EUR/USD Long Setup — Breakout Retest Play
We’re seeing a classic breakout-retest scenario on EUR/USD. After breaking above the previous consolidation zone, price has pulled back to retest the broken structure near 1.1495, which also aligns with a higher time frame support zone.
🟦 Entry Zone: 1.1495–1.1490
🔴 Stop Loss: Below 1.1420 (clearly outside the structure)
🟩 Targets (Partial TPs):
1.1655
1.1775
1.1888–1.1894 (final)
📌 Plan:
This is a trend continuation idea after a clean structural breakout. If you plan to enter this, consider:
✅ Scaling in at or near current price
✅ Partial TP at each resistance level
❌ Avoid holding full position till final target — secure profits along the way
✅ Use proper risk management and size
⚠️ Important Note
This is not a signal, just an idea.
I am not selling signals or subscriptions.
If you're new, you may think:
“Let me just follow someone with 100K followers and I’ll profit.”
Truth is — follower count means nothing. Many signal sellers don’t even trade. They sell subscriptions, not setups.
🧠 Pro Tip for Beginners
Track 30–40 trade ideas from different users (including old ones — they often hide losers). Ask yourself:
Was the direction right?
Was the entry filled?
Was the setup realistic?
That’s how you’ll grow as a trader.
Trade smart, protect your capital, and stay sharp.
Rendon1
Forex market
EURJPY Bearish momentum 4hr and daily chart analaysis EUR/JPY is currently entering a bearish phase, trading around a critical transition zone between 171.00 and 169.787. This area marks a key inflection point, and a clear break below could confirm the shift in momentum to the downside. If the bearish momentum continues to build, the pair could potentially decline further, targeting the support levels around 158.253 to 156.843.
GBPCAD ENTER INTO DOWNTREND STRUCTUREGBPCAD ENTER INTO DOWNTREND STRUCTURE.
Price break the key support level and formed lower low.
Market is expected to remain Bearish in upcoming sessions.
On higher side market may test the resistance level of 1.8690.
On bearish side market may achieve target level of 1.8320.
EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND.
Price is currently forming higher high and higher low formation.
Market was trading in secondary trend from lest few sessions.
Recently market shows interest of buyers by bullish engulfing candle.
Market may end this secondary trend and can start moving in primary trend.
Market is expected to remain bullish in upcoming trading sessions.
On lower side, 1.12200 is key support level.
On higher side market may hit the target levels of 1.15600.
GBPAUD FORMING A DOWNTREND STRUCTUREGBPAUD FORMING A DOWNTREND STRUCTURE IN 4H TIMEFRAME.
Market recently enter into new downtrend by forming a lower low.
Market is rejecting the price near the previous high which in important resistance level.
Price may start forming another primary trend and may remain bearish in upcoming sessions.
on lower side market may hit the targets of 2.06800 & 2.05500.
On higher side market may test the resistance level of 2.10330.
Long Setup – AUDJPY (W Pattern Completion & Shift Confirmation)
Price swept key sellside liquidity at 94.227 and held support just above 94.147. A clean W pattern has now formed with a decisive bullish body close above the shift zone, confirming bullish intent. Entered long with a take profit set at the box equilibrium level of 94.497 and stop loss placed below structure at 94.121. Trade aligns with structure, liquidity engineering, and price reaction from deep discount of the box
Is Mexico's Peso at the Crossroads?The recent imposition of U.S. sanctions on three Mexican financial institutions - CIBanco, Intercam Banco, and Vector Casa de Bolsa - has ignited a crucial debate over the Mexican peso's stability and the intricate dynamics of U.S.-Mexico relations. Washington accuses these entities of laundering millions for drug cartels and facilitating fentanyl precursor payments, marking the first actions under new anti-fentanyl legislation. While these institutions collectively hold a relatively small portion of Mexico's total banking assets (less than 3%), the move carries significant symbolic weight and prompts a re-evaluation of the peso's outlook. The Mexican government, under President Claudia Sheinbaum, swiftly rejected the allegations, demanding concrete evidence and initiating its investigations, including the temporary regulatory intervention of CIBanco and Intercam to safeguard depositors.
