Forex market
EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.16915 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.17187 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish From now Price :148.750
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Could the Aussie drop from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6526
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6587
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.6389
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling a potential drop toward the 145.200 – 145.191 target zone. Here's the detailed breakdown:
---
Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (1H)
1. Rising Channel Breakdown
Price has broken below an ascending channel, confirming a trend line breakout and signaling a trend shift from bullish to bearish.
The trend line cut and rejection from the upper resistance zone support the bearish reversal.
2. Key Support Breakout
A crucial horizontal support zone around 147.80–148.00 was broken.
The break-and-retest of this area (yellow box) acts as a confirmation of bearish momentum continuation.
3. Bearish Momentum Below EMA
Price is trading below the 200 EMA (147.659) — a strong signal of downward bias on this timeframe.
The EMA has flipped from dynamic support to resistance.
4. RSI Oversold but Bearish
RSI is at 29.41, in oversold territory, which may hint at a short-term bounce.
However, the broader structure suggests more downside potential before a deeper retracement.
5. Target Projection
Projected target zone is between 145.200–145.191, aligning with previous structure lows and likely liquidity zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary
Bias: Bearish
Current Price: 147.307
Key Resistance: 147.80–148.60 zone
Structure: Rising channel break + key support breakout
200 EMA: Above price (bearish signal)
RSI: 29.41 – oversold but momentum remains bearish
Target: 145.200–145.191
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.811.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 147.818 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHF: Could be telling a story of break-retest-reversalThe price action on the USDCHF presents an opportunity of structural transition. The descending trendline has acted as dynamic resistance, has contained each rally attempt beautifully. This trendline is marked by multiple rejections, reflected bearish dominance, a controlled downtrend in motion.
The recent movement though could signal a shift. The market has started to break above this descending structure, and it could early suggest that bearish momentum is weakening.
I will be waiting for the price to return to the broken trendline, treating former resistance as newfound support. It’s a confirmation pattern in order to filter false moves, a structure retest that reinforces breakout reliability.
From this base, I am expecting it to target the 0.81900 level, as shown. This area coinciding with horizontal resistance that aligns with previous reactions. Such levels as natural “gravitational pivots”.
An ideal approach here would involve observing the character of the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with declining bearish volume and forms higher lows on lower timeframes, it strengthens the bullish case.
The trendline break on the chart is not just a signal, it’s a storyline unfolding. It marks a shift with a story. And if volume, price structure, and timing align as they appear poised to, this move could be the first move in a broader upside correction or trend reversal.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY SELL TRADE PLAN🔥 CHFJPY TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: 22 July 2025
📋 Trade Plan Overview
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Swing Sell ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (82%) 4.0:1 Awaiting Confirmation
Guidance: Focus on Scenario A Primary Plan – high confluence bearish rejection zone after extended bullish run. Scenario B remains tactical, lower probability unless impulsive breakdown.
Total risk: 1.2% (standard swing).
Primary Trade Plan: Swing Sell
📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
Bias: Bearish
Trade Type: Reversal - Post-Parabolic Exhaustion
🔰 Confidence Level
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (82%)
Reason:
D1 parabolic exhaustion + rejection wicks.
H4 strong bearish engulfing.
H1 impulsive breakdown from 185.40 zone.
Volume spike on H1 selling.
Fib 61.8% rejection.
Sentiment stretched overbought JPY weakness.
Breakdown:
Price Structure: 30%
Candlestick Patterns: 20%
Volume / Fib / RSI: 22%
Macro / Sentiment: 10%
📌 Status
Awaiting Confirmation
📍 Entry Zones
🟥 Primary Sell Zone:
184.45 – 184.75 (H4 bearish order block + imbalance + prior rejection)
👉 Status: Waiting for rejection wick / bearish engulfing / LTF breakdown.
🟧 Secondary Sell Zone:
185.20 – 185.45 (H4 final supply zone; riskier short).
❗ Stop Loss
185.65 (above secondary zone wick + structure + 1.2x ATR).
🎯 Take Profit Targets
🥇 TP1: 183.10 (H1 imbalance fill; 125 pips; ~2.0:1 R:R)
🥈 TP2: 182.20 (liquidity pool, structure target; 210 pips; ~3.5:1 R:R)
🥉 TP3: 180.90 (deeper swing pullback; H4 demand zone; ~4.8:1 R:R) – Optional trail.
📏 Risk:Reward
TP1: 2.0:1
TP2: 3.5:1
TP3: 4.8:1
🧠 Management Strategy
Risk 1.2% of $ ($ , lots).
Move SL to breakeven after TP1 hit.
Close 60% at TP1, 30% at TP2, leave 10% runner for TP3 (trail SL).
If impulsive bullish reclaim above 185.00, exit manually.
Portfolio Risk capped at 3% max open trades.
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
H1 bearish engulfing OR rejection wick in primary zone.
H1/H4 volume spike during London or NY session.
RSI divergence (optional).
No major JPY risk events upcoming.
⏳ Validity
H4 Swing: Valid for 2–4 days (expires 26 July 2025).
❌ Invalidation
4H candle close above 185.65
Bullish BOS on H1 beyond secondary zone.
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
COT: CHF neutral / JPY oversold.
