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Critical Channel Watch Begins on the 1-Hour Chart of USDJPY.Hey everyone, 📉 My Latest USDJPY Analysis: USDJPY is currently moving within a downtrend. If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the parallel channel, our first target level will be 142.910. The most crucial factor here is the downward breakout of that channel—don’t overlook it. Also, keep a close eye on key economic data releases on the fundamental side, as they could significantly influence your strategy. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
by TraderTilki
13
EUR/USD Overview - June 25: Why Did the Dollar Fall Again ?The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, which had stated on Monday. Let us recall that on Monday, everyone expected a "rollercoaster" right at the market open, i.e., during the night. However, the real action came closer to the evening. The first two trading days of the week were packed with events-of various kinds-capable of supporting both the dollar and the euro. So why did the U.S. currency fall out of favor with the market once again? If we were to list all the reasons, one article certainly wouldn't be enough. so, let's start with the most local and obvious ones. As early as Monday, we mentioned that the dollar might benefit from another escalation in the Middle East, this time initiated by the U.S. But just think: can the dollar even hypothetically be considered a "safe haven" if one of the warring parties is the U.S.? The second reason is that Trump launched a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, and the next day, missiles were flying back-toward Qatar, Israel, and U.S. military bases. And. notably, Iran hit the American bases. The third reason is that Trump thanked Iran for warning Washington in advance about the upcoming strike. Honestly, the only word that comes to mind here is "farce." Can this even be a war if the participants warn each other before launching attacks? Naturally, the market immediately concluded that this was not a war but a performance. That might be better in some ways-since human casualties were avoided, and that is most important. But at the same time, if the dollar had any hopes of strengthening due to a Middle East escalation, the market realized yesterday that this "escalation" was theatrical and staged. And it gets even more bizarre. On Tuesday morning, Donald Trump announced a ceasefire. The U.S. President was so eager to establish peace somewhere-anywhere-that he declared the war over without waiting for any official statements from Iran or Israel. And just a few hours later, Iranian missiles took to the skies again. Once more, if this weren't about deadly weapons of mass destruction, the whole situation could be considered a comedy For the res of Tuesday, Trump posted angry messages every half hour on his own social network, expressing his dissatisfaction not only with Iran but also with Israel. In the afternoon, Trump tried to persuade Israeli not to launch retaliatory strikes, and we're left wondering-does the U.S. President believe that Iranian and Israeli leaders check his Twitter feed before initiating missile attacks? Frankly, we don' even know how to respond to this circus anymore. But the market certainly does. Why should it buy the dollar-even without the caveat "if Donald Trump remains president"? America has turned from a country with the strongest economy and military into a laughingstock. And these are just the reasons the dollar fell on Monday and Tuesday. Should we even bother listing why the U.S. currency has fallen for five months The average volatility for the EUR/USD currency pair over the last five trading days as of June 25 is 74 pips, which is characterized as. " We expect the pair to move between the levels of 1.1551 and 1.1699 on Wednesday. The long-term regression channel is directed upward, indicating a continued bullish trend. The CCI indicator entered the overbought zone, which triggered only a minor downward correction Nearest Support Levels: S1 - 1.1597 S2 - 1.1475 S3 - 1.1353 Nearest Resistance Levels: R1 - 1.1719 R2 - 1.1841 R3 - 1.1963 Trading Recommendations: The EUR/USD pair continues its upward trend. Trump's foreign and domestic policies remain the strongest pressure factor on the U.S. dollar. Additionally, the market interprets or ignores much of the incoming data negatively for the dollar. We continue to observe a complete lack of interest in buying the dollar under any circumstances. If the price is below the moving average, short positions remain relevant with targets at 1.1475 and 1.1353, though a significant decline in the pair is unlikely under current conditions. If the price is above the moving average, long positions can be considered with targets at 1.1699 and 1.1719 in continuation of the trend. Explanation of Illustrations: Linear Regression Channels help determine the current trend. If both channels are aligned, it indicates a strong trend. Moving Average Line (settings: 20,0, smoothed) defines the short-term trend and guides the trading direction. Murray Levels act as target levels for movements and corrections. Volatility Levels (red lines) represent the likely price range for the pair over the next 24 hours based on current volatility readings. CCI Indicator: If it enters the oversold region (below -250), or overbought region (above +250), it signals an impending trend reversal in the opposite direction.
