NZD/USD – Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.5990–0.5977 ResistanThe NZD/USD pair is approaching a key resistance zone at 0.5990–0.5977, which has been tested multiple times and aligns with the upper boundary of a potential corrective structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave Context:
The price action appears to be completing a corrective wave (C) structure, indicating that upside momentum may be limited.
This scenario suggests a potential bearish reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Targets & Levels:
Resistance: 0.5990–0.5977
First support target: 0.5885
Next major support: 0.5846
📌 Trading Plan:
Watching for bearish confirmation (rejection candlesticks or reversal pattern) below 0.5990–0.5977
Potential short entries targeting the support levels
A break above 0.5990 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest continuation to the upside
This chart offers a clear bearish bias while price remains below the resistance zone, supported by Elliott Wave context and previous price action behavior.
Forex market
USDJPY - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a downward trend and then see the demand zone and buy in that range with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. A credible break of the indicated resistance range will pave the way for the currency pair to rise.
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized that investment is more crucial to economic growth than tariffs, reaffirming Japan’s continued commitment to negotiating the removal of U.S. trade tariffs. He also pointed to encouraging signs in the Japanese economy following wage increases and offered an optimistic outlook on the country’s recovery.
Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, speaking on Wednesday, warned that significant volatility in ultra-long-term bond yields could affect short-term borrowing costs, which in turn might exert a stronger impact on the broader economy. His remarks highlight the BOJ’s growing focus on recent fluctuations in long-dated bond yields, which could influence the board’s decision next month regarding the pace of its bond purchase reduction.
Ueda explained that in Japan, short- and medium-term interest rates tend to have more direct influence on the economy than ultra-long yields, due to the maturity structure of household and corporate debt. However, he acknowledged in a parliamentary session that sharp moves in ultra-long yields can also affect long- and even short-term bond yields indirectly.
Turning to Friday’s inflation report, expectations suggest that overall inflation remained subdued in April, as falling gasoline prices provided some relief to household budgets. However, core inflation—excluding food and energy—remains stubbornly high.
The PCE inflation index is anticipated to have risen 2.2% in April from a year earlier, slightly down from 2.3% in March, marking the lowest level since last September. Federal Reserve officials are still awaiting more data on how newly imposed tariffs are feeding into the broader economy, making it unlikely that the recent moderation in inflation will prompt a rate cut in the near term.
Although the Fed’s preferred inflation measure may have reached its lowest point since September, a second consecutive month of encouraging price data is unlikely to be sufficient to justify easing interest rates.
According to a survey conducted by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, economists expect Friday’s report—covering inflation, income, and spending—from the Bureau of Economic Analysis to show that consumer prices rose 2.2% year-over-year through April. This would mark the lowest reading since September and a potential turning point in the Fed’s battle against post-pandemic inflation.
Goldman Sachs economists noted that falling gasoline prices have more than offset the inflationary impact of new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. However, they cautioned that this dynamic may not last, as retailers are likely to start passing along the added import tax costs to consumers in the coming months.
Several Federal Reserve officials, concerned that tariffs could reignite inflation, have stated that they will wait to assess the full impact of these trade policies on the economy before making changes to the federal funds rate—which directly affects borrowing costs on everything from mortgages and auto loans to credit cards.
EURJPY: Move Up Ahead! 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY is going to rise more after breaking
a resistance line of a tiny horizontal consolidation range
that was formed on a retest of a recently broken daily structure.
Goal - 164.8
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GBPUSD Pulls Back from July 2023 - Sep 2024 TrendlineThe GBP/USD pair is currently pulling back from a key resistance zone and trendline stretching from the peaks of July 2023 to September 2024. These levels coincide with previously oversold RSI readings seen during the same periods, raising the likelihood of a pullback.
This resistance aligns with the 1.3590 level, which also corresponds to the 1.272 Fibonacci extension of the long-term downtrend from the 2008 highs to the 2022 lows.
