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Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 151.27 1st Support: 149.66 1st Resistance: 152.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Could the Loonie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.4140 1st Support: 1.4073 1st Resistance: 1.4245 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD0 is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6376 1st Support: 0.6331 1st Resistance: 0.6449 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDJPY - SELL - 75% Lower Probability Estimate for USD/JPY to Move Lower Given the current strong bearish sentiment on USD and JPY USD/JPY lower: 70% Factors Supporting the 70% Probability of a Drop COT Commercials Traders are what drives the market to a large degree and are usually correct in the Medium to long term. They are heavily short USD and Closing shorts in JPY. Reversal signals in JPY suggest commercial traders expect JPY strength ahead. USD long interest is dropping, meaning fewer buyers to support the pair. "Leaning now days towards Dollar Cost Averaging as this can be a better strategy if price reverses, as long as you keep the initial entry lot size low compared to your total Account. Many traders use better Semi automated or Fully Automated management position trading tools these days." Better than an getting Stopped Out Stop Hunted all the time no matter how good u are unless u have a massive account like the Hedge Funds and have Massive Stops and Take Profits we are the meat in the middle, their lunch, just like the Pacman Video Game we just get munched up. : )
by NZ_Shareman
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 0.6406, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension and the 61.8% Fibo projection, indicating a strong resistance level. Our take profit will be at 0.6369, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 0.6460, which is an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBP/USD Strategy for European and American Trading SessionsGBP/USD news: 🔆GBP/USD eased after hitting a two-month high of 1.2674 on Friday, hovering around 1.2670 in Asian trade. However, the pair maintained its strength as the US dollar remained under pressure due to weak jobless claims data and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve. 🔆Minutes of the Fed's January policy meeting showed that some policymakers viewed potential changes in trade and immigration policies as obstacles to deflation, putting pressure on the dollar. 🔆During the Asian session, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell below 4.5%, reducing demand for the dollar and allowing GBP/USD to rise. 🔆As the European session begins on Friday, the UK Office for National Statistics will release January retail sales data. Personal opinion: 🔆Good economic news for the Pound continues to maintain the strength of GBP. In contrast to the bad news from Trump's tariff policy, the dollar has weakened. However, FM believes that there will be a pullback phase as the RSI is diverging after entering the overbought zone earlier. GBP will consolidate and rise again. Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with economic information to come up with appropriate strategies. Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉BUY GBP/USD 1.2620 – 1.2635 ❌SL: 1.2575 | ✅TP: 1.2670 – 1.2720 – 1.2800 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Short I opened a short position based on the following reasons: 1)  Daily candle on the 13th Feb decisively broke and closed below the support line around 1.430 zone and created fair value gap.   2) The price retraced to the FVG area and closed below the area this morning (I am looking at 4H and 1H for this).    3) Both MACD and RSI in Daily and 4H are in the bear zone. 4) 4h MACD has just crossed in the bear zone and is moving to the downside.  5) 4H MACD is also showing hidden divergence which indicates the continuation of the down trend.  6) 4H EMA is below EMA 200 and the candle closed below EMA 21.  Entry price 1.4190 Stop Loss: 1.43 (just above EMA 200 in 4H.  It is a general stop and I will move it soon if the price moves to the downside) Profit target:  1.3975  (I might manually close it if the price struggles to go below 1.4000)  Risk: Reward is 1:1.65
Short
by EbonyFalcon
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.2717, an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.2624, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.2810, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Buy Opportunity on AUDJPYThere is a possible BUY Opportunity on AUDJPY. Since the morning BULL run, the price is expected to retrace. Daily candle is a huge engulfing bullish candle and inside it are certain PD arrays as below: A Buy Entry is placed @ 96.063 due to the following reasons: 1. A 4H Fair Value Gap 2. A critical psychological level of 96.000 3. A Breaker Block 4. OTE @ 50% level I expect the price to ta into the above levels and move to the high of 19/02/2025. **NOTE**: I am not here to give trading signals or advice. I post my ideas.
