Forex market
GBP/USD Daily AnalysisPrice is bullish on the daily time frame.
After 4 consecutive bullish days, price printed a bearish inside candle on Friday.
This could potentially be the start of a correction back towards the moving averages and possibly towards the first Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2% and 50%).
If you agree with this analysis, look for a trade that meets your strategy rules.
NZDCAD reached key resistance: Rebound to 0.82450 likelyPrice on NZDCAD has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been a key turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here again.
We can already see early signs of rejection, so I will monitor this pair and I’ll be looking for short setups from the zone again.
🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 0.82450 level , which I feel is a realistic target before any reversal could take from the gains, especially if price respects this structure continuously.
But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside.
Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice
Should we wait for a drop?Hello friends...
In the currency pair (EUR to USD), the price has experienced good growth.
As you can see, this growth has been sharp and there has been no significant correction to continue the trend. Perhaps we can expect the price to start correcting itself from the range specified in the image.
But due to the trend change, the price has to correct and continue its upward trend again (the trend is still upward in the upper time frame).
So in the coming weeks, you should expect a decline in the lower time frame.
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GBPUSD Could Highly Step to MoonGBPUSD is showing strong potential for a bullish breakout, supported by the ongoing decline in the US Dollar Index. If current momentum holds, the pair could test the 1.3820 resistance level in the coming sessions.
📉 Dollar Weakness as Key Driver
The fundamental backdrop favours the British pound as the US dollar continues to weaken, influenced by: Trade wisely best of luck Buddies.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Premature Breakout Bias:
The chart shows price repeatedly rejecting the resistance zone (highlighted in red).
The arrow assumes a clean breakout without confirmation — this is speculative, as the price hasn’t closed convincingly above the resistance.
This could easily turn into a false breakout or double top if price fails again.
2. Volume Mismatch:
A breakout should be backed by strong bullish volume. However, the current volume is mixed and not showing a clear surge in buyer strength.
Lack of volume confirmation makes the breakout less reliable.
3. Ignoring Recent Rejections:
The red zone was tested multiple times in the last sessions without success. That typically signals strong supply or institutional selling.
Repeating this setup without accounting for historical failure adds downside risk.
4. Missing Bearish Scenario:
No alternate path is considered. A failed breakout could lead to a pullback toward 144.00 or lower, especially with U.S. news events (indicated by the flag).
A balanced analysis should always prepare for both breakout and rejection.
5. Macroeconomic Event Risk:
Similar to the GBP/USD chart, this one also shows an upcoming U.S. economic event. That could heavily move USD/JPY, and technical setups may become invalid fast.
The analysis ignores the need to wait for the news catalyst or confirmation after the release.
EUR/USD Key Fibonacci Resistance into Q3 OpenIt's been a strong first-half of the year for EUR/USD.
As we came into 2025 it seemed a story of doom and gloom for the Euro, and calls for parity were practically everywhere. But the pair found support in January, held that support in February - and then broke out in a big way in March.
As we wind down Q2 that breakout remains in-play and EUR/USD is pushing fresh three-year highs as the USD sets its own fresh three-year lows.
Of interest is a simple Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 2021-2022 major move in the pair.
The 61.8% retracement is what caught the highs in 2023, and the 38.2% marker is what caught the low in April of last year, which held until that late-year breakdown. Along the way, the 50% mark at 1.0943 came into play as support and resistance multiple times.
And as the breakdown took hold through the 2025 open, it was the 23.6% retracement that showed up to catch the lows, right around the 1.0200 handle. As prices has posed a strong recovery over the past four months and change, the levels as taken from that Fibonacci retracement have exhibited a number of inflection points.
And now we have the 78.6% retracement coming into play to mark this week's highs. Notably - the pair is currently overbought on both the daily and weekly charts. And while it's difficult to justify strength in a USD that's been beaten down over the past four months, if looking for a turn - whether it's a simple pullback or perhaps the start of something larger, this resistance in EUR/USD remains a big spot to follow on the chart.
Quarterly cuts can be interesting junctures to investigate for turn potential, especially considering the bearish reversal in EUR/USD around the Q4 open last year. - js
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Labeling Error – "Bullish" in a Bearish Trend:
The chart clearly shows a strong downtrend starting after the peak on June 28.
Despite this, the word "Bullish" is used alongside a downward zigzag, which is misleading. This is not a bullish structure — it's a bearish continuation pattern or possibly a bear flag, which suggests further downside.
Using “Bullish” here may confuse traders into thinking a reversal is expected, while the actual trend favors further decline.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern:
There's no double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, or any bullish candlestick formation (e.g., engulfing or hammer) to indicate a likely bullish reversal.
Without strong reversal signals, expecting a bullish move here lacks technical support.
3. Target Box Ambiguity:
The “Target” box is not clearly justified. There are no Fibonacci levels, previous support zones, or measured move explanations backing it.
A target should be based on a technical level — such as the bottom of a previous range, a support zone, or a projection from a pattern.
Market next target 🔍 Disruption Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
1. "Support" Label Positioned at the Current Price Level
Disruption: The chart marks 1.1705 as “Support,” but price is sitting directly on or slightly above it.
Challenge: If price is already breaking through or hovering at support without bouncing, it’s a sign of weakness — this zone may no longer be valid as support.
✅ Correction: Re-label this area as “Potential Resistance” if a breakdown confirms.
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2. Directional Bias Assumes Continuation Without Confirmation
Disruption: Three yellow arrows indicate a bearish continuation, yet no bearish candlestick pattern, volume spike, or break-close-below-support has been confirmed.
Challenge: This is a premature projection that lacks price action validation.
✅ Correction: Wait for a confirmed candle close below 1.1700 with increased volume to validate the move.
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3. Volume Ignored Despite Clear Clues
Disruption: There is rising volume during the move down near support — this could indicate either strong selling or smart money accumulation.
Challenge: Volume analysis is completely overlooked, missing a critical layer of confirmation.
✅ Correction: Analyze the volume spike on the red candles; if followed by weak follow-through, a bullish reversal may be setting up instead