Forex market
USDCAD Near Key Trendline as Carney Wins ElectionUSDCAD remained relatively calm as Canadian election results began to come in. Mark Carney is projected to win, and the initial reaction was bullish for the Canadian dollar. However, the gains were short-lived, as the victory margin appears narrow.
Canada stands at a pivotal moment in its history. The newly announced tariffs will likely deal a heavy blow to the economy. Markets are cautious, recognizing that a slim majority could complicate budget negotiations and legislative decisions in Parliament. On the other hand, Carney’s background as a former central bank governor could provide economic credibility during a potential slowdown.
Carney stated, "We are over the shock of American betrayal. But we should never forget the lessons." He is expected to pursue damage-control with the U.S. through negotiation, while simultaneously turning toward the EU to boost trade. Although this blow may prove beneficial for Canada in the long run, the coming years could present serious challenges.
From a combined perspective including technical and fundamental side, the bullish trend channel in USDCAD may remain intact for now. The lower boundary of the four-year trend lies around 1.37. As long as this trendline holds, dips may present buying opportunities. For any meaningful upward movement, the 1.3670–1.37 zone must be clearly broken with multiple daily closes above. Until a breakout or breakdown occurs, range-bound and uncertain price action may persist between these levels.
DeGRAM | USDJPY Keeps the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis
● USD/JPY has broken the falling-wedge top and is holding above the 142.20 breakout line; that keeps 144.03 → 147.5 in scope.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. March retail sales surged 1.4 %, underscoring resilient demand.
✨ Summary
A wedge breakout plus firm U.S. data, a hawkish Fed and a dovish BOJ favour more dollar strength; holding above 142.20 keeps USD/JPY on track for $144.03–147.5.
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EURCHF INTRADAY resistance retest at 0.9430The pair is in a bearish trend, with recent price action showing a bounce (oversold rally) that was rejected near 0.9430, a key resistance level from previous consolidation.
This rejection suggests sellers are still in control.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 0.9430 (key level), then 0.9500 and 0.9600 if broken.
Support: 0.9155, followed by 0.9100 and 0.9050.
Trading Outlook:
Bearish scenario: If price fails to break above 0.9430, expect a move lower toward 0.9300, with extended downside to 0.9200 and 0.9130 over time.
Bullish scenario: A daily close above 0.9430 would invalidate the bearish view and could lead to a move toward 0.9500 and possibly 0.9600.
Conclusion: EUR/CHF remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above 0.9430. Traders may look for short opportunities below resistance or switch to a bullish bias on a confirmed breakout.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker USD📌 EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker US Dollar 📉
🌍 Fundamental Overview
EUR/USD is trading cautiously around 1.1400, as market sentiment remains sensitive to developments in the US-China trade situation and broader monetary policy expectations.
Despite recent USD weakness — where the greenback lost ground against all G10 currencies this April — the Euro is facing renewed selling pressure amid rising speculation about further ECB rate cuts.
ECB policymakers, including Olli Rehn and François Villeroy de Galhau, highlighted the increasing risks of missing the 2% inflation target, reinforcing the need for more monetary easing if necessary.
Meanwhile, mixed signals between Trump and Beijing over trade negotiations have kept uncertainty high, putting both USD and risk sentiment in flux.
📈 Key Economic Events to Watch
US Data:
JOLTS Job Openings
Q1 GDP Preliminary
ISM Manufacturing PMI
ADP Employment Change
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
Core PCE Price Index (March)
Eurozone Data:
Q1 GDP Preliminary
April HICP Inflation
Recent weaker-than-expected Spanish GDP (0.6% vs. forecast 0.7%) also adds pressure on the broader Eurozone outlook.
📊 Technical Outlook – EUR/USD
Immediate Resistance: 1.1450 – 1.1475
Immediate Support: 1.1375 – 1.1340
The pair is now hovering near the 1.1400 psychological level, with slight bearish momentum:
A break below 1.1375 could open the path towards 1.1340.
On the upside, holding above 1.1400 and reclaiming 1.1450 would be needed to revive bullish momentum.
The Dollar Index (DXY) remains trapped around 99.20, hinting at limited immediate USD strength but vulnerable to macro catalysts.
🧠 Trading Strategy
Prefer short-term sell setups if EUR/USD fails to hold 1.1400 and breaks below 1.1375.
Bullish setups are only valid if Price closes firmly above 1.1450, aiming towards 1.1475 resistance.
⚡ Traders should stay cautious ahead of major data this week, especially US NFP and Core PCE, which could redefine short-term Dollar strength.
💬 Are you watching for a deeper pullback or waiting for a bounce above 1.1450? Let’s discuss! 👇👇👇
Loonie Drops on Election Shock – Is USD/CAD Set to Rally Further⭐️The USD/CAD pair recovered from intraday losses, trading around 1.3840 in Tuesday’s early European session, as the Canadian dollar (CAD) weakened following Canada’s election results. Prime Minister Mark Carney of the Liberal Party retained power but secured only 167 of 343 seats, falling short of the majority needed for effective trade negotiations with the US. Carney declared the end of the US-led global trade system, unsettling the CAD. The USD gained from optimism in US-China trade relations, with Trump open to lowering tariffs, Beijing exempting some US imports, and ongoing talks with President Xi Jinping showing progress. Trump also proposed reducing auto tariffs, boosting market sentiment.
🔼BUY 1.37100 - 1.36900
SL 1.36600
TP1 1.37400
TP2 1.37900
🔽SELL 1.38800 - 1.39000
SL 1.39300
TP1 1.38500
TP2 Open
AUDUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
AUD/USD Breakout Done , Should We Buy To Get 150 Pips ?Here is my opinion about AUD/USD , If we checked 4H Timeframe , we will see that we have a clear breakout and the price closed above my C.T.L , So i`m looking to buy this pair and targeting 150 pips , but i will enter with small lot size cuz this week is very risky due to monthly closure .
GBPAUD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPAUD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2.0992 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.0899
Safe Stop Loss - 2.1039
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Lingrid | GBPCAD bullish BREAKOUT with Short-Term PullbackThe price has perfectly followed my previous analysis . Recently, the FX:GBPCAD price broke and closed above the previous week's high and the psychological level at 1.85000. Following this significant breakout, the market is pulling back toward the support level, trendline, and triangle pattern. If the market remains above this support zone, the chance of continuation is high. I expect the price to reject this level and rebound, following with continuation toward the next resistance zone. This price action demonstrates classic market behavior following a key breakout, where a retest of former resistance as new support often provides an optimal entry point for traders aligned with the prevailing trend direction. My goal is resistance zone around 1.86510
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
USDCAD: Your Next Bearish Signal USDCAD is currently trading within a downward channel following a significant decrease in value in recent weeks.
The price has formed an inside bar candlestick pattern and is currently consolidating within the range of the mother bar.
To confirm a sell signal, wait for the price to drop below 1.3797 and close below that level. It is likely that the pair will continue to decline and potentially reach 1.3749, then the psychological level of 1.3700.
USD/JPY Trade Recap, AUD/JPY Long, AUD/USD Short & CAD/JPY ShortAUD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
• If tight structured 1H continuation follows, 1H risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/GBP Potential Bullish MoveHi Traders.
We see after a clear bullish impulse this pair is in a bigger correction right now. but slowly we see some bullish reversal signs. but for the last confirmation wait for the breakout out of the structure followed by some LTF correction to confirm this setup.
GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Line Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (2.25500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (2.24000) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 2.28500
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 191.76
1st Support: 189.40
1st Resistance: 193.84
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURCHF Potential shortsFX:EURCHF
EURCHF has an overall bearish sentiment. The price reversal has created a shooting star on both the 4 Hour and daily timeframes. Price is on the fourth wave retracing back towards the swap zone, we can wait for price reaction when it taps into the impulse zone and look for another reversal signal before hopping onto sells. For the first target, we can look for sells back to the H4 support zone, if price breaks below the H4 support zone, we can then target to the strong daily support and swap zone below at 0.93033.
NZDCAD – 1H Bearish Divergence + Strong ResistanceNZDCAD – 1H Bearish Divergence + Strong Resistance 🔻
✅ Setup Summary:
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Signal: Bearish Divergence (Price making higher highs, oscillator making lower highs)
Structure: Approaching or reacting from a strong resistance zone
Bias: Short-term bearish reversal expected
🔍 Confluences:
Bearish Divergence spotted on RSI/MACD
Price is testing or wicking into a previous supply zone / structure resistance
Potential fake-out or exhaustion near resistance
📉 Trade Plan – SHORT Setup
Entry:
On bearish confirmation candle (engulfing, shooting star, etc.)
Or trendline break on LTF (15min-30min)
Stop-Loss:
Above resistance or most recent swing high
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: Minor support or 0.382 fib retracement
TP2: 0.618 fib level / recent low
TP3: Demand zone or 1H trendline touch
R:R Target: Minimum 1:1.5, ideally 1:2
⚠️ Risk Factors:
Watch CAD volatility (oil-related moves)
If price breaks and holds above resistance, invalidate setup
Confirm with volume or structure shift