🇬🇧 GBPAUD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇬🇧 GBPAUD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
GBP/AUD is currently facing resistance around the 2.0969 level , a zone where price has previously reversed. While this level has historically acted as a ceiling, the market has been printing higher highs and higher lows, suggesting bullish momentum leading into this resistance.
However, this rally may not be as simple as it appears. We are observing signs of silent accumulation, potentially from market makers, along with pending buy orders being triggered by retail traders at this level. This sets up a classic scenario for a liquidity hunt — a move intended to liquidate buyers' stop-losses placed below a nearby minor key level.
🕵️ Strategic Plan: Wait for Manipulation
📌 Step 1: Wait for liquidity to be formed below the minor key level — this will signal possible manipulation (fakeout/liquidity grab).
📌 Step 2: Watch for price to reclaim the key level with momentum.
📌 Step 3: Entry will be considered at 2.09460 after confirmation of liquidity and break back above the minor key.
We are now watching for a manipulation move — price breaking below the minor key level to collect liquidity, followed by a re-break above as confirmation of smart money re-entry.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 2.09460
🛡 Stop-Loss: 2.08300 (below liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 2.13270 (next potential resistance zone)
📐 Risk–Reward: 1:3
This setup is ideal for traders watching for smart money reversal patterns and liquidity plays on higher timeframes.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇬🇧 GBP Strength – Supported by Positive Data
Strong UK Economic Data: Recent releases show higher-than-expected GDP growth, low unemployment, and resilient retail sales — reinforcing GBP bullish sentiment.
Sticky Inflation: Inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, keeping the possibility of future rate hikes or at least delayed rate cuts alive.
🇦🇺 AUD Weakness – Dragged by Dovish RBA
RBA Dovish Stance: The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a cautious tone amid softening domestic growth and falling inflation expectations, increasing the likelihood of future rate cuts — a bearish driver for AUD.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Forex market
Analysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY ChartAnalysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY Chart
The USD/JPY chart offers plenty of noteworthy insights for analysis:
→ A one-month low was recorded today (marked by the arrow);
→ This was followed by a sharp upward reversal, with a series of large bullish candlesticks forming on the intraday chart.
Why Is USD/JPY Moving Sharply Today?
The primary driver appears to be recent statements from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.
According to Trading Economics, this morning Ueda:
→ warned of rising core inflation risks linked to increasing food prices;
→ indicated that the Bank of Japan is prepared to adjust its monetary policy in order to achieve a stable inflation target.
Latest data show that Japan’s core inflation unexpectedly rose to 3.5% — the highest level in two years — reinforcing the case for further rate hikes. However, what's particularly striking is that despite Ueda’s hawkish tone, the yen is weakening.
Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart
Yen fluctuations formed a downward trajectory (marked in orange) in the second half of May, partly driven by US dollar weakness. Following a period of relative calm, the market has shifted into high gear — the ATR indicator is climbing sharply from multi-month lows, breaking through resistance at the 143.0 level.
This aggressive price action on the USD/JPY chart today suggests we may be witnessing an attempted bullish breakout from the channel. In light of this, it is possible that the surge in volatility reflects a fundamental shift in market sentiment — one that could potentially lead to the development of an upward trend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURGBP - Smart Money Short Setup🔽 Looking for a short opportunity around key resistance and order block zones.
Plan A – Resistance Rejection Short
Price has tapped into a strong resistance zone (0.83983–0.83938) and is showing rejection near the trendline. Entry triggered at 0.83938 with stop loss at 0.83993. Targeting 0.83732 for a solid RR.
Plan B – Order Block Short (If Resistance Breaks)
If resistance fails, I’ll wait for price to enter the bearish order block (0.84078–0.84048). Entry planned at 0.84031, SL at 0.84086, TP remains the same at 0.83732.
📍 Entry: 0.83938
🎯 Take Profit: 0.83732
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.83993
🔥 RR: Solid 1:3 type risk-reward
If above one hits sl, use below
📌 Entry #2: 0.84031
🎯 Target: 0.83732
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.84086
🔥RR:- 5.44 Risk-Reward
Trendline still holding well, and structure favors continued bearish pressure.