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
11
EURUSD Bullish continuation supported at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.1640 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.1830 – Near-term resistance 1.1900 – Minor swing high 1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.1590 – Initial support 1.1530 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
Trading Recommendation and Analysis for GBP/USDThe British pound is rising, but the accompanying Marlin oscillator is quite weak. Before the bulls are not just the desired targets - 1.3834, 1.3935, etc. - but also potential traps from which the bears could launch an unstoppable offensive. On the daily chart, the trend remains upward, which is also confirmed by the Marlin oscillator breaking upward out of its own descending channel. However, there is also suspicion that this might be a trap - it may be a false breakout from the channel, similar to what occurred on May 12, when it was a breakout to the downside (highlighted by a yellow rectangle) .A trend reversal would occur if the price breaks below the support level at 1.3635, which is additionally reinforced by the MACD line. On the four-hour chart, the price appears to be finishing a consolidation phase. During this consolidation, the Marlin oscillator has had time to decompress and prepare for further growth. As long as the trend remains intact the no signs of reversal appear, we expect the price to continue moving gradually upward.
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
15
121 SYMMETRY Hello awesome traders! 👑✨ I hope you’ve had an amazing weekend and are ready to kick in the trading week like a pro. Let’s dive straight into the CHFJPY chart — and it’s shaping up to be a high-probability opportunity to start the week strong. 🧠 Setup Breakdown: Price has formed a clean 121 bullish reversal — a classic pattern built on symmetry, structure, and timing. What makes this one stand out is how both the AB and CD legs mirror each other not just in price, but also in time, giving us a powerful edge. We’re seeing: ✅ Symmetric correction ✅ PRZ zone rejection ✅ Impulsive breakout confirmation Price tapped the Potential Completion Zone (PCZ) — confluence of 78.6% and 100% fibs — and immediately rejected with conviction. 🎯 Targets in Sight: TP1: Already being approached – targeting the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci zone TP2: Final objective lies near the 127.2%–161.8% extension Structure says: "Let the trend unfold, manage the trade, and let it breathe." Risk is clearly defined below the D point, and price has now confirmed strength above the breakout level (EL). 💡 What’s Next? If price continues to respect structure and momentum holds, we’re tracking toward both target zones. The 121 is one of the cleanest reversal setups, and this one ticks the boxes: 🔹 Symmetry 🔹 PRZ rejection 🔹 Impulse confirmation 🔹 Defined risk 🔹 Measured targets Let’s keep it simple: pattern → PRZ → trigger → continuation. Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead — stay focused, manage risk like a sniper, and remember… 📊 Trade chart patterns like the pros do. 📈 Let structure lead, not emotions.
Long
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
2
Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for USD/CADThe downward wave that formed on the USD/CAD chart tis year has been followed by a corrective move since late May. The pair is largely confined to a sideways price channel. The current wave structure remains incomplete, lacking final segment. Forecast: The pair may decline further in the coming days, reaching the support zone. A reversal and upward movement from support may follow. The resistance zone reflects the upper boundary of the pair's expected weekly volatility. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.3800/ 1.3850 Support: 1.3640/ 1.3590 Recommendations: Selling: Possible intraday in small volumes, not beyond the support zone. Buying: Consider only after confirmed reversal signals appear near support.
