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GBPAUD: Bullish Bias Remains 🇬🇧🇦🇺 I already shared a confirmed bullish breakout of a falling trend line on a daily. Though the price went a bit lower, below that after its retest, we have a significant horizontal support cluster that strongly holds. I think that the price may start rising from that and reach 2.1 level this week. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
5
USDJPY – Diverging Policies Drive Yen into Pressure Zone near 14USDJPY – Diverging Policies Drive Yen into Pressure Zone near 144 🌍 Macro Landscape: JPY Stuck Between Two Diverging Forces In recent weeks, the US dollar has regained strength as the Federal Reserve remains committed to its "higher-for-longer" interest rate stance. On the flip side, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is maintaining an ultra-loose monetary policy, widening the yield spread between the USD and JPY, and putting pressure on the yen. The surge in US 10-year yields toward 4.5% is further dampening demand for JPY as a safe haven, prompting institutional capital outflows from the yen and inflows into USD-based assets. 🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed Remains Firm, BoJ Stays Dovish Federal Reserve: FOMC members continue to signal patience on rate cuts. Recent inflation data (PCE, CPI) shows sticky price pressure, especially in services. Bank of Japan: BoJ remains hesitant to normalize policy despite inflation consistently above the 2% target. This policy divergence is reminiscent of the conditions that pushed USDJPY above 151 last year — and current dynamics hint that history may repeat. 🌐 Capital Flows: JPY Loses Safe-Haven Appeal Global capital flow models indicate a major shift. While gold and the US dollar are once again sought-after hedges amid US-China tensions and EU fiscal risk, the Japanese yen is being overlooked. Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio — the highest in the G7 — forces BoJ to maintain low rates to keep the fiscal structure sustainable. As a result, JPY is no longer viewed as a reliable store of safety. 📊 Technical Structure: Momentum Building Toward 144.1 On the H1 chart: Price bounced sharply from the 142.33 demand zone, forming a higher low. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 show a bullish alignment ("fan-out formation") confirming short-term bullish momentum. Resistance near 144.13–144.20 is key: a clean breakout could trigger an extended rally to 145.00+ However, this zone may also trigger profit-taking, especially if traders react to upcoming macro data. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations Scenario 1 – Buy the Pullback (Preferred): Entry: 142.70 – 142.90 Stop-Loss: 142.30 Take-Profit: 143.80 → 144.13 → 144.60 Scenario 2 – Breakout Momentum Buy: Entry: 144.15 Stop-Loss: 143.70 Take-Profit: 145.00 → 145.50 ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: US PCE Price Index (April): If hotter-than-expected, this would reinforce the Fed’s hawkish tone and lift USD. BoJ Governor Speech (end of week): Any unexpected hawkish shift could trigger a short-term rebound in JPY.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
8
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Forming – Falling Wedge & Retest SetupEUR/GBP has been in a prolonged downtrend over the past several weeks, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action shows signs of exhaustion in selling pressure, as the candles begin to compress into a Falling Wedge pattern — a classic bullish reversal formation. The wedge is defined by two descending, converging trendlines. As price moves closer to the apex of this wedge, volatility contracts and volume typically dries up (not shown here, but conceptually expected). This signals that market participants are preparing for a directional breakout, most likely to the upside in this context. 🔍 Key Technical Elements: 🔸 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: The Falling Wedge is a bullish setup that forms during a downtrend and signals a potential reversal when confirmed. Price here has followed a steady decline, but the slowing momentum and structure of the wedge suggest the sellers are losing control. The wedge acts as a compression zone, where bearish moves are becoming less impactful. Price touches both upper and lower wedge boundaries multiple times, increasing pattern validity. A breakout has already occurred, and the pair is now undergoing a textbook retest of the broken wedge resistance (now acting as support). 🔸 2. Retest at Key Support Zone (SR Interchange): The retest is happening precisely at a former support/resistance flip zone, labeled SR – Interchange on the chart. This is a historically significant area where price has reacted multiple times, adding confluence to the setup. If this level holds during the retest, it may invite strong buying interest, fueling the bullish breakout move. 🔸 3. Resistance Zones & Targets: Inner Resistance (~0.8460): First hurdle for bulls; breaching this will signal strong momentum. Minor Resistance (~0.85618): This is the primary target of the setup, based on previous structure and wedge height projection. Major Resistance (~0.8740): A longer-term bullish objective if momentum sustains beyond the first two targets. These zones serve as logical areas for profit-taking and reassessment. 📐 Measured Move & Target Projection: The projected breakout target of 0.85618 is derived using a combination of: The vertical height of the wedge at its thickest point. Previous market structure resistance zones. Fibonacci and price symmetry (if analyzed further). This target also aligns with a previous supply zone, making it a strong magnet for price if bullish momentum kicks in. 💡 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): This setup provides a good risk-to-reward opportunity if executed with patience and proper confirmation: Entry Zone: After bullish confirmation at the retest (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or break of minor lower high). Stop Loss: Below the SR Interchange zone or recent swing low (~0.8350–0.8360). Target 1: Inner Resistance (~0.8460) Target 2: Minor Resistance (~0.85618) Target 3 (extended): Major Resistance (~0.8740) 🔄 Market Psychology: This chart setup reflects a shift in momentum and sentiment: Sellers have driven the price down consistently but have failed to create new significant lows with force. Buyers are stepping in at key demand zones, creating higher lows within the wedge. The breakout suggests smart money accumulation, and the current retest offers one of the last low-risk entries before a broader move. 🔔 Confirmation to Watch: Bullish reversal candlestick patterns at the retest zone. Break above local lower highs near 0.8440–0.8460. Momentum indicators (if used) showing divergence or crossover confirmation. 📉 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Valid if support at 0.8390–0.8400 holds and price confirms breakout continuation. 🧠 Minds Post (Expanded Explanation) Title: EUR/GBP Bullish Reversal Developing – Falling Wedge Breakout Retest EUR/GBP has broken out of a textbook falling wedge on the 4H chart, which often signals the end of a downtrend and beginning of a new bullish phase. The price is currently pulling back, testing the breakout zone — a crucial step in confirming the validity of the breakout. If this retest holds, we may see a sharp move toward the 0.8460 and 0.8560 levels — both key resistances based on past price action. This pattern reflects a deeper market psychology shift — from consistent bearish dominance to a potential bullish takeover. Smart money may already be positioning here. I’m watching for confirmation at the support zone around 0.8390. If price holds and breaks above local highs, a continuation toward the upper resistance is likely. Let the market come to you. Don’t chase. Wait for structure, then trade with confidence.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/CHF Trading Plan USD/CHF Trading Plan – Technical Rebound Near EMA89, Resistance Ahead at 0.8298 📌 Market Overview USD/CHF is showing signs of technical recovery after a recent sell-off from the 0.8338 high. The current retracement is supported by price action rebounding near the 0.8212 zone — a key demand area that aligns with the EMA89 on the H1 timeframe. However, the broader structure remains uncertain as the pair awaits directional cues from upcoming US macroeconomic data and market sentiment around the Swiss franc’s safe-haven flows. 🔍 Technical Outlook Main trend: Still bearish on higher timeframes Short-term bias: Technical bounce in play EMA Setup: EMA13 and EMA34 are curling upward → but EMA89 acts as strong dynamic resistance above 🔑 Key Technical Zones: Resistance: 0.8264 – 0.8298 → short-term resistance area 0.8320 – 0.8338 → previous supply zone and daily structure resistance Support: 0.8235 → minor intraday support 0.8212 → EMA89 retest + breakout demand block 0.818x → historical low and deeper demand zone 📊 Trade Scenarios ✳️ Scenario 1 – SELL Setup Near Resistance If price retests the 0.8298 zone and prints reversal signals → short the bounce Entry: 0.8290 – 0.8298 SL: 0.8320 TP: 0.8260 → 0.8235 → 0.8210 ✳️ Scenario 2 – BUY the Retest Near Support If price pulls back to 0.8212 and holds structure with EMA89 confluence → potential short-term BUY Entry: 0.8212 – 0.8220 SL: 0.8185 TP: 0.8235 → 0.8260 → 0.8290 ⚠️ Strategy Note: Avoid buying into resistance at 0.8298 unless there's a strong breakout with volume. Current price action favors "sell on rally" setups unless key zones break decisively. 🌐 Macro Context Upcoming PCE Data (May 31): The US Personal Consumption Expenditures index could spark volatility. Weak data may pressure the USD and strengthen CHF. Geopolitical Tensions Ease: Risk-off flows into CHF have cooled slightly as US-EU trade concerns subside. SNB vs. Fed Outlook: The Swiss National Bank remains dovish, but the Fed’s uncertain tone limits USD upside. Yield differentials remain supportive for USDCHF to stay choppy within range. ✅ Final Thoughts USDCHF is staging a mild technical rebound but still faces significant hurdles near 0.8298. Sell setups remain favorable near resistance while buy scalps are valid around EMA89 if price confirms structure.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425? EUR/USD Weekly Plan: Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425? 🧭 MARKET OVERVIEW EUR/USD surged toward a new monthly high at 1.1425 earlier this week but quickly lost momentum and retraced to the 1.137x zone as the US Dollar bounced back. While the short-term recovery in DXY supported the dip, macro uncertainty surrounding Trump’s erratic trade policies continues to raise questions about the dollar’s long-term credibility. Meanwhile, Germany’s revised Q1 GDP growth of 0.4% (vs. 0.2% prior) helped support EUR, reinforcing its appeal as a safe alternative to the greenback. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 Chart) Main Trend: Short-term correction after strong bullish rally Resistance Levels: 1.14165 → Previous top, strong reversal zone 1.14017 → Minor supply zone Support Levels: 1.13476 → Key break structure zone 1.12791 → Daily demand zone & previous FVG bottom Indicators: EMA 20 & EMA 50 crossover signals weakening bullish momentum Price Pattern: Potential double top forming below 1.1425 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Trump’s tariff threat postponed to July 9, but his unpredictable tone weakens USD trust. Germany Q1 GDP upgraded to 0.4% → boosts confidence in Eurozone’s economic resilience. ECB expected to cut rates in June, with policymakers showing confidence inflation will reach 2% target this year. This week’s key focus: → US PCE Price Index (April) → EU May HICP (CPI) These will drive short-term volatility and determine breakout/reversal confirmation. ✅ TRADE SETUPS 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 1.1400–1.1416 SL: 1.1440 TP: 1.1382 → 1.1347 → 1.1279 🟢 BUY SCALP ZONE: Entry: 1.1345–1.1347 SL: 1.1320 TP: 1.1382 → 1.1400 📌 Preferred scenario: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.1400–1.1416 to enter short. Avoid aggressive buys unless price strongly holds above 1.1384. 🧩 CONCLUSION EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion after testing 1.1425. If bears reclaim 1.1384 and hold below 1.1347, deeper correction toward 1.1279 is likely. Conversely, if bulls defend 1.1345 and CPI/PCE data disappoints, price may retest highs.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EUR/USD Breakdown Imminent – Rising Wedge at Major ResistanceOn the 1H chart, EUR/USD has developed a Rising Wedge pattern, a classical bearish reversal formation. The pair has been moving higher within a tightening structure, marked by converging trendlines—indicating weakening bullish momentum. What makes this pattern more compelling is that it’s occurring just below a well-defined Major Resistance Zone around 1.1380–1.1400, where previous attempts to break higher have failed. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, increasing the probability of a reversal. 🔍 Key Technical Components: Rising Wedge Pattern: The wedge reflects a temporary uptrend with weakening strength. Bullish candles are getting smaller, and volume appears to be fading (not shown here but typically expected in this setup). Black Mind Curve Support: A custom support curve illustrating the underlying parabolic trend. Once this is broken, it often leads to a steeper selloff. Change of Character (CHOCH): Around the 1.1260 level, there's a possible shift from bullish to bearish structure. If price breaks and closes below this level, it will likely confirm a momentum reversal. Target Projection: The measured move and previous structural support suggest a drop toward 1.11479, which coincides with a prior demand zone. This also aligns with a potential liquidity sweep beneath recent lows. 🔔 Price Action Signals to Watch: Bearish engulfing candles or strong rejections from the wedge’s upper boundary. Breakdown below the lower wedge line and the curved support. CHOCH confirmation – market structure shift from bullish to bearish around 1.1260. Retest of the wedge breakout level, followed by continuation to the downside. 📌 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): Entry: On break and retest of wedge support. Stop Loss: Above the wedge high or resistance (~1.1400). Target: 1.11479 for first take-profit level; partials can be taken at 1.1260 if needed. 📉 Bias: Short-Term Bearish – Only upon wedge breakdown and confirmation. 🧠 Minds Section (Expanded for Traders' Perspective) EUR/USD is approaching a critical technical juncture. We are seeing a textbook rising wedge formation into a major resistance zone, signaling exhaustion of bullish strength. While the pair has enjoyed upward momentum, price action is showing signs of slowing, and the structure is no longer sustainable. This pattern often traps late buyers before reversing. We are closely watching the lower wedge boundary and curved support—a breakdown here will likely trigger bearish momentum, especially with the CHOCH area near 1.1260 acting as a structure-defining level. If sellers gain control and the breakdown confirms, there’s high probability for a fall to 1.11479, targeting prior demand zones and potential liquidity pockets. Now is the time to be cautious if long, or begin planning short setups. Wait for confirmation—no need to rush the trade.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD - SHORT PREDICTION - MONDAY, 26TH MAY 2025A pullback appears to be underway, following a sweep of inducement around the 15-minute level at 1.13900—marking our first significant Change of Character (CHoCH). This shift aligns with the broader narrative from the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting the potential for a deeper retracement into the extreme 1H order block. With the current price trading around 1.13777, we anticipate a move back up to the 1.14078 level. This area is of interest for initiating short positions, in line with the ongoing correction. Our first take-profit target is set at 1.13368, where we expect an initial reaction. Should bearish momentum continue, we foresee price extending lower to sweep the previous daily low at 1.12771 and potentially tapping into the daily external order block at 1.12664. From there, we’ll closely monitor price behavior. If bullish intent begins to form, we’ll assess the potential for long setups targeting a move back toward the weekly high at 1.14190.