Waiting for price to deliver into premium zones before looking for reaction.
Following Smart Money logic with price action confirmations. Let’s see how it plays out.
USDCHF: A SHORT BUY OPPORTUNITY IS POSSIBLEThis satisfy all the elements of my trade system, I'm buying because I'll like see price push higher. A break of structure to the upside and an engineered liquidity before price broke structure. Price has returned to grab liquidity, we should see it push to our target.
just correction or something more? Let us know~Do you think it is just a correction or something more? Let us know~~
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NOT financial advice
Bearish Outlook on AUD/JPY – Watching for Entry After Retrace!I'm currently focused on the AUD/JPY currency pair 📉.
We’re seeing a clear, sustained downtrend on the daily timeframe, marked by a recent break of market structure — a key sign that sellers are firmly in control 🐻.
At the moment, price appears overextended and is trading directly into a major liquidity pool — specifically, a cluster of sell-side liquidity sitting below previous lows 🧲.
I’m watching for a retracement or pullback into a zone of interest. If that happens, I’ll be on the lookout for a bearish break of structure on the lower timeframes to confirm a high-probability short setup 🎯.
As always, this is not financial advice, just a look at how I’m approaching the current price action ⚠️.
GBP/CHF Break & Retest – Bullish Continuation Setup (4H)Price has broken above a key structure level around 1.1155–1.1160, forming a higher high in line with the prevailing 4H uptrend. I’m watching for a clean retest of this zone with a rejection confirmation (preferably wick rejection or bullish engulfing) to take a long position.
Confluences:
• EMA 20/50 bullish alignment
• Break & retest of previous resistance turned support
• Bullish market structure (HHs, HLs)
Target: 1.13100
Invalidation: Break and close below the retest zone
Waiting for price to come to me — no early entries.
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum Fuels Short Setups!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! I know some of you might’ve missed our last USD/CHF short signal that hit a sweet 3:1 R/R—no worries! 😊 The market’s always here, so missing a trade isn’t the end of the world. I’m not here to push FOMO; my goal is to take you on a long-term trading journey, and I’m stoked to have you along for the ride! :))) Let’s get back to USD/JPY and break down the latest action. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
First, let’s zoom out and talk about the DXY (US Dollar Index), which recently broke the 99.005 support and turned bearish. This puts USD-based pairs like USD/JPY in the spotlight for short opportunities this week. Here’s what’s happening with USD/JPY:
Trend Context: The major trend is bearish. Last week, sellers showed no mercy to buyers, and with DXY’s bearish move, we’re likely to see more of the same this week.
Key Level: We’re currently reacting to a major daily support at 142.305. Expect a range or reaction here, so we must wait for confirmation before shorting.
Recent Correction: The prior correction reached the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement and seems to have resumed the major bearish trend.
With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short setups.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The 4-hour chart is giving us some clear signals to work with. Here’s the plan:
Short Setup:
Key Level: The 142.338 level is critical, as it formed a ceiling at 148.569 in the past and acted as support before.
Trigger: If we form a lower high and then break below 142.305, open a short position.
Confirmation: Use RSI to back up the breakout, ensuring momentum aligns.
Why It Works: A lower high signals increasing weakness in this support, making a break more likely.
Long Setup:
My Take: I personally don’t have a long trigger right now. Both the major and minor trends are downtrends, so going long doesn’t make sense in these conditions.
If You Insist: If you’re set on a long, wait for a break above 144.125. But keep it tight—low risk, small stop loss, and take profits quickly once you hit a decent R/R.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
NZDCAD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart nzdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NZDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPAUD buy Trade IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBP/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBP/AUD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBP/AUD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBP/AUD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURO/USD -demand zone culminating at the projected reversal area
Key Zones & Patterns
Break of Structure (BOS):
A BOS is marked in the red circle on the left side, signaling a shift from a bullish to a bearish market structure.
