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EUR/USD tumbles below 1.0800 on Trump’s tariff planThe EUR/USD pair has declined amid a renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) during Friday's Asian trading session. Additionally, Donald Trump's proposed tax increases have put pressure on the Euro (EUR) against the USD. Traders are now awaiting the US November Michigan Consumer Sentiment data for further market direction, along with a speech by Federal Reserve official Michelle Bowman later this week. Looking at the technical chart, the EUR/USD pair is currently in a downtrend, trading around 1.0780, down 0.2%. With resistance at 1.080, the pair has faced difficulties and has dropped to the support level at 1.071. Given the current factors, there is a possibility that the EUR/USD pair could break this support level and continue moving lower. Investors need to closely monitor economic data and comments from the Fed to catch any new signals from the market.
by Alisa_Rokosz
GBPAUD Mean Reversion SellingI call it all as mean reversion because we are a flying piece of rock transiting through space to nowhere, and price is the same. There's no real anchor in price beside the anchor in the minds of the collective, and market movers. Based on the current price action, we can see that price is somewhat overbought, not 100%, and price has made a reversal candle (based on experience). Even though I did set TP and SL, but I am not expecting to hold it to the end, and instead, I am just testing the boundaries and possibilities, and I would exit at any time. Currently, price is reverting back to the 20EMA and I would consider the 20EMA as the mean price anchor of the current collective and market movers.
Short
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
USDCAD - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 120 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name :USD/CAD Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Short ) ——————————— Bearish Break 1.38600 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range lvn - CHannel Break - Choch - Fixed Range Hvn - Year High / P Bullish Reversal 1.37500 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range Hvn - Trend Line - Pattern Target - choch
Short
by GoldenEngine
2
EURUSD_116 2024.11.08 06:03:07 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for EURUSD_116 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 1.07451 SL: 1.07901 Entry Price: 1.07826 Analysis for EURUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685. * A break below 1.0704 could signal further declines to 1.0660 and 1.0645. * However, there is a possibility of a corrective advance, with a potential rebound from the lower border of the bearish channel and a rebound from the bullish trend line on the RSI. * The upside is capped by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0830, adding to the selling pressure. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The overall trend is bearish, with the pair trading below a flat 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a firmly bearish 20 SMA. * The ECB's cautious stance on monetary policy and weak German data suggest limited near-term support for the euro. * However, the analysis mentions a potential growth towards the area above 1.0925 following a rebound from the support area near 1.0685. * The impact of economic data and ECB policy on the pair's long-term trend is uncertain and will depend on future developments. In summary, the short-term outlook is bearish, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685, while the long-term trend is also bearish, but with a possibility of a rebound and growth towards the area above 1.0925. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days/week):** The price is expected to **go down**. The technical outlook suggests further losses, with potential to revisit the June low of 1.0666 and possibly the 2024 low at 1.0600. The pair has broken below all its moving averages, and technical indicators are firmly bearish despite being in oversold territory. **Long-term (next quarter/12 months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or **go up slightly**. Long-term forecasts indicate the EUR/USD could trade at 1.08 by the end of the quarter and around 1.06 in 12 months, according to Trading Economics' global macro models. This suggests that the current downward trend may be reversed in the long term, with the pair potentially rebounding from its current lows. Please note that these predictions are based on the analysis provided and are subject to change as new data and events become available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) **Short-term Analysis (Next 24-48 hours)** Based on the current market conditions and forecasts, I expect the EUR/USD price to **go down** in the short term. The bearish momentum, as indicated by the technical analysis, suggests that the pair may continue to decline, potentially testing support levels around 1.0665 and 1.0645. The strong US dollar sentiment, weak Eurozone economic data, and the upcoming Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates (expected to include a 0.25% rate cut) may further contribute to the downward pressure on the euro. **Long-term Analysis (Next week and beyond)** In the long term, the outlook for the EUR/USD pair is more uncertain. While the current bearish momentum may persist in the near term, there are potential upside risks that could lead to a rebound. If the pair holds above key support levels, some forecasts suggest a potential upward movement above 1.0925. Additionally, the impact of the US presidential election and the subsequent policy decisions may lead to a shift in market sentiment, potentially benefiting the euro. Therefore, in the long term, I expect the EUR/USD price to **stay the same** or potentially **go up**, depending on the outcome of the upcoming events and the overall market sentiment. Please note that these analyses are based on the available data and forecasts, and the actual market movements may differ. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Short
by orbborisson
GBPCHF - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 150 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name :GBP/CHF Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long ) ——————————— Bullish Break 1.12900 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range Lvn - Pattern Break - inner Fibo Golden - Choch Zone Bearish Reversal 1.14250 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range Hvn - Pattern Target - Fibo Golden - Choch Zone
Long
by GoldenEngine
GBPUSD_109 2024.11.08 05:20:11 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for GBPUSD_109 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 1.30274 SL: 1.29634 Entry Price: 1.29714 Analysis for GBPUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down. The pair is currently moving within a descending channel, indicating a short-term bearish trend. The price is also below the 100-day SMA (1.2980), which is a bearish signal. * However, there is a potential for a short-term recovery, as the pair is building recovery momentum toward 1.2950 and has found support near this level. * Key levels to watch in the short-term include 1.2940, 1.2900, and 1.2980. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The price is expected to go up. The forecast suggests that the pair is expected to test the support area near 1.2765, but then continue to grow with a target near 1.3085. * A breakout above the resistance area and a price close above 1.3005 could signal a reversal, indicating a potential long-term bullish trend. * The Bank of England's stance on interest rates and the prospect of a recession in the UK may influence the pair's volatility, but the overall long-term trend is expected to be bullish. Please note that these predictions are based on the analysis provided and are subject to change as new data and events unfold. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions on the expected price movement of the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The pair is currently in a descending channel, indicating a short-term bearish trend. * The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, but the pair has yet to flip the 100-day SMA into support. * Key support levels are at 1.2940 and 1.2900, while resistance is at 1.3000 and 1.3040. * Given these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the short-term, potentially testing the support area near 1.2765. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * Despite the short-term bearish trend, there is an expectation for the GBP/USD pair to rebound and continue growing towards the level of 1.3085. * A breakout of the resistance area and a price close above 1.3005 would confirm the growth option. * Economic data and central bank decisions, such as the Bank of England's expected rate cuts, could impact the pair's movement. * Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go up** in the long-term, potentially reaching higher targets such as 1.3042 and 1.3057. Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data and events emerge. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The pair is currently trading near 1.3000, and the technical analysis suggests that it is yet to break above the 100-day SMA at 1.2980. * The market sentiment is cautious due to the upcoming US presidential election, which may lead to a temporary consolidation or a slight decline. * The support levels at 1.2940 and 1.2900 are likely to hold, but a break below these levels could lead to a decline towards the November 1 low of 1.2884. * Therefore, in the short-term, the price is expected to **stay the same** or **go down** slightly, with a potential range of 1.2940-1.3000. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The forecast and analysis suggest that the pair could test the support area near 1.2765 before potentially rebounding and growing towards the 1.3085 level. * The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England by the end of 2025 could lead to a depreciation of the pound in the long-term. * However, the US Dollar is currently under pressure, which could allow the GBP/USD to hold its ground or even appreciate in the long-term. * Therefore, in the long-term, the price is expected to **go up**, with a potential target of 1.3085, but with a possible decline to 1.2765 before rebounding. Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new information becomes available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Long
by orbborisson
EURAUD long Friday Nov 8, 2024A long trade on the EURAUD currency pair based on interest rate differential between the EUR and the AUD. Trading is based almost entirely on technical indicators that use past price action to forecast future price action. However, the trader who ignores fundamental forces that move the markets is at a disadvantage to traders who factor fundamental data into their trading decisions. The fundamental data that have the most effect on exchange rates are interest rates, which affect the perceived value of currencies. While central bank rates are not volatile, the yields on government bonds, such as the U.S. 10-year treasury note, fluctuate on all time frames in global bond markets. Those yields reflect the expectation the market has as to where future central bank rates will go. Bond yields are often a leading indicator of interest rates and of exchange rates. In the forex market, the metric that applies to a currency pair is the interest rate differential, especially the delta, or change in the interest rate differential, on various time frames. This trade shows a case where movement of the interest rate differential, expressed in basis points, in the positive direction was a leading indicator of movement of the EURAUD currency pair in the same direction.
