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NZD/USD Sell Trade Analysis – 4H Timeframe📉 Pair: NZD/USD 🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour 📥 Entry Price: 0.59267 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 0.58265 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 0.59893 🔍 Trade Setup Explanation: Trendline Rejection: Price has respected a descending trendline, confirming it as dynamic resistance. The recent candle shows rejection from this trendline, signaling a potential move downward. Horizontal Resistance Level: 0.59274 has acted as a strong horizontal resistance level where the market has previously failed to break higher. Bearish Market Structure: The market is forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating a continued bearish trend. RSI Confirmation: RSI is at 41.81 and trending below its moving average (48.65), suggesting bearish momentum is still in play and sellers are in control. 💡 Summary: This setup shows confluence from both the trendline rejection and horizontal resistance zone, supported by bearish RSI momentum. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making this a high-probability short trade setup.
Short
by The_Trading_G3ek
NZDJPY Is Going Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for NZDJPY. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 85.345. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 84.425 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUDNZD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 AUDNZD TRADE PLAN 🔥
 📅 Date: April 30, 2025
 📋 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW Plan ID: ANZ30APR25-SW
Type: Swing
Direction: Buy
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%)
Risk:Reward: 4.3:1
Status: Waiting 🧭 Guidance Note:
Primary Swing Plan based on fresh bullish BOS + H4 reversal structure confirmed. D1 sweep + OB reclaim. No tactical sell exists. Risk = 1%. 📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE Bias: 📈 Bullish
Trade Type: Reversal → Continuation (Nested OB + BOS-Based Swing Entry) 🔰 CONFIDENCE LEVEL
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%) Weight Breakdown:
• D1 Bullish BOS → 28%
• H4 Bullish OB Reclaim + iBOS → 22%
• H1 OB + Sweep Confirmed → 16%
• Macro Confluence (AUD Bullish, NZD Neutral) → 14%
• Volume Spike M30 + VSA Matching → 6% 📍 ENTRY ZONES 🟥 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0760 – 1.0740
→ H1 OB nested inside H4 OB
→ Sweep + Rejection Observed
→ 70.5% Fib OTE Alignment 🟧 Secondary Zone: 1.0730 – 1.0715
→ Deep mitigation FVG fill zone
→ SMTZ-style reactive layer ❗ STOP LOSS
 SL: 1.0690
• Below H1 OB + liquidity sweep wick
• Adjusted with 1x H1 ATR (17 pips)
• No SL tightening needed unless during news 🎯 TAKE PROFITS TP1: 1.0835 → Immediate swing reaction zone (internal H1 liquidity) 
TP2: 1.0900 → Clean H4 external liquidity sweep
 TP3: 1.0975 → D1 premium reversal zone 📏 RISK:REWARD
• TP1: 2.3:1
• TP2: 3.6:1
• TP3: 4.3:1 ✅ Meets Swing Standard (Min 3.5:1) 🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
• Risk: 1.00% of capital
• SL to BE +10 pips after TP1
• Scale Out:
→ 50% at TP1
→ 30% at TP2
→ 20% trailed toward TP3
• Immediate exit if NZD strengthens macroscopically or DXY spikes ⚠️ CONFIRMATION CRITERIA (Optional Manual Entry Enhancers)
✅ Entry can be set as pending limit OR wait for:
• M30/H1 bullish engulfing inside OB
• Volume spike M30
• No early entry — wait for clean candle formation if manual ⏳ VALIDITY
Plan Type: Swing
Expiration: 72 hours
Auto-expire if price doesn’t enter zone or violates structure within 3 days ❌ INVALIDATION
• D1 CHoCH against long bias
• SL wick violation and internal structure break
• Macro shift (AUD → Bearish, NZD → Bullish), sentiment score falls < +6 🌐 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT • AUD Macro: Mildly Bullish (RBA steady, commodities up)
• NZD Macro: Neutral (RBNZ data-dependent)
• Retail Sentiment: 71% short AUDNZD → Bullish Confirmation
• DXY: Weakening → Favors AUD
• Cross-Market: AUDUSD firm, NZDUSD weak
Sentiment Score: +7/10 📋 FINAL TRADE SUMMARY We are executing a bullish swing continuation on AUDNZD.
Entry aligns with OB reclaim, volume confirmation, and macro sentiment.
Targets offer clean upside, risk is managed institutionally.
No tactical sell setup active.
Long
by jibkhan111
USDJPY – Potential Volatility AheadUSDJPY started the week with a 1.3% fall on Monday, where it fell from opening levels around its weekly highs at 143.88, to a low at 141.92 and has since stayed relatively quiet. However, that could all change as we move through towards Friday, as FX markets move into a 3-day period packed with important scheduled events. Risk sentiment towards US assets, and USDJPY in particularly, could be impacted by todays preliminary US Q1 GDP release at 1330 BST, which could indicate whether the US economy experienced a bigger slowdown at the start of 2025 than initially anticipated. Then, later in the day the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, the PCE Index is released at 1500 BST, and this is followed by the earnings updates from US technology giants Microsoft and Meta later in the evening. If that wasn’t enough to potentially increase USDJPY volatility, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will post its interest rate decision early on Thursday morning. Although no change is expected due to the current uncertain tariff impacted climate and on-going trade deal negotiations with the US, the press conference led by BoJ Governor Ueda could contain some market moving commentary. This all culminates on Friday’s US Non-farm Payrolls update at 1330 BST, where all eyes may well be focused on the unemployment rate print, currently 4.2%, to see if the US labour market is weakening, which if it is, could open the possibility of Fed rate cuts. Technical Update: 144.06 Resistance Holds Latest Recovery Having approached 139.58, the September 16th 2024 low trade, USDJPY has seen a recovery in price. However it could be argued, this appears a reaction to what were likely over-extended downside conditions, in place after the 7.50% decline from 151.21, the March 28th 2025 high. Importantly, latest price strength has been held and so far, reversed by 144.06, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March 28th to April 22nd weakness, which traders are likely to continue to focus on, as a potential resistance. The BoJ announcement and data releases this week have potential to be important sentiment drivers for USDJPY, and we must be aware of support and resistance levels that may help us gauge the next direction of future price moves. Resistance Levels: As we have said, so far, recent recovery themes have been unable to break above 144.06 retracement resistance, which will likely be an area that needs to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength. While much will depend on the market’s reaction to up and coming events and future price trends, 144.06 closing breaks might suggest scope towards 145.43 the higher 50% Fibonacci level, even 146.80, the 62% retracement. Support Levels: Having seen Monday’s decline, price activity is back to what might be a support focus for traders at 142.00, equal to half recent strength. Closing breaks of 142.00 may be an indication of potential for further declines, although it is possible the 139.58 September 16th 2024 low may need to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of increasing downside pressure on price. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
GBP/USD Breakdown Below Value Area –Bearish Continuation in PlanGBP/USD has broken below the recent range low near 1.3380, confirming a potential shift in structure. This move comes after multiple failed attempts to sustain above the Point of Control (POC) at 1.3415, where high volume previously suggested heavy positioning. The volume profile reveals a low-volume node just below the current price, which may accelerate price movement toward the next significant high-volume support zone around 1.3319. 🔹 Bias: Bearish 🔹 Entry Confirmation: Break and close below 1.3380 🔹 Target: 1.3319 🔹 Stop Loss: Above 1.3415 (POC & resistance zone) This setup aligns with a rejection from value area highs and a breakdown into thin liquidity zones. I’ll be watching for volume confirmation and price behavior at lower levels for continuation or reversal clues. 🧠 Plan your trade, trade your plan.
Short
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
EUR/AUD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/AUD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.698 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EURUSD(20250430) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank expects prices to rise 2.9% over the next 12 months, up from 2.6% in February, according to a monthly survey released on Tuesday. This is the highest level since April 2024. The three-year indicator rose slightly to 2.5%. The ECB's first five-year forecast was 2.1%. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1391 Support and resistance levels: 1.1443 1.1424 1.1411 1.1372 1.1359 1.1340 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1391, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1411 If the price breaks through 1.1372, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1359
Short
by Toml1314
EURUSD – Triangle Consolidation Nearing CompletionEURUSD is currently completing a contracting triangle formation within a larger corrective structure. According to Elliott Wave Theory, this appears to be an ABC correction, with wave B unfolding as a classic contracting triangle pattern (ABCDE). The chart highlights the subwaves: 🔸 (A), (B), (C), and (D) have completed, 🔸 Wave (E) is anticipated next—likely to test the upper boundary of the triangle before a breakdown resumes the bearish impulse. 📍 The invalidation point is clearly marked—any breakout above this would invalidate the triangle scenario and call for a reassessment of the wave count. Bias remains bearish following wave (E), expecting a strong move down upon completion of the triangle.
Short
by MrLiquidonFX
CHFCZK LONG Investment Opportunity (8 Hours) The CHFCZK (Swiss Franc vs. Czech Koruna) currency pair offers an interesting investment opportunity for traders focused on higher time frames, such as the 8-hour timeframe. With a strategic entry point and defined objectives, this LONG trade can represent a significant profit opportunity. Technical Analysis The CHFCZK pair is currently showing an uptrend supported by fundamental and technical factors. On the 8-hour chart, there are signs of consolidation above the key support level. The market structure suggests a potential breakout to the upside, with a clear bullish direction supported by the price action. Trading Parameters Entry: 26.55 Stop Loss (SL): -0.41% from the entry point, to protect capital. Take Profit (TP): +1.23% from the entry point, optimizing the risk/reward ratio.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP