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Forex market
GBPJPY Breakout Play: Will the Retest Fuel the Next Rally?
GBPJPY recently broke out of a descending trendline and resistance zone, fueling a strong bullish move past 193. With momentum slowing, price is now pulling back — setting up a textbook retest opportunity.
Key Zones:
Breakout Support / Demand Zone: 190.500–191.150
Price to Watch: 191.147 — potential retest and bounce zone
Next Target: 194.500–195.000 supply area
Scenarios in Focus:
1. Bullish Retest: A clean bounce from the 190.5–191.1 demand zone could trigger a strong continuation toward 195.
2. Deeper Pullback: A break below 190.5 would invalidate the bullish structure in the short term.
Volume profile shows heavy accumulation below, adding confluence to the support. Patience is key — wait for bullish confirmation around 191.
EUR/USD Trendline Breakout + Demand Zone Rejection Price action has broken through a well-respected descending trendline after multiple rejections, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The latest structure shows a clear sweep of liquidity below the previous low, followed by a strong bullish engulfing and confirmation from a demand zone bounce.
🔹 Entry: Taken post-trendline break and bullish confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the recent demand zone and liquidity sweep
🔹 Target 1: 1.13581
🔹 Target 2: 1.13895
🔹 Risk-Reward: 2.52+
Volume and volatility are showing early signs of expansion, supporting the bullish outlook. Will be monitoring price reaction around 1.1350–1.1360 zone for partials.
GBPUSD short to Asia's lowGBPUSD is showing bearish sentiment. We are in a downtrend for a few days now. It may reverse today with the news but until then my bias is bearish. I am taking a short to Asian session's low. Let's see if it play's out.
I normally don't like to go against the higher timeframe trend, especially in a possible reversal zone. So if you take the same trade, use less risk.
Once the market shows signs of reversal, we can ride it back up.
GBPUSD long to last day's highGBPUSD is showing signs of reversal. The bias for me for today is bullish. It experienced a retracement to the current level and is now showing bullish candles and rejections from the liquidity area. I am targeting yesterday's highs but it could go way higher than that with NFP.
Leave your thoughts in the comments.
AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Stay within the trend line and wait for US NFP news🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
➡️ EUR/USD is climbing above the 1.1300 level during Friday’s European session, rebounding from a three-day losing streak that had pushed the pair to its lowest level in over two weeks. The recovery is being driven by profit-taking on the US dollar as traders adjust their positions ahead of the upcoming US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Personal opinion:
➡️ EUR/USD will remain in a trending position after a significant increase today and await the results of the US NFP data
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1345 - 1.1355
❌SL: 1.1390 | ✅TP: 1.1300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Trendzilla vs Chop Kong (EUR/JPY)The bias for EUR/JPY - in our view - is higher
On the weekly timeframe:
A) WMA has flattened out and price held above it B) downtrend line broken and held
On daily timeframe:
EUR/JPY just broke resistance for possible breakout trade up to the olf high to 166 - and possibly beyond
Thoughts ?
GBPUSD 1 hour time ⚙️ Technical Overview (GBP/USD – 1H)
🧱 Pattern Formation:
A clear Double Top pattern is visible, which is a bearish reversal signal.
The neckline sits around 1.3280 – price is currently hovering near it.
If price breaks below the neckline with momentum, it would confirm the pattern and trigger a bearish move.
📉 Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance:
1.3299 – 1.3300 (previous highs, also the double top peaks)
Neckline (critical support):
1.3280 zone — current structure support
Downside Targets (if neckline breaks):
1.31728 (first key support – prior structure area)
1.30382 (major support from previous breakout zone)
📏 Potential Measured Move:
The height from the top (~1.3340) to neckline (~1.3280) is ~60 pips.
Projection from neckline break gives a target around 1.3220 as the initial bearish goal.
If bearish momentum is strong, the next targets are 1.3172 and 1.3038.
🧠 Outlook & Bias:
Short-term bias: Bearish if price breaks below neckline (~1.3280) with volume or momentum.
Invalidation: A return above 1.3310 and break of top (~1.3340) invalidates the pattern.