DXY: Rangebound.
Retail: 77% buyers CHFJPY (contrarian bearish bias).
Cross-Pair: EURJPY and AUDJPY showing topping signs.
Cross-Market: Risk sentiment fragile (SP500 fading).
Macro: No major CHF/JPY news.
Sentiment Score: +7/10 bearish CHFJPY.
📋 Final Trade Summary
Sell CHFJPY targeting reversal after extended bullish run.
Focus is on rejection from 184.45–184.75 with strict SL above 185.65.
Patience mandatory for confirmation candlesticks.
Aggressive scaling only if H1 breaks down from current price.
Lingrid | EURUSD Potential Surge Following Channel BreakoutFX:EURUSD is consolidating after bouncing from a key confluence of support around 1.16000 and forming a higher low within the upward channel. The recent corrective pullback through a downward channel now appears complete, with bullish structure resuming. Price is likely to advance toward the 1.18300 resistance as long as the 1.15900 zone holds. Momentum favors a continuation of the A-B-C and trend continuation sequences already established.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break above 1.16500
Buy zone: 1.16000–1.16250
Target: 1.18300
Invalidation: Close below 1.14500
💡 Risks
Failure to break the corrective channel resistance
Bearish divergence on lower timeframes
Broader USD strength reversal
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD is Nearing the Daily Uptrend! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15800 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD • Premium Supply Zone (Resistance):
• Price is projected to revisit the supply zone between 0.65650–0.65800, which previously led to strong bearish displacement.
• This zone is likely to attract institutional sell orders.
• Current Price Structure:
• Market is retracing upward within a bearish internal structure.
• Expectation: A “lower high” formation before a continuation to the downside.
• Sell Setup Projection:
• Price likely to induce buyers near the mid-range before sweeping them and shifting bearish.
• Anticipated move: Price into premium zone → rejection → continuation toward 0.64700 demand area (gray box).
• Liquidity Engineering:
• Potential internal liquidity being built up to fuel a deeper drop.
• Smart money may use this retracement to trap breakout traders before driving price down.
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Narrative:
1. Retracement into premium for better risk-to-reward shorts.
2. Inducement of breakout buyers before reversal.
3. Short continuation toward demand zone and potential liquidity pockets below.
4. Strategic zone to watch: 0.65700 area for high-probability shorts
GBP/JPY Gap AttackI've written before of the August/September 2008 gap in GBP/JPY and here 17 years later, it continues to show items of interest for intra-day trading strategy.
Most recently, it was the top of that gap at 198.08 holding support on both Monday and Wednesday of last week - allowing for a flare up to just 2.5 pips away from the 200 psychological level. Bulls have shied away from that, for now, but given the way that it happened it could easily be written off as a stretched move stalling before a big figure could come into play.
This also illustrates support potential, especially given the broader move of Yen-strength that's shown so far this week. While USD/JPY is nearing a key Fibonacci level, GBP/JPY can be seen as a more attractive venue for JPY-weakness, especially given the turn that's so far showed in GBP/USD. - js
GBPJPYHello traders,
The holidays are over and we’re back to trading again! 🙂
Our first trade is on the **GBPJPY** pair. This setup is quite ideal for those thinking long-term. I’ve already activated this trade on my side.
🔍 **Trade Details**
✔️ **Timeframe**: D/W
✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:6
✔️ **Trade Direction**: Sell
✔️ **Entry Price**: 199.073
✔️ **Take Profit**: 188.673
✔️ **Stop Loss**: 200.803
🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
USDCAD 4H Bearish SetupThe USDCAD chart shows a clear bearish breakdown from the ascending channel. Price has broken below support near 1.3720, confirming a shift in structure.
Key Analysis:
Bearish Momentum: Break below the channel and current market structure signals downside pressure.
Immediate Resistance: 1.3725–1.3745 zone (yellow area) where price previously rejected.
Support Levels:
1.3639 / 1.3638: Short-term support — possible temporary bounce area.
1.3560: Main target — previous demand zone.
Trade Idea:
Sell below 1.3720
TP1: 1.3639
TP2: 1.3560
SL: Above 1.3750 (above resistance zone)
Summary:
Bias remains bearish as long as the price stays below 1.3725–1.3750 resistance zone. Confirmation of further downside expected on break below 1.3638.
Let me know if you want this as a signal format or turned into an image.
GBP/USD: Post-Impulse Sell Setup from Ending DiagonalThe chart depicts a completed 5-wave impulsive structure, culminating at the top of wave (5). The internal wave structure of the final fifth wave forms a classic ending diagonal pattern, typically signaling a trend reversal or deep correction.
After this extended fifth wave, the price has started rolling over, confirming the start of a corrective decline. The wave count now expects an ABC correction targeting the previous wave 4/2 demand zone, highlighted in red.
Target 1 (T1): 1.33608
Target 2 (T2): 1.32436
Stop Loss (SL): 1.35988
Ending diagonal at the top of wave (5) signals exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Clear bearish divergence (not shown here) is commonly seen with this pattern.
The price has broken the short-term structure and is now forming lower highs.
Target zone aligns with previous wave 2 consolidation – a typical retracement zone for post-impulse corrections.