Long
by Zee111666
EURUSD MA50 (4h) rejection gives one more buy opportunity.EURUSD got rejected today on the MA50 (4h), after the price bottomed yesterday near the lows of the Channel Down. The rejection could technically be a final buy opportunity similar to the October 25th rejection, which lated resumed the uptrend and completed a +1.64% bullish wave. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.08550 (+1.64% from the low). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) crossed above the MA trend line, confirming that this is indeed a bullish wave. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 08, 2024 EURUSDEvents to pay attention to today: 17:00 EET. USD - UoM Consumer Sentiment 18:00 EET. USD - FOMC Member Michelle W. Bowman Speaks EURUSD: The EUR/USD exchange rate is declining towards 1.07800 due to increased demand for the US dollar during Asian trading hours on Friday. Furthermore, the prospect of increased tariffs under the Trump administration is exerting downward pressure on the euro relative to the US dollar. Analysts anticipate further market movements based on the release of the expanded Michigan consumer sentiment data for November, as well as a speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Michelle Bowman on Friday. As anticipated, the US Federal Reserve reduced its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its November meeting on Thursday. The US central bank is keen to avoid any further weakening of the labour market and still anticipates a gradual decline in inflation towards the Fed's 2% target. It is anticipated that the Fed will continue to reduce interest rates at forthcoming meetings, although the precise timing remains unclear. The Fed will continue to assess data in order to determine the appropriate pace and direction of interest rate cuts. Mr. Trump has pledged to impose a 10% tariff on imports from all countries, which has exerted downward pressure on the euro. The European Union has the second-largest trade deficit with the United States in the world and is the largest exporter to the United States, according to JPMorgan. Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) is reducing interest rates at a faster pace than the Federal Reserve. This may result in a depreciation of the euro against the US dollar. The ECB has already reduced rates three times this year due to declining inflation risks in the Eurozone. Growing expectations of another rate cut are contributing to the euro's decline in the near term. Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.08000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
EURAUD Buy Mean Reversion TradingPrice is overextended and I am entering a Buy market. Stochastics 20,1,1 shows extreme overselling. I think that trading is a logic game. You cannot go against the grain, otherwise you will realise very quickly that you will have a tough time cutting the meat. As my previous entry on TradingView, I also entered on a mean reversion trade and I am just testing things out. If this particular market sells fish, don't come in with vegetable and expect to get accepted or even have anything sold. And also, understand who the people that come to this particular market operate as. Are they housewives coming to buy only a meal or two's worth of groceries? Or are they businesses that buy and sell to those housewives at their respective markets? Know your role, and choose your role. However, you also must have the capital to start the business you choose to do. If you wanna be the one selling to the businesses who supplies the fishes to housewives, you better have the money and knowledge to get yourself a spot at the b2b fish market. Otherwise, you can be a scalper who goes to the b2b market and buys fish and sell them to housewives. You can't be greedy though, because fishes expire fast. If you are too greedy, you will realise that you have a bunch of rotten fishes which you could at least have suntanned them to make salted fish before they rot.
Long
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
Mean Reversion Trading NZDCHF Swing SellMean Reversion. WHen price goes in one direction for too far or long, it will tend to collapse back to the average price. Stochastics 20,1,1 shows overbought, Price is tanking, I entered on a sell market. I think this has to be a swing trade where one cannot be greedy. I think that the forex market isn't like the stock market where it can continue trending, one of the reasons being due to inflation, where price will always get more expensive for goods, services, and stocks also (since it deals with goods and services as its core.) Unless if something major that shakes a country and keeps going, such as JPY negative interest rate for years, otherwise it is rare to see price keep on running and seeing no end. On the other hand, products such as commodities, or metals like gold and stocks and maybe REITs (I am not familiar with REITs but with some common sense, I think that landlords would only want to keep on increasing the rent prices to pad their pockets, such as in Singapore where the price isn't controlled and rental prices can shoot up, and even if the units are not rented out FOR YEARS, the property owner doesn't care and am not affected, one of the reason being they are holding onto land deed which property prices Singaporeans call as supply and demand, but the demand is just as artificial as labubu sales due to influx of rich foreigners buying into government housing in Singapore.) Anyway, country and country will definitely have a push and pull effect, don't expect prices to keep going for no rhythm or reason. The stock market is there for a reason if you wanna go for a no rhythm and no reason trending market.
Long
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
USDJPY: Ready for another 1500 pip move? Presidential election in the US, which was one of the most important political events this year, moved the stock market to significant highs, historically speaking. The new rally could weaken the dollar. On the Japanese side of things, the new bullish move might be starting soon. Now that we got the retracement back to our weekly area of interest, its time to start looking for short entries. Our area of interest consists of Fibonacci and VWAP levels. This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading. Trade safely and expect the unexpected, Mei
Short
by martinmei
USDJPY 4hr LongUSDJPY ✅ 4hr Long ✅ 💰ENTRY: 153.096 👎STOP LOSS: 152.692 TP TARGETS ⏰TP1 ⏰TP2 ⏰TP3 ✅1. Weekly Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10, 50,200 EMAs. ✅ 2. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10, 50, 200 EMAs. ✅ 3. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid correction into the 10 EMA. ✅ 4. Price has made a Swing Low Engulfing candle above the 50ema. This is a great example of my systematic system.
Long
by angelvalentinx
GBPUSD Market Update: Key Influences and Chart AnalysisToday, GBPUSD is hovering around 1.293 as it attempts to stabilize after recent volatility. The pair has been facing downward pressure due to ongoing uncertainty around the UK’s economic outlook and the strength of the USD. The chart suggests that GBPUSD recently encountered resistance in the 1.2978 zone, with multiple rejections, signaling a strong selling pressure around this level. After testing this resistance, the pair is now trending downward, breaking through the sideways range, indicating potential further declines. Technical indicators, including the EMA levels shown on the chart, suggest a bearish outlook. The projected path illustrates a corrective bounce but ultimately points to a continuation of the downward trend, with a possible support target around 1.2850 or lower if selling pressure persists. Given these signals, traders should monitor key news events that could impact the USD and GBP sentiment, such as upcoming U.S. and UK economic releases. A cautious approach may favor short positions, aligning with the bearish indicators on the chart.
by Chipucu
1
GBP/USD climbs after Bank of England cut ratesThe British pound has rebounded on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2983, up 0.81% on the day. A day earlier, the pound took a drubbing, sliding 1.2%. There was no surprise as the Bank of England lowered the key interest rate by 0.25% to 4.75%. The markets had priced in the move at close to 100% and the Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 in favor of the cut, with one member voting to hold rates at 5%. The BoE has now lowered rates twice since its easing cycle in August. BoE policymakers had signaled that a rate cut was coming, as September inflation dropped sharply to 1.7%, the first time in over three years that inflation dropped below the BoE’s target of 2%. The central bank is expected to lower rates gradually in modest increments of 25 basis points in the coming months, but last week’s UK budget could complicate things. The budget included tax hikes and increased spending, which is expected to boost inflation. That could mean a pause at the next BoE meeting in December and a slower pace of rate cuts next year. The Federal Reserve meets later today, in the shadow of the dramatic US election, in which Republican Donald Trump cruised to a surprisingly easy victory over Democrat Kamala Harris. The Fed is virtually certain to trim rates by 0.25% to 4.5%-4.75%. With inflation easing, the Fed is expected to continue its rate-cutting cycle into 2025. GBP/USD pushed above resistance at 1.2920 earlier and then tested resistance at 1.3007 There is support at 1.2793 and 1.2706
by OANDA
#EURUSD - 08112024EURUSD made a perfect long as per plan given yesterday and it hit the price target, over a 100 pips higher, and it sold down 60 pips off the price target before recovering. Bearish sell down on Thursday followed by a recovery to my sell level yesterday. What's next? I see a possible move for EURUSD to 1.0733 and then we see the reaction off the level; either a higher low for a move higher or a break and a move lower (as per the plan given yesterday). In a way, the move yesterday could be seen as a pullback. And market did sell down after hitting the price target so IMO sellers are present and so could see a move lower first.
by FadeMeIfYouCan