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
3
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17850 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
EUR/USD - Liquidity grabbed! Move towards the 4H FVG next?This chart illustrates a short-term bearish outlook on the EUR/USD currency pair, using smart money concepts like liquidity grabs, fair value gaps (FVGs), and structural levels such as support and protected lows. It is based on the 1-hour timeframe and references a higher timeframe (4H) for added confluence. Liquidity Sweep At the top of the recent price movement, a "Liquidity sweep" is marked, suggesting that the market pushed above recent highs to trigger stop-losses of short positions or entice breakout traders before reversing. This kind of move is common in smart money concepts and typically precedes a directional shift, which in this case, is anticipated to be downward. This sweep likely removed buy-side liquidity and indicates that institutional traders may now seek to target sell-side liquidity below recent lows. Support Zone The green shaded area labeled "Support" represents a previous consolidation or demand zone that temporarily held price after the liquidity sweep. This zone is seen as a short-term reaction point where price may consolidate or bounce slightly before continuing lower. However, the dashed black line projection suggests that this support is not expected to hold long-term, as price is forecasted to break below it. Protected Low A previous low is labeled "Protected low," implying that it hasn’t been violated during recent downward moves. This term often refers to a structural level that, if broken, confirms a shift in market structure. In this context, the projection anticipates that price will break below this protected low, indicating a bearish intent and unlocking further downside movement. 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) The large blue zone labeled "4H FVG" marks an imbalance or inefficiency on the 4-hour chart. This zone is referred to as a "Strong bullish 4h FVG," suggesting that once the sell-side liquidity is taken and the lower targets are met, this area is expected to act as a high-probability demand zone. Institutional traders often look for price to fill these FVGs before reversing, as they represent unmitigated institutional orders. The projected path implies that this is the ultimate downside target where price may react bullishly. Conclusion Overall, this analysis outlines a bearish short-term scenario for EUR/USD. After sweeping liquidity above recent highs, price is expected to respect the bearish order flow, break through the current support level, and move below the protected low. The ultimate downside target lies within the strong 4H FVG, where a significant bullish reaction might occur. This suggests a classic smart money play, manipulate (sweep liquidity), shift (break structure), and mitigate (return to FVG)—offering a well-structured trade idea for both intraday and swing traders. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
39
AUDJPY - let's do it again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last AUDJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the first blue circle zone and surged in a parabolic manner. 📈AUDJPY is currently retesting the intersection of the blue trendline and red support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY is around the latest blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
AUDJPY – Trade the Range… Until It EndsHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDJPY has been trading within a big range marked in red. Moreover, the it is retesting the lower bound of its rising channel marked in blue. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
CHF/JPY – Bearish Reversal Setup in Progress (1H Timeframe)We’re closely monitoring the CHF/JPY pair, which has been in a bullish trend. However, key signs of a potential reversal are now surfacing. A rising wedge—a classic bearish reversal pattern—has formed on the 1-hour chart, and a strong bearish divergence is also present, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Additionally, sentiment data shows 85% of retail traders are short, giving us a slight contrarian warning. The bulls vs. bears score is roughly 1:2, suggesting bearish strength is building. We’re waiting for a confirmed break of the previous higher low (HL), which would validate a structural shift into a bearish trend. 🔹 Pair: CHF/JPY 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 🔹 Trend: Bullish (reversal anticipated) 🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge 🔹 Divergence: Bearish 🔹 Sentiment: 85% Short (Myfxbook) 🔹 Bias: Bearish 🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 179.557 🔹 Stop Loss: 181.468 🔹 Take Profit: 177.646 🔹 Lot Size: 0.15 🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1 🔹 Risk: $200 🔹 Potential Reward: $200 🎯 Strategy: Entry will trigger only if price breaks below the previous HL and confirms a new lower low (LL), signaling the start of a bearish trend. 📌 #CHFJPY #ForexSignals #RisingWedge #BearishDivergence #TrendReversal #SmartMoneyMoves #RetailSentiment #BreakoutTrade #PriceActionSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #BearishBias #RiskManagement
Short
by asimafridi
2
Quantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep DiveQuantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep Dive Quantitative trading in forex harnesses advanced algorithms and statistical models to decode market dynamics, offering traders a sophisticated approach to currency trading. This article delves into the various quantitative trading models, their implementation, and their challenges, providing insights for traders looking to navigate the forex market with a data-driven approach. Understanding Quantitative Trading in Forex Quantitative trading, also known as quant trading, in the forex market involves using sophisticated quantitative trading systems that leverage complex mathematical and statistical methods to analyse market data and execute trades. These systems are designed to identify patterns, trends, and potential opportunities in currency movements that might be invisible to the naked eye. At the heart of these systems are quantitative trading strategies and models, which are algorithmic procedures developed to determine market behaviour and make informed decisions. These strategies incorporate a variety of approaches, from historical data analysis to predictive modelling, which should ensure a comprehensive assessment of market dynamics. Notably, in quantitative trading, Python and similar data-oriented programming languages are often used to build models. In essence, quantitative systems help decipher the intricate relationships between different currency pairs, economic indicators, and global events, potentially enabling traders to execute trades with higher precision and efficiency. Key Types of Quantitative Models Quantitative trading, spanning diverse markets such as forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies*, utilises complex quantitative trading algorithms to make informed decisions. While it's prominently applied in quantitative stock trading, its principles and models are particularly significant in the forex market. These models are underpinned by quantitative analysis, derivative modelling, and trading strategies, which involve mathematical analysis of market movements and risk assessment to potentially optimise trading outcomes. Trend Following Models Trend-following systems are designed to identify and capitalise on market trends. Using historical price data, they may determine the direction and strength of market movements, helping traders to align themselves with the prevailing upward or downward trend. Indicators like the Average Directional Index or Parabolic SAR can assist in developing trend-following models. Mean Reversion Models Operating on the principle that prices eventually move back towards their mean or average, mean reversion systems look for overextended price movements in the forex market. Traders use mean reversion strategies to determine when a currency pair is likely to revert to its historical average. High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Models Involving the execution of a large number of orders at breakneck speeds, HFT models are used to capitalise on tiny price movements. They’re less about determining market direction and more about exploiting market inefficiencies at micro-level time frames. Sentiment Analysis Models These models analyse market sentiment data, such as news headlines, social media buzz, and economic reports, to gauge the market's mood. This information can be pivotal in defining short-term movements in the forex market, though this model is becoming increasingly popular for quantitative trading in crypto*. Machine Learning Models These systems continuously learn and adapt to new market data by incorporating AI and machine learning, identifying complex patterns and relationships that might elude traditional models. They are particularly adept at processing large volumes of data and making predictive analyses. Hypothesis-Based Models These models test specific hypotheses about market behaviour. For example, a theory might posit that certain economic indicators lead to predictable responses in currency markets. They’re then backtested and refined based on historical data to validate or refute the hypotheses. Each model offers a unique lens through which forex traders can analyse the market, offering diverse approaches to tackle the complexities of currency trading. Quantitative vs Algorithmic Trading While quant and algorithmic trading are often used interchangeably and do overlap, there are notable differences between the two approaches. Algorithmic Trading Focus: Emphasises automating processes, often using technical indicators for decision-making. Methodology: Relies on predefined rules based on historical data, often without the depth of quantitative analysis. Execution: Prioritises automated execution of trades, often at high speed. Application: Used widely for efficiency in executing repetitive, rule-based tasks. Quantitative Trading Focus: Utilises advanced mathematical and statistical models to determine market movements. Methodology: Involves complex computations and data analysis and often incorporates economic theories. Execution: May or may not automate trade execution; focuses on strategy formulation. Application: Common in risk management and strategic trade planning. Implementation and Challenges Implementing quantitative models in forex begins with the development of a robust strategy involving the selection of appropriate models and algorithms. This phase includes rigorous backtesting against historical data to validate their effectiveness. Following this, traders often engage in forward testing in live market conditions to evaluate real-world performance. Challenges in this realm are multifaceted. Key among them is the quality and relevance of the data used. Models can be rendered ineffective if based on inaccurate or outdated data. Overfitting remains a significant concern, where systems too closely tailored to historical data may fail to adapt to evolving market dynamics. Another challenge is the constant need to monitor and update models to keep pace with market changes, requiring a blend of technical expertise and market acumen. The Bottom Line In this deep dive into quantitative trading in forex, we've uncovered the potency of diverse models, each tailored to navigate the complex currency markets with precision. These strategies, rooted in data-driven analysis, may offer traders an edge in decision-making. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
GBPJPY sitting at resistance – Is a drop to 193.360 likely?GBPJPY is sitting right at a key daily resistance zone. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed strongly to the downside. So this makes it definitely one to monitor, especially if you’re eyeing potential short setups. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, strong bearish candles, it could be the early indication of another move lower. My focus is on a moderate drop toward the 193.360 area, similar to what we’ve seen in past pullbacks. Nothing too dramatic, just a simple downside play if sellers step in again. But if we get a strong breakout? That changes everything: it would hint that bulls are taking full control. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TrendDiva
6
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 I Target 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Short
by David_Perk
1