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DeGRAM | EURGBP retest of the demand zoneEURGBP is in a descending channel, in the demand zone between the trend lines. The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and dynamic support, which has previously become a rebound point. The chart has formed a harmonic pattern. Indicators on the 1H Timeframe point to a bullish convergence. We expect growth after the retest of the lower boundary of the demand zone. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
USDCAD key trading level at 1.4260The USDCAD currency pair intraday sentiment appears bearish, supported by the confirmed loss of support of the longer-term sideways consolidation trading range. However, since the spike caused by the possible tariff announcement on 03rd February 2024, the USDCAD price action is displaying signs of bearish behaviour. The key trading level is at 1.4260. An oversold rally from the current level and a bearish rejection at 1.4260 level could target additional downside support at 1.4150 followed by the 1. 4100 and 1.4025 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, an oversold rally from the current levels and a confirmed breakout above 1.4260 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of 1.4300 resistance followed by 1.4350 and 1.4400 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (0.82650) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell stop below the support line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest. I highly recommend to use alert in your trading platform. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.83000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.81950 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: The EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚖️Fundamental Analysis - The European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. The ECB's interest rate decisions influence the euro's value relative to the pound. - The UK's economic performance, including GDP growth, inflation, and employment rates, also affects the exchange rate. - Political developments, such as Brexit negotiations and EU-UK trade agreements, can create market volatility and impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. ⚖️Macro Economics - Inflation Rates: The ECB's inflation target is below, but close to, 2%. The UK's inflation rate has been above the Bank of England's 2% target. These differences can influence the exchange rate. - Interest Rates: The ECB's interest rates are currently lower than the Bank of England's rates. This difference can impact the exchange rate. - GDP Growth: The EU's GDP growth has been slower than the UK's in recent years. This difference can influence the exchange rate. ⚖️COT Data - Commitment of Traders (COT): The COT report shows that large speculators, such as hedge funds and institutional investors, are currently net short on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to weaken against the pound. - Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as individual investors and hedge funds, are currently net long on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to strengthen against the pound. ⚖️Market Sentimental Analysis - Market Sentiment: The market sentiment for EUR/GBP is currently bearish, with many analysts expecting the euro to weaken against the pound. - Positioning: Many traders and investors are currently short on the euro, expecting it to weaken against the pound. ⚖️Trader Positions - Institutional Traders: 55% short, 45% long - Retail Traders: 58% short, 42% long - Hedge Funds: 60% short, 40% long - Commercial Traders: 52% short, 48% long - Banks: 50% short, 50% long ⚖️Next Trend Move - Based on the current market sentiment and positioning, the next trend move for EUR/GBP is likely to be downward, with the euro weakening against the pound. - However, it's essential to keep in mind that market trends can change rapidly, and unexpected events can impact the exchange rate. ⚖️Quantitative Analysis - Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is currently above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. However, the short-term moving averages (10-day and 20-day) are below the longer-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. - Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 40, indicating that the market is oversold and due for a bounce. - Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands are currently widening, indicating increased volatility. ⚖️Intermarket Analysis - Correlation with Other Markets: EUR/GBP is currently positively correlated with the EUR/USD and negatively correlated with the GBP/USD. - Impact of Other Markets: The EUR/GBP exchange rate is likely to be impacted by the performance of the US dollar, as well as the relative economic performance of the EU and UK. - Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices, such as oil and gold, can also impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. ⚖️Overall Summary Outlook The EUR/GBP exchange rate is expected to decline in the short-term, driven by the bearish market sentiment and positioning. The euro's weakness against the pound is likely to continue, with a potential target of 0.8200. However, any unexpected positive developments in the EU or negative developments in the UK could lead to a reversal of the trend. Traders and investors should remain cautious and monitor market developments closely. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
Will the AUD/USD uptrend continue today?AUD/USD News: 🔆Recent global trade disputes have bolstered risk-sensitive currencies, leading to an uptick in the Australian Dollar as the US Dollar weakened. The Aussie took advantage of the Greenback's decline, recovering from midweek setbacks and briefly reaching the 0.6399 level, the peak of its monthly range. 🔆With inflation easing in Australia, investors are expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to lower interest rates from 4.35% to 4.10% on Tuesday. However, the RBA might adopt a more hawkish stance by emphasizing ongoing labor-market tightness and lingering inflation risks. 🔆As a result, market participants will be paying close attention to the RBA’s statement, as it remains the last of the G10 central banks yet to cut rates. Personal opinion: 🔆AUD will have a technical pullback phase after approaching the overbought RSI (4H) zone. And bounce back when there is a strong support zone of 0.6300 to maintain the uptrend. Analysis: 🔆Based on the trend line combining resistance - support levels and SMA lines to come up with a reasonable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUDUSD 0.6310 – 0.6299 ❌SL: 0.6250 | ✅TP: 0.6350 – 0.6400 – 0.6450 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
5
AUDCAD buy opportunityPRACTICE - Day trading. This is a practice from a new DAY TRADING course I'm taking, for logging purposes. Please do not trade as my analysis might be incorrect. I encourage constructive feedback. If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another. Explanations: MIN - last minimum point MAX - last maximum point BOS - break of structure SMS - shift in market structure SL - stop loss TP - take profit RR - risk reward OB - order block OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe If you like this kind of ideas follow me for more analysis.
Long
by gabisuciu
The Day Ahead 20th Feb 25Thursday February 20 Data: US February Philadelphia Fed business outlook, January leading index, initial jobless claims, China 1-yr and 5-yr loan prime rates, Japan January national CPI, Germany January PPI, France January retail sales, Eurozone December construction output, February consumer confidence, Canada January industrial product price index, raw materials price index, Denmark Q4 GDP Central banks: Fed's Goolsbee, Musalem, Barr and Kugler speak, ECB's Makhlouf and Nagel speak Earnings: Walmart, Alibaba, Booking, Schneider Electric, Airbus, MercadoLibre, NetEase, Cheniere Energy, Mercedes-Benz, Block, Quanta Services, Newmont, Lloyds Banking, Anglo American, Live Nation Entertainment, Cameco, Leonardo, Renault, Lenovo, Rivian Auctions : US 30-year TIPS ($9bn) Other: G-20 foreign ministers meeting through February 21 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation