AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Forex market
The Day Ahead A packed data slate and central bank commentary will shape market sentiment today. Key focus will be on China’s official PMIs for June, offering the first major insight into the health of the global manufacturing cycle as Q3 begins. A soft print could amplify global growth concerns, while a surprise to the upside may support risk sentiment across Asia and commodities.
In the US, attention will turn to the June MNI Chicago PMI and the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index for further clarity on the state of US industry after mixed regional data earlier this month. The consumer credit and M4 money supply data, along with Q1 current account figures, could influence the USD via their implications for domestic demand and external balances.
The UK sees the release of the Lloyds Business Barometer, which will provide a gauge of corporate confidence amid sticky inflation and persistent BoE rate cut speculation.
In the Eurozone, eyes will be on Germany’s June CPI flash estimate, retail sales, and import prices, all feeding into inflation expectations ahead of the ECB’s July policy meeting. Italy’s CPI and Eurozone May M3 will also be watched closely for signs of disinflation and liquidity trends.
From Japan, May industrial production and housing starts will help assess whether the domestic economy is managing to maintain momentum amid a weak yen and global headwinds.
On the central bank front, the ECB Forum in Sintra kicks off, running through July 2. President Christine Lagarde is due to speak, and any remarks on the rate path or inflation outlook will be closely parsed. Markets will also hear from Fed’s Bostic and Goolsbee, potentially offering clues on the FOMC’s stance amid rising speculation around a September cut.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPJPY Long – Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Shift from Discount Pric
Price swept key sellside liquidity at 197.489, forming a clean external W pattern in deep discount territory. A bullish engulfing candle followed, closing above the internal shift point and reclaiming structure just beneath 198.012 (yesterday’s low). Entered long on confirmed shift with TP set at box equilibrium (EQ) and stop loss placed below the pattern base. Setup aligns with liquidity theory, structure reclaim, and smart money accumulation.
The Correlation Between EURJPY and NASDAQ You Shouldn't IgnoreCurrently keeping a close eye on EURJPY — price action has been bullish 📈, showing a strong upward push on the daily timeframe 🕒.
Right now, we’re seeing a bit of indecision 🤔, which is fairly typical for a Monday session as the market finds its footing.
🔍 I’m watching for continuation to the upside, as long as NASDAQ remains bullish. That said, NASDAQ is looking quite overextended 🧗, and a pullback could trigger a short-term retracement in the euro as well — these two tend to move in correlation 🔗, so keep a close watch on NAS100 for early clues.
If EURJPY consolidates sideways ⏸️, and we then get a clear break of market structure to the upside 🚀, I’ll be looking for a long setup on the retest and failure of the range floor — textbook continuation play 🎯.
As always, this is not financial advice — full breakdown in the video 🎥.
EURAUD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 **EUR/AUD TRADE PLAN 🔥**
📅 **Date:** 30 June 2025
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📋 **Trade Plan Overview**
| Parameter | Details |
| ---------- | -------------------- |
| Type | Swing / Intra-Day |
| Direction | Conditional Buy Plan |
| Status | Pending Confirmation |
| R\:R | 3.0 : 1 |
| Confidence | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%) |
---
📈 **Market Bias & Trade Type**
Bias: **Bullish continuation**
Trade Type: **Conditional breakout/retest continuation**
EUR/AUD is consolidating near local highs after a sustained uptrend on the D1 and H4. The price action shows a potential for bullish continuation if the 1.7950 zone is broken and confirmed.
---
🔰 **Confidence Level**
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
* D1 + H4 bullish structure: +40%
* H1 compression breakout potential: +20%
* No macro contradiction / AUD weak: +15%
* Sentiment +6: +10%
---
📌 **Status**
**Pending confirmation** — Conditional plan, no risk live until trigger + confirm.
---
📍 **Entry Zones**
🟩 **Primary Buy Zone:** Buy Stop at **1.7952** (+2 pip buffer above high)
🟧 **Secondary (if breakout-retest scenario forms):** Limit at **1.7920–1.7930** (H1 OB + retest zone)
---
❗ **Stop Loss**
SL: **1.7890** (below H1 structure low inside consolidation, 1x ATR buffer)
---
🎯 **Take Profit Targets**
🥇 TP1: **1.8000** (local psychological level)
🥈 TP2: **1.8050** (H4 liquidity pool)
🥉 TP3: **1.8120** (extension / swing high target)
---
📏 **Risk\:Reward**
TP1: 1.5:1
TP2: 3.0:1
TP3: 4.5:1
---
🧠 **Management Strategy**
* Risk 0.5% if stop-order triggers
* SL to breakeven after TP1 hit
* 50% off at TP1, 30% at TP2, trail 20% to TP3
* Cancel limit plan if stop-order triggers clean breakout
* Full exit on H1 BOS bearish against
---
⚠️ **Confirmation Checklist**
✅ M30/H1 bullish body close above 1.7950
✅ Volume surge at break
✅ London/NY session break only
✅ No fakeout wick rejection
---
⏳ **Validity**
H1 stop plan: 12-18 hours
H4 retest limit plan: 48 hours
---
❌ **Invalidation Conditions**
* Close below 1.7890 on H1
* Clean HTF BOS bearish
* Re-entry into deeper consolidation below 1.7900
---
🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot**
* Sentiment: +6 (EUR holding strength, AUD macro weak)
* DXY steady, no major red news today
* Cross-market: XAU/USD neutral, no risk-off spikes
* No AUD macro tailwind visible
---
📋 **Final Trade Summary**
Conditional buy breakout at 1.7952 pending confirmation. Stop 1.7890, TPs 1.8000 / 1.8050 / 1.8120. Only active on clean session break + volume. Risk tightly managed with no pre-risk until confirm.
GBP/JPY Trades Lower After Breaching 198.0 SupportGBP/JPY declined from recent highs, currently trading around 197.3. The break below Friday’s 198.0 low intensified the downtrend, with the pair nearing a key support at 196.9.
A temporary rebound toward 198.0 is possible before the downtrend resumes toward 196.0. The bearish outlook is invalidated if GBP/JPY breaks above 198.9.
AUD/CAD – Bearish Reversal Setup (1H Timeframe)We’re monitoring AUD/CAD closely after a strong bullish trend. However, signs of exhaustion are now visible.
A Double Top — a classic bearish reversal pattern — has formed on the 1H chart, and a bearish divergence is also present, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Based on this confluence, we anticipate a trend reversal from bullish to bearish and are preparing a sell trade accordingly.
🔹 Pair: AUD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish (reversal expected)
🔹 Pattern: Double Top
🔹 Divergence: Bearish
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 0.89045
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.89643
🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.88447
🔹 Lot Size: 0.45
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will trigger after confirmation of neckline break from the double top pattern. Trade is structured with a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 #AUDCAD #ForexSignals #BearishReversal #DoubleTopPattern #DivergenceTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionSetup #TrendReversal #SmartMoney #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #RiskManagement #BearishBias
EURAUD CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEUR/AUD Continues Bullish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor.
The EUR/AUD pair is sustaining its bullish trend structure, reinforced by a bullish engulfing candle following a secondary correction. This price action signals strong buying interest and suggests the uptrend is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential breakout opportunities toward higher targets while keeping an eye on key support levels for risk management.
Bullish Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing Candle.
The appearance of a bullish engulfing candle after a pullback indicates a resurgence of buyer dominance. This pattern typically marks the end of a temporary decline and the resumption of the primary uptrend. With momentum favoring the bulls, the pair is expected to push higher unless a clear reversal signal emerges.
Upside Target: 1.82700 in Focus.
If the bullish momentum holds, EUR/AUD could advance toward the immediate resistance at 1.82700. A decisive break above this level may open the door for further gains, with traders looking for continuation patterns to confirm strength.
Key Support: 1.76300 as Critical Floor.
On the downside, 1.76300 serves as a crucial support level. Any retracement toward this zone could attract fresh buying interest, maintaining the bullish bias. A sustained drop below this level would be needed to invalidate the current uptrend and signal a potential reversal.
Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact.
