Forex market
EUR/USD Weakens as Yield Spread Narrows Despite USD HeadwindsTechnical Analysis – EUR/USD (1H Chart)
EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1367, slipping after a failed attempt to break above the recent swing high of 1.1406. The pair has now broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is testing the key support drawn from the last bullish leg at 1.1368. Breaking of this level can push the pair lower.
The break of trendline support and the MACD-RSI alignment suggest that the bears are gaining momentum. If sellers can sustain pressure below 1.1358, lower Fibonacci targets near 1.1344 and 1.1330 may be tested.
Conversely, a return above 1.1383 would indicate buyer resilience and could trigger a retest of 1.1406.
Trade Idea: EUR/USD Bearish BiasPrice has finally broken below the key support zone with strong bearish momentum, confirming potential trend shift. The plan now is to wait for a break-and-retest of the broken support area (now resistance) around 1.1365–1.1385. Look for bearish rejection signals to enter short, targeting the next demand zone near 1.1315–1.1300.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🔍 Confirmation: Retest & rejection at previous support
🎯 Target: 1.1315
🛑 Invalidation: Clean break back above 1.1395
"Let the market come to you—don’t chase, wait for the retest."
Idea for GBPUSD📉 GBP/USD SHORT SETUP
🟢 Entry: 1.36005
❌ Stop Loss: 1.36114 (↕️ 11 pips)
✅ Take Profit: 1.35697 (↕️ 30pips)
🎯 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.80R
🧠 Reason: Price rejected from supply zone, clean bearish structure, SL above last liquidity grab. Clean risk-defined short.
📈 GBP/USD LONG SETUP
🟢 Entry: 1.35011
❌ Stop Loss: 1.34904 (↕️ 11pips)
✅ Take Profit: 1.35417 (↕️ 40 pips)
🎯 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.8R
🧠 Reason: Demand zone bounce, stop hunt confirmed. Targeting previous imbalance above. Risky entry, aggressive sizing – use only if confident.
How to use advanced candlestick anatomy in trading: CADJPYEvery candlestick on the chart is made up of different or multiple candles on the lower timeframe. For example, a weekly candle is made up of seven daily candles. While a 4 hours candle is made up of four 1 hour candles. Understanding how these candles contribute to the formation of a single or more candlesticks will go a long way in improving our performance.
Candlestick anatomy has to do with the formation of candlestick on the chart and the implication of such candlestick. Conventionally, common candlesticks are engulfing candlestick, doji, evening star, hammer, pin bar and the rest. Some signify continuation while others are meant for reversal. The formation of these candlesticks at key levels provide an helpful insights into understanding the next market move. Hence, they can serve as confluence and confirmation for our trading decision.
Taking this further a bit, by examining these candlesticks, one can get to understand better a precise point for entry and exit. This may be new to a retail trader who trades just the candlestick while it will provide more insights for anyone looking for ways to optimize his performance.
As a case study, I had a sell setup on CADJPY and it gave a bearish engulfing candlestick on 1 hour timeframe as a confirmation for selling. Instead of entering the trade after the bearish candle closed, I changed to 5 minutes timeframe to examine the anatomy of the candlestick. Then, I discovered that there was sweep and change of character. Based on the price narrative on 5 minutes timeframe, then trading decision was made using the 5 minutes timeframe, targeting 3 RR. If 1 hour timeframe had been used for taking the trade, one is likely to have lost the profit by now.
Candlestick anatomy will help you to optimize your performance and returns.
I hope you've learnt something helpful from this post.
Thanks.
Fatai Kareem, Kof T Fx.
GBPUSD SHORTFollowing on from my idea I posted on May 14th.
GBPUSD Short aiming for the demand zone at 1.28000
We've had a break of structure to the downside on the 1H chart at 8:00am BST inside a clear 1D supply zone.
There is still the risk of EQL high liquidity that could send this trade past my stop loss but there is a big rejection candle on the 1H which broke the structure to the downside.
First demand zone to tackle would be the zone at 1.34400 but if this gets blown through there is a lot of open price action back down to 1.28
GU-Tue-27/05/25 TDA-Great pullback, good structure is forming!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Consistency, show up daily is not easy. Many
in fact will quit. If you want to really get good
at something you need to put into hard work.
Short cuts will benefit short term, but long term
it will cost you!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USD – Pullback Buy from Key Support Zone | Strong Trend Back📌 Fundamental Summary:
GBP (British Pound):
Slightly weakened – Bank of England is turning dovish, signaling potential rate cuts.
Retail Sales and GDP indicate slowing growth.
Inflation remains above target, but is gradually declining.
USD (US Dollar):
Strong fundamental backdrop – Fed maintains high interest rates, inflation is still elevated.
US labor market is solid (low unemployment, strong NFP numbers).
➡️ Overall: Strong USD, Weak GBP → Fundamentals support short-term bearish pressure on GBP/USD.
However, technical structure remains bullish → continuation is likely after a corrective pullback.
🧭 Technical Analysis – H1 Confluence:
✅ 1. Trend:
Clear uptrend (HH + HL) confirmed on all major timeframes.
✅ 2. Trendline Support:
Rising trendline structure supports the entire move.
✅ 3. Fibonacci Retracement:
38.2–50% retracement zone at 1.3440–1.3480 offers ideal entry.
✅ 4. EMAs:
Price is above all EMAs (20/50/100/200) – strong bullish signal.
✅ 5. Support/Resistance Levels:
Daily close from April 28th and H1 structure confirm this zone as valid support.
📈 Conclusion:
This setup combines a strong multi-timeframe uptrend with fundamental awareness of GBP's weakness. If the pullback confirms, the potential for a trend continuation is high.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is not financial advice. It is for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading carries risk and can lead to capital loss. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a licensed professional.
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.72
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EURUSD Forms Rising Wedge + Evening Star_ Bearish SetupAs I expected in the previous idea , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) started to rise after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and hit the Long Position target with Risk-To-Reward: 1.46 .
The EURUSD is trading near the Resistance zone($1.149-$1.142) .
From a Classic Technical perspective, EURUSD appears to be completing a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern . Also, a good sign for a EURUSD reversal is the formation of an Evening Star Candlestick Pattern near the upper line of the rising wedge pattern.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the EURUSD corrective waves are NOT over yet, and it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave X inside the rising wedge pattern.
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.126 AFTER breaking the lower line of the wedge pattern.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14903 , we can expect more pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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No change for EURUSDEURUSD remains in an uptrend, holding steady around the 1,1400 level.
All open buy positions should stay active but with reduced risk.
At these levels, the risk-to-reward ratio isn’t favorable for new entries.
Watch for a pullback – it could offer better entry opportunities. Don’t rush!
EURUSD Sell Setup- Go for short sell then manage your trade
- potentially go lower
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Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD has reached a 4-week high at 1.14200, following President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on EU goods until July 9 — easing trade tensions and reinforcing investor confidence in the euro.
On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing strong bullish momentum supported by clean price structure and liquidity patterns.
📈 Technical Structure
Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking below minor key support at 1.13800, triggering sell-side liquidity. This liquidity grab was followed by a strong bullish push, forming new Higher Highs.
The pair then broke above minor key resistance at 1.13960, where accumulation of retail buy orders occurred. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, signaling a potential next move is near.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.13990
🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.13890 (just below liquidity zone)
🎯 Target Profit: Dynamic based on continuation above 1.14200 highs
This setup is ideal for short-term traders looking to capitalize on liquidity grabs and trend continuation.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇺🇸 USD Weakness Continues
Fiscal Concerns: Rising U.S. debt and widening deficits are weighing on dollar sentiment.
Investor Sentiment: A shift away from U.S. assets reflects uncertainty and risk-off positioning.
Market Performance: The dollar has fallen nearly 4% since early April, its worst stretch since 2023.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
EURUSD – Confluence Support Test: Watch for Bullish Signals? OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading around a key technical support area, which is a confluence zone between the previous sideways range and the medium-term ascending trendline. The price previously broke out of the resistance zone and is now pulling back to retest this area – a common price behavior in a sustainable bullish structure.
If buyers successfully defend this support zone, there is a high possibility that another recovery leg may appear, targeting the technical level around 1.1425, which is the most reasonable target within this setup. However, to confirm the continuation of bullish momentum, there needs to be a clear candlestick signal such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing at the support zone. The absence of strong price reaction here could lead to a slip below the support level, invalidating the short-term bullish structure.
This is a personal viewpoint based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Always reconfirm your trade setups and manage risk carefully.
USDJPY – Ride the Rail Short IdeaPair is still gliding inside a clean 30-min downslope channel.
Price is now retesting the upper rail (≈ 143.00).
fade this retest while the trend-line holds.
Entry zone: 142.90 – 143.00
Target: 142.10 (bottom rail / prior pivot)
If the rail snaps, no trade; if it holds, I’m looking for the next slide to 142.1.