Forex market
USD/CAD H4 | Potential bearish breakoutUSD/CAD is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 1.3601 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 1.3662 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3539 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with a 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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GBPJPY- Sell on rallies The GBP/JPY lost its shine on board-based yen buying. It hit an intraday low of 197.01 and is currently trading around 197. Intraday trend is bearish as long as the resistance at 197.75 holds.
The GBP/JPY pair is trading below 34 and above 55 and 200 EMA (Short-term) and 365 EMA (long-term) on the 15-min chart, confirming a bearish trend. Any violation below 196.70 indicates the intraday trend is weak. A dip to 196/195/194/193.70 is possible. Immediate resistance is at 197.75 a breach above this level targets of 198.35/198.80/200/202.
Market Indicators (15 min chart)
CCI (50)- Bearish
Directional movement index - Bearish
Trading Strategy: buy on dips
It is good to sell on rallies around 197.18-20 with SL around 197.75 for a TP of 195.
DeGRAM | EURGBP correction from the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● Price failed twice at 0.8580-0.8600 supply, completing a rising-wedge inside the larger downward channel; bearish divergence accompanies the second rejection.
● A clean drop back under the former breakout line (≈0.8560) turns it into fresh resistance; wedge depth and channel mid-line converge at 0.8525, with the April floor 0.8440 as next objective.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● French election risk premium is pressuring the euro, while stronger-than-expected UK GDP proxy (ONS monthly estimate) narrows growth gap and supports sterling.
✨ Summary
Sell 0.8560-0.8570; hold below 0.8560 targets 0.8525 → 0.8440. Short view invalidated on an H4 close above 0.8600.
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GBPUSD: Bullish Continuation Ahead.The GBPUSD has established a typical bullish trend following pattern.
Following a significant upward movement, the price entered a correction phase within a bullish flag.
Breaking above the resistance line serves as a strong indicator of continued upward momentum.
I anticipate that the pair could reach the 1.3800 level.
demand zone spotted... LET THE HUNTING BEGIN!!!📉 USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Demand Zone Revisit Expected
The pair is currently in a retracement phase after tapping into a higher-timeframe supply zone. Let's break down the structure and reasoning behind this setup:
1. Market Structure & Smart Money Footprints
• The chart begins with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside from a prior low, confirming a bullish shift.
• This upward move was supported by multiple Short-Term Supports (SS) that were respected throughout the bullish trend.
• Price has maintained a general uptrend structure, making higher lows and higher highs, but is now showing signs of a correction.
2. Supply and Demand Zones
• Supply Zone (147.288 – 148.000):
This is the last bearish zone before a sharp sell-off, indicating institutional selling pressure. Price tapped into this zone and has since reacted bearishly — a likely area where smart money took profits or initiated shorts.
• Demand Zone (139.740 – 140.728):
Marked from the origin of the bullish impulse and supported by a previous BOS, this is a critical area where institutional buying may resume. It also aligns with a liquidity sweep and previously unmitigated demand — a key confluence zone for potential longs.
3. Current Market Behavior
• Price is currently declining toward the demand zone, and based on structure, this is likely a healthy retracement.
• The chart suggests a buy limit setup at demand, with a tight stop just below 139.740 and a target near the previous supply reaction.
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✅ Trade Idea
• Bias: Bullish from demand
• Entry: Around 140.728
• Stop Loss: Below 139.740
• Take Profit: 147.288 (just before the supply zone)
• Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4
This setup assumes price will respect demand and continue the bullish structure, especially after multiple SS validations and a strong institutional reaction in the past.
🧠 Final Thoughts
This setup reflects classic Smart Money Concept principles:
• Structure shift via BOS
• Entry at unmitigated demand
• Exit just before major supply
• Strong confluence from price history and liquidity sweep zones
Wait for confirmation in the demand zone — a bullish engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG fill could give additional confidence to enter long.
NB: x represents previous liquidity sweep
$$ represents liquidity
bos represents break of structure
CHEERS TO WEALTH!!!
EURGBP: Strong Bullish Confirmation 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP is going to continue rising in an uptrend
that the pair established at the end of May.
A completion of a consolidation and a formation of a new local Higher High
indicate a highly probable bullish continuation soon.
Next resistance - 0.8605
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GBP/USD – Bullish Bias Holding Above Demand Zones (1H Chart)📈 GBP/USD – Bullish Bias Holding Above Demand Zones (1H Chart)
The pair is consolidating above key demand zones after a strong bullish move. Price structure suggests buyers are still active.
🔹 First Demand Zone: 1.36561–1.36683
🔹 Secondary Demand Zone: 1.35908–1.36226
🔹 Current Price: 1.37375
📍 As long as price holds above 1.36561, bullish continuation remains on the table. A clean rejection from demand with LTF confirmation could offer fresh long setups.
⚠️ No need to rush — let price test the zone and show intent before buying.
#GBPUSD #FXFOREVER #DemandZone #SmartMoneyTrading #PriceAction #ForexForecast #BullishScenario #StructureSupport
NZDCHF – Waiting for a Reaction at Key LevelWe’re waiting for price to reach our marked zone.
✅ Short is the primary scenario — but only with a valid bearish signal.
❗️If the zone breaks and price confirms above, we’ll look to buy after a proper pullback and signal.
We don’t predict — we prepare.
The market decides, we just follow with structure and discipline.
EURUSD INTRADAY TRADE 30PIPS SHORT LIVE TRADE EUR/USD eases below 1.1800 ahead of Eurozone inflation data
EUR/USD is retreating below 1.1800 in the European morning on Tuesday. The pair faces headwinds from a pause in the US Dollar downtrend. Traders move on the sidelines ahead of the Eurozone prelim inflation data and central bank talks due later in the day.
GU-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Strong resistance area approaching 1.37500Analysis done directly on the chart
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Timing!
You might ask yourself why sometimes your
trade idea was good but still ended up hitting your sl before it moves to your direction.
The reason is simple: Timing.
price is just not ready to push at that time
and needed extra liquidity and structure before it finally has the force to push.
Understanding when the market is ready is one of the most difficult thing for a trader to do but with experience you start to understand better and improve.
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Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GJ-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Lots of speeches in NY, including BoJ Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Being consistently profitable is not equal to be simply profitable.
Many but many claims that they are consistently profitable but
they need years of track record to be able to say that and not
months of track record.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
CADJPY CONTINUING THE BEARISH TREND MARKET STRUCTURECAD/JPY Maintains Bearish Trend Structure – Key Levels to Watch
The CAD/JPY pair continues to exhibit a clear bearish market structure, characterized by consistent lower lows and lower highs on the price chart. This pattern confirms sustained selling pressure, suggesting the downtrend remains intact for upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential downside extensions while monitoring key resistance levels for possible trend reversals.
Bearish Confirmation: Lower Lows and Lower Highs
The formation of successive lower lows and lower highs demonstrates firm control by bearish traders. This classic downtrend pattern indicates weakening demand for the Canadian dollar against the Japanese yen. Until this structure breaks, the path of least resistance remains downward.
Downside Target: 104.900 in Focus
If selling momentum persists, CAD/JPY could test the next support level at 104.900. A decisive break below this level may accelerate declines, potentially opening the door for further bearish movement. Traders should watch for price reactions near this zone for potential continuation or consolidation signals.
Resistance Zone: 106.250 as Key Barrier
On the upside,106.250 stands as a critical resistance level. Any corrective rallies toward this zone could attract fresh selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Only a sustained breakout above this resistance would signal a potential trend reversal, shifting momentum in favor of buyers.
Market Outlook: Bearish Dominance Expected
Given the prevailing price action, CAD/JPY is likely to remain under bearish control. Factors such as commodity price fluctuations (particularly oil, which impacts the CAD) and risk sentiment (influencing the JPY) may further drive the pair’s movement.
Conclusion
CAD/JPY’s bearish trend remains strong, with 104.900 as the next downside target and 106.250 acting as a key resistance. Traders may consider shorting rallies near resistance with proper risk management, while a break above 106.250 would require reassessment of the bearish bias.