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20 February As of February 20, 2025, the British Pound to Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) currency pair has exhibited notable volatility. Recent technical analyses suggest a potential downward movement, though caution is warranted due to mixed signals. Technical Analysis: Gbpjoy broke structure heading to the downside , showing or proving change of direction on a hour timeframe to be precise . A bullish retracement is expected since there's a lot of imbalance that gj left . I used my fib to predict the psychological levels that gj might retrace to . Fundamental Analysis: Monetary Policies: The Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintain divergent monetary stances. The BoE's relatively hawkish approach contrasts with the BoJ's continued ultra-loose policy, which traditionally supports GBP strength against JPY. Economic Indicators: Recent data indicates a contraction in UK retail sales by 6.9% in September 2022, reflecting economic challenges. In contrast, Japan's National Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March showed a modest increase of 0.2% monthly, with a 0.2% annualized decrease, suggesting persistent deflationary pressures. Market Sentiment: The GBP/JPY pair is sensitive to global risk sentiment. Increased market volatility or geopolitical tensions often lead investors to seek safe-haven assets like the JPY, potentially exerting downward pressure on the pair. Conversely, improved global economic outlooks may favor GBP appreciation.
Short
by Richard_Tsupane
USD/JPY - 4H Analysis & Trade Plan📉 USD/JPY - 4H Analysis & Trade Plan 🔹 Market Structure: ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirms a bearish trend. ✅ Change of Character (ChoCH) indicates potential reversals. ✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG) identified as areas of imbalance. ✅ Order Block (OB) at resistance, potential rejection zone. 🔹 Key Levels: ✅ Daily Demand Zone: 148.715 - 149.603 (Strong support, potential buy area). ✅ Retracement Levels: 150.97 - 151.85 (Fibonacci 0.382 - 0.786, possible resistance). 📊 Trade Plan: 🔹 Wait for confirmation in the 148.715 - 149.603 demand zone before entering a buy. 🔹 If price reacts positively, potential bullish move toward 151+. 🔹 If bearish continuation occurs, look for further downside targets. #USDJPY #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #BOS #FVG #PriceAction #FXFOREVER
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
GBP/JPY - 1H Analysis & Trade Setup📉 GBP/JPY - 1H Analysis & Trade Setup 🔹 Market Structure & Key Levels: ✅ 193.027: Recent swing high, major resistance. ✅ 190.63 - 190.85: Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5-0.618), potential short entry. ✅ 187.510: Key downside target. ✅ 185.944: Next major support if bearish momentum continues. 📊 Trade Plan: 🔹 Price is in a clear downtrend after a Break of Structure (BOS). 🔹 Expect a pullback towards 190.63 - 190.85 (Fibonacci golden zone). 🔹 If rejection occurs in this zone, a sell setup targeting 187.510 is valid. ⚠ Confirmation Needed: ✅ Bearish rejection at 190.63 - 190.85. ✅ Bearish candlestick patterns (engulfing, pin bar, etc.). ✅ Confluence with supply zone & BOS. #fxforever #GBPJPY #SmartMoney #PriceAction #LiquidityHunt #ForexTrading #SMC
Short
by FXFOREVER_87
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 20, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims GBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is holding strong following losses on the previous two consecutive days, trading at around 1.25900 during the Asian session on Thursday. However, the pair is under pressure due to concerns over tariffs from US President Donald Trump, which have led to increased demand for the US Dollar (USD).According to Bloomberg, Trump announced plans to impose 25 per cent tariffs on foreign cars on Tuesday, as well as expected duty hikes on semiconductor chips and pharmaceutical products. The official announcement is expected to be made on 2 April.Market participants are now focusing on key US economic data, including weekly initial jobless claims, the central bank's leading economic index and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, which will be released during the North American session.The minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January, released on Wednesday, confirmed the decision to leave interest rates unchanged in January. The committee emphasised that further assessment of economic activity, labour market trends and inflation was required before any adjustments to rates could be considered, and that clear indications of falling inflation were necessary for any rate cuts to be implemented.Despite the release of better-than-expected annual inflation figures on Wednesday, the British pound (GBP) did not strengthen. The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that January's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.0% year-on-year, beating December's 2.5% rise and market expectations of 2.8%. This figure remains well above the Bank of England's (BoE) inflation target of 2%.Bank of England directors have previously recognised that inflation could rise in the short term due to higher energy prices and then gradually return to target. Earlier this week, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey reiterated that while inflation may rise temporarily, he does not expect it to be sustainable and still sees a gradual disinflationary trend. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.26000, SL 1.25350, TP 1.26700
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Targeting 0.94000USDCHF is currently trading at 0.90200, with a bullish flag pattern forming, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.94000 target. The bullish flag is a continuation pattern that typically follows a strong upward move, followed by a period of consolidation before the next leg higher. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s upper trendline, it could trigger a bullish wave, pushing USDCHF toward its next resistance levels. From a technical perspective, the flag’s consolidation phase suggests temporary indecision in the market. However, as long as the price remains above key support levels and breaks out with strong volume, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. A confirmed breakout above the resistance could provide an entry opportunity for traders aiming for the 0.94000 target. Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate cuts. Recent economic data from the US, including inflation figures and labor market strength, have kept the dollar strong against the Swiss franc. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a relatively dovish stance, which could further weaken CHF and support the bullish case for USDCHF. In summary, USDCHF is forming a bullish flag pattern, awaiting a breakout for further upside movement. A strong breakout above the resistance level could trigger a rally toward 0.94000, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should closely monitor price action and key economic events to confirm the bullish continuation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanBased on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Buy above (0.90600) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to placing the Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA (or) placing the Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.89900 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / Swing Low or High level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.92500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: ╰┈➤AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. ╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis Economic Indicators: Australia's GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 2.2% in 2025, while Canada's GDP growth rate is expected to remain steady at 1.8% Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its interest rates at 0.10% in 2025, while the Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to raise interest rates to 1.50% Trade Balance: Australia's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while Canada's trade balance is expected to remain in deficit Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.5% in 2025, while Canada's inflation rate is expected to remain steady at 2.0% ╰┈➤Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for commodities, including those exported by Australia and Canada Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for commodities Currency Flows: Currency flows are expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in currency exchange rates ╰┈➤COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Long Positions: 40% Open Interest: 80,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Short Positions: 30% Open Interest: 40,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Long Positions: 30% Open Interest: 20,000 contracts COT Ratio: 1.1 (indicating a neutral trend) ╰┈➤Sentimental Outlook Institutional Sentiment: 50% bullish, 50% bearish Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish Market Mood: The overall market mood is neutral, with a sentiment score of +5 ╰┈➤Technical Analysis Trend: The AUD/CAD pair is experiencing a neutral trend, with the market respecting the 20-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA) as dynamic support. ╰┈➤Market Data Analysis Order Book Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's order book is showing a neutral sentiment, with an equal number of buy and sell orders. Liquidity Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's liquidity is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in market participation. Volatility Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's volatility is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in market sentiment. ╰┈➤Positioning Long Positions: 50% of total positions Short Positions: 50% of total positions Neutral Positions: 0% of total positions Leverage: 1:1 (average) ╰┈➤Next Move Prediction Bullish Move: Potential upside to 0.92000-0.93000. Target: 0.93000 (primary target), 0.94000 (secondary target) Next Swing Target: 0.95000 (potential swing high) Stop Loss: 0.87000 (below the 30-day low) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 500 pips vs potential loss of 250 pips) ╰┈➤Overall Outlook The overall outlook for AUD/CAD is neutral, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected stability in commodity prices, neutral interest rate environment, and balanced market sentiment are all supporting the neutral trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
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