AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 20th, 2025AUDUSD 7/20/2025
AUDUSD 4hour Neutral idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Ranging
We’re looking at a fairly large range here on AU and although the higher timeframe suggests a potential bearish move, I am unsure until we have some clarity around 0.65000. Here are two scenarios that break down what could happen this week and how 0.65000 plays into it:
Range Continuation - Since late June we have seen price action establish this large range and stick to it (0.65800 Resistance & 0.65000 Support).
Currently, we can see price action attempting to break 0.65000 support but it has not done so yet. If we don’t break below 0.65000 early this week it is very likely we will see a rally into the top of the range.
Bearish Breakout - This is the setup we want to see play out this week as it presents a beauty of a trade.
For us to see AU as bearish on the 4hour we need to see a clear break below 0.65000 with a confirmed lower high below. If this happens look to target toward major support levels like 0.63500 area.
Forex market
follow EURUSD LION & PLANE BUY SETUPTHE PRICE has moved as I explained in the last two posts
but we have some update to go along the way
the price could break failing channel
and withdrawal liquidity and filled imbalance
hence reflect from demand zone with zero reflection as i explained in last post with rock and plane
and it will go up to take liquidity in failing channel or downtrend
NZDJPY Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 88.786
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 88.284
My Stop Loss - 89.075
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/JPY Finally Decided To Go Down , Don`t Miss This 150 Pips !Here is my 1H Chart on AUD/JPY , And my opinion is we have a very clear breakout and the price will go down a little to make a retracement after this huge movement to upside without any correction , so i`, waiting the price to retest my broken supp and new Res and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting 100 : 150 pips . if the price go up again and closed above my res area with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore.
GBPUSD Week 30 Swing Zone/LevelsPEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD is expected to trend upward from the 1.34032 level towards the resistance zone. Whether it breaks through or reverses downward will ultimately depend on market players.
This projection is based on a forward-looking metric analysis, which explains why the zones are not derived from historical price action on the left side of the chart, as is common in traditional technical analysis. However, the daily candles from previous weeks still contribute meaningfully to this outlook.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3603
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3592
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3361
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 148.46
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 147.15
Recommended Stop Loss - 149.17
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCAD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 📊AUDCAD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
USD/JPY Drops as Market Awaits Powell's RemarksIn today’s trading session, the USD/JPY pair is showing renewed weakness, currently trading around 147.76 — down more than 0.68% from the previous session. The decline is driven by falling U.S. Treasury yields and cautious investor sentiment ahead of an upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which is weighing on the U.S. dollar.
From a technical perspective, USD/JPY has broken its short-term uptrend and is approaching a key support level at 147.60. If this level fails to hold, the bearish momentum could extend further.
NZDUSD Sell Stop SetupNZDUSD is in a clear downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. A sell stop is placed below the recent support to confirm bearish continuation.
Sell Stop: 0.59
Stop Loss (SL): 0.60
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.58
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.57
Waiting for price activation to validate the setup.
GBPUSD Long Idea – Betting Against the Buck’s Big BluffThe US dollar might talk tough, but it’s walking on shaky ground. With debt fears climbing and the Fed leaning toward cuts, the greenback’s grip is loosening — and GBPUSD looks primed to ride the wave. 🌊
I’m bullish on GBPUSD.
Here’s why I’m going long:
✅ The Fed is expected to cut rates twice in 2025 and again in 2026
📉 The Dollar Index (DXY) has already fallen 11% YTD — momentum is down
🧨 Tariff drama with the EU and Mexico is spooking markets
📊 Sentiment is clearly bearish — even big banks are forecasting more USD weakness
💬 Trump’s rhetoric is creating volatility without lasting strength
The dollar’s reputation as a safe haven is fading fast. Sure, it still gets a knee-jerk boost on scary headlines — but the deeper trend shows erosion. With the Fed stepping away from hikes and signaling multiple cuts, yields are less attractive. And when US assets aren’t pulling in investors, the dollar suffers.
Meanwhile, GBP is holding firm. UK political risk is muted, and GBP tends to benefit when the USD stumbles. The setup here isn’t just about GBP strength — it’s about USD weakness. Add in rising global risk appetite and clearer policy direction from the Bank of England, and the case for GBPUSD upside becomes compelling.
DXY is telling a story — and it’s one of slow decay. GBPUSD, in contrast, is quietly building momentum.
📌 I’m long GBPUSD with a medium-term view.
Would you take this trade or wait for more confirmation? Let me know your thoughts.
EURUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY- UPDATED ANALYSIS GBPJPY Bias: Bullish HTF Overview (4H): Price remains in strong bullish structure, with higher highs continuing to break. No signs of deep pullbacks toward major SSLs, confirming strength in the current leg. LTF Confirmation (30M): Clean refined structure now visible. Market gave a textbook pullback into a fresh demand zone (30M OB) after sweeping minor liquidity. No need to expect a deeper move unless invalidated. Entry Zone: Watching for price reaction from the refined 30M OB. If price respects this level, I’ll drop to 5M for LH break → 1M for entry precision. Targets: Eyes on recent high as first TP, followed by extended targets if momentum continues. Mindset Note: Sometimes the best move is simply refining levels and letting the setup come to you. No rush, just alignment.