📌 Potential Trade Setup (For Educational Use):
Entry: Break and close below 1.3280
Stop Loss: Above 1.3310–1.3320
TP1: 1.3220
TP2: 1.3172
TP3: 1.3038 (strong demand zone)
USDJPY 1 day ⚙️ Technical Overview (USD/JPY – 1D)
📉 Trend & Structure:
Rising wedge pattern has been broken to the downside, which is typically a bearish reversal signal.
Price has retested the broken trendline from below near the 147.30 resistance level, confirming structure rejection.
Clear breakdown below both ascending trendlines.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance:
147.32 (marked on chart, rejected after trendline break)
Minor resistance around 145.90–146.50, former support area turned resistance.
Support:
Nearest horizontal support: 135.00 – 136.00 zone
Major support (and target of measured move): 122.73, also aligned with prior consolidation zone from 2022.
📏 Measured Move:
A measured move suggests a potential drop of -8.43% (~1,229 pips) from the wedge top to the lower trendline support around 133.00–122.70 range.
This aligns with a long-term target near 122.73, which is a major structural level.
🧠 Outlook & Bias:
Bias: Bearish
Momentum: Strong breakdown with retest failure indicates bearish momentum is intact.
Confirmation: A daily close below 144.50 could further confirm downside continuation.
📌 Potential Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: After confirmation below 144.50 or aggressive entry on current retest failure.
SL: Above 147.50 (last swing high & trendline).
TP: First target at 136.00; second target at 122.70
EUR/USD – Rejection at Supply Zone! Will Bears Take Over?EUR/USD just tapped into a key supply zone at 1.13277, and the price is showing immediate rejection with a strong bearish candle — classic reaction from a liquidity area.
Technical Breakdown:
Supply Zone (Resistance): 1.13277–1.13300
Resistance Reaction: Sharp wick and red candle signal rejection
Next Support Levels:
Minor: 1.13028
Major Demand Zone: 1.12729
Price Action Insight:
This could be the beginning of a short-term correction or even a reversal if 1.13028 breaks. Sellers are clearly active above 1.1327, and a clean break below 1.1302 may open the door to revisit the 1.1272 demand area.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Below 1.13028
TP1: 1.12729
SL: Above 1.13300
(Use proper risk management)
Bullish Invalidated?
Unless bulls reclaim and hold above 1.1327 with strong volume, upside may be limited.
Keep an eye on:
Upcoming EUR & USD news events (marked on the chart)
Volume confirmation on breakdown
Lower timeframe structure shifts
Comment below: Do you think this rejection will lead to a deeper drop?
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #ReversalSignal #EUR #USD #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #TradingView
GBP Gains as Tariff Risk Stays LowThe British pound rose to $1.332, near its highest level since February 2022, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. Sterling gained 3.2% in April, its best month since November 2023. The UK is seen as less exposed to U.S. tariffs, which President Trump has delayed until July. In 2024, the U.S. ran a $12 billion goods surplus with the UK, unlike its deficits with China and the EU, reducing trade risk. The pound also benefits from expectations that the Bank of England will be more cautious than others in cutting rates. Markets expect about 85 basis points of easing this year, which is in line with the Fed. Investors now await key U.S. jobs and inflation data for dollar direction.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next resistance levels are 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Euro Slips to $1.13 After Strong AprilThe euro dipped toward $1.13 on May 1 after a 5% April gain, as the dollar found support in Trump’s optimism about trade deals with India, Japan, South Korea, and China. Markets awaited Friday’s U.S. jobs data for Fed policy clues. The U.S. economy shrank 0.3% in Q1, partly due to import spikes ahead of expected tariffs. Meanwhile, the Eurozone grew 0.4%, driven by strong domestic demand. German inflation eased to 2.1%, though core rose slightly, while France’s annual rate held at 0.8%.
Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
Yen Near 146 as Trade Hopes WeighThe yen hovered near 146 per dollar Friday after a 1.6% drop, pressured by weaker safe-haven demand amid improving US-China trade prospects. China is open to talks after repeated U.S. outreach, while Japan and the U.S. wrapped up a second round of bilateral talks, aiming for a June deal. Domestically, Japan’s jobless rate rose to 2.5% in March, but the labor market stayed tight. The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.5% and cut its growth and inflation outlooks, signaling limited chances of near-term hikes.
Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.