–2% of account on ~120-pip SL.
5. 🎯 Profit Targets
Target Level Pips RRR
T1 R4 189.828 ~82 pips 1 : 0.7
T2 R2 189.355 ~125 pips 1 : 1
Scale out:
Exit ½ at T1.
Let the rest run to T2.
6. ⚙️ Trade Management
Move SL to breakeven once +40 pips in profit.
Monitor RFI on 15 m:
If RFI spikes above its trendline before T1, close remaining.
Adjust if you see large wicks or volume spikes into support zones.
7. 🔑 Rationale
Support→Resistance flip at 190.65 gives a logical entry & SL.
200-hour MA rejection confirms sellers overpowering buyers.
RFI confirms sustained bearish momentum.
High RRR (>1 : 1) ensures edge even with a moderate win-rate.
⚡ Highlight:
This is a bank-order-flow style fade—selling the break of minor support after a MA confluence test, riding momentum into larger support zones.
EUR/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that following a sharp decline in the Dollar Index (DXY), the pair experienced a bullish move, reaching the 1.15 supply zone. If the price manages to stabilize and close below the 1.15–1.17 area, we can anticipate a further drop in EUR/USD to fill the created Liquidity Void (LV). This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
AUSSIE bearish move Short-setup: Breakdown of Support (AUD/USD)
Trigger: Price has decisively broken below R3 (0.63888) and the 200-hour MA (red) on the 1h chart.
Confirmation: RFI just dipped below its ascending trendline and failed to reclaim it—momentum is bearish.
Entry: Short at market 0.6385–0.6380 (just below R3).
Initial Stop: Above R1 (0.64395) ≈ 55 pips stop.
Targets:
T1: S1 (0.63436) (~40 pips → RRR ≈ 1 : 0.7)
T2: R4 (0.63308) (~55 pips → RRR ≈ 1 : 1)
⚡ Highlight: This is a bank-order-flow style fade—selling the break of minor support after a test of the 200-hour MA confluence.
🔑 Rationale
Support→Resistance flip at R3 gives logical entry & SL.
200-hour MA rejection confirms sellers overpowering buyers.
RFI confirms sustained bearish momentum.
High RRR (>1:1) ensures edge even with moderate win-rate.
GBPAUD BuyOverall GBPAUD is currently on a Bullish trend overall. Price action on the 1hr chart just recently broken and retested a bearish trendline. On the lower time frame (3 minute) there was a bullish change of character, and price is currently above the 200ema. Market execution buy with SL at recent low.