EUR/USD | Bullish Momentum Builds – Next Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price first made a strong move in two steps, successfully hitting the 1.15580 target. Upon reaching this key level, it reacted positively with increased demand and is now trading around 1.16520. Given the current trend, I expect further bullish movement soon, with the next potential targets at 1.16720, 1.17230, and 1.17500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GU-Mon-21/07/25 TDA-More consolidation,are we about to breakout?Analysis done directly on the chart!
Nothing lasts forever, the longer it consolidates
the easier the breakout will be.
Premise:
A simple idea plan (like Tradingview public posts) won't describe everything.
No one can predict how market will move, it's always good to react to how it moves.
It gives an idea of how price might move, but no one come from FUTURE.
So I always encourage people to openly and actively discuss in real time.
I don't give signals blindly, people should learn
and understand the skill.
Following blindly signals you won't know how to
manage the trade, where precisely put sl and tp,
lot size and replicate the move over time.
That's why you need active real time discussions.
Trading is not get rich quick scheme!
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
0721 Impact of Japanese Senate Elections on Yen Exchange Rate Hello traders,
1. I spent the entire weekend following the Japanese Senate elections, as they will determine the fluctuations of the world's largest financing currency—the yen exchange rate.
★ The results are out, and we are currently in scenario two— the ruling coalition suffered a crushing defeat + Shigeru Ishiba refuses to resign. However, senior figures within the Liberal Democratic Party, such as Taro Aso, have publicly stated that they intend to demand Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation for accountability, increasing the pressure on Ishiba to step down. This means we might see "scenario three"—the USD/JPY exchange rate could potentially break through the 151-155 range.
★ Is this the worst-case scenario? Of course not. The worst-case scenario would be if the "far-right party" that campaigned on the slogan "Japan First" achieved a landslide victory in this election. The most notable winner is a marginal far-right party known as the "Reform Party."
The Reform Party originated from a YouTube channel during the pandemic, which spread conspiracy theories about vaccines and "global elite conspiracies." NHK estimates that the Reform Party will win up to 22 seats, whereas three years ago, they had only 1 seat in the Senate and currently have only 3 seats in the House of Representatives.
✔ Let's take a look at this big winner's political proposals—stricter immigration restrictions + opposition to globalism + opposition to radical gender policies + reassessment of decarbonization and vaccine policies + massive tax cuts + increased social welfare spending. This means Japan may implement more "radical tax cuts" combined with aggressive economic stimulus through quantitative easing, leading to a more severe depreciation of the yen, increasing the likelihood of the USD/JPY exchange rate rising to the 160 range.
★ What are the risks of a sharp depreciation of the yen?
For Asia, the depreciation of the yen typically drags down other Asian currencies collectively, especially under U.S. tariff pressures, where Asian currencies are already under devaluation pressure. A strong depreciation of the yen would mean Japan is taking other Asian countries along with it off a cliff. We need to pay attention to the "passive" depreciation of the renminbi.
Asia will feel the pain, but Europe and the U.S. will also suffer. Theoretically, if the USD/JPY exchange rate surges (indicating a sharp depreciation of the yen), it is very advantageous for arbitrage trading with leverage (because the yen becomes cheaper). However, when the yen experiences a severe depreciation, the situation changes.
Let me give you a classic example: After Shinzo Abe returned to power at the end of 2012, he launched the "three arrows" economic policy: unlimited quantitative easing monetary policy + fiscal stimulus + structural reform = artificially lowering the yen exchange rate to stimulate exports (the clear goal was to increase the USD/JPY exchange rate) = rapid depreciation of the yen (from 80 in 2012 to 125 in 2015).
So what happened then? — A large number of Japanese institutions sold off U.S. bonds, European bonds, and REITs to cash out. The reason is simple:
✔ Japanese financial institutions (such as GPIF, insurance companies, and banks) hold a large amount of dollar/euro assets. When the yen depreciates, the yen-denominated market value of these foreign currency assets skyrockets. Selling off overseas assets is equivalent to cashing out foreign exchange gains in advance.
✔ The proportion of foreign currency assets is too high → must rebalance. Due to the yen depreciation, a large institution that originally allocated 20% of its total assets to foreign currency assets might see that proportion swell to 30% or 40%. This triggers asset allocation restrictions within pension and insurance funds (ALM principles), necessitating the sale of overseas assets and reallocation to yen-denominated assets.
✔ The yen depreciation phase is usually accompanied by an expansion of the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential. If Japanese institutions hedge their dollar assets, the hedging costs become very high (the costs of hedging through FX swaps and forwards rise), so they must also sell off some assets to reduce exposure. Therefore, in 2013, there was a collective sell-off of U.S. and European bonds.
Technically:
Daily chart, there is a possible Crab Harmonic Pattern.
The Crab Harmonic Pattern
From the chart, we can see:
The upward move from A to B is labeled as 0.762, which falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.618-0.786 for the A-B leg of the Crab pattern.
The downward move from B to C is labeled as 0.668, which also falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.382-0.886 for the B-C leg of the Crab pattern.
The upward move from C to D is labeled as 1.112, which corresponds to the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.13-1.272 for the C-D leg of the Crab pattern.
Based on these Fibonacci ratio relationships, we can identify this price action pattern as a typical Crab harmonic pattern. This type of pattern often suggests that the price may be about to reverse.
On the left 4H chart, the broken trendline is suggesting a new possible downtrend to begin .
Make a good use of those support positions, sellers of UJ could find a great trade deal.
Follow me to get more update on UJ.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!