A clean break and sustained move above this level could open the way for further gains, targeting the 0.382 retracement zone and the previous highs from 2021 and 2016, between 1.42 and 1.47.
On the downside, if a pullback emerges—driven by overbought conditions or renewed dollar strength—a clear break below 1.3460 could extend selling pressure toward 1.33, 1.3240, and 1.3140.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
EURUSD – Bullish Bias ReconfirmedWe saw the pair pull back yesterday to our 1.12372 level, providing a textbook HRHR entry. The market has since bounced and looks poised for further upside if key levels break:
🎯 HRHR Buys: Already triggered at 1.12372
✅ Safe Buys: Above 1.14149, continuation setup
🛡️ Safest Buys: Above 1.16020, clean breakout targeting next key swing zones
We remain long-biased as long as 1.12372 holds.
How I Read Structure on Higher Timeframes (BMS Valid vs Invalid)Sharing a breakdown of how I personally read market structure on higher timeframes, especially when it comes to spotting a valid vs. invalid Break of Market Structure (BMS).
This is just my perspective based on experience hope it helps someone struggling with mixed signals across multiple timeframes.
Feedback and discussion always welcome 👇📊
GBPNZD – Bullish Bias Still IntactWe’ve seen a slightly deeper pullback with resistance forming around 2.26228. While price remains bullish overall, this week could present either a breakout or deeper retracement setup:
🔁 High risk/reward buys: from 2.25282 if structure holds
🟢 Safe continuation buys: break above 2.26228 or 2.27286
🛡️ Safest breakout buys: clear break of 2.28114
We’ll reassess at the previous high levels of 2.29000+ once we get confirmation.
USDCHF – Bearish Setup UpdateFollowing the structure break earlier this week, USDCHF pulled back to retest the broken trendline and the key resistance level around 0.82598. This aligns perfectly with our yellow sell zone of interest. Price has since rejected this area and resumed a bearish move.
We’re now looking for clean breakdowns to re-enter:
🔑 Break below 0.82598 will confirm continuation
🛡️ Break below 0.81964 is our safest sell zone with the clearest structure shift
No buy setups are in focus unless we see a major structural reversal above 0.82960, which currently looks unlikely.
Lingrid | AUDUSD support Level Bounce TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD formed a higher low above the rising trendline near 0.6418, signaling potential bullish continuation. A break above 0.6440 could confirm upward momentum, targeting the previous supply zone around 0.6482. Structure holds as long as price remains above the support level. Buyers may accumulate near the trendline to catch the next leg up.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.6418–0.6430
Buy trigger: breakout above 0.6440
Target: 0.6482
Sell trigger: breakdown below 0.6418
💡 Risks
Rejection at descending blue trendline
Failure to sustain higher low could trap buyers
Bearish pressure increases if 0.6418 fails to hold
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GU-Thu-29/05/25 TDA-Zone of conflict of interest, Bull and Bear!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Predicting the market is impossible, you react
to how price is forming and telling you the volume
strength, potential push/consolidation/pullback.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
gbpjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GJ-Thu-29/05/25 TDA-Possible buy above 4hR 196.283Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Asian session gave a good push, if you feel
missing out (FOMO). Don't worry, opportunities
will always be there.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25👀 AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Trading Signals for EUR/USD Sell below 1.12907 (200 EMA-21 SMA)Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.12640 within the uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart since May 9 and showing signs of exhaustion.
If the euro continues its bullish cycle, we could expect a break and consolidation above 1.1354, then it could reach the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1475.
Technically, we observe that the euro is overbought, and the chart shows a small secondary downtrend channel, which will be viewed as a selling opportunity in the coming days.
The euro could attempt to recover in the coming hours as we see a small technical rebound. However, it faces strong resistance around 1.1354. Below this area, any technical rebound will be viewed as a selling opportunity, with short-term targets around the psychological level of 1.1000.
