USDCHF short: Sellers Getting Ready to DominateAfter a strong impulse from buyers, we saw exhaustion near the highs. Price retraced to a major support zone, but instead of a strong bounce, we got a tight, controlled accumulation range.
the higher timeframe, i.e 4H is in a strong downmove
What’s interesting is the structure within that box: the breakout attempts are weak, volatility is contracting, and there’s a noticeable lack of bullish follow-through—just coiling.
Smart money doesn’t chase—they trap. This triangle near key support is exactly where larger players hide intentions behind "indecision." But to me, the silence screams. This doesn’t look like preparation for a markup—it feels like a setup for distribution under the disguise of consolidation.
I’m anticipating a sellers' takeover.
Entry Idea: Short on breakdown of triangle structure or on a faker as shown on the chart
Stop: Above false breakout wick
Target: Near 0.80408 (based on prior imbalance + clean levels below)
Risk-reward speaks for itself.
Let’s see if the tape reveals what I believe it’s been hiding in plain sight.
Forex market
GBP/USD – 1992 Replay | George Soros “Broke the Bank” TradeHistorical Context Summary:
This chart revisits the iconic 1992 short by George Soros against the British Pound, which ultimately forced the UK to abandon its currency peg and exit the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). The marked zones reflect the approximate levels where Soros reportedly initiated and closed his short position, anticipating a collapse of the GBP against the USD.
Real-time Trade Thesis:
Soros identified that the British economy was fundamentally too weak to sustain a fixed exchange rate against the Deutsche Mark, enforced through the ERM. Inflation was high, the economy was slowing, and the government was hiking rates and burning through reserves to defend the pound. Meanwhile, Germany’s economy was far stronger, making the GBP significantly overvalued relative to its fundamentals.
The Quantum Fund went short over £10 billion worth of GBP using highly leveraged positions, primarily via GBP/USD. On September 16, 1992 ("Black Wednesday") , the Bank of England capitulated after failing to hold the peg, and the pound collapsed—securing Soros one of the most profitable trades in history with over $1 billion in gains.
Technical Analysis Context:
This GBP/USD chart highlights the upper “order activation” zone where Soros began scaling into his short, as price stalled near the artificially defended level. As speculative pressure intensified, the central bank’s interventions failed, leading to a violent breakdown. The lower box marks the approximate range where Soros likely began closing the trade and locking in profit as the peg failed and panic selling set in.
Key Lessons:
Pegged currencies can’t defy economic fundamentals forever.
Macro conviction + tactical timing = asymmetric return.
Central banks can lose to coordinated market pressure.
Use leverage wisely, only when your thesis is airtight.
Liquidity stress often precedes capitulation—watch reserve flows and bond yields.
History leaves patterns—legendary trades repeat in new forms across cycles.
EURUSD Spring Setup: Ready to Launch?it's the calm before the storm
EURUSD formed a spring setup, rejecting below a key intraday level with strong volume and wick reentry. Price bounced off a rising trendline, reclaiming structure after a false breakout — classic Wyckoff-style spring. Anticipating a move toward the 4H resistance at 1.1424. Stop below the spring low for a clean R:R.
USDCAD SHORT IDEAUnder current market conditions, the area near 1.3849 has been identified as a critical resistance zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 1.3849 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 1.3819 and 1.3785, corresponding to logical technical support zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
CHFJPY Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
EURCHF Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the Booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated, “We all want this war to end fairly. There should be no rewards for Putin—especially not territorial concessions.”
- As trade negotiations between the United States and China remain stalled, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that China bears responsibility for the tariffs and could lose up to 10 million jobs if the tariffs persist.
- U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said in an interview with CNBC, “We already have a finalized agreement, but we must wait for approval from their prime minister and parliament.”
- The Trump administration officially announced a temporary two-year suspension of tariffs on foreign auto parts used in vehicles manufactured within the United States.
This Week's Major Economic Calendar
+ April 30: Germany Q1 GDP, Germany April Consumer Price Index (CPI), U.S. April ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, U.S. March Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
+ May 1: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
+ May 2: Eurozone April CPI, U.S. April Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), U.S. April Unemployment Rate
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Although a downward reversal was initially anticipated, the pair continues to test upper resistance levels. For a clearer directional outlook, it must either break through the resistance above or fall below the 0.63000 level.
- If the upper resistance is broken, a rise toward the 0.68000 level is expected.
- Conversely, if the price breaks below 0.63000, a decline toward the 0.60000 level is likely.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 1.1374, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.1144, a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1573, which is a swing high resistance level.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off the 61.8%Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3339, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3411, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3285, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY: Are Bulls Ready To Rally?I've already entered a buy. A more conservative entry would be to wait for the descending TL break and retest. Another potential buy entry would be a buy stop around 191.743.
Confirmations:
- Bullish CHoCH
- Creating new HHs and HLs
- Multiple Bullsih FVGs
- Trading above major QP 190
Group Signal:
Entry 191.066
SL 190.5
TP1 191.266
TP2 191.566
TP3 192.066
TP4 193.066
EURUSD -Broke and Retested Right ShoulderEU - Is providing a great entry. Its sitting on a 4 hour ob. price has been sitting for 3 years in a consolidation phase. looks like this year we are looking to be in a bullish phase. price is sitting on a nice solid support. I will be looking to enter a buy today and hold to the next resistance area
NZD_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A local correction in a way
Which also resembles a bullish
Wedge so after the retest of the
Horizontal support around 0.5917
A local bullish rebound
Is to be expected
LONG🚀
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GBPNZD BULLISH BIAS USING TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON THE WEEKLY TIMEFRAME, Price was is currently in a clear uptrend making higher highs and higher lows. Price created a major weekly resistance turned support + a clear weekly trendline which also lines perfectly with the key zone + clear weekly price action candle that significantly rejected the zone and the trend line all signaling bullish!!
GBP-CAD Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair
Made a bullish breakout
And a pullback so affter
The retest of the broken
Falling resistance which
Is now a support we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDCAD 4HR ON THE 4HR TIMEFRAME, We established the key monthly zone + weekly trendline + wide divergence all signaling bullish and hence rhyming with the monthly, weekly and daily bullish bias. Our confirmation will be the break of the 4hr trend line for a possible quick entry long!!
GBP_AUD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅GBP_AUD is going up now
And the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 2.0940 so as the
Breakout is confirmed we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.