Long
by theforexbulldog
1
EURUSD H4 | Falling from the Fibo confluenceBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0536, an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibo projection, indicating a strong resistance level. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.0461, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.0606, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
UJ sell ideaAhead of Friday's expected BOJ rate hike (0.25% to 0.50%), USDJPY is at a critical juncture. Technical Insights: 1. Price found support on the 50-day moving average. 2. Lower time frames indicate a bearish bias, following the break of the ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart. Trade Plan: 1. Waiting for price reaction between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. 2. Aiming to sell on a confirmed bearish setup within this zone. 3. Alternative sell opportunity: Daily supply zone. Key Levels to Watch: - 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels - Daily supply zone PS: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice so remember to always practice good risk management.
Short
by phoenixwicks9
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong? Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. False Support Bounce Possible The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers. 3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher. A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up. 4. Resistance May Strengthen Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout. Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward. Alternative Outlook If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further. A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on X (Twitter) that he had a productive discussion with U.S. envoy Keith Kellogg. - U.S. weekly initial jobless claims came in at 219,000, exceeding the market forecast of 215,000. - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent mentioned that it is premature to increase the proportion of long-term bonds while noting that tariffs have already been partially factored into the dollar. - Maroš Šefčovič, the EU Executive Vice President for Trade and Economic Security, stated that the U.S. is open to discussing all aspects related to tariffs. - Raphael Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed, expects two 25bp rate cuts this year but acknowledged the presence of multiple variables. Key Economic Events This Week + February 21: U.S. February Manufacturing PMI, U.S. February Services PMI GBPUSD Chart Analysis After breaking through the 1.25000 level, GBPUSD surged toward the anticipated resistance zone around 1.27000. It has since retreated to 1.25000, where it is expected to determine its next direction. However, if the pair manages to break above 1.27000, significant upside potential could open up, with the 1.31000 level emerging as a strong target.
Short
by shawntime_academy
Gbpjpy As predicted, has all the imbalances filled ? Are we already melting ? Share your insight Fundamental Analysis: Monetary Policies: The Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintain divergent monetary stances. The BoE's relatively hawkish approach contrasts with the BoJ's continued ultra-loose policy, which traditionally supports GBP strength against JPY. Economic Indicators: Recent data indicates a contraction in UK retail sales by 6.9% in September 2022, reflecting economic challenges. In contrast, Japan's National Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March showed a modest increase of 0.2% monthly, with a 0.2% annualized decrease, suggesting persistent deflationary pressures. Market Sentiment: The GBP/JPY pair is sensitive to global risk sentiment. Increased market volatility or geopolitical tensions often lead investors to seek safe-haven assets like the JPY, potentially exerting downward pressure on the pair. Conversely, improved global economic outlooks may favor GBP appreciation.
Short
by Richard_Tsupane
4
GBPUSD SELLING MODE OPPORTUNITY FULL OF FALL ASLEEP 1. Resistance May Not Hold The analysis assumes the resistance zone is strong and will lead to a reversal. However, if bullish momentum continues, there could be a breakout above resistance instead of rejection. A breakout above 1.2680 could invalidate the bearish outlook. 2. Trendline Breakout Is Not Always Reliable While the breakout from the support area led to a strong uptrend, it doesn't guarantee a reversal at resistance. Sometimes, price consolidates and continues higher rather than reversing sharply. 3. Liquidity Grab Possibility The price could fake a drop below support, trapping sellers, before reversing higher. The marked "selling zone" might be a liquidity area where big players accumulate positions before a breakout. 4. Fundamental Factors Can Change Direction News events, interest rate decisions, or economic reports can disrupt technical patterns. A major announcement favoring GBP could push the price higher instead of following the predicted bearish move. Alternative Outlook If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2680, it could invalidate the bearish setup and target 1.2720+ instead of dropping. Instead of expecting a hard rejection at resistance, traders should watch for signs of consolidation or a fake breakout before making a decision.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa