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AUDUSD LongAUDUSD Analysis (H4, Long Position): 1. Current Context: At 0.63862, AUDUSD is likely near a lower range, possibly testing a support zone after a downtrend driven by USD strength or weaker Australian/Chinese economic sentiment. On H4, this could signal a potential reversal or consolidation before the next move. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The current price of 0.63862 might be near a key support zone, likely around 0.6350–0.6380. This could align with a historical low, the 200-period EMA, or a Fibonacci retracement (e.g., 78.6% from a prior swing up). Resistance: The next resistance could be around 0.6450–0.6470, a level that may correspond to a prior swing high, the 50-period EMA, or a psychological barrier. 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the price is below the 50 EMA (e.g., near 0.6450) but approaching the 200 EMA (possibly around 0.6380), a bounce off the 200 EMA could signal bullish potential. A 50 EMA crossover above the 200 EMA would confirm a trend shift. RSI (14): If RSI is near oversold levels (below 30) or rising from 30–40, it suggests fading bearish momentum and a possible reversal. Volume: Look for a spike in volume at 0.63862 or slightly below, indicating buyer interest at this support. 4. Patterns: At 0.63862, H4 might show a bullish reversal pattern, like a "Double Bottom" near 0.6350–0.6380 or a "Hammer" candle after a downtrend, hinting at a bounce to 0.6450. Alternatively, if the price is consolidating, a breakout above a short-term descending trendline (e.g., near 0.6400) could trigger a long entry. 5. Long Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price holds 0.63862 or dips to 0.6350–0.6370 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle, engulfing pattern, or rejection of lower levels), enter a long position. Stop-Loss: Place the stop below support, e.g., at 0.6330, to account for a potential breakdown. Take-Profit: First target at 0.6450 (60–80 pips profit), second target at 0.6470 if momentum builds. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 60–80 pips, you get a 1:2 to 1:3 ratio, which is favorable. 6. Fundamental Factors: AUDUSD at 0.63862 likely reflects USD strength (e.g., Fed hawkishness) or AUD weakness (e.g., softer commodity prices, Chinese demand concerns). A reversal could be spurred by positive Australian data (e.g., employment), a dovish US shift, or commodity price recovery. Check TradingView’s "Economic Calendar" for RBA or US events.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USDCHF LongUSDCHF Analysis (H4, Long Position): 1. Current Context: With USDCHF at 0.89904, the pair appears to be in a relatively strong position, likely reflecting US dollar strength or Swiss franc weakness. On H4, this could indicate the price is either consolidating after a rally or preparing to test higher resistance levels. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The nearest support might be around 0.8950–0.8970, potentially a recent swing low or a level reinforced by the 50-period EMA or a Fibonacci retracement (e.g., 38.2% or 50% from a prior move up). Resistance: The next key resistance could be near 0.9050–0.9070, a psychological level and possible historical high or supply zone often noted on TradingView. 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the price is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, and they’re sloping upward, this confirms a bullish trend. A pullback to the 50 EMA (e.g., near 0.8970) could act as dynamic support for a long entry. RSI (14): If RSI is between 50–70, it suggests sustained bullish momentum without being overbought. A dip toward 50 followed by a bounce would strengthen the buy case. Volume: Look for consistent or increasing volume on upward moves, indicating buyer commitment. 4. Patterns: At 0.89904, the price might be forming a bullish continuation pattern on H4, like a "Flag" or "Pennant" after a prior uptrend, suggesting a breakout toward 0.9050. Alternatively, if it’s pulling back from a recent high (e.g., 0.9000–0.9020), a retest of support at 0.8970 with a bullish reversal candle (e.g., hammer) could signal a buying opportunity. 5. Long Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price dips to 0.8970–0.8950 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle or engulfing pattern), enter a long position. Alternatively, a breakout above 0.9000 with momentum could also work. Stop-Loss: Place the stop below support, e.g., at 0.8930, to guard against a deeper pullback. Take-Profit: First target at 0.9050 (60–80 pips profit), second target at 0.9070 if the trend extends. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 60–80 pips, you get a 1:2 to 1:3 ratio, which is solid. 6. Fundamental Factors: USDCHF at 0.89904 likely reflects a stronger USD, possibly driven by Fed hawkishness or positive US data (e.g., retail sales, employment figures). Conversely, SNB interventions or Swiss economic weakness could also support this level. Check TradingView’s "Economic Calendar" for upcoming catalysts.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
AUDUSD BUY SETUP🔵 BUY TRADE SETUP (Bullish Institutional Plan) ✅ Entry Zone: 0.6360-0.6340 (Refined institutional execution). ✅ Stop Loss: 0.6315 (below OB, avoiding stop hunts). ✅ Take Profit Targets: TP1: 0.6400 (First liquidity target). TP2: 0.6420 (Main buy-side liquidity zone). TP3: 0.6450 (Final liquidity sweep). ✅ Trade Type: Intra-day / Swing (depends on reaction at OB). ✅ Confidence Level: High (Strong confluence with liquidity & structure). 📌 Final Institutional Execution Decision – 🔥 Best Play for Smart Money Execution: 🚫 Do NOT buy at current highs (0.6389-0.6400). ✅ Wait for a retracement to 0.6360-0.6340 before executing a buy. 🔎 Monitor for Smart Money confirmations (liquidity grab, bullish rejection, BOS). 📢 Final Verdict: WAIT for retracement to 0.6360-0.6340, then execute a buy trade with institutional precision. 🎯🚀