Given the recent price action, EUR/AUD remains poised for further upside. Traders should monitor economic developments, including Eurozone and Australian economic data, for additional directional cues.
Conclusion-
EUR/AUD’s bullish trend remains strong, with 1.82700 as the next key target and 1.76300 acting as major support. Unless a bearish reversal pattern forms, buying on dips near support levels may present favorable opportunities. Always use proper risk management to navigate potential volatility.
GJ-Mon-30/06/25 TDA-Near end of month candle closureAnalysis done directly on the chart
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Random daily reminder:
Keep pushing forward, learn, make mistake, improve.
Have patience, you are getting there day by day.
-How would you see yourself in 3 years?
-Are you willing to take sacrifices in order to
create for yourself opportunity to live the life you want to?
Journal down consistently, so you keep track of your progress
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Don't underestimate the power of little compounds over time.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
AUD/CAD – Bearish Reversal Setup (1H Timeframe)We’re monitoring AUD/CAD closely after a strong bullish trend. However, signs of exhaustion are now visible.
A Double Top — a classic bearish reversal pattern — has formed on the 1H chart, and a bearish divergence is also present, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Based on this confluence, we anticipate a trend reversal from bullish to bearish and are preparing a sell trade accordingly.
🔹 Pair: AUD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish (reversal expected)
🔹 Pattern: Double Top
🔹 Divergence: Bearish
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 0.89045
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.89643
🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.88447
🔹 Lot Size: 0.45
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will trigger after confirmation of neckline break from the double top pattern. Trade is structured with a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 #AUDCAD #ForexSignals #BearishReversal #DoubleTopPattern #DivergenceTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionSetup #TrendReversal #SmartMoney #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #RiskManagement #BearishBias
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EURUSD – June 30th OutlookBias: Still bullish
Liquidity zone pullback: 1.16853 held as expected
Next move: Watching for break of Friday's high at 1.17342 → possible retest of 1.17311 → continuation upward
HRHR Setup: If price returns to 1.16853 today, it's a high risk play due to end-of-month volatility
Caution: If we break below the previous 4H candle, we could range between 1.17342 and 1.16853 for the remainder of the day.
🔹 Approach with caution — it’s the final trading day of the month.
demand zone spotted short sell for long bullish continuation📉 GBP/JPY 4H Analysis – Liquidity Grab + Demand Zone Anticipation
Price action on GBP/JPY is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish move, and this pullback presents an interesting setup based on institutional footprints.
1. Structure Break (BOS) & Shift in Momentum
* A Break of Structure (BOS) occurred after price broke above the previous swing high, confirming a bullish trend direction.
* Following the BOS, price retraced into an imbalance (Fair Value Gap - FVG), and responded with aggressive bullish momentum — a classic SMC footprint suggesting institutional buy orders being filled.
2. Current Price Action – Short-Term Bearish Retracement
* Price is currently rejecting the 197.894 resistance zone, and showing signs of weakness with bearish candles.
* This correction is likely targeting liquidity beneath recent lows and a return into the demand zone for potential long opportunities.
3. Demand Zone & Buy Setup
* A well-defined **Demand Zone** sits between **194.000 – 194.600**, which aligns with the previous consolidation and origin of the last major push up.
* This area is also aligned with the unmitigated FVG area — making it a confluence zone where institutional orders are likely to rest.
📍 Trade Plan
Short-Term Bias: Bearish into Demand
Long-Term Bias: Bullish continuation
* Entry: 197.894 (already tapped)
* Stop Loss: 199.123 (above recent highs/supply)
* Take Profit: 194.618 (just above the demand zone to secure profits early)
* Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:3
If price enters the demand zone and forms bullish price action (engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG), I will be looking to **flip long** with a target back toward **197.800 – 198.900**.
✅ Conclusion
The current move looks like a healthy retracement to fill imbalances and grab liquidity before the next impulsive leg. This setup provides a high-probability trade opportunity using clean smart money principles.
USD/CHF H4 | Swing-high resistance at a Fibonacci confluenceUSD/CHF is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8012 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50% retracements.
Stop loss is at 0.8050 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7962 which is a swing-low support.
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