Supply Zone (Green Box at Bottom):
This zone was tested after the BOS and sparked a reversal. It acted as a major accumulation area (around 1.10500–1.11500 range).
Harmonic Pattern (AB=CD/XABCD):
The chart shows a harmonic pattern identified by points X, A, B, C, D.
XA to AB retracement: Approximately 61.8%
BC to CD extension: Suggests a harmonic completion near point D
Parallel Channel:
A bullish trend channel is drawn as the price rises post-demand zone, culminating at the projected reversal area.
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Current Market Outlook
Price Level: Around 1.136xx at the time of screenshot.
Projected Action:
The chart suggests the price may reverse downward from the current supply area near 1.141xx.
A bearish move is forecasted with a red arrow indicating a drop.
A horizontal arrow suggests a consolidation zone before continuation.
The TARGET level is marked near the 1.123xx region.
---
Trade Setup Idea
Sell Zone (Red Box at Top):
Anticipated area for short entries, in alignment with the harmonic pattern completion and overextension.
Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Rejection from harmonic D-point and supply zone
Break of ascending channel support is anticipated
Downside Target:
1.123xx zone, which aligns with a prior consolidation and demand interest
Clear risk-reward structure: stop above 1.141xx, target near 1.123xx
---
Conclusion
This EUR/USD chart suggests a bearish reversal is likely after completing a harmonic structure at a key resistance/supply area. Price action confirms a potential break below the ascending channel. The setup presents a clean short opportunity with confirmation bias coming from structure break (BOS), harmonic alignment, and a defined supply zone.
EURUSD – Holding the uptrend, eyes on support reactionEURUSD continues to move steadily within a clearly defined rising channel. After touching the channel bottom around 1.1305 (which aligns with the 89 EMA), price is showing a slight rebound and has a chance to form the next upward leg.
Technical view: The bullish structure remains intact. As long as price holds this bottom area, there's a high probability of another push toward the resistance zone around 1.1428 – a level that was previously rejected.
News factor: Market sentiment is now focused on upcoming U.S. Core PCE inflation data, which could influence expectations of a Fed rate cut and, in turn, impact the strength of the USD.
Suggested strategy: Favor buying if price holds above 1.1305 – targeting 1.1428. If this level fails, the short-term uptrend may be challenged.
EUR USD Technical Analysis.This chart shows the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
Current Price: 1.13373
Recent Trend: The price recently dropped and is now consolidating.
Highlighted Zones:
Support Zone (Bottom): Around the 1.12750–1.13200 range, marked by a shaded area where price previously bounced.
Resistance Zone (Top): Around the 1.13700–1.14100 range, also shaded, where the price previously faced resistance.
Forecast/Trade Idea:
A bullish reversal is anticipated from the current level.
The chart suggests a potential "cup and handle" or inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Target: 1.13805 (noted with a bullseye icon).
Path: The green arrow suggests an upward move toward the target zone.
This is a technical bullish setup anticipating a move upward to retest the resistance zone near 1.13805. The analysis assumes support will hold and momentum will shift upward.
eur/usd 15mThis chart displays a trade setup for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key components:
1. Entry Point
Price Level: 1.13392
Zone: Yellow zone just above current price
The entry zone is marked where a breakout or pullback entry might occur.
2. Target Point
Price Level: 1.13700
Zone: Green zone above current price
This is the anticipated take-profit zone if the price moves upward from the entry.
3. Register Point (Stop-Loss Area)
Zone: Red/Pink zone below current price
This zone represents the stop-loss area, suggesting where the trade would be invalidated.
4. Trade Idea
A potential long (buy) trade is proposed.
The chart suggests entering around 1.13392, targeting 1.13700, with a stop loss somewhere within the pink "register point" zone.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable given the large upside relative to the downside.
Would you like help calculating exact risk-reward or setting up the trade in a specific platform (like MetaTrader, TradingView, or a broker)?
GBPAUD Sell Setup- Go for sell only when entry setup given
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
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Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
EUR/NZD Short and CAD/JPY ShortEUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.