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USD/JPY 4H Timeframe AnalysisUSD/JPY 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: The USD/JPY pair is currently in an uptrend, having successfully broken key minor resistance levels, including 156.800, which has now turned into support. This break signals the continuation of bullish momentum, confirmed by the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the pair broke the 157.500 minor resistance, further indicating that buyers have stepped in. The price action is now moving towards the next major resistance level at 160.900. Additionally, price action has shown signs of manipulation or liquidity grabs at key levels. The price briefly dipped below support, hunting stop losses before reversing direction. This has set up the potential for a continuation of the uptrend, as the market clears out stop losses and accumulates liquidity for the next leg up. Price Action Expectation: We are observing liquidity being formed below the 156.800 support level. We are now waiting for a breakout above 157.500 to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. The plan is to place a buy stop order at 157.690, just above the minor resistance, to enter the market once this level is broken. A stop loss will be placed below the liquidity zone at 156.500, a strategic location to manage risk. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Buy Stop Entry Price: 157.690 (just above the minor resistance after a breakout) Stop Loss: 156.500 (below the liquidity zone) Take Profit: 160.900 (next minor resistance level) Additional Considerations: The current bullish setup remains valid, but traders should be cautious of any potential reversal signs if the price fails to break above 157.500. If price action shows signs of rejection at these levels, a shift in trend could occur. Monitoring any significant news events or economic releases will also be important to avoid unexpected market moves. Conclusion: The USD/JPY pair is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by the technical breakout of key resistance levels. As the price moves toward the next resistance at 160.900, careful risk management is crucial. Traders should be prepared for possible pullbacks or consolidations around key levels while maintaining a focus on trend continuation. Economic events and market sentiment can still influence the strength of the USD against the JPY, so staying alert to these factors is essential.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
Elliott Wave View: EURUSD Short Term Remains BearishShort Term Elliott Wave view in EURUSD suggests the decline from 9.25.2024 high is in progress as an impulse. Down from 9.25.2024 high, wave 1 ended at 1.076 and wave 2 rally ended at 1.0936. Pair then resumed lower in wave 3 towards 1.033. Corrective rally in wave ended at 1.063 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Pair still needs to break below 1.033 to rule out any double correction possibility. Wave 5 lower is currently in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Down from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 1.0539 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 1.0594. Wave (iii) lower ended at 1.0484 and wave (iv) rally ended at 1.0537. Final leg wave (v) ended at 1.045 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 1.0534 and pair has resumed lower again. Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 1.0476 and wave (ii) rally ended at 1.0516. Pair resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 1.034 and wave (iv) rally ended at 1.0422. Expect pair to extend lower to end wave (v) of ((iii)), then it should rally in wave ((iv)) before turning lower again. Near term, as far as pivot at 1.063 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
EUR/USD long: Thank you first buddy!Yup, the heading of this idea is very much tongue in cheek. The Euro is fundamentally on the backfoot, especially after the confusing FOMC "we are slowing down while walking into this dark room" rate cut. WTH??? No need to cut because the Labor market is A OK, but we are cutting anyway because inflation may increase again. Call me dumb but I replayed that Press Conference over and over again. My take away: The FOMC is very aware of the impact after January 20 2024. The former guy is back and this time around he is bringing his new best friend along for the ride. Well, we all know how these bromances work out in his world. They don't last but up until then, they are already starting to cause chaos as they go along. Democrats and some Republicans have been raising the alarm about our democracy being under attack for some time now. There you have it. The second generation American and the Naturalized immigrant citizen are now running our beloved United States. The first mentioned not even in office yet and the other one not an elected official. But they bad mouth immigrants like these people are the spawn of the devil, conveniently forgetting their own roots. Between the two of them the have the money and social media resources to tank the current spending bill negotiations and they did so with glee. I am certainly not anti immigration because immigrants are still the backbone of our economy. Why do you think is the Labor market so strong? Because a significant percentage of the reported 10 million plus recent immigrants are willing to work in slaughter houses, scrub floors, pick oranges for the Mar-A-Lago guests' freshly squeezed juice, clean Wall Street offices at 2 AM and so on. I am also not anti cutting unnecessary Government spending but this is not Twitter. The individuals who will be affected won't be Musk and his numerous children or Trump living in luxury in Mar-A-Lago. It will be our Military Troops, the same people who defend us and sacrifice their lives for our country and quite frankly the International Order who will not have a pay check next week. And they do not plead bone spurs to avoid duty to their country... Our TSA agents and air traffic controllers who will have to work with deferred pay to get us to our Holiday destinations to be with family. In case, dear colleagues, you have not noticed: I AM FURIOUS at the current state of affairs and incomprehensible hypocrisy and blatant cronyism in this country. Musk stands to gain more than anyone else from this cozy relationship. Space X Federal contacts, removing self driving regulations, stopping numerous active investigations into his businesses, boosting his crypto investments etc. If you, dear reader, is a fan-boy/girl, have at it. I do not put my money in the hands or pockets of people like these two. Technically, the chart should explain my reasoning. So far, the recent low has been respected. Some indicators are turning up. We also have USD PCE on tap tomorrow. And investors DO NOT like uncertainty like the potential Government shutdown by tomorrow night. There is also a break down level that has to be revisited per the resistance zone on the chart. This is not a change in trend but merely a technical correction if it plays out. BTW, I am also short AUD/JPY as a technical correction. My long EUR/USD from the lows and short from the 1.0420 level have played out profitably. And I am long EUR/USD again. Finally, Happy Holidays and have a rocking 2025 trading around and through the guaranteed chaos.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
9
Downward Pressure Persists as Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike HopeHey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:CADJPY continue its bearish trend? Let’s Dive In.... In the H4 timeframe, CADJPY has broken out of a distribution phase as it continues to move below the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 line. The pair also formed a Rising Wedge pattern, followed by an impulsive breakout, which strongly indicates the continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. Further confirming this outlook, the MACD momentum indicator has signaled a bearish crossover, strengthening our bearish hypothesis. Given these technical factors, we anticipate a potential downward movement toward the nearest historical support area (Target 1) at 105.955. After reaching this level, we foresee a minor correction back to the green zone before the pair resumes its bearish journey to the second target at 104.902. However, this bearish outlook remains valid only if the price holds resistance below the critical stop-loss level at 108.976. Fundamental Reason Supporting Yen Strength: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is signaling further rate hikes as economic data, including wage growth and inflation, align with its projections. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda recently suggested that another rate hike is "nearing," citing steady progress in economic conditions. This hawkish stance further supports the bearish outlook on CADJPY, as a stronger yen typically exerts downward pressure on the pair. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CADJPY".
Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
#EURUSD - 20122024After Wednesday's sell down, price action near term price action showed a recovery and I said to short from higher up. Indeed, we saw a move up of over 50pips before an ability to move higher, and it just closed back near the lows. However the lows still hold. Not exactly bearish though IMO, but could be early to say lows is in in terms of daily candle. For lows to be in, might need a flush down and a quick recovery, similar to what I share for indices. I would try for longs today, either from a level lower, 1.0320/333 or if price can break above PZ and hold, a long from higher.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EUR/USD Analysis – December 19, 2024EUR/USD Analysis – December 19, 2024 Overview: Today, let’s focus on EUR/USD. The price recently retested its demand zone at 1.03611, where it experienced a strong rejection from the downside. Following this, the price has begun to climb upward, indicating a potential bullish move. Trade Idea: Potential Long Entry: Around 1.03611, where the demand zone lies. Target: The price could rise to 1.04628, which corresponds to the previous supply zone. Risk Management: Use a proper risk-to-reward ratio to manage your trade. Ensure there is clear confirmation (e.g., bullish momentum, strong candles, or other signals) before entering a position. Important Notes: Do Your Own Analysis: While this setup suggests a potential upward move, don’t follow it blindly. Always analyze the market conditions yourself before taking a trade. Risk Awareness: Protecting your capital is more important than making quick profits. Avoid impulsive trading and use stop-loss orders to mitigate risk. Trading Is Reactive, Not Predictive: Respond to what the price action shows you rather than forcing trades based on expectations.
Long
by KainT21
7
GBPUSD BEARISH IDEAGBPUSD price attempting to break the weekly bearish flag possibly attempting to test previous weekly structure lows Daily chart shows a possible divergence creating a thesis that a possible pullback is imminent that could test previous support turned resistance for possible bearish continuation set up note: The indicator you are seeing in the chart are bollinger bands with 200 sma that would show if price is over extended long term. this indicator is set to daily so that if you scroll down to lower time frame what you will see is the same indicator but set to daily. The RSI is the regular rsi with 100sma bollinger band for long term trend shifts in momentum. 4h or 1h chart would be the execution chart if I will see pull backs to fib levels using RSI midline and sma as confluence
Short
by Junmadayag
GBPUSD - continue its downward trendDear Investors, The GBP/USD pair has rebounded after losing over 1% following the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cut on Wednesday, currently trading around 1.2590 during Thursday's Asian session. From a technical perspective, this recovery is likely to be short-lived, stemming from the strong support zone at 1.2567, rather than signaling a sustained rebound. Sellers could easily regain control, especially after breaking below the key level of 1.2645. Moreover, the 34-period EMA shows no signs of a significant reversal, suggesting the price might accelerate towards the next support level at 1.2486. Attention remains on the immediate resistance at 1.2615, as any failure to hold this level could lead to an earlier-than-expected decline. Stay alert and plan accordingly!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
Bearisdh drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resisstance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 98.24 1st Support: 96.57 1st Resistance: 99.38 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZD/CAD Buy Setup (4H Timeframe)Pair: NZD/CAD Timeframe: 4H (4-hour) 🔍 Analysis: Support Zone: Price has reached a weak low marked on the chart, potentially signaling a reversal or a bounce from support. Volume Spike: Increased volume at the bottom suggests buying interest could be emerging. Indicators: Price is testing the lower end of the channel. Recent BOS (Break of Structure) and market structure changes suggest potential bullish momentum. MACD/Stochastic indicators might confirm oversold conditions (if observed). 🎯 Entry, TP & SL: Entry: Near the 0.8125 level (current price). Target (TP): Look for resistance levels near 0.8226 or 0.8250. Stop-Loss (SL): Below the weak low at 0.8100 for risk management. 🗒️ Trade Reasoning: With a confluence of technical factors, including strong support, a potential bottom formation, and increasing volume, NZD/CAD offers a favorable buy setup. Traders may consider this for a short-term bullish trade.
Long
by fxplusinsights
Bearish reversal?AUD/NZD is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could dropto the 1st support. Pivot: 1.10894 1st Support: 1.10338 1st Resistance: 1.11515 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets