Forex market
AUDUSD keeps surging upwardFrom a technical analysis perspective, the moving average system presents a typical bullish arrangement pattern. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are continuously rising and diverging 🚀, providing a solid support foundation for the exchange rate of the Australian dollar against the US dollar. At the moment, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis, and its histogram bars are also continuously expanding 📈, which clearly indicates that the bullish momentum is in a strong state 💪. At the same time, although the KDJ indicator is in the overbought area, there has been no significant sign of a turn, which means that the current upward trend is highly likely to continue 😎.
In terms of fundamentals, Australia's recent economic data has been rather remarkable 🌟. For example, Australia's employment data has shown a good growth trend, and the unemployment rate has decreased, indicating that the vitality of Australia's labor market is increasing 💪, which in turn provides strong positive support for the Australian dollar 😃. In addition, Australia's commodity export data is also quite excellent. As a resource-exporting country, the stable increase in commodity prices and the growth in export volume have greatly promoted Australia's economic development 🚀 and further enhanced the attractiveness of the Australian dollar 😍. In contrast, there is a certain degree of uncertainty in the economic policies of the United States. Especially, the progress of the fiscal stimulus plan has been slow, which has somewhat weakened the market's confidence in the US dollar 😕. Based on considerations of risk, investors have started to gradually shift their funds to other currencies, including the Australian dollar, injecting strong impetus into the rise of AUDUSD 💥.
💰💰💰 GBPUSD💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@1.3200 - 1.3230
🎯 TP 1.3300 - 1.3350
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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EURUSD Short 4/15/2025Entered a short on EUR/USD based on a multi-timeframe confluence.
Daily Chart: Friday closed with a strong bullish rally. On Monday, price pushed higher again but failed to hold gains, closing below Friday’s close — signaling potential exhaustion of buyers.
4H Chart: An inside bar formed during the Monday-Tuesday transition, signaling compression and potential breakout. This coincided with a visible liquidity spike, likely a false breakout.
1H Chart: A clear inside bar pattern developed following the liquidity sweep. I entered the short at the close of that hourly candle.
Targeting a 1:2 risk-to-reward or the next major liquidity grab zone — where we’d expect institutional stops to be clustered.
AUD/USDd Short Term Trend - Bearish🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news:
➡️ The AUD/USD pair extended its winning streak into a fifth consecutive session on Tuesday, revisiting its monthly high around 0.6390. The Australian dollar has shown notable strength in recent days, despite the escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China, which have dampened Australia’s economic outlook. U.S. President Trump announced a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs for all trade partners except China.
Personal view:
➡️ The Australian dollar tends to underperform on a weakening Chinese economic outlook, as Australia relies heavily on exports to the Asian giant. Therefore, the pair’s upside potential may be limited in the near term.
➡️ From a technical perspective, the RSI has turned lower after entering overbought territory and is showing signs of bearish divergence, further supporting the possibility of a decline in the pair in the near term.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and EMA combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6360 – 0.6370
❌SL: 0.6410 | ✅TP: 0.6300 – 0.6240
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
14-04-2025 _ Short Term Bearish Idea _ EURNZD H41- Divergence followed by Convergence.
2- Looks like pullback is happening right now.
3- AB = CD pattern anticipated.
4- Once the pullback is over, one can expect a push to the downside.
5- Look for Sell Entry after correction, not (when price action is) on the way up.
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point.
Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs.
A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
Short-term correction after overbought🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news:
➡️ GBP/USD is holding modest bids near the 1.3200 mark during early European trading on Tuesday. Recent UK data revealed that the unemployment rate remained steady at 4% for the three months to February, while average earnings came in weaker than expected, putting downside pressure on the British pound.
➡️ After gaining nearly 1% on Friday and closing the previous week up 1.5%, GBP/USD continued its upward momentum on Monday, trading above the 1.3150 level. Although the pair’s short-term technical outlook suggests overbought conditions, investors may be hesitant to anticipate a significant pullback due to widespread selling pressure on the U.S. dollars (USD).
TheU.S. Dollar Index, which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of six major currencies, dropped 3% last week as escalating U.S.-China trade fears of a potential U.S. economic downturn.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The uptrend is still strong while the USD is being sold.
➡️ However, the overbought zone of RSI should also be taken seriously, this will be the reaction zone of the selling side.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support zones and Fibonacci combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GBP/USD 1.3265 - 1.3275
❌SL: 1.3310| ✅TP: 1.3210 - 1.3160
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 10th I shared this idea "EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea"
I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first key support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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AUDUSD ShortI noticed we have a bearish structure on the 15m, and the entire push was created from the 15m Orderblock we're currently in. We've had a bearish reaction from there (1m BOS), and now I'm waiting to see if the price will revisit the OB left behind for a potential continuation to the downside.
My first target is 1:3 (30pips) and overall i expect price to fill previous Asia.
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13260 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13623.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GBP/JPY Awaits a Bearish BreakoutFenzoFx—GBP/JPY trades slightly above the 50-period SMA at 188.4, but the trend remains bearish below the 50.0% Fibonacci resistance level. The Stochastic Oscillator signals an overbought state, suggesting short-term pressure.
A downtrend may resume if GBP/JPY closes below 187.6, targeting 186.0. Conversely, a break above 190.2 resistance could extend momentum to 192.0.
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