Long
by jibkhan111
EURUSD ShortEURUSD Analysis (H4, Short Position): 1. Current Context: As of the last update (presumably before February 2025), EURUSD was in a downtrend on higher timeframes (e.g., D1), which could influence the H4. Let’s assume the pair recently hit a local high and is showing signs of a downward reversal, aligning with your request for a short-position analysis. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Suppose the nearest significant resistance on H4 is around 1.0500–1.0514 (a psychological level and a zone often mentioned in X posts and TradingView analyses). This could be confirmed by the 50-period EMA or a Supply Zone. Support: The nearest support might be around 1.0400 or slightly lower at 1.0370, where price previously found demand (Demand Zone). 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the 50 EMA crossed below the 200 EMA (bearish cross) or the price bounced off the 50 EMA downward, this strengthens the sell signal. RSI (14): If RSI on H4 is in the overbought zone (above 70) and starts declining, it confirms weakening bullish momentum. Volume: An increase in volume during a downward break of the resistance level could indicate bearish strength. 4. Patterns: On H4, a reversal pattern might be forming, such as a "Double Top" near 1.0514 or a "Head and Shoulders" if the price has already started pulling back from resistance. Alternatively, a break below an ascending channel with a retest of the upper channel line could serve as an entry point for a short. 5. Short Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price tests 1.0500–1.0514 and shows a bearish rejection (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing pattern), this is an ideal moment to enter a short. Stop-Loss: Place the stop just above resistance, e.g., at 1.0530, to account for potential false breakouts. Take-Profit: First target at 1.0400 (about 100–140 pips profit), second target at 1.0370 if bearish momentum persists. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 100 pips, you get at least a 1:3 ratio, which is acceptable for the strategy. 6. Fundamental Factors: While this is a technical analysis, note that EURUSD is heavily influenced by U.S. data (e.g., NFP, Fed interest rates) and Eurozone events (ECB decisions). If strong dollar-supportive data is expected soon, it could reinforce the bearish scenario.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
HelenP. I Euro can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price broke through the support level, which aligned with the support zone, and then started to rise. Soon after, it reached the resistance level, which also coincided with a resistance zone, and even managed to break above it, attempting to push higher. However, the momentum faded, and the price reversed, beginning a decline. In a short time, it dropped below the 1.0470 level, breaking through it and forming a strong gap. The price continued to fall, moving below the 1.0315 support level and reaching the trend line. From there, it started to rise again, moving within an upward channel. Inside the channel, the Euro broke back above the 1.0315 level and climbed toward the resistance line. However, before making a fake breakout, it pulled back to the support level, briefly touching the trend line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. Later, the price reached the resistance zone, reversed, and made a small correction. After that, it attempted another move back toward the resistance zone, but recently, it has fallen below it and is now trading very close to this level. In my view, the price may drop to the trend line, which serves as the channel’s support, and then rebound higher, breaking above the resistance level. If that happens, I expect EURUSD to continue its upward movement, so I’ve set my goal at 1.0540. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
1
EUR to push higher Let's start with the daily TF: We've been in a downward channel for a while now and price seem to try and break out of it to the upside now. Adding to that we also have some equal highs above that haven't been touched for a while now and you can expect that liquidity to be grabbed. Note how that level correspond exactly to the weekly R1 pivot point as well. You can expect some resistance once we reach that level. 4h: Here we can see the price delivery has been very efficient on the way up, leaving but one small imbalance We have a clear bullish hidden divergence on RSI as well and equal highs sitting just above the previous swing high. We're about to enter a previous support/resistance zone which coincide perfectly with the imbalance left yesterday during the push up which looks like the perfect long setup entry to play the continuation long. (which correspond to the 50% retracement from the previous swing low) 5min for entry: Following the HTF analysis and looking at the 5min for entry, we can see that yesterday's R1 pivot correspond to the 79% retracement from the last low before the big push up that didn't give any proper pullback since. It's also at the S/R seen on HTF Entry at that level would be ideal with a SL below S1 pivot and targeting at least the low hanging fruit at the equal highs for a first TP. As always make sure you only trade what you CAN lose and use proper stop loss to avoid any big losses. Nothing is never certain, it's just a game of stacking probability in your favor.
Long
by Nordic_Wings
EURJPY bullish set up 100+ pipsOur recent signal on this pair was 100 pips Price has entered the excess zone near 156.48, a level where sellers have historically exhausted their momentum. Based on fair value principles, this is an area where buyers could step back in, bringing price back toward equilibrium. 🔍 Why I’m Buying Here: ✅ Excess Price Rejection – Price has moved outside the fair value range, indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure. ✅ Mean Reversion to Fair Value – Expecting price to return toward the control price 🎯 Trade Plan: 📍 Entry: Around 156.48 (Excess Price Zone) 📍 TP 1: 157.75 (First reaction level) 📍 TP 2: 159.80 (Control Price Target) If buyers step in as expected, we could see a move back toward the control price within the fair value range. Let’s see how this plays out! 🚀
Long
by Eleazarahmath
1
EURAUD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis. Steps to follow: Analyze yourself. Take the position with SL and Take Profits. Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :) Get the result. I will update the trade every day. Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger! Good trades, Traders! The golden bear
Short
by thegoldenbear
UK retail sales jump, British pound steadyThe British pound has steadied on Friday against the US Dollar after climbing 0.6% a day earlier.  GBP/USD is trading at 1.2655 in the European session, down 0.1% on the day. Retail sales in the UK sparkled in January, climbing 1.7% m/m.  The reading crushed the market estimate of 0.3% and bounced back from an upwardly revised -0.6% in December.  This was the fastest pace since May 2024 and was largely driven by a sharp increase in food store sales.  Annually, retail sales climbed 1%, down from 2.8% in December but above the market estimate of 0.6%. UK consumer confidence remains low, but there was a slight improvement in February. The GfK consumer confidence index rose to -20 from -22, above the market estimate of -22.  Consumers were less pessimistic about economic conditions, which may have resulted from the Bank of  England's rate cut last month.  Still, consumer confidence is mired in negative territory, as consumers are in a sour mood. The UK economy barely registered any growth in the second half of 2024 and the BoE cut in half its forecast for economic growth in 2025.  Meanwhile, inflation is moving the wrong way.  In January, CPI surprised to the upside and hit 3%, a ten-month high.  Low growth and high inflation has policymakers concerned about stagflation, which could cause significant damage to the economy. UK PMIs for February were a mixed bag. Manufacturing PMI ease to 46.4, down from 48.3 in January and shy of the market estimate of 48.4. It was the lowest level since Dec. 2023 as output and employment levels declined. The services sector is in better shape and the PMI rose to 51.1 from 50.8, indicating weak expansion. GBP/USD is testing support at 1.2637.  Below, there is support at 1.2602 1.2705 and 1.2740 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
EURGBP 4H Channel Down topped. Drop expected.The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the February 12 High. Technically that pattern is similar to the Channel Down of late January, which saw an accelerated decline after it failed to break above the 4H MA50. We expect the pattern to complete a similar -2.18% decline and target 0.81750. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPCHF sideways consolidation below resistance The GBPCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears neutral, supported by the longer-term prevailing sideways consolidation price range. The key trading level is at 1.1425, current swing high. An overbought pullback from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 1.1425 level could target the downside support at 1.1310 followed by 1.1245 and 1.1165 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 1.1425 resistance and a daily close above that level would change the outlook to bullish opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 1.1450 resistance followed by 1.1470 and 1.1500 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Greenback in my Favour against the Euro Hey Traders, I hope everyone is having a great trading week! In my last post on EUR/USD , I shared my view on dollar strength. Since then, price has surged to a key level at 1.05 , where it is currently showing signs of rejection on lower timeframes. My bias remains bearish unless we see a clear breakout above 1.06. For this setup, I’ll exit the trade if price breaks above the previous high of 1.0533 . My target for this trade remains 1.0 Remember, the only thing we can truly control in trading is risk . Stick to your plan, manage your risk, and stay disciplined! Happy Friday & trade safe! R.P. 🚀
Short
by Tradebudz
1
GBPJPY: "Is it the right time to take a sell position?"Let's analyze the GBP/JPY chart and find some opportunities to make a profit. Daily timeframe: As you can see, the chart price has been in a range zone since September 24. In the last few weeks, the price has made lower highs and lower lows. On the daily timeframe, the price broke 189.293 once on February 6. The pullback wave became weak according to the candlestick patterns 4H timeframe: The PRZ zone is marked on the chart with a light green rectangle. The Daily Pivots Standard is marked with the orange horizontal ray. You can draw a bearish trendline on the 4H timeframe if you trade with trendlines. I usually trade with higher highs in bullish trends and lower lows in bearish trends. So, I'm going to wait for the price to break the support line to enter my position. 190.748 could be a key level to enter a sell position.
Short
by ESsmaeel
4