A sharp break of the uptrend channel and consolidation below the 6/8 Murray level could confirm the next bearish move and could fill the gap left at 1.1162 and even reach the 5/8 Murray level at 1.0986.
USDJPY SMC Play | Order Block + Fibo 61.8 = Precision EntryUSDJPY | Confluence Entry in Motion 🚀
A beautifully aligned setup using Smart Money Concepts, with a clear entry mapped out at the OB + Fib 61.8% retracement zone. Price just tapped into the purple zone — now it’s all eyes on bullish momentum confirmation.
📊 1. Market Overview
USDJPY has been trending bullish, with a strong impulsive move followed by a retracement — price is now sitting at a key decision zone.
The zone is a refined bullish Order Block (purple) aligning perfectly with:
✅ 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
✅ 70.5% golden zone
✅ Strong imbalance below
We’re seeing a beautiful reaction candle off this area as price hunts liquidity.
🧠 2. Why This Trade Makes Sense (SMC Breakdown)
Here’s the logic:
Price broke structure to the upside
Pullback into OB + discounted pricing
Clean liquidity sweep just beneath the short-term low
Room for continuation toward higher timeframe POI (top green zone)
This is a textbook SMC + Fibonacci sniper setup.
🎯 3. Entry Zone (Purple Box)
📍 OB Zone: 145.200 – 145.334
🧮 Fib Levels:
— 50%: 145.595
— 61.8%: 145.334
— 70.5%: ~145.200
— 100% (SL): 144.836
Your entry's beautifully layered with confluences = 🔥 Risk/Reward.
🚀 4. Target Zones
🟢 TP1: 146.000
🟢 TP2: 146.703
(TOP of the Fibonacci extension, completing the full bullish leg)
⚖️ 5. Risk-Reward Setup
✅ SL: 144.836
✅ Entry: around 145.334
✅ TP: 146.703
👉 RRR: Over 1:4 — institutional grade 🔥
🛡️ 6. Trade Management Tips
✅ Wait for bullish engulfing or LTF break of structure for confirmation
🕰️ Drop to M15 for precise sniper confirmation entry
🔄 If it taps again with more imbalance left = re-entry possible
📌 Save this if you love high confluence entries
🔥 Drop “SMC Sniper” in the comments if you're watching this pair
👀 Follow for daily setups just like this — clean, confident, and calculated
EUR/USD Bounce From Key Demand Zone | Short-Term Bullish SetupEUR/USD has just tapped into a well-defined Demand Zone between 1.12271 – 1.12600, showing aggressive buying pressure on the wick — a classic liquidity grab and bounce scenario.
📌 Bullish Confluences:
🟤 Deep tap into Demand Zone + aggressive wick rejection.
🟩 High probability reversal after stop-hunt.
🔵 Price forming higher low structure.
🔄 Clean imbalance/fair value gap above (room for recovery).
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🎯 Bullish Targets:
1. 📍 1.13231 – Mid-range resistance and minor supply.
2. 📍 1.14018 – Major Supply Zone (swing TP).
🧠 Trade Idea: Long from 1.12600 area with tight SL under 1.12250, targeting 1.132xx or higher. R:R = 🔥 if managed properly.
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📅 Fundamental Alerts:
🏛️ Upcoming US + EU news (marked on chart) = potential volatility spike.
🧭 Consider scaling out partials if key events flip sentiment.
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🧠 Strategy Type:
Scalp/Intraday with momentum confirmation + demand zone logic.
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📢 Are You Bullish or Still Bearish?
This could be a short-term push before bigger decisions from central banks. What’s your view?
💬 Drop your analysis below, and don't forget to like/follow if this helped your trading plan!
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#EURUSD #ForexSignals #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Scalping #IntradayTrade #ForexStrategy #TradingView
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
😎CONFLUENCE IS KEY HERE!
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block rejection
✅15' Order block identification
✅4H 50EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X