Short
by Sjcosmas
EURUSD long Entry Opportunity from Support Zone"EURUSD Long Entry Opportunity from Support Zone" This means that the EUR/USD currency pair (Euro vs. US Dollar) is currently approaching or sitting at a support zone, which is a price level where buying interest is expected to be strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Traders often look at such zones as potential areas where the price might bounce or reverse upward, offering an opportunity to enter a long (buy) position. A "long entry" refers to opening a buy trade, anticipating that the price will go up from the current level. The idea is to buy low at support and potentially sell later at a higher price (resistance or target level). This setup usually includes: Confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns, RSI divergence, or volume support. Risk management with stop-loss orders placed just below the support zone. Profit targets based on resistance levels or previous highs. In summary, the phrase suggests a possible buying opportunity on EURUSD, based on technical analysis indicating that the current price is near a strong support level.
Long
by tavakolighanbar
USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉 USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉 🔹 Timeframe: 30M 🔹 Methodology: Elliott Wave + AO + Structure Break + BBMA ⸻ 🔍 Current Market Outlook: I’m currently observing Wave 4 playing out as a complex correction. Price is pushing toward the key level 142.796, which I expect to break structure (BOS) to the upside. Once that level is cleared, I’ll be watching closely for signs of an ABC corrective move to form — setting up a high-probability sell opportunity aligned with the final Wave 5 leg. ⸻ 🧠 Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Wave Count: • Wave 3 is confirmed by the strongest momentum on the AO • Wave 4 is unfolding and approaching structure at 142.796 • AO shows decreasing bullish momentum, hinting at possible exhaustion ✅ Plan: • Wait for break above 142.796 • Monitor for completion of ABC correction • Enter short after C-leg confirmation • TP at 1.618–1.786 Fib extension zone (141.818–141.614) • Anticipating bullish divergence on AO by the end of Wave 5 ⸻ 📌 Confluence Checklist: ✔️ Wave theory ✔️ BOS expected ✔️ Fibonacci targets ✔️ AO divergence setting up ✔️ BBMA structure alignment ⸻ 🎯 Strategy Summary: Break 142.796 ➝ Spot ABC ➝ Enter short on C ➝ Ride Wave 5 ➝ TP @ extension zone ⸻ 💬 Share your thoughts—Are you seeing the same potential Wave 5 setup? Let’s discuss. 👉 Follow me for clean structure-based analysis, BBMA setups, and advanced wave insights. #USDJPY #ElliottWave #ForexSetup #WaveAnalysis #BBMA #AOindicator #MarketStructure #BreakOfStructure #SmartMoney #SellTheRally #Wave5 #ForexStrategy
Short
by AwesomeOscDad
VIEW: EURUSD-Cut your losses short and let your winners run. -The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient. -In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable. -Trade what you see, not what you think. CONFIRMATION -Price is bullish -Strong order block -BOS -Liquidity sweep -FVG filled -Price retraced NB: Do not ever compare yourself to other traders. Take regular breaks from trading Maintain a trading journal Love your craft Learn from other successful traders.
by koolytrades
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.650. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.653. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDINR - Reposting 1st May Chart for Study purposeDate: 26-05-2025 #USDINR - Reposting 1st May Chart for Study purpose and to see how the levels are behaving between the resistance and support. We should also note that the movement was between downside target 1 and upside target 1 (86.10) with precision. The old levels remain the same and the levels are given below. Upside: 86.10, 86.52, 87.15 and 87.78 Downside: 83.58, 83.16, 82.53 and 81.90 The green lines mark the range with resistance and support. Let me know your thoughts and observations if any.
by Abc_trades
USDCHF: DXY Likely to remain bearish in long term! The USDCHF pair is likely to remain bearish in the coming days as DXY doesn’t show any bullish momentum. However, we expect DXY to be bullish in the short term, which will help the price reach our designated selling zone. Once the price reaches this zone and shows a reversal sign in a smaller timeframe, you can consider entering or taking any decision. If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Short
by Setupsfx_
21