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AUD/JPY Short and GBP/AUD ShortAUD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Break above area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
EURUSD Downtrend Holds Steady: Time to Go ShortEURUSD experienced a sharp decline earlier today, following the release of key economic data that spurred renewed bearish momentum. The market reaction was swift, with sellers overwhelming buyers and driving the price lower. After this initial move, the pair is now staging a pullback, attempting to recover some ground as it approaches a critical resistance zone. This retracement presents a significant technical setup that could dictate the pair’s next major move. The current pullback is bringing the price closer to the resistance zone around 1.04300, a level that has proven pivotal in the past. Historical price action highlights this area as a confluence zone, marked by prior reversals and intensified trading activity. As the price approaches this region, signs of exhaustion are becoming increasingly evident. On closer examination of the candlestick patterns, rejection candles—characterized by long upper wicks and small bodies—are forming near this resistance level. These candles suggest that buyers are struggling to push the price higher, while sellers are beginning to regain control. A deeper look at the 1-hour chart reveals a clear ABCD pullback pattern, a widely recognized harmonic structure in technical analysis. This pattern indicates a measured retracement within a broader downtrend, providing traders with potential entry points for the continuation of the trend. In this case, the "AB" leg represents the initial bearish impulse, the "BC" leg corresponds to the current corrective move, and the anticipated "CD" leg signals the likely continuation of the downward movement. If the pattern completes as expected, the price is likely to reverse from the resistance zone near 1.04300 and resume its descent. The broader market sentiment further supports a bearish outlook. Macroeconomic conditions, combined with the technical dynamics of the pair, point to continued selling pressure. The recent news release acted as a catalyst, intensifying the downward momentum, and this sentiment is unlikely to change unless there is a significant shift in market fundamentals. Additionally, the lack of follow-through by buyers in the pullback phase underscores the strength of the prevailing bearish trend. From a technical perspective, the resistance zone around 1.04300 holds immense importance. Not only does it align with the upper boundary of the ABCD pattern, but it also coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a psychological price barrier. These overlapping factors create a strong confluence area, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish momentum is expected to accelerate, targeting the next significant support zone around 1.03260. The support zone at 1.03260 represents a critical area where buyers may reenter the market. This level has acted as a demand zone in the past, providing temporary relief from selling pressure. However, given the strength of the current bearish trend, a test of this level seems increasingly likely. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling volume, as the price approaches the resistance zone. It’s also worth considering potential invalidation levels. Should the price manage to break and sustain above the 1.04300 resistance, the bearish scenario would need to be reassessed. Such a move could indicate a shift in market dynamics, opening the door for a potential bullish reversal. However, until that happens, the dominant trend remains bearish. In conclusion, EURUSD continues to exhibit strong bearish momentum, with the current pullback offering an opportunity to position for the continuation of the downtrend. As the pair approaches the 1.04300 resistance zone, the technical and fundamental landscape suggests that the bearish trend is likely to resume. My primary target remains the support zone at 1.03260, which aligns with prior swing lows and key technical levels. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key levels closely, ensuring that their risk management strategies are firmly in place.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
GBP/USD: Bearish Momentum Holds Below 1.2500GBP/USD trades around 1.2490, showing weakness for the third consecutive day, with the daily chart indicating a bearish bias within a descending channel. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, projecting a 2025 rate of 3.9% (up from 3.4% in September). Powell emphasized caution and a slower path for future rate cuts, while the BoE kept rates steady at 4.75%. The strengthening of the US Dollar has been supported by rising Treasury yields, although improving global risk sentiment might limit further gains. A break below the 1.2450 support could push the price towards 1.2400, while a move above 1.2530 might open the door to a potential test of 1.2600, though this remains unlikely without favorable catalysts.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EU/USD Technical Analysis ReportEUR/USD Technical Analysis Report December 20, 2024, 06:00 GMT Current Price: 1.03628 Recent Market Events & Price Action Recent FOMC rate cut of 25 basis points (December 18, 2024) accelerated bearish momentum Previous range break (1.05927 - 1.04541) signals strong bearish continuation Yesterday's retracement to 1.04235 identified as liquidity grab before continuation Technical Structure Key Trend Points Downtrend initiated: September 30, 2024 Trend confirmation: Bearish daily engulfing candle (November 5, 2024) Range formation: November 13 - November 27, 2024 Range break: December 18, 2024 (post-FOMC) Moving Average Analysis Price consistently trading below Daily 20 EMA Broken below Daily 200 EMA with sustained movement below Historical Key Level Analysis Major historical level approaching: Previous support: May 12, 2022 Previous resistance: August 9, 2022 Last mitigation: November 15, 2022 Potential Scenarios Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If current historical level breaks, expect movement towards: 1.00951 0.99599 0.97402 Bullish Alternative If level holds as support: Potential retracement back to range high (1.05973) Would indicate renewed EUR strength against USD Key Levels to Watch Recent High: 1.04235 (December 19 retracement) Previous Range: 1.05927 - 1.04541 Major Support Levels: 1.00951, 0.99599, 0.97402 Risk Management Considerations Monitor price action around historical support level Watch for potential false breaks Consider reduced position sizes due to recent high-impact news event Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk appropriately.
Short
by FXCapitalClub
GBP/CAD - H4 - Strong BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.7761 2nd Support – 1.7570 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
USD/CHF 4H Timeframe AnalysisUSD/CHF 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: The USD/CHF pair is currently in an uptrend, with price initially breaking through the minor support at 0.8900 before quickly reversing and breaking the next minor resistance zone at 0.89700. The price then dipped below this level, triggering stop losses and liquidating the buying orders. The liquidity zones have already been tested twice, indicating that the market has cleared out excess positions. Given that the liquidity has already been absorbed, we are now anticipating a continuation of the bullish trend from the liquidity zone. Price Action Expectation: After the liquidity grab, our objective is to wait for the price to break above the next minor key resistance. The plan is to place a buy stop order above the resistance at 0.89940, confirming that the market is ready to continue its upward momentum. A stop loss will be placed below the liquidity zone at 0.89540, ensuring proper risk management. The target for this trade is the next resistance level at 0.90740. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Buy Stop Entry Price: 0.89940 (just above the minor resistance after a breakout) Stop Loss: 0.89540 (below the liquidity zone) Take Profit: 0.90740 (next resistance level) Additional Considerations: We should be mindful of potential market reactions near key levels. If price action fails to break through the resistance at 0.89940, this could signal a potential reversal. Keeping an eye on any external factors, like economic data or geopolitical events, is essential to avoid unexpected volatility. Conclusion: The USD/CHF pair shows potential for further upside, with the market having cleared key liquidity zones. Traders should watch for confirmation of the uptrend with a breakout above 0.89940 and prepare for a move toward the 0.90740 resistance. Risk management through stop loss placement is critical, given the volatility seen in recent price action.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
GBPAUD Bullish Trade Idea from 2.00381-2.0082GBPAUD Bullish Trade Idea The price fell from the 2.02834 zone and hit back the 2.00381 zone, just respecting the recent support level. Now the important question is: does the price just test back and wait for the confirmation candle over this zone to reach the next level? In H4, the bear pressure will increase over time, and the volume increased with sentiments also showing that more volume on the buy side. and the major zone will be tested. Key level: if the market breaks the support, then we must see at the 1.99567 zone, but on the other side, the Pound index is strong enough. When the market breaks the 2.00820 level, put buy trade. Buying zone: 2.00381 - 2.0082 Stop loss: 1.99778 Take Profit Level: 2.0158-2.02763
Long
by Bloom_Forex_Official
USD/CAD -Volume Spread AnalysisHere is a perfect example of Pushing Up through Supply. As shown, when up-trending markets experience the phenomenon created by Market Makers in which supply us introduced to the market. (Notice the Pivot Highs at 1.41942 and 1.41968 which are 4 pips apart) These levels of supply are known by the market makers and are used to lock in bullish traders. As the market moves against the locked in traders we notice Ultra High Volume (UHV) shows up. As we analyze the volume it suggests professional supply has entered the market and is confirmed by the following Wide Spread and Excessively UHV. This confirms the intention of the professionals to lock in bullish traders and create an over head supply zone. The following price movement has UHV as well but less than the previous bar and it also closes bullish but inside the larger UHV bar. Peculiar for a market that is doomed to fall to the abyss don't you think? Looking back to the previous 40 price bars we notice price held support above the level of the previous pivot low at 1.40926. The supply diminishes from this point as price creates a Lower High (LH) then a Higher Low (HL). We also notice the spread bodies of the bars leading to the pivot low at 1.41304 are smaller than any other downward push since the consolidation period on the 10th of December. This implies supply has diminished until we come back in contact with the supply created by the Market Makers. The UHV suggests supply is present. However, the next bar shows demand is also present and supply has suddenly diminished at the resistance as well. Prices then proceed to "Push up Through Supply" volume diminishes and prices rise through the supply which is termed and "ease of movement". This is an aggressive BUY SIGNAL which implies prices will not come back to retest the previous area of resistance turned support known as the backup to the edge of the creek. You have to be aggressive at these moments because prices will not return to the retest the structure as the handling maneuver is completed a as it leaves the re-accumulation area.
Education
by JHair20