Economically, the peso faces a nuanced landscape. Before the sanctions, the Mexican peso (MXN) demonstrated remarkable resilience, appreciating significantly against the dollar, bolstered by Mexico's comparatively higher interest rates and robust trade flows with the U.S. However, the recent divergence in monetary policy, with **Banxico** easing rates while the U.S. Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, now presents a potential headwind for the peso. While analysts generally suggest limited systemic risk to Mexico's broader financial system from these targeted sanctions, the action introduces an element of uncertainty. It raises concerns about potential capital flight, increased compliance costs for other Mexican financial institutions, and a possible erosion of investor confidence, factors that could exert downward pressure on the peso.
Geopolitically, these sanctions underscore the escalating U.S. campaign against fentanyl trafficking, now intricately linked with broader trade and security tensions. President Donald Trump's past threats of punitive tariffs on Mexican imports - aimed at curbing drug flows - highlight the volatile nature of this bilateral relationship. The sanctions serve as a potent political message from Washington, signaling its resolve to combat the fentanyl crisis on all fronts, including financial pipelines. This diplomatic friction, coupled with the ongoing complexities of migration and security cooperation, creates a challenging backdrop for the USD/MXN exchange rate. While the U.S. and Mexico maintain a strong intergovernmental relationship, these pressures test the limits of their collaboration and could influence the peso's trajectory in the medium term.
USD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalUSD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Last week, we highlighted potential bullish momentum building in USD/CAD. That narrative continues to develop, supported by the latest economic data.
The U.S. Core PCE Price Index came in at 0.2%, slightly higher than the previous 0.1%, indicating persistent inflationary pressure that could keep the USD supported. On the other hand, Canada’s GDP contracted by -0.1%, a significant drop from the previous 0.2% growth, weighing on the CAD.
Technical Outlook:
Following the price rejection near 1.37500, USD/CAD entered an accumulation phase around 1.3680–1.3690, signaling smart money building long positions.
After accumulating buy orders and sweeping liquidity below the key level at 1.36750, price has broken above a minor resistance zone, indicating bullish intent. A visible manipulation pattern within a liquidity pocket further supports this move.
We now anticipate a continuation higher from a key re-entry zone around recent breakout structure.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.36770 (Buy Limit Order)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.36570 (Below liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.37280 (Next key resistance / ~1:2.5 RR)
This trade aligns with institutional behavior — accumulation, liquidity grab, and break of structure — suggesting a bullish continuation as long as price respects the recent breakout zone.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
GBPAUD Short From Resistance!
HI,Traders !
#GBPAUD went up sharply
Made a retest of the
Horizontal resistance level
Of 2.10010 from where we
Are already seeing a local
Bearish reaction so we
Are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A local bearish correction !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
GBPCHF Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.097.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.100 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.365.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.369.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, and welcome!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the mutual tariff suspension deadline of July 9, saying, “We can do whatever we want. We could extend it, or shorten it,” leaving the door open for an extension.
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that trade negotiations could be finalized by September 1, adding that agreements were nearing completion with more than 10 of the 18 major trading partners.
- President Trump noted that Canada is preparing to implement a digital tax, saying, “We will halt all trade discussions with Canada and within the next seven days inform them of the tariffs they must pay to operate in the U.S.”
- The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May met expectations at 2.3% year-over-year, while the Core PCE Price Index slightly exceeded expectations at 2.7% year-over-year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 30: U.K. Q1 GDP
+ July 1: Eurozone June CPI, Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey)
+ July 2: U.S. June ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
+ July 3: U.S. June Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is showing a steep upward trend after breaking through a previous resistance level. Further upside potential appears to remain, with the next projected target area around the 1.18500–1.19000 range. However, there is currently a resistance zone in place, making it highly likely that a short-term dip may occur before the upward trend resumes.
GBP/CAD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CAD is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 1.850.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.817
Target Level: 0.805
Stop Loss: 0.824
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for June 30, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is attracting some sellers towards 143.85 during the Asian session on Monday. The U.S. dollar (USD) is weakening against the Japanese yen (JPY) amid rising bets for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut.
The United States (US) and China are close to a deal on tariffs. However, U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly ended trade talks with Canada, adding uncertainty to the market's positive outlook.
In addition, traders are betting that the U.S. central bank will cut rates more frequently and possibly sooner than previously expected. Markets estimate the probability of a quarter-point Fed rate cut at nearly 92.4%, up from 70% a week earlier.
On the data side, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index rose 2.3% in May, up from 2.2% in April (revised from 2.1%), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday. This value matched market expectations. Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.7% in May, following a 2.6% increase (revised from 2.5%) seen in April.
On the other hand, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious stance on interest rate hikes could put pressure on the yen and create a tailwind for the pair.
Trade recommendation: SELL 143.50, SL 144.30, TP 142.40
EURUSD: focus on jobs dataThe major macro data for this week, the PCE indicator, was posted on Friday. The Personal Consumption Expenditure index, Feds favorite inflation gauge, increased by 0,1% in May, bringing the index to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market expectations. The core PCE was a bit higher than anticipated, at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,7% for the year. A bit surprising figures came from Personal Income in May, which dropped by -0,4%, while the Personal Spending was down by -0,1% in May. Analysts are noting that implemented trade tariffs are slowly beginning to reflect in the personal spending of the US citizens. Also, this sort of potential development was noted by the Fed during the last two FOMC meetings.
The rest of posted macro data for the US included the Existing Home Sales in May reached 4,03M, which was an increase of 0,8% on a monthly basis. This was significantly above the market estimate of -1,3%. The Durable Goods Orders in May were higher by 16,4%, surpassing the market estimate of 8,5%. The GDP Growth Rate final for Q1was standing in a negative territory of -0,5% for the quarter, and was higher from market expectation of -0,2%. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment figures final for June, which was standing at 60,7 and was in line with estimates. The Inflation Expectations were a bit higher from the previous estimate, ending the June with expected 5% inflation, while the market was expecting to see 5,1%.
The HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for June in Germany was standing at the level of 49, while the same index for the Euro Zone reached 49,4. Both indicators were in line with market expectations. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany in June reached 88,4, in line with market estimates. The GfK Consumer Confidence in July was at the level of -20,3, a bit higher from estimated -19,3.
The eurusd was traded with a bullish sentiment during the previous week. The currency pair started the week around the level of 1,1460 and continued toward the upside for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level at 1,1741 was reached in Friday's trading session. The RSI reached the clear overbought market side as of the end of the week, at the level of 71. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the potential cross is near.
The market favored the euro during the last two weeks. It comes as a result of insecurity when it comes to potential negative impact of implemented trade tariffs, which are slowly revealing in the US economy. The week ahead brings more jobs data, including JOLTs, NFP and unemployment rate, which will shape the investors sentiment. Some increased volatility might be ahead. The resistance level at 1,17 has been clearly tested during the previous week, and it will mark the beginning of the week ahead. The RSI is pointing to a higher probability of a short term reversal in the coming period, which might occur in the week ahead, impacted, most probably, by jobs data. In case of a reversal, the level of 1,1620 might easily be the next target. On the opposite side, there is a lower probability of a further move above the 1,17 level, however, the market might spend some time here, before a decision to make further move.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Retail Sales in May in Germany, Inflation Rate preliminary in June for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Unemployment Rate in June in Germany,
USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI in June, JOLTs Job Openings in May, Non-farm Payrolls in June, Unemployment rate in June, Average Hourly Earnings and Spending, ISM Services PMI in June
CADJPY BEARISH SETUP💱 CAD/JPY Reversal Watch: Bearish Pressure Builds Below Resistance
4-Hour Candlestick Chart – Analysis as of June 30, 2025
The CAD/JPY pair is showing signs of weakening momentum after repeated failures to break above the key 106.000 resistance level. This suggests growing downside pressure and increased chances of a corrective move in the near term.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
🟥 Current Price: 105.481
🚫 Resistance Zone: Around 106.000 — multiple rejections signal seller dominance
🛡️ Key Support Level: 104.000 — acting as the downside magnet
📉 Downward Arrow: Suggests bearish directional sentiment remains intact
🧠 Technical Interpretation
📌 Price action is forming a lower high, a classic sign of a potential short-term reversal.
📌 Repeated failures near the 106.000 mark highlight resistance strength and declining bullish interest.
📌 A drop below 105.000 could intensify downside momentum, with the 104.000 support as the next major level.
📌 For bulls to regain control, the pair must reclaim 106.000 with solid buying volume.